• Ocean and Polar Research
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• v.23 no.2
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• pp.195-203
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• 2001

A fine-grid (3 km ${\times}$ 3 km), three-dimensional nowcast system of sea levels, currents, temperature, and salinity is being developed for the Taiwan Strait. The project takes a balanced approach relying equally on models and observations, will have the capacity of real-time data assimilation, and is aimed at both practical and scientific applications. To determine boundary conditions and verify model results, eight coastal tide-gauge stations were first established along both sides of the strait. Strait-wide hydrographic surveys were conducted by research vessels. Currents are being measured using bottom-mounted ADCP moorings in a meridional deep channel off southwest Taiwan and along a traverse section in the central part of the strait. In addition to a fine-resolution three-dimensional model of the Taiwan Strait, an adjoint model and a larger-domain two-dimensional model were used to better determine boundary conditions in the northern and southern boundaries of the strait. In the first stage of model development, barotropic tides were successfully simulated in a hindcast mode. The protocol product has been released to general public, including government agencies, universities and general users.

• The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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• v.29 no.2
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• pp.59.1-59.1
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• 2004

• The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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• v.36 no.2
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• pp.101.2-101.2
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• 2011

We have developed solar and space weather monitoring system for space weather users since 2007 as a project named 'Construction of Korea Space Weather Prediction Center'. In this presentation we will introduce space weather monitoring system for Geostationary Satellites and Polar Routes. These were developed for satisfying demands of space weather user groups. 'Space Weather Monitoring System for Geostationary Satellites' displays integrated space weather information on geostationary orbit such as magnetopause location, nowcast and forecast of space weather, cosmic ray count rate, number of meteors and x-ray solar flux. This system is developed for space weather customers who are managing satellite systems or using satellite information. In addition, this system provides space weather warning by SMS in which short message is delivered to users' cell phones when space weather parameters reach a critical value. 'Space Weather Monitoring System for Polar Routes' was developed for the commercial airline companies operating polar routes. This provides D-region and polar cap absorption map, aurora and radiation particle distribution, nowcast and forecast of space weather, proton flux, Kp index and so on.

• Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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• v.25 no.2
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• pp.167-174
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• 2009

The AIRWARE System was developed from one of the EUREKA PROJECT E!3266-EUROENVIRON WEBAIR System. The AIRWARE can nowcast and forecast the air quality of Seoul and Gyeonggi-do regions. To nowcast and forecast concentration of pollutants, MM5, AERMOD/CAMx, and SMOKE Models were used for each meteorologic data, measured data, and emission data. All DB were constructed for 2001 year. The episode analysis and time series analysis were accomplished to analyze the AIRWARE reliability. The simulated results were very well agreed with measured result for measured pollutants and meteorological data. The developed AIRWARE system can analyze with real-time, support web-based air quality information. This information can used with policy data to manage the air quality and prepare reduction plan in air impact assessment or air environmental plan.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.53 no.3
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• pp.225-236
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• 2020

It is not easy to provide sufficient lead time for flood forecast in urban and small mountain basins using on-ground rain gauges, because the time concentration in those basins is too short. In urban and small mountain basins with a short lag-time between precipitation and following flood events, it is more important to secure forecast lead times by predicting rainfall amounts. The Han River Flood Control Office (HRFCO) in South Korea produces short-term rainfall forecasts using the Mcgill Algorithm for Precipitation-nowcast by Lagrangian Extrapolation (MAPLE) algorithm that converts radar reflectance of rainfall events. The Flash Flood Research Center (FFRC) in the Korea Institute of Civil Engineering and Building Technology (KICT) installed a flash flood forecasting system using the short-term rainfall forecast data produced by the HRFCO and has provided flash flood information in a local lvel with 1-hour lead time since 2019. In this study, we addressed the flash flood forecasting system based on the radar rainfall and the assessed the accuracy of the forecasting system for the recorded flood events occurred in 2019. A total of 31 flood disaster cases were used to evaluate the accuracy and the forecast accuracy was 90.3% based on the probability of detection.

• Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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• v.21 no.4
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• pp.441-452
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• 2004

Nowcast and forecast based on realtime data are quite essential for space weather monitoring. We have developed the web pages (http://sun.kao.re.kr) of the KAO Space Weather Monitoring system by using ION (IDL on the Net). They display latest solar and geomagnetic data, and present their expected effects on satellite, communications and ground power system. In addition, daily NOAA/SEC prediction reports on the probability of solar X-ray flares, proton events and geomagnetic storms are provided. To predict the arrival times of interplanetary shocks and CMEs, two different types of prediction models are also implemented. A work is in progress to develop web-based database of several solar and geomagnetic activities. These data are automatically downloaded to our data server in every minute, or every day using IDL and FTP programs. In this paper, we will introduce more details on the development of the KAO Space Weather Monitoring system.

