• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 1998.10a
• /
• pp.445-450
• /
• 1998

In this paper, a robust nonlinear prediction-type controller (RNPC) is developed for the continuous time nonlinear system whose control objective is composed of system output and its desired value. The basic control law of RNPC is derived such that the future response of the system is first predicted by appropriate functional expansions and the control law minimizing the difference between the predicted and desired responses is then calculated. RNPC which involves two controls, i.e., the auxiliary and robust controls into the basic control, shows the stable closed loop dynamics of nonlinear system of any relative degree and provides the robustness to the nonlinear system with parameter/modeling uncertainty. Simulation tests for the position control of a two-link rigid body manipulator confirm the performance improvement and the robustness of RNPC.

• The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers D
• /
• v.51 no.1
• /
• pp.39-42
• /
• 2002

For the purpose of modeling EEG signal which has nonstationary and nonlinear dynamic characteristics, this paper propose a state feedback real time recurrent neural network model. The state feedback real time recurrent neural network is structured to have memory structure in the state of hidden layers so that it has arbitrary dynamics and ability to deal with time-varying input through its own temporal operation. For the model test, Mackey-Glass time series is used as a nonlinear dynamic system and the model is applied to the prediction of three types of EEG, alpha wave, beta wave and epileptic EEG. Experimental results show that the performance of the proposed model is better than that of other neural network models which are compared in this paper in some view points of the converging speed in learning stage and normalized mean square error for the test data set.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
• /
• v.48 no.2
• /
• pp.151-171
• /
• 2013

The current paper presents the numerical blind prediction of nonlinear seismic response of two full-scale, three dimensional, one-story reinforced concrete structures subjected to bidirectional earthquake simulations on shaking table. Simulations were carried out at the laboratories of LNEC (Laboratorio Nacional de Engenharia Civil) in Lisbon, Portugal. The study was motivated by participation in the blind prediction contest of shaking table tests, organized by the challenge committee of the 15th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering. The test specimens, geometrically identical, designed for low and high ductility levels, were subjected to subsequent earthquake motions of increasing intensity. Three dimensional nonlinear analytical models were implemented and subjected to the input base motions. Reasonably accurate reproduction of the measured displacement response was obtained through appropriate modeling. The goodness of fit between analytical and measured results depended on the details of the analytical models.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
• /
• v.16 no.2
• /
• pp.293-303
• /
• 2003

Under the case that we know the period and the reason of external events, we reviewed the method of model identification, parameter estimation and model diagnosis with the former papers that have been studied about the linear time series model with intervention, and compared with nonlinear time series model such as ARCH, GARCH model that it has been used widely in economic models, and also we compared with the combination prediction method that Tong(1990) introduced.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
• /
• v.17 no.2
• /
• pp.219-228
• /
• 2004

In this paper we construct prediction intervals for nonlinear time series models using the bootstrap. We compare these prediction intervals to traditional asymptotic prediction intervals using quasi-score estimation function and M-quasi-score estimating function comprising bounded functions. Simulation results show that the bootstrap method leads to improved accuracy. The accuracy of the bootstrap is empirically demonstrated with the consumer price index.

• The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
• /
• v.61 no.11
• /
• pp.1682-1688
• /
• 2012

This paper introduces a GP(Genetic Programming) based robust technique for temperature compensation in short-range prediction. Development of an efficient MOS(Model Output Statistics) is necessary to correct systematic errors of the model, because forecast models do not reliably determine weather conditions. Most of MOS use a linear regression to compensate a prediction model, therefore it is hard to manage an irregular nature of prediction. In order to solve the problem, a nonlinear and symbolic regression method using GP is suggested. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the accuracy of the estimation by a GP based nonlinear MOS for 3 days temperatures in Korean regions. This method is then compared to the UM model and has shown superior results. The training period of 2007-2009 summer is used, and the data of 2010 summer is adopted for verification.

• The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
• /
• v.60 no.7
• /
• pp.1396-1403
• /
• 2011

It is not easy to analyze the strong nonlinear time series and effectively design a good prediction system especially due to the difficulties in handling the potential uncertainty included in data and prediction method. To solve this problem, a new design method for fuzzy prediction system is suggested in this paper. The proposed method contains the followings as major parts ; the first-order difference detection to extract the stable information from the nonlinear characteristics of time series, the fuzzy rule generation based on the hierarchically classifying clustering technique to reduce incorrectness of the system parameter identification, and the IT2TSK fuzzy logic system to reasonably handle the potential uncertainty of the series. In addition, the design of the multiple predictors is considered to reflect sufficiently the diverse characteristics concealed in the series. Finally, computer simulations are performed to verify the performance and the effectiveness of the proposed prediction system.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
• /
• 1999.07g
• /
• pp.2863-2865
• /
• 1999

In this paper we present the modeling of ozone prediction system using polynomial neural network. The Polynomial Neural Network is a useful tool for data learning, nonlinear function estimation and prediction of dynamic system. The mechanism of ozone concentration is highly complex, nonlinear, nonstationary. The purposed method shows that the prediction to the ozone concentration based upon a polynomial neural network gives us a good performance for ozone prediction with ability of superior data approximation.

• Clean Technology
• /
• v.18 no.3
• /
• pp.265-271
• /
• 2012

The use of renewable energies has been required to diminish the dependency on fossil fuels. As one of clean energy sources biomass has been extensively studied because various biomass resources necessitated rapid characterization of their chemical and physical properties in an on-line or real-time basis. For such an analysis near-infrared (NIR) spectroscopy has been successfully applied because of its non-invasive and informative characteristics. In this work, the applicability of nonlinear chemometric techniques based on biomass near infrared (NIR) data is evaluated for the rapid prediction of ash/char contents in different types of biomass. The prediction results of various prediction models and the effect of using preprocessing methods for NIR data are compared using six types of biomass NIR data. The results showed that nonlinear prediction models yielded better prediction performance than linear ones. It also turned out that by adopting the use of proper preprocessing methods the performance of prediction of biomass properties improved.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
• /
• v.25 no.5
• /
• pp.477-482
• /
• 2015

Linear regressions and evolutionary nonlinear regression based compensation techniques for the short-range prediction of wind speed are investigated. Development of an efficient MOS(Model Output Statistics) is necessary to correct systematic errors of the model, but a linear regression based MOS is hard to manage an irregular nature of weather prediction. In order to solve the problem, a nonlinear and symbolic regression method using GP(Genetic Programming) is suggested for a development of MOS for wind speed prediction. The proposed method is compared to various linear regression methods for prediction of wind speed. Also, statistical analysis of distribution for UM elements for each method is executed. experiments are performed for KLAPS(Korea Local Analysis and Prediction System) re-analysis data from 2007 to 2013 year for Jeju Island and Busan area in South Korea.