• Title/Summary/Keyword: optimal investment policy

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An optimal continuous type investment policy for the surplus in a risk model

  • Choi, Seung Kyoung;Lee, Eui Yong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.91-97
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, we show that there exists an optimal investment policy for the surplus in a risk model, in which the surplus is continuously invested to other business at a constant rate a > 0, whenever the level of the surplus exceeds a given threshold V > 0. We assign, to the risk model, two costs, the penalty per unit time while the level of the surplus being under V > 0 and the opportunity cost per unit time by keeping a unit amount of the surplus. After calculating the long-run average cost per unit time, we show that there exists an optimal investment rate $a^*$>0 which minimizes the long-run average cost per unit time, when the claim amount follows an exponential distribution.

Optimal Control for Cash Management with Investment and Retrieval (투자와 회수를 고려한 기업의 최적 현금 관리)

  • Kim, Eun-Gab;Byun, Jin-Ho;Pae, Jae-Hyun
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.396-407
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    • 2011
  • We develop a cash management model in which firms face randomly occurred investment projects and retrieve investments upon the maturity of these projects. Using the Markov Decision Problem approach, we examine a control policy which dynamically adjusts the cash balance under the discounted cost criterion. The existence of an optimal policy is shown under some conditions. The optimal solution procedure is developed to find the optimal points and the optimal sizes for adjusting the cash balance. In numerical experiment, we investigate important structural properties of the optimal cash management policy.

The Application of Optimal Control Through Fiscal Policy on Indonesian Economy

  • SYAHRINI, Intan;MASBAR, Raja;ALIASUDDIN, Aliasuddin;MUNZIR, Said;HAZMI, Yusri
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.741-750
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    • 2021
  • The budget deficit is closely related to expansionary fiscal policy as a fiscal instrument to encourage economic growth. This study aims to apply optimal control theory in the Keynesian macroeconomic model for the economy, so that optimal growth can be found. Macroeconomic variables include GDP, consumption, investment, exports, imports, and budget deficit as control variables. This study uses secondary data in the form of time series, the time period 1990 to 2018. Performing optimal control will result in optimal fiscal policy. The optimal determination is done through simulation, for the period 2019-2023. The discrete optimal control problem is to minimize the objective function in the form of a quadratic function against the deviation of the state variable and control variable from the target value and the optimal value. Meanwhile, the constraint is Keynes' macroeconomic model. The results showed that the optimal value of macroeconomic variables has a deviation from the target values consisting of: consumption, investment, exports, imports, GDP, and budget deficit. The largest deviation from the average during the simulation occurs in GDP, followed by investment, exports, and the budget deficit. Meanwhile, the lowest average deviation is found in imports.

The Use of Optimal Control Techniques to Design Regional Policies: With Special Reference to the Evaluation of Regional Economic Polices (최적제어기법의 지역정책에의 적용에 관한 연구 : 지역경제정책의 평가를 중심으로)

  • 강동희
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.1-22
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    • 1999
  • It is widely known that optimal control techniques are useful to measure the performance of macroeconomic policy. This paper examines how the method could be applies them to the evaluation of the public investment expenditures conducted by the local government of Choongbook Province in Korea. The numerical example illustrates the usefulness of the methods for the evaluation of the regional economic policies suggesting the main findings as follows: (1) If the local government of Choongbook Province had increased the public investment expenditures allowing the budget deficits for the first three to four years during the period between 1985 and 1990, its GRDP would have early risen to the ratio of more than three percent of Korea's total GDP. (2) The additonal welfare losses incurred by not following the optimal policy were 0.191 in 1986, 0.607 in 1987, 1.585 in 1988, and 0.132 in 1989, indicating that the public investment policy proves to be the best in 1989 and the worst in 1988.

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Theoretical Analysis on Optimal SOC Investment in Urban Planning (도시계획관련 사회간접자본 투자의 적정성 분석을 위한 이론적 고찰)

  • 박재홍
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.45-51
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    • 1994
  • The purpose of this paper is to present the optimal investment conditions of SOC facilities for maximizing regional social welfare in implementing the urban development project in the theoretical fashion. Particularily, SOC facilities are divided into both supply-side($P_s$) and demand-side SOC ($P_d$) in the paper. General equilibrium analysis from the intra-regional viewpoint by utilizing Pareto's Optimal Conditions and by revising Samuleson's Conditions for public goods($P_s$ and $P_d$) results in the optimum pattern of SOC investment. The following are important implications from the analysis. First, rather than the pursue social equity, SOC investment is to resolve the issue of efficiency to activate the regional economy. Second, the marginal rate of transformation (MRT) between $P_s$ and $P_d$ in the region is to play a significant role in structuring SOC investment plant of local government for social welfare maximization. Third, the optimal SOC investment policy based on this regional economy but also to generate the enhancement of soical amenities of the residents.

