• Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
• /
• v.25 no.4
• /
• pp.581-589
• /
• 2011

Generally, treated water or raw water is transported into storage reservoirs which are receiving facilities of local governments from multi-regional water supply systems. A water supply control and operation center is operated not only to manage the water facilities more economically and efficiently but also to mitigate the shortage of water resources due to the increase in water consumption. To achieve the goal, important information such as the flow-rate in the systems, water levels of storage reservoirs or tanks, and pump-operation schedule should be considered based on the resonable water demand forecasting. However, it is difficult to acquire the pattern of water demand used in local government, since the operating information is not shared between multi-regional and local water systems. The pattern of water demand is irregular and unpredictable. Also, additional changes such as an abrupt accident and frequent changes of electric power rates could occur. Consequently, it is not easy to forecast accurate water demands. Therefore, it is necessary to introduce a short-term water demands forecasting and to develop an application of the forecasting models. In this study, the forecasting simulator for water demand is developed based on mathematical and neural network methods as linear and non-linear models to implement the optimal water demands forecasting. It is shown that MLP(Multi-Layered Perceptron) and ANFIS(Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System) can be applied to obtain better forecasting results in multi-regional water supply systems with a large scale and local water supply systems with small or medium scale than conventional methods, respectively.

• Proceedings of the Korea Technical Association of the Pulp and Paper Industry Conference
• /
• 2001.04a
• /
• pp.168-168
• /
• 2001

제지공정의 지절 현상은 많은 공정 변수들이 복합적으로 작용하여 발생하는 가장 큰 공정 트러블 중의 하나이다. 지절은 생산량 감소 뿐만 아니라 발생 후 공정의 복구 와 정리, 생산재가동 및 공정의 재안정화를 위해 많은 시간과 비용, 그리고 노력이 투 입되어야 하므로 공정의 효율과 생산성을 크게 저하시키는 요인이다. 그러나 지절 현상 의 복잡성 때문에 이에 대해 쉽게 접근하거나 해결하지 못하고 있는 것이 현실이지만 그 필요성은 더욱 더 증대되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 최근 들어 각종 산업분야에서 복잡 한 공정상의 결점 발견 및 진단에 효과적이라고 인정받고 있는 예측 분석기법인 인공 신경망(artificial neural network) 시율레이션과 일반적인 통계기법 중의 하나인 주성분 분석을 이용하여 제지 공정의 지절 현상의 검토 가능성을 타진하였다. 인공신경망이란 인간두뇌에서 일어나는 자극-반응-학습과정을 모사하여 현실세계에 존재하는 다양한 현상들의 업력벡터와 출력상태 간의 비선형 mapping올 컴퓨터 시율 레이션을 통하여 분석하고자 하는 기법으로, 여러 가지 현상들을 학습을 통해서 인식하 는 신경망 내의 신경단위들이 병렬처리에 의해 많은 양의 자료에 대한 추론이나 판단 을 신속하고 정확하게 해주는 특징이 있으며 실시간 패턴인식이나 분류 응용분야에도 매우 매력적으로 이용되고 있는 방법이다. 이러한 인공 신경망 기법 중에서도 본 연구 에서는 퍼셉트론의 한계점을 극복하기 위하여 입력총과 출력층에 한 개 이상의 은닉층 ( (hidden layer)을 사용하여 다층 네트워으로 구성하고, 모든 입력패턴에 대하여 발생하 는 오차함수를 최소화하는 방향으로 연결강도를 조정하는 back propagation 학습 알고 리즘을 사용하였다. 지절의 원인으로 추정 가능한 공정인자들을 변수로 하여 최적의 인 공신경망을 구축하기 위해 학습률과 모멘트 상수의 변화 및 은닉층의 수와 출력층의 뉴런 수를 조절하는 동의 작업을 거쳐 네트워크의 정확도가 높은 인공신경망을 설계하 였다. 또한 이러한 인공신경망과의 비교분석을 위해 동일한 공정 데이터들올 이용하여 보편적으로 사용하는 통계기법 중의 하나인 주성분회귀분석을 실시하였다. 주성분 분석은 여러 개의 반응변수에 대하여 얻어진 다변량 자료의 다차원적인 변 수들을 축소, 요약하는 차원의 단순화와 더불어 서로 상관되어있는 반응변수들 상호간 의 복잡한 구조를 분석하는 기법이다. 본 발표에서는 공정 자료를 활용하여 인공신경망 과 주성분분석을 통해 공정 트러블의 발생에 영향 하는 인자들을 보다 현실적으로 추 정하고, 그 대책을 모색함으로써 이를 최소화할 수 있는 방안을 소개하고자 한다.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
• /
• v.35 no.10
• /
• pp.1323-1328
• /
• 2011

