• Title/Summary/Keyword: optimal investment rate

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An optimal continuous type investment policy for the surplus in a risk model

  • Choi, Seung Kyoung;Lee, Eui Yong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.91-97
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, we show that there exists an optimal investment policy for the surplus in a risk model, in which the surplus is continuously invested to other business at a constant rate a > 0, whenever the level of the surplus exceeds a given threshold V > 0. We assign, to the risk model, two costs, the penalty per unit time while the level of the surplus being under V > 0 and the opportunity cost per unit time by keeping a unit amount of the surplus. After calculating the long-run average cost per unit time, we show that there exists an optimal investment rate $a^*$>0 which minimizes the long-run average cost per unit time, when the claim amount follows an exponential distribution.

Optimal Demand for Road Investment (도로부문의 적정 투자규모 추정)

  • 김의준
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.75-92
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    • 1997
  • This paper is concerned with an estimation of optimal investment of road sector in 1996-2005. The main method is a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Model for Korea in which the optimal solution is derived in a recursively dynamic path. The model is composed of three main modules: the supply, the demand and the price. In this paper, the investment demand for the road is optimized with subject to national economic growth and price inflation. If the annual inflation level and the economic growth rate during 1996-2005 are set to 4.5%-5.0% and 6.0%-6.5% respectively, the optimal demand for the road investment is estimated as 155.1-180.1 trillion Won or 3.33%-3.89% of the GDP for ten years. It implies that the additional increase of the road investment by 0.61%-1.15% of the GDP is required for sustainable economic development, since the share of the road investment in the GDP of the latest 5 years has stayed around 2.27%. However, it is necessary to reduce construction investments on housing as well as to promote private financing of the road in order to maximize an efficiency of resource allocation.

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Theoretical Analysis on Optimal SOC Investment in Urban Planning (도시계획관련 사회간접자본 투자의 적정성 분석을 위한 이론적 고찰)

  • 박재홍
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.45-51
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    • 1994
  • The purpose of this paper is to present the optimal investment conditions of SOC facilities for maximizing regional social welfare in implementing the urban development project in the theoretical fashion. Particularily, SOC facilities are divided into both supply-side($P_s$) and demand-side SOC ($P_d$) in the paper. General equilibrium analysis from the intra-regional viewpoint by utilizing Pareto's Optimal Conditions and by revising Samuleson's Conditions for public goods($P_s$ and $P_d$) results in the optimum pattern of SOC investment. The following are important implications from the analysis. First, rather than the pursue social equity, SOC investment is to resolve the issue of efficiency to activate the regional economy. Second, the marginal rate of transformation (MRT) between $P_s$ and $P_d$ in the region is to play a significant role in structuring SOC investment plant of local government for social welfare maximization. Third, the optimal SOC investment policy based on this regional economy but also to generate the enhancement of soical amenities of the residents.

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Optimal Capacity Determination of BESS for Customer using Investment Cost and Electric Cost (투자비용과 전기요금을 반영한 수용가 BESS의 최적용량 산정)

  • Park, Jin-Kyung;Baek, Young-Sik;Jeong, Ki-Seok;Park, Ji-Ho
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.64 no.2
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    • pp.208-213
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    • 2015
  • This study presents the estimation method for the optimal capacity of BESS(Battery Energy Storage System) in order to reduce the electric charges of common consumer. The daily optimal charge and discharge plan of BESS which satisfies the given constraints is established using linear programming through the change of rated output/rated capacity of the time that shows the electric charges in the highest reduced rate has been selected. There will be a problem to compare only reduced rate because the bigger the rated capacity, the more reduced rate is increased. Therefore, rated output/rated capacity of the time when the reduced amount of electric charges for a year is higher than the investment cost of BESS was selected.

A Study on the Strategy for Optimizing Investment Portfolios (최적 투자 포트폴리오 구성전략에 관한 연구)

  • Gu, Seung-Hwan;Jang, Seong-Yong
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.300-310
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    • 2010
  • This paper is about an optimal investment portfolio strategy. Financial data of stocks, bonds, and savings from January 2. 2001 through October 30. 2009 were utilized in order to suggest the optimal portfolio strategies. Fundamental analysis and technical analysis were used in stocks-related strategy, whereas passive investment strategy and active investment strategy were used in bond-related strategy. The score is assigned to each stock index according to the suggested strategies and set trading rules are based on the scores. The simulation has been executed about each 29,400-portfolios and we figured out with the simulation result that 26.75% of 7,864 portfolios are more profitable than average stock market profit (22.6%, Annualized). The outcome of this research is summarized in two parts. First, it's the rebalancing strategy of portfolio. The result shows that value-oriented investment(long-term investment) strategy yields much higher than short-term investment strategies of stocks or active investment of bonds. Second, it's about the rebalancing cycle forming the portfolios. The result shows that the rate of return for the portfolio is the best when rebalancing cycle is 12 or 18 months.