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Optimal Retirement Time and Consumption/Investment in Anticipation of a Better Investment Opportunity

  • Shim, Gyoocheol
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.13-25
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    • 2014
  • We investigate an optimal retirement time and consumption/investment policy of a wage earner who expects to find a better investment opportunity after retirement by being freed from other work and participating fully in the financial market. We obtain a closed form solution to the optimization problem by using a dynamic programming method under general time-separable von Neumann-Morgenstern utility. It is optimal for the wage earner to retire from work if and only if his wealth exceeds a certain critical level which is obtained from a free boundary value problem. The wage earner consumes less and takes more risk than he would without anticipation of a better investment opportunity.

Protection of Intellectual Property Rights and Subsidy Policy for Foreign Direct Investment

  • Kang, Moonsung
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.139-154
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    • 2012
  • This paper provides a theoretical setup for an analysis of strategic relationships inherent to activities of an innovative multinational enterprise (MNE) and a local company in a host country. Additionally, we explore the incentives of the host country's government to provide subsidies to attract foreign direct investment (FDI) and to protect outcomes of R&D activities conducted by the MNE. We show that the MNE's commercial interests may collide with local companies' over protection of IPRs. Therefore, the extent of knowledge spillovers from the MNE to the local company and the magnitude of incentives to the MNE perform a crucial function in determining the optimal policy mix of IPR protection and FDI subsidies of the host country's government.

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Real Options Analysis of Groundwater Extraction and Management with Water Price Uncertainty

  • Lee, Jaehyung
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.639-666
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    • 2018
  • This paper analyses the investment options of groundwater development project under water price uncertainty. The optimal investment threshold price which trigger the investment are calibrated base on monopolistic real options model. Stochastic dynamic model is set to reflect the uncertainty of water price which follows the GBM (Geometric Brownian Motion) process. Our finding from non-cooperative investment decision model is that uncertainty of water price could deter the groundwater investment by considering the existence of option values. For policy markers, it is easy to manage 'charges for utilization of groundwater' rather than 'performance guarantee ratio' when managing groundwater investment with pricing policy. And it is necessary to make comprehensive and well-designed policies considering the characteristics of regional groundwater reservoir and groundwater developers.

A Study on Dynamic Asset Allocation Strategy for Optimal Portfolio Selection

  • Lee, Hojin
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.310-336
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    • 2021
  • We use iterative numerical procedures combined with analytical methods due to Rapach and Wohar (2009) to solve for the dynamic asset allocation strategy for optimal portfolio demand. We compare different optimal portfolio demands when investors in each country have different access to overseas and domestic investment opportunities. The optimal dynamic asset allocation strategy without foreign investment opportunities leads domestic investors in Korea, Hong Kong, and Singapore to allocate more funds to domestic bonds than to domestic stocks. However, the U.S. investors allocate more wealth to domestic stocks than to domestic bonds. Investors in all countries short bills at a low level of risk aversion. Next, we investigate dynamic asset allocation strategy when domestic investors in Korea have access to foreign markets. The optimal portfolio demand leads investors in Korea to allocate most resources to domestic bonds and foreign stocks. On the other hand, the portfolio weights on foreign bonds and domestic stocks are relatively low. We also analyze dynamic asset allocation strategy for the investors in the U.S., Hong Kong, and Singapore when they have access to the Korean markets as overseas investment opportunities. Compared to the results when the investors only have access to domestic markets, the investors in the U.S. and Singapore increase the portfolio weights on domestic stocks in spite of the overseas investment opportunities in the Korean markets. The investors in the U.S., Hong Kong, and Singapore short domestic bills to invest more than initial funds in risky assets with a varying degree of relative risk aversion coefficients without exception.

Optimal capital/labor ratio in R&D sector as a policy variable

  • 유평일;장영현
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 1995.09a
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    • pp.156-169
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    • 1995
  • The purpose of this paper is to investigate the role of government in innovation. That is, how much should government invest in R&D activity for social welfare enhancement. An optimal control problem is proposed to answer the above question. Because of difficulties in solving the problem, simulation utilized to find an approximate solution. All results obtained from the simulation are very similar. The investment in R&D activity increases and reaches its maximum and then decreases continuously. If the importance of technology grows the investment in R&D activity should be expanded.

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