• Title/Summary/Keyword: operating rating

Search Result 152, Processing Time 0.024 seconds

Optimization of Multiclass Support Vector Machine using Genetic Algorithm: Application to the Prediction of Corporate Credit Rating (유전자 알고리즘을 이용한 다분류 SVM의 최적화: 기업신용등급 예측에의 응용)

  • Ahn, Hyunchul
    • Information Systems Review
    • /
    • v.16 no.3
    • /
    • pp.161-177
    • /
    • 2014
  • Corporate credit rating assessment consists of complicated processes in which various factors describing a company are taken into consideration. Such assessment is known to be very expensive since domain experts should be employed to assess the ratings. As a result, the data-driven corporate credit rating prediction using statistical and artificial intelligence (AI) techniques has received considerable attention from researchers and practitioners. In particular, statistical methods such as multiple discriminant analysis (MDA) and multinomial logistic regression analysis (MLOGIT), and AI methods including case-based reasoning (CBR), artificial neural network (ANN), and multiclass support vector machine (MSVM) have been applied to corporate credit rating.2) Among them, MSVM has recently become popular because of its robustness and high prediction accuracy. In this study, we propose a novel optimized MSVM model, and appy it to corporate credit rating prediction in order to enhance the accuracy. Our model, named 'GAMSVM (Genetic Algorithm-optimized Multiclass Support Vector Machine),' is designed to simultaneously optimize the kernel parameters and the feature subset selection. Prior studies like Lorena and de Carvalho (2008), and Chatterjee (2013) show that proper kernel parameters may improve the performance of MSVMs. Also, the results from the studies such as Shieh and Yang (2008) and Chatterjee (2013) imply that appropriate feature selection may lead to higher prediction accuracy. Based on these prior studies, we propose to apply GAMSVM to corporate credit rating prediction. As a tool for optimizing the kernel parameters and the feature subset selection, we suggest genetic algorithm (GA). GA is known as an efficient and effective search method that attempts to simulate the biological evolution phenomenon. By applying genetic operations such as selection, crossover, and mutation, it is designed to gradually improve the search results. Especially, mutation operator prevents GA from falling into the local optima, thus we can find the globally optimal or near-optimal solution using it. GA has popularly been applied to search optimal parameters or feature subset selections of AI techniques including MSVM. With these reasons, we also adopt GA as an optimization tool. To empirically validate the usefulness of GAMSVM, we applied it to a real-world case of credit rating in Korea. Our application is in bond rating, which is the most frequently studied area of credit rating for specific debt issues or other financial obligations. The experimental dataset was collected from a large credit rating company in South Korea. It contained 39 financial ratios of 1,295 companies in the manufacturing industry, and their credit ratings. Using various statistical methods including the one-way ANOVA and the stepwise MDA, we selected 14 financial ratios as the candidate independent variables. The dependent variable, i.e. credit rating, was labeled as four classes: 1(A1); 2(A2); 3(A3); 4(B and C). 80 percent of total data for each class was used for training, and remaining 20 percent was used for validation. And, to overcome small sample size, we applied five-fold cross validation to our dataset. In order to examine the competitiveness of the proposed model, we also experimented several comparative models including MDA, MLOGIT, CBR, ANN and MSVM. In case of MSVM, we adopted One-Against-One (OAO) and DAGSVM (Directed Acyclic Graph SVM) approaches because they are known to be the most accurate approaches among various MSVM approaches. GAMSVM was implemented using LIBSVM-an open-source software, and Evolver 5.5-a commercial software enables GA. Other comparative models were experimented using various statistical and AI packages such as SPSS for Windows, Neuroshell, and Microsoft Excel VBA (Visual Basic for Applications). Experimental results showed that the proposed model-GAMSVM-outperformed all the competitive models. In addition, the model was found to use less independent variables, but to show higher accuracy. In our experiments, five variables such as X7 (total debt), X9 (sales per employee), X13 (years after founded), X15 (accumulated earning to total asset), and X39 (the index related to the cash flows from operating activity) were found to be the most important factors in predicting the corporate credit ratings. However, the values of the finally selected kernel parameters were found to be almost same among the data subsets. To examine whether the predictive performance of GAMSVM was significantly greater than those of other models, we used the McNemar test. As a result, we found that GAMSVM was better than MDA, MLOGIT, CBR, and ANN at the 1% significance level, and better than OAO and DAGSVM at the 5% significance level.