In the current design process for the lower arm used in automobile parts, an optimal solution of its various design variables should be found through exploration of the design space approximated using the response surface model formulated with a first- or second-order polynomial equation. In this study, a multi-level computational DOE (design of experiment) was carried out to explore the design space showing nonlinear behavior, in terms of factors such as the total weight and applied stress of the lower arm, where a fractional-factorial orthogonal array based on the artificial neural network model was introduced. In addition, the tolerance robustness of the optimal solution was estimated using a tolerance optimization with six sigma constraints, taking into account the tolerances occurring in the design variables.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Nondestructive Testing
• /
• v.30 no.1
• /
• pp.13-19
• /
• 2010

In this paper, we study a new estimation system for the prediction of steam generator tube defects. In the previous research works, defect size estimators were independently designed for each defect types in order to estimate the defect size. As a result, the structure of estimation system is rather complex and the estimation performance gets worse if the classification performance is degraded for some reason. This paper studies a new estimation system that does not require the classification of defect types. Although the previous works are expected to achieve much better estimation performance than the proposed system since it uses the estimator specialized in each defect, the performance difference is not so large. Therefore, it is expected that the proposed estimator can be effectively used for the case where the defect type classification is imperfect.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
• /
• v.37 no.6
• /
• pp.449-460
• /
• 2004

The purpose of this study is to test the applicability of neuro-fuzzy system for monthly dam inflow forecasts by using weather forecasting information. The neuro-fuzzy algorithm adopted in this study is the ANFIS(Adaptive neuro-fuzzy Inference System) in which neural network theory is combined with fuzzy theory. The ANFIS model can experience the difficulties in selection of a control rule by a space partition because the number of control value increases rapidly as the number of fuzzy variable increases. In an effort to overcome this drawback, this study used the subtractive clustering which is one of fuzzy clustering methods. Also, this study proposed a method for converting qualitative weather forecasting information to quantitative one. ANFIS for monthly dam inflow forecasts was tested in cases of with or without weather forecasting information. It can be seen that the model performances obtained from the use of past observed data and future weather forecasting information are much better than those from past observed data only.

• Smart Structures and Systems
• /
• v.26 no.4
• /
• pp.403-418
• /
• 2020

In recent years, the use of Fiber Reinforced Polymers (FRPs) as one of the most common ways to increase the strength of concrete samples, has been introduced. Evaluation of the final strength of these specimens is performed with different experimental methods. In this research, due to the variety of models, the low accuracy and impact of different parameters, the use of new intelligence methods is considered. Therefore, using artificial intelligent-based models, a new solution for evaluating the bond strength of FRP is presented in this paper. 150 experimental samples were collected from previous studies, and then two new hybrid models of Imperialist Competitive Algorithm (ICA)-Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Artificial Bee Colony (ABC)-ANN were developed. These models were evaluated using different performance indices and then, a comparison was made between the developed models. The results showed that the ICA-ANN model's ability to predict the bond strength of FRP is higher than the ABC-ANN model. Finally, to demonstrate the capabilities of this new model, a comparison was made between the five experimental models and the results were presented for all data. This comparison showed that the new model could offer better performance. It is concluded that the proposed hybrid models can be utilized in the field of this study as a suitable substitute for empirical models.

• Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
• /
• v.20 no.3
• /
• pp.74-82
• /
• 2015

A method to filter out the effect of river stage fluctuations on groundwater level was designed using an artificial neural network-based time series model of groundwater level prediction. The designed method was applied to daily groundwater level data near the Gangjeong-Koryeong Barrage in the Nakdong river. Direct prediction time series models were successfully developed for both cases of before and after the barrage construction using past measurement data of rainfall, river stage, and groundwater level as inputs. The correlation coefficient values between observed and predicted data were over 0.97. Using the time series models the effect of river stage on groundwater level data was filtered out by setting a constant value for river stage inputs. The filtered data were applied to the hybrid water table fluctuation method in order to estimate the groundwater recharge. The calculated ratios of groundwater recharge to precipitation before and after the barrage construction were 11.0% and 4.3%, respectively. It is expected that the proposed method can be a useful tool for groundwater level prediction and recharge estimation in the riverside area.

• KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
• /
• v.14 no.7
• /
• pp.2938-2956
• /
• 2020

Objective image quality assessment (IQA) models have been developed by effective features to imitate the characteristics of human visual system (HVS). Actually, HVS is extremely sensitive to color degradation and complex texture changes. In this paper, we firstly reveal that many existing full reference image quality assessment (FR-IQA) methods can hardly measure the image quality with contrast and masking texture changes. To solve this problem, considering texture masking effect, we proposed a novel FR-IQA method, called Texture and Color Quality Index (TCQI). The proposed method considers both in the masking effect texture and color visual perceptual threshold, which adopts three kinds of features to reflect masking texture, color difference and structural information. Furthermore, random forest (RF) is used to address the drawbacks of existing pooling technologies. Compared with other traditional learning-based tools (support vector regression and neural network), RF can achieve the better prediction performance. Experiments conducted on five large-scale databases demonstrate that our approach is highly consistent with subjective perception, outperforms twelve the state-of-the-art IQA models in terms of prediction accuracy and keeps a moderate computational complexity. The cross database validation also validates our approach achieves the ability to maintain high robustness.

• Journal of Information Technology Services
• /
• v.16 no.4
• /
• pp.137-148
• /
• 2017

Researches on the Artificial Intelligence has been explosively activated in various fields since the advent of AlphaGo. Particularly, researchers on the application of multi-layer neural network such as deep learning, and various machine learning algorithms are being focused actively. In this paper, we described a development of an artificial intelligence Janggi game based on reinforcement learning algorithm and MCTS (Monte Carlo Tree Search) algorithm with accumulated game data. The previous artificial intelligence games are mostly developed based on mini-max algorithm, which depends only on the results of the tree search algorithms. They cannot use of the real data from the games experts, nor cannot enhance the performance by learning. In this paper, we suggest our approach to overcome those limitations as follows. First, we collects Janggi expert's game data, which can reflect abundant real game results. Second, we create a graph structure by using the game data, which can remove redundant movement. And third, we apply the reinforcement learning algorithm and MCTS algorithm to select the best next move. In addition, the learned graph is stored by object serialization method to provide continuity of the game. The experiment of this study is done with two different types as follows. First, our system is confronted with other AI based system that is currently being served on the internet. Second, our system confronted with some Janggi experts who have winning records of more than 50%. Experimental results show that the rate of our system is significantly higher.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
• /
• v.10 no.11
• /
• pp.3465-3472
• /
• 2009

The aims of this study is to medical record data warehouse which had been collected from hospital information systems. continuous patient 2,118 60.5%, informally patient 1,385 39.5%. In using survival factors sex, age, area, insurance, admission-course, medical treatment, out-patient lesson, out-patient form, conference diagnosis, operation, cancer, medical reservation. As a result of making a predictive modeling using the logistic regression, the fitness of the predictive modeling of informally patient was 66.0% and neural network, the predictive was 66.72% and CHAID, the predictive was 63.25%, which is a data mining. The expected modeling of the informally patients, the hospital through the continuous patient management and trust of hospital.