• Title/Summary/Keyword: normal distribution fit

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Box-Cox Power Transformation Using R

  • Baek, Hoh Yoo
    • Journal of Integrative Natural Science
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.76-82
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    • 2020
  • If normality of an observed data is not a viable assumption, we can carry out normal-theory analyses by suitable transforming data. Power transformation by Box and Cox, one of the transformation methods, is derived the power which maximized the likelihood function. But it doesn't induces the closed form in mathematical analysis. In this paper, we compose some R the syntax of which is easier than other statistical packages for deriving the power with using numerical methods. Also, by using R, we show the transformed data approximately distributed the normal through Q-Q plot in univariate and bivariate cases with some examples. Finally, we present the value of a goodness-of-fit statistic(AD) and its p-value for normal distribution. In the similar procedure, this method can be extended to more than bivariate case.

Distribution Characteristics of Bending Properties for Visual Graded Lumber of Japanese Larch (육안등급으로 구분된 낙엽송 제재목의 휨성능 분포 특성)

  • Lee, Jun Jae;Kim, Gwang Chul;Kim, Kwang Mo;Oh, Jung Kwon
    • Journal of the Korean Wood Science and Technology
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.72-79
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    • 2003
  • In reliability based design(RBD) method, the distribution characteristics of mechanical properties of material are basic input variable. Therefore, distribution type and parameters of mechanical properties should be determined accurately. Until now, the properties were derived from tests with small, clear specimens. However, the test conditions should emulate as nearly as possible the way in which the timber would be used in practice and the test results should, as closely as possible, reflect the structural end use conditions to which the timber products would be subjected. In this study, structural timbers (38mm by 140mm, 3.0m long) were graded by visual assessment of growth characteristics and defects. And then bending tests were conducted on 498 structural size timbers. For each grade, the distribution type and the parameters of mechanical properties were determined for each grade. For the determination of best-fit distribution type, comparing of square error between distribution types and KS test were conducted. Best-fit distribution type of bending strength(MOR) is weibull distribution for all grade. In case of MOE, normal distribution is best-fit.

Study on the Sequential Generation of Monthly Rainfall Amounts (월강우량의 모의발생에 관한 연구)

  • 이근후;류한열
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.4232-4241
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    • 1976
  • This study was carried out to clarify the stochastic characteristics of monthly rainfalls and to select a proper model for generating the sequential monthly rainfall amounts. The results abtained are as follows: 1. Log-Normal distribution function is the best fit theoretical distribution function to the empirical distribution of monthly rainfall amounts. 2. Seasonal and random components are found to exist in the time series of monthly rainfall amounts and non-stationarity is shown from the correlograms. 3. The Monte Carlo model shows a tendency to underestimate the mean values and standard deviations of monthly rainfall amounts. 4. The 1st order Markov model reproduces means, standard deviations, and coefficient of skewness with an error of ten percent or less. 5. A correlogram derived from the data generated by 1st order Markov model shows the charaterstics of historical data exactly. 6. It is concluded that the 1st order Markov model is superior to the Monte Carlo model in their reproducing ability of stochastic properties of monthly rainfall amounts.

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Estimation and Comparative Analysis on the Distribution Functions of Air and Water Temperatures in Korean Coastal Seas (우리나라 연안의 기온과 수온 분포함수 추정 및 비교평가)

  • Cho, Hong-Yeon;Jeong, Shin-Taek
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.171-176
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    • 2016
  • The distribution shapes of air and water temperatures are basic and essential information, which determine the frequency patterns of their occurrence. It is also very useful to understand the changes in long-term air and water temperatures with respect to climate change. The typical distribution shapes of air and water temperatures cannot be well fitted using widely used/accepted normal distributions because their shapes show multimodal distributions. In this study, Gaussian mixture distributions and kernel distributions are suggested as the more suitable models to fit their distribution shapes. Based on the results, the tail shape exhibits different patterns. The tail is long in higher temperature regions of water temperature distribution and in lower temperature regions of air temperature distribution. These types of shape comparisons can be useful to identify the patterns of long-term air and water temperature changes and the relationship between air and water temperatures. It is nearly impossible to identify change patterns using only mean-temperatures and normal distributions.

Exploiting W. Ellison model for seawater communication at gigahertz frequencies based on world ocean atlas data

  • Tahir, Muhammad;Ali, Iftikhar;Yan, Piao;Jafri, Mohsin Raza;Jiang, Zexin;Di, Xiaoqiang
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.575-584
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    • 2020
  • Electromagnetic (EM) waves used to send signals under seawater are normally restricted to low frequencies (f) because of sudden exponential increases of attenuation (𝛼) at higher f. The mathematics of EM wave propagation in seawater demonstrate dependence on relative permeability (𝜇r), relative permittivity (𝜀r), conductivity (𝜎), and f of transmission. Estimation of 𝜀r and 𝜎 based on the W. Ellison interpolation model was performed for averaged real-time data of temperature (T) and salinity (S) from 1955 to 2012 for all oceans with 41 088 latitude/longitude points and 101 depth points up to 5500 m. Estimation of parameters such as real and imaginary parts of 𝜀r, 𝜀r', 𝜀r", 𝜎, loss tangent (tan 𝛿), propagation velocity (Vp), phase constant (𝛽), and α contributes to absorption loss (La) for seawater channels carried out by using normal distribution fit in the 3 GHz-40 GHz f range. We also estimated total path loss (LPL) in seawater for given transmission power Pt and antenna (dipole) gain. MATLAB is the simulation tool used for analysis.