• Ocean and Polar Research
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• v.23 no.2
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• pp.189-194
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• 2001

A practical algorithm for prediction of the sea surface temperatures (SST)from the satellite remote sensing data is presented in this paper. The fluctuations of SST consist of deterministic normals and stochastic anomalies. Due to large thermal inertia of sea water, the SST anomalies can be modelled by autoregressive or Markov process, and its near future values can be predicted provided the recent values of SST are available. The actual SST is predicted by superposing the pre-known SST normals and the predicted SST anomalies. We applied this prediction algorithm to the NOAA AVHRR weekly SST data for 18 years (1981-1998) in the seas adjacent to Korea (115-$145^{\circ}E$, 20-$55^{\circ}N$). The algorithm is applicable not only for prediction of SST in near future but also for nowcast of SST in the cloud covered regions.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2021.06a
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• pp.350-350
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• 2021

한국건설기술연구원의 돌발홍수연구센터는 돌발홍수예측 시스템을 구축하여 2019년부터 전국에서의 돌발홍수정보를 제공하고 있다. 2019년에는 초단기 예측 모델인 Macgill Algorithm for Precipitation-nowcast by Lagrangian Extrapolation(MAPLE) 알고리즘으로부터 생산된 초단기 예측 강우를 활용하여 동(읍/면) 단위로 1시간 선행 예보를 제공하였다. 2020년에는 추가로 초단기 예측 강우와 수치예보 자료를 병합한 예측 병합 강우 자료를 생산하여 예측 선행시간을 1시간에서 3시간까지 확장하였다. 돌발홍수예측 시스템의 목표는 도시 및 산지소하천에서의 돌발홍수에 대응하기 위한 정보를 실시간으로 사용자에게 제공하여 수재해에 빠르게 대응하는 것이다. 이에 돌발홍수예측 시스템은 2019년부터 실시간으로 운영하여 홍수기에 보다 빠른 돌발홍수정보를 제공해왔다. 본 연구에서는 2020년 우기에 운영된 돌발홍수시스템에 대한 평가를 수행하였다. 이를 위해 부산(07.23), 대전(07.29), 서울(08.01), 경기-충북(08.02)에서 발생한 수재해 사례를 분석하였다.

• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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• v.23 no.3
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• pp.155-175
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• 2017

As social data become into the spotlight, mainstream web search engines provide data indicate how many people searched specific keyword: Web Search Traffic data. Web search traffic information is collection of each crowd that search for specific keyword. In a various area, web search traffic can be used as one of useful variables that represent the attention of common users on specific interests. A lot of studies uses web search traffic data to nowcast or forecast social phenomenon such as epidemic prediction, consumer pattern analysis, product life cycle, financial invest modeling and so on. Also web search traffic data have begun to be applied to predict tourist inbound. Proper demand prediction is needed because tourism is high value-added industry as increasing employment and foreign exchange. Among those tourists, especially Chinese tourists: Youke is continuously growing nowadays, Youke has been largest tourist inbound of Korea tourism for many years and tourism profits per one Youke as well. It is important that research into proper demand prediction approaches of Youke in both public and private sector. Accurate tourism demands prediction is important to efficient decision making in a limited resource. This study suggests improved model that reflects latest issue of society by presented the attention from group of individual. Trip abroad is generally high-involvement activity so that potential tourists likely deep into searching for information about their own trip. Web search traffic data presents tourists' attention in the process of preparation their journey instantaneous and dynamic way. So that this study attempted select key words that potential Chinese tourists likely searched out internet. Baidu-Chinese biggest web search engine that share over 80%- provides users with accessing to web search traffic data. Qualitative interview with potential tourists helps us to understand the information search behavior before a trip and identify the keywords for this study. Selected key words of web search traffic are categorized by how much directly related to "Korean Tourism" in a three levels. Classifying categories helps to find out which keyword can explain Youke inbound demands from close one to far one as distance of category. Web search traffic data of each key words gathered by web crawler developed to crawling web search data onto Baidu Index. Using automatically gathered variable data, linear model is designed by multiple regression analysis for suitable for operational application of decision and policy making because of easiness to explanation about variables' effective relationship. After regression linear models have composed, comparing with model composed traditional variables and model additional input web search traffic data variables to traditional model has conducted by significance and R squared. after comparing performance of models, final model is composed. Final regression model has improved explanation and advantage of real-time immediacy and convenience than traditional model. Furthermore, this study demonstrates system intuitively visualized to general use -Youke Mining solution has several functions of tourist decision making including embed final regression model. Youke Mining solution has algorithm based on data science and well-designed simple interface. In the end this research suggests three significant meanings on theoretical, practical and political aspects. Theoretically, Youke Mining system and the model in this research are the first step on the Youke inbound prediction using interactive and instant variable: web search traffic information represents tourists' attention while prepare their trip. Baidu web search traffic data has more than 80% of web search engine market. Practically, Baidu data could represent attention of the potential tourists who prepare their own tour as real-time. Finally, in political way, designed Chinese tourist demands prediction model based on web search traffic can be used to tourism decision making for efficient managing of resource and optimizing opportunity for successful policy.