• Water for future
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• v.8 no.1
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• pp.80-88
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• 1975

In this paper the authors established the best fit distribution function by applying the concept of probabiaity to the annual minimum flow of nine areas along the Nakdong river basin which is one of the largest Korean rivers and calculated the probable minimum flow suitable to those distribution function. Lastly, the authors tried to establish the best method to estimate the probable minimun flow by comparing some frequency analysis methods. The results obtained are as follows (1) It was considered that the extremal distribution type III was the most suitable one in the distributional types as a result of the comparision with Exponential distribution, Log-Normal distribution, Extremal distribution type-III and so on. (2) It was found that the formula of extremal distribution type-II for the estimation of probable minimum flow gave the best result in deciding the probable minimum flow of the Nakdong river basin. Therfore, it is recommended that the probable minimum flow should be estimated by using the extremal distribution type-III method. (3) It could be understood that in the probable minimum flow the average non-excessive probability appeared to be $Po{\fallingdotseq}1-\frac{1}{2T}$ and gave the same values of the probable variable without any difference in the various methods of plotting technique.

• Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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• v.27 no.5_6
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• pp.1033-1047
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• 2009

In this paper, we consider a m-type risk model with Markov-modulated premium rate. A integral equation for the conditional ruin probability is obtained. A recursive inequality for the ruin probability with the stationary initial distribution and the upper bound for the ruin probability with no initial reserve are given. A system of Laplace transforms of non-ruin probabilities, given the initial environment state, is established from a system of integro-differential equations. In the two-state model, explicit formulas for non-ruin probabilities are obtained when the initial reserve is zero or when both claim size distributions belong to the $K_n$-family, n $\in$ $N^+$ One example is given with claim sizes that have exponential distributions.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• v.89 no.2
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• pp.103-119
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• 2024

The present research investigates the thermodynamically bending behavior of FG sandwich plates, laying on the Winkler/Pasternak/Kerr foundation with various boundary conditions, subjected to harmonic thermal load varying through thickness. The supposed FG sandwich plate has three layers with a ceramic core. The constituents' volume fractions of the lower and upper faces vary gradually in the direction of the FG sandwich plate thickness. This variation is performed according to various models: a Power law, Trigonometric, Viola-Tornabene, and the Exponential model, while the core is constantly homogeneous. The displacement field considered in the current work contains integral terms and fewer unknowns than other theories in the literature. The corresponding equations of motion are derived based on Hamilton's principle. The impact of the distribution model, scheme, aspect ratio, side-to-thickness ratio, boundary conditions, and elastic foundations on thermodynamic bending are examined in this study. The deflections obtained for the sandwich plate without elastic foundations have the lowest values for all boundary conditions. In addition, the minimum deflection values are obtained for the exponential volume fraction law model. The sandwich plate's non-dimensional deflection increases as the aspect ratio increases for all distribution models.

• KEPCO Journal on Electric Power and Energy
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• v.2 no.2
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• pp.245-251
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• 2016

Despite the exponential throughput improvement in mobile communications systems, their ability to satisfy requirements of state-of-the-art and future applications of advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) is still under investigation. Challenges are mainly due to the inadequacy of third generation partnership project (3GPP) networks to support large amounts of devices simultaneously, while the number of AMI end-devices and the frequency of their data transmission increase with new AMI-based applications. In this introductory survey, innovative and future AMI applications and their communication requirements are first reviewed. Then, we identify challenges of 3GPP long term evolution (LTE) in enabling future AMI applications. More importantly, the latest improvements to LTE-A standard release 12 and 13 are reviewed and analyzed with regards to their potential to improve the quality of LTE-enabled AMI. It is found that 3GPP enhancements on machine type communications (MTC) standards will significantly enhance AMI communications. Beyond MTC specifications, non-MTC-specific enhancements such as carrier aggregation and multi-connectivity for user equipment will also contribute greatly to improving reliability and availability of AMI devices. The paper's focus is towards improved backhaul support for innovative and future AMI applications, beyond traditional automatic meter reading.

• Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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• v.25 no.3
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• pp.96-107
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• 1997

The recent stream to reliability prediction is that it is totally inclusive in depth to consider even the operating and environmental condition at the level of finished goods as well as component itselves. In this study, firstly we present the reliability prediction methods by entire failure rate model which failure rate at the system level is added to the failure rate model at the component level. Secondly we build up the improved bases of reliability demonstration through a, pp.ication of Kaplan-Meier, Cumulative hazard, Johnson's methods as non-parametric and Maximum Likelihood Estimator under exponential & Weibull distribution as parametric. And also present the methods of curve fitting to piecewise failure rate under Weibull distribution, PRST (Probability Ratio Sequential Test), curve fitting to S-shaped reliability growth curve, computer programs of each methods. Lastly we show the practical for determination of optimal burn-in time as a method of reliability enhancement, and also verify the practical usefulness of the above study through the a, pp.ication of failure and test data during 1 year.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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• v.29 no.7
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• pp.71-79
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• 2015

This paper is on the development of computer software which can be utilized as a power system analysis tool for reliability assessment education. The input data of the developed software are so simple that even a non-expert easily understand how to use it. The software provides not only reliability indices but also their distributions, moreover, it provides the factors those effect the indices, which made the software even more useful for educational purpose. The developed software utilized Monte-carlo simulation based on the state duration sampling, therefore it can manage various probability distributions such as exponential, Weibull, gamma and lognormal distribution. Within the software, the parameters of the distribution can be decided automatically from its mean and variance, that is another advantage as an educational software.

