• Title/Summary/Keyword: numeric prediction

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Development of Traction and Field Performance Model of Two-Wheel Tractor (보행용(步行用) 트랙터의 율인성능(率引性能) 모형(模型)과 분석(分析) 프로그램의 개발)

  • Rhee, Joong Yong;Chung, Chang Joo
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.19-26
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    • 1984
  • This study intended to develop the prediction models of the traction and field performance of two-wheel tractors by using the principles which were applied for predicting those of the four-wheel tractors. The traction model developed in this study consists of the net traction coefficient, rolling resistance coefficient and traction efficiency, Which are expressed as functions of both wheel numeric and slip. A computer program on the field performance of two-wheel tractors is also developed to predict the drawbar horsepower, traction force, traction efficiency, rotational speed of engine and engine horsepower if the characteristics of the engine performance and operational condition of the two-wheel tractor are known. Based on the developed models, the conditions of basic variables to maximize the field performance were analyzed so as to assess the existing two-wheel tractor.

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Online Document Mining Approach to Predicting Crowdfunding Success (온라인 문서 마이닝 접근법을 활용한 크라우드펀딩의 성공여부 예측 방법)

  • Nam, Suhyeon;Jin, Yoonsun;Kwon, Ohbyung
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.45-66
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    • 2018
  • Crowdfunding has become more popular than angel funding for fundraising by venture companies. Identification of success factors may be useful for fundraisers and investors to make decisions related to crowdfunding projects and predict a priori whether they will be successful or not. Recent studies have suggested several numeric factors, such as project goals and the number of associated SNS, studying how these affect the success of crowdfunding campaigns. However, prediction of the success of crowdfunding campaigns via non-numeric and unstructured data is not yet possible, especially through analysis of structural characteristics of documents introducing projects in need of funding. Analysis of these documents is promising because they are open and inexpensive to obtain. We propose a novel method to predict the success of a crowdfunding project based on the introductory text. To test the performance of the proposed method, in our study, texts related to 1,980 actual crowdfunding projects were collected and empirically analyzed. From the text data set, the following details about the projects were collected: category, number of replies, funding goal, fundraising method, reward, number of SNS followers, number of images and videos, and miscellaneous numeric data. These factors were identified as significant input features to be used in classification algorithms. The results suggest that the proposed method outperforms other recently proposed, non-text-based methods in terms of accuracy, F-score, and elapsed time.

A study of the genomic estimated breeding value and accuracy using genotypes in Hanwoo steer (Korean cattle)

  • Eun Ho, Kim;Du Won, Sun;Ho Chan, Kang;Ji Yeong, Kim;Cheol Hyun, Myung;Doo Ho, Lee;Seung Hwan, Lee;Hyun Tae, Lim
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.48 no.4
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    • pp.681-691
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    • 2021
  • The estimated breeding value (EBV) and accuracy of Hanwoo steer (Korean cattle) is an indicator that can predict the slaughter time in the future and carcass performance outcomes. Recently, studies using pedigrees and genotypes are being actively conducted to improve the accuracy of the EBV. In this study, the pedigree and genotype of 46 steers obtained from livestock farm A in Gyeongnam were used for a pedigree best linear unbiased prediction (PBLUP) and a genomic best linear unbiased prediction (GBLUP) to estimate and analyze the breeding value and accuracy of the carcass weight (CWT), eye muscle area (EMA), back-fat thickness (BFT), and marbling score (MS). PBLUP estimated the EBV and accuracy by constructing a numeric relationship matrix (NRM) from the 46 steers and reference population I (545,483 heads) with the pedigree and phenotype. GBLUP estimated genomic EBV (GEBV) and accuracy by constructing a genomic relationship matrix (GRM) from the 46 steers and reference population II (16,972 heads) with the genotype and phenotype. As a result, in the order of CWT, EMA, BFT, and MS, the accuracy levels of PBLUP were 0.531, 0.519, 0.524 and 0.530, while the accuracy outcomes of GBLUP were 0.799, 0.779, 0.768, and 0.810. The accuracy estimated by GBLUP was 50.1 - 53.1% higher than that estimated by PBLUP. GEBV estimated with the genotype is expected to show higher accuracy than the EBV calculated using only the pedigree and is thus expected to be used as basic data for genomic selection in the future.