A Study on Design of Production System Using Multiple Characteristics Robust Design in Uncertain Environment (불확실한 환경에서의 다특성치 강건설계를 이용한 생산시스템 설계에 관한 연구)

  • 양광모;서장훈;박진홍;강경식
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2004.05a
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    • pp.61-65
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    • 2004
  • As technique that can contribute in quality improvement in design process to overcome shortcoming of traditional quality control, call design or development department quality control activity that is achieved to reduce gun damage shuddering at circle minimizing change or side effect of product performance as off-line quality control. This paper discuss optimal process design of investment projects expansion and replacement investment on each line or individual in the production. Generally optimal plant design has add to a few method by Subsidiary means with use a especial method. And then in this paper, a Robust design is presented, which may be effective to the processes appraisal or improvement. We propose that should make a optimal plant design model for reducing field failure rate to assign by real data on different factors in plant system. Using this model, robust design of taguchi method used in this comprehensive method for reducing field failure rate in plant system.

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A Study on the Analysis of Optimal Asset Allocation and Welfare Improvemant Factors through ESG Investment (ESG투자를 통한 최적자산배분과 후생개선 요인분석에 관한 연구)

  • Hyun, Sangkyun;Lee, Jeongseok;Rhee, Joon-Hee
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.51 no.2
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    • pp.171-184
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: First, this paper suggests an alternative approach to find optimal portfolio (stocks, bonds and ESG stocks) under the maximizing utility of investors. Second, we include ESG stocks in our optimal portfolio, and compare improvement of welfares in the case with and without ESG stocks in portfolio. Methods: Our main method of analysis follows Brennan et al(2002), designed under the continuous time framework. We assume that the dynamics of stock price follow the Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) while the short rate have the Vasicek model. For the utility function of investors, we use the Power Utility Function, which commonly used in financial studies. The optimal portfolio and welfares are derived in the partial equilibrium. The parameters are estimated by using Kalman filter and ordinary least square method. Results: During the overall analysis period, the portfolio including ESG, did not show clear welfare improvement. In 2017, it has slightly exceeded this benchmark 1, showing the possibility of improvement, but the ESG stocks we selected have not strongly shown statistically significant welfare improvement results. This paper showed that the factors affecting optimal asset allocation and welfare improvement were different each other. We also found that the proportion of optimal asset allocation was affected by factors such as asset return, volatility, and inverse correlation between stocks and bonds, similar to traditional financial theory. Conclusion: The portfolio with ESG investment did not show significant results in welfare improvement is due to that 1) the KRX ESG Leaders 150 selected in our study is an index based on ESG integrated scores, which are designed to affect stability rather than profitability. And 2) Korea has a short history of ESG investment. During the limited analysis period, the performance of stock-related assets was inferior to bond assets at the time of the interest rate drop.

OPTIMAL PORTFOLIO CHOICE IN A BINOMIAL-TREE AND ITS CONVERGENCE

  • Jeong, Seungwon;Ahn, Sang Jin;Koo, Hyeng Keun;Ahn, Seryoong
    • East Asian mathematical journal
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    • v.38 no.3
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    • pp.277-292
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    • 2022
  • This study investigates the convergence of the optimal consumption and investment policies in a binomial-tree model to those in the continuous-time model of Merton (1969). We provide the convergence in explicit form and show that the convergence rate is of order ∆t, which is the length of time between consecutive time points. We also show by numerical solutions with realistic parameter values that the optimal policies in the binomial-tree model do not differ significantly from those in the continuous-time model for long-term portfolio management with a horizon over 30 years if rebalancing is done every 6 months.

The Optimal Mean-Variance Portfolio Formulation by Mathematical Planning (Mean-Variance 수리 계획을 이용한 최적 포트폴리오 투자안 도출)

  • Kim, Tai-Young
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.63-71
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    • 2009
  • The traditional portfolio optimization problem is to find an investment plan for securities with reasonable trade-off between the rate of return and the risk. The seminal work in this field is the mean-variance model by Markowitz, which is a quadratic programming problem. Since it is now computationally practical to solve the model, a number of alternative models to overcome this complexity have been proposed. In this paper, among the alternatives, we focus on the Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) model. More specifically, we developed an algorithm to obtain an optimal portfolio from the MAD model. We showed mathematically that the algorithm can solve the problem to optimality. We tested it using the real data from the Korean Stock Market. The results coincide with our expectation that the method can solve a variety of problems in a reasonable computational time.

Optimization of Investment Decision Making by Using Analysts' Target Prices (애널리스트 목표가를 활용한 최적 투자의사결정 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Su-Ji;Kim, Heung-Kyu;Lee, Ki-Kwang
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.43 no.4
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    • pp.229-235
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    • 2020
  • Investors aim to maximize the return rate for their own investment, utilizing various information as possible as they can access. However those investors, especially individual investors, have limitations of interpretation of the domain-specific information or even the acquisition of the information itself. Thus, individual investors tend to make decision affectively and frequently, which may cause a loss in returns. This study aims to analyze analysts' target price and to suggest the strategy that could maximize individual's return rate. Most previous literature revealed that the optimistic bias exists in the analysts' target price and it is also confirmed in this study. In this context, this study suggests the upper limit of target rate of returns and the optimal value named 'alpha(α)' which performs the adjustment of proposed target rate to maximize excess earning returns eventually. To achieve this goal, this study developed an optimization problem using linear programming. Specifically, when the analysts' proposed target rate exceeds 30%, it could be adjusted to the extent of 59% of its own target rate. As apply this strategy, the investors could achieve 1.2% of excess earning rate on average. The result of this study has significance in that the individual investors could utilize analysts' target price practically.