• Journal of Distribution Science
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• v.14 no.11
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• pp.83-90
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• 2016

Purpose - During the last two years, convenient stores (CS) are emerging as one of the most fast-growing retail trades in Korea. The goal of this work is to forecast and to analyze sales at CS using ARIMA-Intervention model (IM) and exponential smoothing method (ESM), together with sales at supermarkets in South Korea. Considering that two retail trades above are homogeneous and comparable in size and purchasing items on off-line distribution channel, individual behavior and characteristic can be detected and also relative superiority of future growth can be forecasted. In particular, the rapid growth of sales at CS is regarded as an everlasting external event, or step intervention, so that IM with season variation can be examined. At the same time, Winters ESM can be investigated as an alternative to seasonal ARIMA-IM, on the assumption that the underlying series shows exponentially decreasing weights over time. In case of sales at supermarkets, the marked intervention could not be found over the underlying periods, so that only Winters ESM is considered. Research Design, Data, and Methodology - The dataset of this research is obtained from Korean Statistical Information Service (1/2010~7/2016) and Survey of Service Trend of Korea Statistics Administration. This work is exploited time series analyses such as IM, ESM and model-fitting statistics by using TSPLOT, TSMODEL, EXSMOOTH, ARIMA and MODELFIT procedures in SPSS 23.0. Results - By applying seasonal ARIMA-Intervention model to sales at CS, the steep and persisting increase can be expected over the next one year. On the other hand, we expect the rate of sales growth of supermarkets to be lagging and tied up constantly in the next 2016 year. Conclusions - Based on 2017 one-year sales forecasts for CS and supermarkets, we can yield the useful information for the development of CS and also for all retail trades. Future study is needed to analyze sales of popular items individually such as tobacco, banana milk, soju and so on and to get segmented results. Furthermore, we can expand sales forecasts to other retail trades such as department stores, hypermarkets, non-store retailing, so that comprehensive diagnostics can be delivered in the future.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• v.10 no.1
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• pp.17-32
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• 2009

The aim of this work is to generalize reliability equivalence technique to apply it to a system consists of n independent and non-identical components connected in series system, that have mixing constant failure rates. We shall improve the system by using some reliability techniques: (i) reducing some failure rates; (ii) add hot reduncy components; (iii) add cold reduncy components; (iv) add cold reduncy components with imperfect switches. We start by establishing two different types of reliability equivalence factors, the survival equivalence (SRE), and mean reliability equivalence (MRE) factors. Also, we introduced some numerical results.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• v.9 no.1
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• pp.95-112
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• 2008

This paper gives the reliability equivalence factors of a parallel system with n independent and non-identical components. It is assumed here that, the failure rates of the system's components are constants. We used three different methods to improve the system given. Two reliability characteristics (the mean time to failure and the reliability function) are used to perform the system improvement. For this purpose, the reliability functions and the mean times to failures of the original and improved systems are obtained. The results given in this paper generalize the results given in the literatures by setting n = 1, 2. An illustrative numerical example is presented to compare the different reliability factors obtained.

• Journal of radiological science and technology
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• v.14 no.2
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• pp.45-53
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• 1991

SPECT 영상에서 콤프톤 산란 광자는 공간분해능의 감소와 그 양을 측정하는데 있어 정확성과 정밀성을 감소시킨다. 이와같은 콤프톤 산란의 영향을 감소시키기 위하여 사용하는 대부분의 보정방법은 선원의 위치로부터 거리의 단일지수함수로 대칭인 산란분포함수를 고려하게 된다. 본 연구는 균등 및 불균등 산란에 대한 산란분포함수를 얻기 위하여 보다 현실적인 접근방법을 시도하였다. 산란 및 비산란광자의 공간분포와 에너지분포를 얻기 위하여 뼈, 폐, 물의 균등 및 불균등 분포로 된 원통형의 팬톰 속에 $^{99m}Tc$의 선선원 및 점선원을 놓고 Monte Carlo Simulation을 하였으며, 깊이의 함수, media의 접촉영역으로부터 선원거리 및 산란체의 밀도의 변화로 표현한 산란분포함수(SDF)를 얻었다. 산란분포함수는 균등한 뼈, 폐, 물에서는 선원위치로부터 거리의 단일지수함수(single exponential functions)로 대칭으로 나타났으며, 두 물체의 조합에서는 2중지수함수(dual exponential functions)로 비대칭으로 나타났다. 산란분율은 20% window photopeak에서 총 계수의 8%에서 53%까지 다양한 변화가 있었으며, 지수함수의 기울기는 $0.1{\sim}0.9\;cm^{-1}$의 범위로 나타났다. 불균등 산란체에서 얻은 산란분포함수는 SPECT 영상에 있어 콤프톤 산란의 감소에 대한 보다 정확한 보정방법의 개발에 필요한 정보를 제공할 것이다.