Development of a Workload Assessment Model for Overhead Crane Operation (천장 크레인 운전 작업부하 평가모델 개발)

  • Kwon, O-Chae;Lee, Sang-Ki;Cho, Young-Seok;Park, Jung-Chul;Jung, Ki-Hyo;You, Hee-Cheon;Han, Sung-H.
    • Journal of the Ergonomics Society of Korea
    • /
    • v.26 no.2
    • /
    • pp.45-59
    • /
    • 2007
  • The operating tasks of overhead crane have caused undue stress to the operators from physical, mental, and environmental workload. Existing workload assessment models for musculoskeletal disorders such as OWAS, RULA, and QEC have limited applicability to the crane operating tasks because they focus mainly on physical factors and do not consider the relative importance of each factor. The present study was to develop a workload assessment model customized to overhead crane operation, following a systematic process: (1) analyzing task characteristics, (2) selecting workload factors, (3) developing assessment methods, (4) establishing action levels, and (5) computerizing the assessment model. Based on literature review, worksite survey, and focus group interview, 4 physical factors (awkward posture, static posture, repetitive motion, and excessive force), 6 mental factors (visual demand, auditory demand, task complexity and difficulty, time urgency, work schedule related stress, and safety related stress), and 4 environmental factors (noise, vibration, dust, and temperature) were selected and their rating scales and relative weights were determined. Then, based on the workload assessment results of 8 overhead cranes operated at different workplaces, the action levels of each factor category were established. Finally, the crane operation assessment model was computerized for effective analysis and report preparation. The present approach is applicable to develop a customized workload assessment model for an operating task under consideration.

Power Control of the DFIG Using the Rotor Exciting Control (회전자 여자제어를 이용한 풍력발전 DFIG의 출력제어)

  • 이우석;오철수
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
    • /
    • v.13 no.3
    • /
    • pp.93-100
    • /
    • 1999
  • Wide operating range and speed control is needed for wind power generating and a Doubly Fed Induction Generator(DFlG) has good adaptivity for that purpose. Ths paper investigates speed and output stator power control using a grid connected to a DFlG in super-synchronous speed regions, by control of both magnitude and frequency of the voltage fed to the rotor. For the speed control analysis, torque simulation is perforrred whereby the different slip between qJernting rmtor driving frequency and synchronous frequency of M-G system awlied. To keep the output rating of the generator, the exciting frequency and voltage attenuation are arolied.rolied.

  • PDF

A Study on Hybrid type Grid-Connected PV Inverter using Elevator Regeneration Power (엘리베이터 회생전력을 이용한 하이브리드 태양광 연계형 인버터에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Su-Eog
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
    • /
    • v.65 no.10
    • /
    • pp.1682-1687
    • /
    • 2016
  • Approximately 520thousand elevators are operating now in Korea, about 40% ~ 60% of the elevator power is generated. In this paper, by using the method of adding regeneration power of the elevator to the grid-tied photo voltaic inverter, PV generation that was dependant on the solar radiation was significantly improved. In order to confirm this, the regeneration power of the elevator has been simulated in 12% of the rating load, and measured the regeneration power of the elevator in the actual condition to assess the differences of it. The 5[kW] hybrid grid-tied photo voltaic invertor has been fabricated to conduct an experiment for the confirmation of the proposing method. The effectiveness of the proposing method has been reassured with the result of experiment that include the transfer interface part of the regeneration power of the elevator.

A An Experimental Study for Load Capacity and Dip Characteristic in Overhead Transmission Lines (가공송전선의 부하용량과 이도 특성에 관한 실험적 연구)

  • Kim, Sung-Duck
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
    • /
    • v.24 no.12
    • /
    • pp.177-183
    • /
    • 2010
  • Overhead transmission lines in domestic area have been built by several different design standards of dip and ground clearance. This paper describes an experimental study for evaluating load capacity and dip margin in overhead transmission lines. Such design standards for selection of overhead transmission conductors, dip and ground clearance, as well as electrical equipment technical standard are discussed. Based on daily load and weather data, several characteristics such as line utilization factor, load factor, conductor temperature and dip, etc. are analyzed, and compared with the specified levels of design standards. As a result, it is verified that DLR method can be a clue of the solving of the problem, for occurring in old transmission conductors which may be rarely operating below standards.

