• Title/Summary/Keyword: optimal investment rate

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Optimal Sequencing of Water Supply Proiects by Dynamic Programming (동적계량법에 의한 용수공급시설의 최적화에 관한 연구)

  • 배상근;이순택
    • Water for future
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.63-69
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    • 1981
  • This Study is aimed at optimal sequencing of water supply projects for water demand from the application in water resources field of dynamic programming because a minimum present cost strategy for investment in water supply projects plays an important part of installation of some projects. In analysis, the relationships of the future water demand and numerous possible independent projects that are expected to meet water requirements up to some future data in Daegu city were used and future water demand were estimated from the exponential function method, the method used by the Water Works Bureau of Daegu City government which is a kind of geometric progression method and the mean value of these two methods. The results showed that the optimal sequencing of water supply projects using Dynamic Programming was reasonable and the changing of the estimation method of future water demand made a difference among optimal sequence of projects while the changing of annual rate of interest had influenced on present value cost only. In general, the best sequence for constructing the seven projects was the order of D-E-G-F-C-B-A, with the corresponding period for 33-38 years.

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Economic evaluation on heating systems of apartment complex (공동주택단지 난방시스템들에 대한 경제성 평가)

  • 조금남;윤승호;김원배
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.773-783
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    • 1998
  • The heating system for apartment complex may be classified as old systems including central system with steam boiler(S1), gas engine driven heat pump system(S2), system using waste heat(S3) and new systems including mechanical vapor re-compression system with flashing heat exchangers(S4), system using methanol(S5), system using metal hydride (S6). The purpose of the present study is to suggest optimal heating system by technically, economically and environmentally evaluating old and new heating systems of apartment complex from 500 to 3,000 households. Economic evaluation based on the technical evaluation results which estimated heat transfer area of heat exchangers and capacity of equipments was estimated initial investment cost, annual operating cost and relative payback period by considering annual increasing rates of energy cost and interest. Environmental evaluation provided annual generation rate of carbon dioxide. Initial investment cost was cheap in the order of S6, S5, S3, S2, S4, S1, annual operating cost was cheap in the order of S1, S2, S4, S5 and relative payback period was short in the order of S6, S5, S2, S3 and S4. Relative payback period was within 8 years for all scenarios of 3,000 households, and was increased as annual increasing rates of energy cost and interest were increased. As transportation pipe length was increased twice, payback period was increased by 1.4~2.6 time. The effect of temperatures of waste gas and waste water on the relative payback period was small within 0.8 years. The annual generation rate of carbon dioxide was big in the order of S4, S2 and S1. S4 was the most economic system among whole scenarios when S1 was replaced with other scenarios.

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Optimal Asset Allocation for Defined Contribution Pension to Minimize Shortfall Risk of Income Replacement Rate (소득대체율 부족 위험 최소화를 위한 확정기여형 퇴직연금제도의 최적자산배분)

  • Dong-Hwa Lee;Kyung-Jin Choi
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.27-34
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    • 2024
  • This study aims to propose an optimal asset allocation that minimizes the risk of insufficient realized replacement rates compared to the OECD average replacement rate. To do this, we set the shortfall risk of replacement rates and calculates an asset allocation plan to minimize this risk based on the period of enrollment, the income level and additional contribution. We consider stocks and deposits as investment assets, using Monte Carlo simulation with a GBM model to generate return distributions for stocks. Our result show that, for individuals with a enrollment period of less than 30 years, participants should invest a minimum of 70-80% of their funds in risky assets to minimize the shortfall risk. However, the proportion of funds that need to be invested in risky assets declines significantly when participants contribute an additional premiums. This effect is particularly pronounced among low-income individuals. Therefore, to achieve OECD average replacement rates, the government needs to incentivize participants to invest more in risky assets, while also providing policies to encourage additional contributions, especially for the low-income population.

