• 제목/요약/키워드: nuclear disaster

검색결과 167건 처리시간 0.025초

Optimal Bayesian MCMC based fire brigade non-suppression probability model considering uncertainty of parameters

  • Kim, Sunghyun;Lee, Sungsu
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제54권8호
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    • pp.2941-2959
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    • 2022
  • The fire brigade non-suppression probability model is a major factor that should be considered in evaluating fire-induced risk through fire probabilistic risk assessment (PRA), and also uncertainty is a critical consideration in support of risk-informed performance-based (RIPB) fire protection decision-making. This study developed an optimal integrated probabilistic fire brigade non-suppression model considering uncertainty of parameters based on the Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach on electrical fire which is one of the most risk significant contributors. The result shows that the log-normal probability model with a location parameter (µ) of 2.063 and a scale parameter (σ) of 1.879 is best fitting to the actual fire experience data. It gives optimal model adequacy performance with Bayesian information criterion (BIC) of -1601.766, residual sum of squares (RSS) of 2.51E-04, and mean squared error (MSE) of 2.08E-06. This optimal log-normal model shows the better performance of the model adequacy than the exponential probability model suggested in the current fire PRA methodology, with a decrease of 17.3% in BIC, 85.3% in RSS, and 85.3% in MSE. The outcomes of this study are expected to contribute to the improvement and securement of fire PRA realism in the support of decision-making for RIPB fire protection programs.

저선량과 고선량 측정구간 변환이 가능한 모바일 방사선 측정시스템 개발 및 평가 (Development and Evaluation of a Mobile Environmental Radiation Measurement System That Can Switch between Low and High Dose Measurement Sections)

  • 이홍연;한상준;김보길;이건주;김석현;김정훈
    • 대한방사선기술학회지:방사선기술과학
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    • 제45권1호
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    • pp.49-55
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    • 2022
  • This study is to develop a mobile type environmental radiation measurement system for emergency response or environmental radiation monitoring of local governments near nuclear facilities. A mobile radiation measurement system can monitor radiation by field beyond the spatial constraints of a fixed environmental radiation monitor. If installed in local government infrastructure such as public transportation, environmental radiation can be monitored without additional manpower and measurement work. In addition, it is designed to enable monitoring and measurement of radiation from low to high doses as well as the environment in preparation for radioactive disasters such as nuclear power plant accidents. It is expected that this system will be utilized not only in normal times but also in the event of a radiation accident to improve the disaster prevention capabilities of local governments.

Evaluation by thickness of a linear accelerator target at 6-20 MeV electron beam in MCNP6

  • Dong-Hee Han ;Kyung-Hwan Jung;Jang-Oh Kim ;Da-Eun Kwon ;Ki-Yoon Lee;Chang-Ho Lee
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제55권6호
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    • pp.1994-1998
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    • 2023
  • This study quantitatively evaluated the source term of a linear accelerator according to target thickness for a 6-20 MeV electron beam using MCNP6. The elements of the target were tungsten and copper, and a composite target and single target were simulated by setting different thickness parameters depending on energy. The accumulation of energy generated through interaction with the collided target was evaluated at 0.1-mm intervals, and F6 tally was used. The results indicated that less than 3% reference error was maintained according to the MCNP recommendations. At 6, 8, 10, 15, 18, and 20 MeV, the energy accumulation peaks identified for each target were 0.3 mm in tungsten, 1.3 mm in copper, 1.5 mm in copper, 0.5 mm in tungsten, 0.5 mm in tungsten, and 0.5 mm in tungsten. For 8 and 10 MeV in a single target consisting only of copper, the movement of electrons was confirmed at the end of the target, and the proportion of escaped electrons was 0.00011% and 0.00181%, respectively.