Efficient Inverter Type Compressor System using the Distribution of the Air Flow Rate (공기 변화량 분포를 이용한 효율적인 인버터타입 압축기 시스템)

  • Shim, JaeRyong;Kim, Yong-Chul;Noh, Young-Bin;Jung, Hoe-kyung
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.19 no.10
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    • pp.2396-2402
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    • 2015
  • Air compressor, as an essential equipment used in the factory and plant operations, accounts for around 30% of the total electricity consumption in U.S.A, thereby being proposed advanced technologies to reduce electricity consumption. When the fluctuation of the compressed airflow rate is small, the system stability is increased followed by the reduction of the electricity consumption which results in the efficient design of the energy system. In the statistical analysis, the normal distribution, log normal distribution, gamma distribution or the like are generally used to identify system characteristics. However a single distribution may not fit well the data with long tail, representing sudden air flow rate especially in extremes. In this paper, authors decouple the compressed airflow rate into two parts to present a mixture of distribution function and suggest a method to reduce the electricity consumption. This reduction stems from the fact that a general pareto distribution estimates more accurate quantile value than a gaussian distribution when an airflow rate exceeds over a large number.

Bayesian Inference for Autoregressive Models with Skewed Exponential Power Errors (비대칭 지수멱 오차를 가지는 자기회귀모형에서의 베이지안 추론)

  • Ryu, Hyunnam;Kim, Dal Ho
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.1039-1047
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    • 2014
  • An autoregressive model with normal errors is a natural model that attempts to fit time series data. More flexible models that include normal distribution as a special case are necessary because they can cover normality to non-normality models. The skewed exponential power distribution is a possible candidate for autoregressive models errors that may have tails lighter(platykurtic) or heavier(leptokurtic) than normal and skewness; in addition, the use of skewed exponential power distribution can reduce the influence of outliers and consequently increases the robustness of the analysis. We use SIR algorithm and grid method for an efficient Bayesian estimation.

Saddlepoint approximations for the risk measures of linear portfolios based on generalized hyperbolic distributions (일반화 쌍곡분포 기반 선형 포트폴리오 위험측도에 대한 안장점근사)

  • Na, Jonghwa
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.959-967
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    • 2016
  • Distributional assumptions on equity returns play a key role in valuation theories for derivative securities. Elberlein and Keller (1995) investigated the distributional form of compound returns and found that some of standard assumptions can not be justified. Instead, Generalized Hyperbolic (GH) distribution fit the empirical returns with high accuracy. Hu and Kercheval (2007) also show that the normal distribution leads to VaR (Value at Risk) estimate that significantly underestimate the realized empirical values, while the GH distributions do not. We consider saddlepoint approximations to estimate the VaR and the ES (Expected Shortfall) which frequently encountered in finance and insurance as measures of risk management. We supposed GH distributions instead of normal ones, as underlying distribution of linear portfolios. Simulation results show the saddlepoint approximations are very accurate than normal ones.

Estimating Paddy Rice Evapotranspiration of 10-Year Return Period Drought Using Frequency Analysis (빈도 분석법을 이용한 논벼의 한발 기준 10년 빈도 작물 증발산량 산정)

  • Yoo, Seung-Hwan;Choi, Jin-Yong;Jang, Min-Won
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.49 no.3
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    • pp.11-20
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    • 2007
  • Estimation of crop consumptive use is a key term of agricultural water resource systems design and operation. The 10-year return period drought has special aspects as a reference period in design process of irrigation systems in terms of agricultural water demand analysis so that crop evapotranspiration (ETc) about the return period also has to be analyzed to assist understanding of crop water requirement of paddy rice. In this study, The ETc of 10-year return period drought was computed using frequency analysis by 54 meteorological stations. To find an optimal probability distribution, 8 types of probability distribution function were tested by three the goodness of fit tests including ${\chi}^2$(Chi-Square), K-S (Kolmogorov-Smirnov) and PPCC (Probability Plot Correlation Coefficient). Optimal probability distribution function was selected the 2-parameter Log-Normal (LN2) distribution function among 8 distribution functions. Using the two selected distribution functions, the ETc of 10-year return period drought was estimated for 54 meteorological stations and compared with prior study results suggested by other researchers.

Regime Dependent Volatility Spillover Effects in Stock Markets Between Kazakhstan and Russia

  • CHUNG, Sang Kuck;ABDULLAEVA, Vasila Shukhratovna
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.8
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    • pp.297-309
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    • 2021
  • In this study, to capture the skewness and kurtosis detected in both conditional and unconditional return distributions of the stock markets of Kazakhstan and Russia, two versions of normal mixture GARCH models are employed. The data set consists of daily observations of the Kazakhstan and Russia stock prices, and world crude oil price, covering the period from 1 June 2006 through 1 March 2021. From the empirical results, incorporating the long memory effect on the returns not only provides better descriptions of dynamic behaviors of the stock market prices but also plays a significant role in improving a better understanding of the return dynamics. In addition, normal mixture models for time-varying volatility provide a better fit to the conditional densities than the usual GARCH specifications and has an important advantage that the conditional higher moments are time-varying. This implies that the volatility skews implied by normal mixture models are more likely to exhibit the features of risk and the direction of the information flow is regime-dependent. The findings of this study contain useful information for diverse purposes of cross-border stock market players such as asset allocation, portfolio management, risk management, and market regulations.