An App-based Evolving Medical Nomogram Service System (앱기반 진화 의료 노모그램 서비스 시스템)

  • Lee, Keon-Myung;Hwang, Kyoung-Soon;Kim, Wun-Jae
    • Journal of Korea Entertainment Industry Association
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.72-76
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    • 2010
  • Clinical nomogram is a graphical representation of numeric formula, constructed from clinical cases database of followed patients' treatment, which is used for medical predication. For a clinical nomogram to contribute patient care, it is required to accumulate as many as clinical cases and to extract medical prediction knowledge. It needs to be equipped with an effective method to build medical nomogram with high predication accuracy. It is desirable for medical nomogram to be accessible at patient care point. This paper proposes a medical nomogram service system architecture which takes into account the above-mentioned issues. The proposed system architecture includes a web-based database subsystem to maintain and keep track of clinical cases. On the periodic basis, a new clinical nomogram is reconstructed for the updated clinical database. For the convenient use of patient care practice environment, an app-based program is provided which makes prediction based on the most recent clinical nomogram constructed in the service system. The proposed method has been applied to a clinical nomogram service system development for recurrence and survival prediction in bladder cancer patients.

Stock prediction using combination of BERT sentiment Analysis and Macro economy index

  • Jang, Euna;Choi, HoeRyeon;Lee, HongChul
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.47-56
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    • 2020
  • The stock index is used not only as an economic indicator for a country, but also as an indicator for investment judgment, which is why research into predicting the stock index is ongoing. The task of predicting the stock price index involves technical, basic, and psychological factors, and it is also necessary to consider complex factors for prediction accuracy. Therefore, it is necessary to study the model for predicting the stock price index by selecting and reflecting technical and auxiliary factors that affect the fluctuation of the stock price according to the stock price. Most of the existing studies related to this are forecasting studies that use news information or macroeconomic indicators that create market fluctuations, or reflect only a few combinations of indicators. In this paper, this we propose to present an effective combination of the news information sentiment analysis and various macroeconomic indicators in order to predict the US Dow Jones Index. After Crawling more than 93,000 business news from the New York Times for two years, the sentiment results analyzed using the latest natural language processing techniques BERT and NLTK, along with five macroeconomic indicators, gold prices, oil prices, and five foreign exchange rates affecting the US economy Combination was applied to the prediction algorithm LSTM, which is known to be the most suitable for combining numeric and text information. As a result of experimenting with various combinations, the combination of DJI, NLTK, BERT, OIL, GOLD, and EURUSD in the DJI index prediction yielded the smallest MSE value.

The Study for Improvement of Data-Quality of Cut-Slope Management System Using Machine Learning (기계학습을 활용한 도로비탈면관리시스템 데이터 품질강화에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Se-Hyeok;Kim, Seung-Hyun;Woo, Yonghoon;Moon, Jae-Pil;Yang, Inchul
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.31-42
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    • 2021
  • Database of Cut-slope management system (CSMS) has been constructed based on investigations of all slopes on the roads of the whole country. The investigation data is documented by human, so it is inevitable to avoid human-error such as missing-data and incorrect entering data into computer. The goal of this paper is constructing a prediction model based on several machine-learning algorithms to solve those imperfection problems of the CSMS data. First of all, the character-type data in CSMS data must be transformed to numeric data. After then, two algorithms, i.g., multinomial logistic regression and deep-neural-network (DNN), are performed, and those prediction models from two algorithms are compared. Finally, it is identified that the accuracy of DNN-model is better than logistic model, and the DNN-model will be utilized to improve data-quality.