Allocation of the Optimal Reliability and Maintainability in Manufacturing Systems (제조 시스템의 최적 신뢰도 및 보전도 할당)

  • 이상철
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.22 no.50
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    • pp.23-32
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    • 1999
  • Reliability and maintainability allocation in the analysis of the system's design, with the objective of planning and installing the individual components in such a way that the system performance is achieved. This paper has been made to solve an important task in reliability management of manufacturing systems within the general objective being to increase productivity while maintaining costs low. Thus, the purpose of this paper is to provide an analytical approach to determine an optimal reliability and maintainability allocation, trading off among system performance and parts investment costs. Two important considerations will be addressed in this regard : (ⅰ) determine the reliability and maintainability allocation of parts which maximizes a given production index, having fixed the total cost of investments ; and (ⅱ) determine the reliability and maintainability allocation which minimizes the total cost of investments, having fixed a minimum acceptable level of productivity. The procedure proposed in this paper is able to provide to managers and designers useful indications on the reliability and maintainability characteristics of parts in series -parallel systems. And this heuristic model is a decision support tool for contractors who are involved in large scale design projects such as ship and aircraft design. Numerical examples prove that an approximate expression of the average throughput rate is sufficiently accurate to be used in a numerical optimization method.

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A Model on Economy Evaluation Regarding to Cash Flow Pattern (현금흐름 패턴을 고려한 경제성 평가모델)

  • Kang, Sung-Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.177-187
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    • 2008
  • It is very important to select optimal investment alternative. The common method of economic evaluation is to compare of NPV, FW, AE by MARR, or the rate of return for the cash flow of alternatives. This method is undergoing by assumption that cash flow can be always evaluated by MARR, but the cash flow is not always increased or discounted like MARR. So this paper suggests a model on an economic analysis and evaluation regarding to various cash pattern, that is helpful for the person in the field to use easily.

Optimal Location of FACTS Devices Using Adaptive Particle Swarm Optimization Hybrid with Simulated Annealing

  • Ajami, Ali;Aghajani, Gh.;Pourmahmood, M.
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.179-190
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    • 2010
  • This paper describes a new stochastic heuristic algorithm in engineering problem optimization especially in power system applications. An improved particle swarm optimization (PSO) called adaptive particle swarm optimization (APSO), mixed with simulated annealing (SA), is introduced and referred to as APSO-SA. This algorithm uses a novel PSO algorithm (APSO) to increase the convergence rate and incorporate the ability of SA to avoid being trapped in a local optimum. The APSO-SA algorithm efficiency is verified using some benchmark functions. This paper presents the application of APSO-SA to find the optimal location, type and size of flexible AC transmission system devices. Two types of FACTS devices, the thyristor controlled series capacitor (TCSC) and the static VAR compensator (SVC), are considered. The main objectives of the presented method are increasing the voltage stability index and over load factor, decreasing the cost of investment and total real power losses in the power system. In this regard, two cases are considered: single-type devices (same type of FACTS devices) and multi-type devices (combination of TCSC, SVC). Using the proposed method, the locations, type and sizes of FACTS devices are obtained to reach the optimal objective function. The APSO-SA is used to solve the above non.linear programming optimization problem for better accuracy and fast convergence and its results are compared with results of conventional PSO. The presented method expands the search space, improves performance and accelerates to the speed convergence, in comparison with the conventional PSO algorithm. The optimization results are compared with the standard PSO method. This comparison confirms the efficiency and validity of the proposed method. The proposed approach is examined and tested on IEEE 14 bus systems by MATLAB software. Numerical results demonstrate that the APSO-SA is fast and has a much lower computational cost.

Transmission System Expansion Planning by Nodal Delivery Marginal Rate Criterion -II (모선수송전달능력(母線輸送傳達能力) 신뢰도 기준에 의한 송전계통(送電系統)의 광역설계(擴充計劃) -II)

  • Park, Jeong-Je;Shi, Bo;Jeong, Sang-Hun;Choi, Jae-Seok;Mount, Timothy;Thomas, Robert
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2007.07a
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    • pp.574-575
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    • 2007
  • This paper proposes a method for choosing the best transmission system expansion plan using nodal/bus delivery marginal rate criterion ($BMR_k$) defined newly in this paper. The objective method minimizes a total cost which is an investment budget for constructing new transmission lines subject to the $BMR_k$ which means a nodal deterministic reliability level requirement at specified load point. The proposed method models the transmission system expansion problem as an integer programming problem. It solves for the optimal strategy using a branch and bound method that utilizes a network flow approach and the maximum flow-minimum cut set theorem. Test results on an existing 21-bus system are included in the paper. It demonstrated the suitability of the proposed method for solving the transmission system expansion planning problem in competitive electricity market environment.