원전 중대사고 연계 소외결말해석 전산체계에 대한 고찰 (Study on the Code System for the Off-Site Consequences Assessment of Severe Nuclear Accident)

  • 김소라;민병일;박기현;양병모;서경석
    • 방사성폐기물학회지
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.423-434
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    • 2016
  • 인접 국가인 일본의 후쿠시마 원전에서 극한 자연재해로 인한 중대사고가 발생하면서, 국내에서 중대사고 및 확률론적 안전성 평가 (PSA, Probabilistic Safety Assessment)에 대한 중요성이 재인식되었다. 국내에서는 원전의 소외결말을 평가하는 3단계 PSA에 대한 연구개발이 최근까지 거의 이루어지지 않았다. 본 논문에서는 국외 3단계 PSA 전산코드 중, 미국의 MACCS2 (MELCORE Accident Consequence Code System 2), 유럽의 COSYMA (COde SYstem from Maria) 그리고 일본의 OSCAAR (Off-Site Consequence Analysis code for Atmospheric Releases in reactor accidents)에 대한 간략한 분석과 미국의 MACCS2에 대한 단점 및 한계점 분석을 수행하였다. 국내 외 전문가들에 의해 공통적으로 지적되어 온 MACCS2의 한계점은 다수호기사고와 사용후핵연료 저장조로부터의 방출 모사의 불가능, 그리고 대기확산모델을 단순 가우시안 플륨모델을 기본으로 한다는 것이며, 이중 일부는 MACCS2업데이트 버전을 통해 개선되어 왔다. Food chain 모델의 모사의 제한, 해양 및 수계 확산모델의 부재, 제한된 범위의 경제영향평가 등 또한 개선되어야 할 사항이다. 기술보고의 결과는 국내 3단계 PSA 관련 기술 개발을 위한 기초자료로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

안전도시 모델의 평가지표에 관한 연구 (A Study on Evaluation Parameters of Safety City Models)

  • 이준학;여옥경
    • 한국방재안전학회논문집
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2023
  • 코로나 19 이후 도시 안전에 대한 관심이 높아지면서, 여러 기관에서 도시의 안전성을 평가하는 지표가 개발되어 활용되고 있다. 용산구는 2021년 사회안전지수 평가에서 1위로 선정되어 한국에서 가장 안전한 도시로 선정되었으나, 2022년 이태원 참사로 인해, 많은 인명 피해가 발생하기도 하였다. 이것은 도시의 안전을 평가하는 지표가 담지 못하는 영역이 있으며, 이에 대한 연구가 필요함을 의미한다. 본 연구의 목적은 국내·외 안전도시 모델을 살펴보고 이를 통해 각 모델의 차이점과 안전도시를 평가할 때 사용되는 지표를 검토하기 위한 것이다. 본 연구에서 11개 안전도시 모델을 수집하고 각 평가지표를 분석한 결과, 안전도시 모델은 세계보건기구의 국제 안전도시와 유엔재해경감기구의 국제안전도시와 같이 기관에서 인증을 하는 "프로그램 기반의 안전도시 모델"과, 기관별 안전 관련 평가지표의 점수에 의해서 안전도시 순위 및 등급이 결정되는 "점수기반의 안전도시 모델"로 분류할 수 있으며, 안전한 도시가 되기 위해서는 이 두 가지 모델이 상호 보완적으로 활용될 때 도시 안전을 위협하는 제반 요소를 전방위적으로 대응할 수 있음을 알 수 있었다. 안전에 대한 위협이 다양해짐을 고려해볼 때 안전도시를 평가할 때 디지털 보안, 보건 안전, 인프라 안전, 개인 안전, 환경 안전, 교통 안전, 화재 안전, 범죄 안전, 생활안전, 자살, 감염병 등을 종합적으로 고려하는 것이 타당하는 결론을 얻었다.