A Study on the Recommendation Algorithm based on Trust/Distrust Relationship Network Analysis (사용자 간 신뢰·불신 관계 네트워크 분석 기반 추천 알고리즘에 관한 연구)

  • Noh, Heeryong;Ahn, Hyunchul
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.169-185
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    • 2017
  • This study proposes a novel recommendation algorithm that reflects the results from trust/distrust network analysis as a solution to enhance prediction accuracy of recommender systems. The recommendation algorithm of our study is based on memory-based collaborative filtering (CF), which is the most popular recommendation algorithm. But, unlike conventional CF, our proposed algorithm considers not only the correlation of the rating patterns between users, but also the results from trust/distrust relationship network analysis (e.g. who are the most trusted/distrusted users?, whom are the target user trust or distrust?) when calculating the similarity between users. To validate the performance of the proposed algorithm, we applied it to a real-world dataset that contained the trust/distrust relationships among users as well as their numeric ratings on movies. As a result, we found that the proposed algorithm outperformed the conventional CF with statistical significance. Also, we found that distrust relationship was more important than trust relationship in measuring similarities between users. This implies that we need to be more careful about negative relationship rather than positive one when tracking and managing social relationships among users.

UAS Automatic Control Parameter Tuning System using Machine Learning Module (기계학습 알고리즘을 이용한 UAS 제어계수 실시간 자동 조정 시스템)

  • Moon, Mi-Sun;Song, Kang;Song, Dong-Ho
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.874-881
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    • 2010
  • A automatic flight control system(AFCS) of UAS needs to control its flight path along target path exactly as adjusts flight coefficient itself depending on static or dynamic changes of airplane's features such as type, size or weight. In this paper, we propose system which tunes control gain autonomously depending on change of airplane's feature in flight as adding MLM(Machine Learning Module) on AFCS. MLM is designed with Linear Regression algorithm and Reinforcement Learning and it includes EvM(Evaluation Module) which evaluates learned control gain from MLM and verified system. This system is tested on beaver FDC simulator and we present its analysed result.

A Multi-Stage Convolution Machine with Scaling and Dilation for Human Pose Estimation

  • Nie, Yali;Lee, Jaehwan;Yoon, Sook;Park, Dong Sun
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.3182-3198
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    • 2019
  • Vision-based Human Pose Estimation has been considered as one of challenging research subjects due to problems including confounding background clutter, diversity of human appearances and illumination changes in scenes. To tackle these problems, we propose to use a new multi-stage convolution machine for estimating human pose. To provide better heatmap prediction of body joints, the proposed machine repeatedly produces multiple predictions according to stages with receptive field large enough for learning the long-range spatial relationship. And stages are composed of various modules according to their strategic purposes. Pyramid stacking module and dilation module are used to handle problem of human pose at multiple scales. Their multi-scale information from different receptive fields are fused with concatenation, which can catch more contextual information from different features. And spatial and channel information of a given input are converted to gating factors by squeezing the feature maps to a single numeric value based on its importance in order to give each of the network channels different weights. Compared with other ConvNet-based architectures, we demonstrated that our proposed architecture achieved higher accuracy on experiments using standard benchmarks of LSP and MPII pose datasets.

A Development of 3-D Numeric Model for the Confined Flow and Discharge under Sea Ground (해저 지중 피압유체의 흐름과 양수량 산출에 관한 3차원 수치모형의 개발)

  • Kim, Sang-Jun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.387-396
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    • 2010
  • A 3-D numeric model for the confined transient flow under sea ground have been developed. This is FDM model using Gauss-Seidel SOR (successive over-relaxation). This model shows the similar head distribution pattern to Theis analytic solution and MODFLOW simulation. The input flowrate to the aquifer and discharge of well have been compared. And it have been found that mass balance is influenced by the weight factor ${\alpha}$, i.e. fullyimplicit method (${\alpha}$=1) shows 5% error, but when ${\alpha}$ becomes to 0.5(Crank and Nicolson method) the mass balance becomes worse and the model result diverges. And the convergency of the model is not much different when $\lambda$ (over-relaxation factor)=0.8~1.5, but when $\lambda$>1.5, the model result diverges. The test-run shows that the well discharge becomes smaller when another well is near. This model can cover the isotropy$(Kx{\neq}Ky{\neq}Kz)$ and inhomogeneity, and can be used for the selection of well site, discharge calculation, and head prediction in case of the artificial recharge etc.