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A Study on the Enterprise Value Analysis using AHP and Logit Regressions (AHP와 로짓회귀분석을 활용한 기업가치 분석방법)

  • Gu, Seung-Hwan;Shin, Tack-Hyun;Yuldashev, Zafar
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.16 no.9
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    • pp.5810-5818
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    • 2015
  • The dissertation presents the portfolio construction method using the score sheet so that general investors can utilize it easily. This study draws the significant variables to contribute the enterprise value and suggests the combined models by applying the single methodology, which private investors can easily utilize. The results of the research can be classified into 2 areas. Firstly, the significantly affecting variables were selected for analyzing the enterprise value. The variables and the method for the enterprise value analysis were studied from the existing researches to choose the optimal variables. The variables were identified by using AHP method and the structure equation method from the investigation of the previous researches. And the critical variables were added extracted from the common denominator of variables which the 3 grue investors used for their investment. The final variables identified are dividend yield, PER, PBR, PCR, EV/EBITDA, ROE, net income, sales growth rate, net current asset, debt ratio, current ratio, rate of operating profits, ratio of operating profit to net sales, ratio of net income to net sales, net profit to total assets, EPS growth rate, inventory turnover ratio, and receivables turnover. Second, the new methodologies for forecasting enterprise value modifying the existing methods were developed. The result of the Logistic regression analysis for forecasting showed that the equation could not be suitable as the accuracy with 91.98%.

A Study on Composition of The Construction Organization in Construction Work in Korea - Focus on Apartment of The Capital Region - (국내 건축공사 시공조직 구성에 관한 연구 - 수도권 공동주택을 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Kyo-Sun;Kim, Hyun-Seok;Kang, Kyung-In
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.155-160
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    • 2003
  • The Korean economic crisis hit badly the local construction industry, especially during the year of the 1998 when the country took the IMF bailout proframme. Under the poor business environment, such as reduction of construction investment, financial difficulty from high interest rate, and increasing bankruptcies, restructuring measures were repuired for survival of the industry. It is obvious the restructuring process is essential for the future business success. regardless of the financial crisis. With this background, this research aims the contribute to improved construction management structure and strengthened international competitiveness of the industry through the cost reduction and productivity enhancement, by analysising and proposing and optimal level of the manpower structure of construction management organization With the subject of 24 construction fields of apartment houses in the capital region as of January 1, 1999, constructed by OO company having leaded the construction industry of the country so far now, the researcher performed the on the spot survey regarding the organization/manpower structure and construction contract amount.

A Study on the Railway Intelligent Transportation System, Developed Detailed Research Strategy (철도분야 지능형교통체계 세부추진전략 수립연구)

  • Lee, Jun;Jin, Il-Kyoung;Moon, Dae-Sub;Eom, Jin-Ki
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2011.10a
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    • pp.614-620
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    • 2011
  • Railway intelligent transportation systems and related Ministry of Land and rail operating agency's railway informatization planning of information technology, effective through the use of management strategies to establish or run to support the systematic informatization investment that you want to execute work in progress, during and yet the institutional informatization of operations mainly in the form of efficiency is Chinhae. Accordingly, in order to promote the details of the final challenge of providing real-time information and the usefulness of this information collection is clearly for the railway sector by function of the components is necessary to distinguish. In this paper, the details of the plan goals, promoting convenient rail-based real-time information, to promote optimal gohyoeuleul railways, railway safety and comfort, was defined as three. Selection of each goal, because the direction of vision and ITS around the railroad center of road users by highlighting the benefits of the railroad's traffic information center user switching, real-time delivery of information diversity (enhanced content) that can increase the capacity of line train operating systems, enhancing the safety management system introduced in the monitoring system and is a railroad crossing. Because urban railway project in accordance with the goal of decreasing the annual rate of the train support, and the average passenger wait time savings, increased future demand for railway, rail safety, including securing the expected effects may occur.

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