재해에 대한 철도시설물 방재기술 체계에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Classification Scheme of Technologies for Disaster Prevention of Railroad Structures)

  • 박영곤;윤희택;신민호
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국철도학회 2011년도 정기총회 및 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.2902-2909
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    • 2011
  • Regional torrential rains in summer this year due to abnormal climate changes compared to last year, have been frequent. Since Typhoon Rusa and Typhoon Maemi resulted in major damage to railroad facilities in 2002 and 2003 consecutively, problems with abnormal climate changes became a global problem including railroad and floods and droughts around the globe, heavy snow and winter warming have been repeated until now. Serious problem of radiation leakage in Fukushima nuclear power plant by the Tsunami due to 9.0-scale earthquake, this year in March, in northeastern Japan happened, and has given an impact on the life of Japanese citizens and industries and has also influenced on Korean. This shows how important to secure and to protect major national facilities including railroad structures to natural disasters such as earthquake. Therefore, we will briefly discuss about technologies for securing and protecting railroad structures to earthquakes, floods and other natural disasters.

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Social Journalism in the Inter-media Society: Results from the Social Survey on the Great East Japan Earthquake and the Fukushima Nuclear Power Plant Disaster

  • Endo, Kaoru
    • Journal of Contemporary Eastern Asia
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.5-17
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    • 2013
  • This paper discusses the future of journalism, including social-media use. The findings within this paper are based on the results of the "Social Survey on Social Media Use in the Great East Japan Earthquake." The author conducted this Internet-based survey in June 2012, and the results discussed herein are based on a sample size of 1,000 persons. The main findings suggest that social-media use during and immediately following the March 11, 2011 earthquake in Japan has been developing in a mutually complementary manner with traditional media.

스토리뷰잉을 적용한 발전소 안전교육 콘텐츠 (A Study on Contents for Safety education of The Power Plant applied to the Story-viewing)

  • 민설희;최성욱;송인헌;박영제
    • 한국콘텐츠학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국콘텐츠학회 2015년도 춘계 종합학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.439-440
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    • 2015
  • There has been a big need of Safety Education for the power plants with a high risk due to the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear disaster and the tragic accident of Sewol Ferry. The object of this research is for studying ways of developing contents for customized Power Plants Safety Education applied with 'Story Viewing' technology in order to improve the present format of Power Plant Safety Education based on hard copied documents so as to prevent human mistakes because of lack of system and ability of initial response which come from safety frigidity shown in the case of Sewol Accident. 'Story-viewing' applied to Power Plant Safety Education is the methodology to enhance information communicability utilizing IT/Visualization technology combined with Story Telling that is an effective propagation way.

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대규모 지진해일로 인한 침수 및 배수 시스템 프레임워크에 대한 연구 (Flooding and recovery system framework for Tsunami)

  • Lee, Sun Kee
    • 시스템엔지니어링학술지
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.47-55
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    • 2012
  • Tsunami disaster, which ruined Japan Fukushima nuclear power plant sites in 2011 March, has raised not only the perception of that Tsunami and/or large scale flooding possibly surpass the design baselines for industry facilities and plants, but also the necessity to establish recovery system against flooding. This study suggests the framework for flooding and drainage system in compliance with flooding and drainage concept to define and identify requirements, functions, and components of the system with traceable relations. The framework with combination to CMMI engineering process is the base of corresponding high level system design.

지구환경문제, 개발과 보전의 갈등 (Global Environmental Problem, The conflict between Development and Preservation)

  • 이강건
    • 기술사
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    • 제37권6호
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 2004
  • Human being have destroyed environment through rapid industrialization, so that the world is increasingly faced with golbal environmental problem such as destruction of ozone layer, global warming., acid rain, decertification and we are heading toward impending disaster of the earth. Especially, recent environmental pollution of China from rapid economic development threatens neighboring Korea and Japan. Regional development are necessary for promotion of national prosperity, but theses regional developments must have brought about environmental and preservation. Actually there are so many conflict cases; Saemankum reclamation project, construction of nuclear waste storage facility, dam construction of China etc. Here, harmony and balance between development and preservation are needed to solve these great crux. Under theses condition, the concept of ESSD(Environmentally Sound and Sustainable Development) emerged as a global issue. And staring point to solve present environmental problems is to perceive the truth that we have inherited only one earth and hence owe a debt to preserve its environment for the benefit of the future generations.

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