Characteristic of SRM Drive using Multi-level Converter (멀티레벨 인버터를 이용한 SRM 운전특성)

  • Wang, Hui-Jun;Lee, Sang-Hun;Lee, Dong-Hee;Ahn, Jin-Woo
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
    • /
    • 2007.04c
    • /
    • pp.100-102
    • /
    • 2007
  • In this paper, a modified multi-level convert for low cost high speed switched reluctance (SR) drive is proposed The proposed multi-level converter has reduced number of power switches and diodes than that of a conventional asymmetric converter for SRM, and lower voltage rating of the dump capacitor comparing with energy efficient c-dump converter. It can supply five operating modes that is boosted, DC-link, zero, negative bias and negative boosted voltage. The proposed multi-level converter has fast excitation and demagnetization modes of phase current, so dynamic response can be achieved. The proposed multi-level converter is verified by computer simulation and experimental results.

  • PDF

A Comparative Study on Methods of Jury Test used for Sound Preferences (소리 선호도 조사에 사용하는 청음평가법의 비교 연구)

  • Jo, Hyeonho;Seong, Wonchan;Kim, Seonghyeon;Park, Dongchul;Kang, Yeonjune
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
    • /
    • 2014.04a
    • /
    • pp.165-170
    • /
    • 2014
  • Quantifying the perception of human is of great interest for the optimal characterization of the interaction of persons with their environment. The direct approach to such measurements is based on jury-test methods. In this study we considered which jury-test method is more efficient and exact way to measure the preferences for operating sound of car. Moreover we needed to research selection criteria of jury-test methods in accordance with the properties of sound samples. We choose two sample sounds; door locks which generate simple impact sounds and window lifts which are consisted of long and complex sound. For each sound sample we conducted two jury-test methods respectively and discussed about the results.

  • PDF

Optimal Design of Power Loss for 3 Phase Voltage Source Inverter by using Thermal Management (써멀 메니지먼트(Thermal Management)에 의한 3상 전압형 인버터의 전력손실 최적화 설계)

  • Cho, S.E.;Park, S.J.
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
    • /
    • v.56 no.10
    • /
    • pp.1757-1762
    • /
    • 2007
  • Recently, the demand for the low cost power conversion equipment is rapidly increased. To develop this three phase voltage source inverter, optimum power conversion equipment to system is designed. The optimum operation method to minimize the power loss also satisfy the life time of the power electronics that is request in the present industry. In this paper, the efficient operating method to change of the acceleration, jerk, and switching frequency in the interval of acceleration is selected to optimize the power loss and life time of the power electronics by using the elevator model. So, we proposed the method that 50[A] rating power electronics is adopted in 9[kW] load.

Outage and Voltage Unbalance Generator for the Test of Flywheel Energy Storage UPS (플라이휠 저장에너지 UPS의 성능 시험을 위한 순간정전 및 전압불평형 발생기)

  • Kim J. W.;Lee K. S.;Byeon W. Y.;Nho E. C.;Kim I. D.;Chun T. W.;Kim H. G.
    • Proceedings of the KIPE Conference
    • /
    • 2004.07b
    • /
    • pp.570-574
    • /
    • 2004
  • This paper deals with a novel 3-phase power quality disturbance generator. The proposed generator can be applied to the performance that of custom power devices. Voltage sag, swell, outage unbalance and phase shift are provided by the generator. The control scheme for the disturbance generation is simple, and hardware setup is cost effective compared with conventional scheme. The operating principle of the generator is described and the usefulness verified through simulation with 10kVA power rating.

  • PDF

Safety Management System of Railway Logistics Based on Risk Analysis (리스크분석에 의한 철도물류 운영기관의 안전경영시스템에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Ik-Seong
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
    • /
    • v.10 no.1
    • /
    • pp.73-91
    • /
    • 2010
  • All activities relate to railway traffic involve risk and that these arise from a combination of the nature of operating activities. Proper management system is required to provide the organizational capability to reveal, analyse and address these weaknesses over time and in reasonably practicable ways, which will determine the rate at which risks can be further reduced. This paper presents a systematic risk analysis approach to safety planning and decision making, informed by a range of risk assessment techniques. An railway organization's safety management system is also presented that shows the approaches taken to minimize the external risks, and identify the shared risks and explain how they will be controlled through collaboration with others.