• Title/Summary/Keyword: neural network(NN)

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An Intelligent Gold Price Prediction Based on Automated Machine and k-fold Cross Validation Learning

  • Baguda, Yakubu S.;Al-Jahdali, Hani Meateg
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.65-74
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    • 2021
  • The rapid change in gold price is an issue of concern in the global economy and financial markets. Gold has been used as a means for trading and transaction around the world for long period of time and it plays an integral role in monetary, business, commercial and financial activities. More importantly, it is used as economic measure for the global economy and will continue to play an important economic vital role - both locally and globally. There has been an explosive growth in demand for efficient and effective scheme to predict gold price due its volatility and fluctuation. Hence, there is need for the development of gold price prediction scheme to assist and support investors, marketers, and financial institutions in making effective economic and monetary decisions. This paper primarily proposed an intelligent based system for predicting and characterizing the gold market trend. The simulation result shows that the proposed intelligent gold price scheme has been able to predict the gold price with high accuracy and precision, and ultimately it has significantly reduced the prediction error when compared to baseline neural network (NN).

Multiple-inputs Dual-outputs Process Characterization and Optimization of HDP-CVD SiO2 Deposition

  • Hong, Sang-Jeen;Hwang, Jong-Ha;Chun, Sang-Hyun;Han, Seung-Soo
    • JSTS:Journal of Semiconductor Technology and Science
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.135-145
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    • 2011
  • Accurate process characterization and optimization are the first step for a successful advanced process control (APC), and they should be followed by continuous monitoring and control in order to run manufacturing processes most efficiently. In this paper, process characterization and recipe optimization methods with multiple outputs are presented in high density plasma-chemical vapor deposition (HDP-CVD) silicon dioxide deposition process. Five controllable process variables of Top $SiH_4$, Bottom $SiH_4$, $O_2$, Top RF Power, and Bottom RF Power, and two responses of interest, such as deposition rate and uniformity, are simultaneously considered employing both statistical response surface methodology (RSM) and neural networks (NNs) based genetic algorithm (GA). Statistically, two phases of experimental design was performed, and the established statistical models were optimized using performance index (PI). Artificial intelligently, NN process model with two outputs were established, and recipe synthesis was performed employing GA. Statistical RSM offers minimum numbers of experiment to build regression models and response surface models, but the analysis of the data need to satisfy underlying assumption and statistical data analysis capability. NN based-GA does not require any underlying assumption for data modeling; however, the selection of the input data for the model establishment is important for accurate model construction. Both statistical and artificial intelligent methods suggest competitive characterization and optimization results in HDP-CVD $SiO_2$ deposition process, and the NN based-GA method showed 26% uniformity improvement with 36% less $SiH_4$ gas usage yielding 20.8 ${\AA}/sec$ deposition rate.

A Study on Statistical Forecasting Models of PM10 in Pohang Region by the Variable Transformation (변수변환을 통한 포항지역 미세먼지의 통계적 예보모형에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Yung-Seop;Kim, Hyun-Goo;Park, Jong-Seok;Kim, Hee-Kyung
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.614-626
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    • 2006
  • Using the data of three environmental monitoring sites in Pohang area(KME112, KME113, and KME114), statistical forecasting models of the daily maximum and mean values of PM10 have been developed. Since the distributions of the daily maximum and mean PM10 values are skewed, which are similar to the Weibull distribution, these values were log-transformed to increase prediction accuracy by approximating the normal distribution. Three statistical forecasting models, which are regression, neural networks(NN) and support vector regression(SVR), were built using the log-transformed response variables, i.e., log(max(PM10)) or log(mean (PM10)). Also, the forecasting models were validated by the measure of RMSE, CORR, and IOA for the model comparison and accuracy. The improvement rate of IOA before and after the log-transformation in the daily maximum PM10 prediction was 12.7% for the regression and 22.5% for NN. In particular, 42.7% was improved for SVR method. In the case of the daily mean PM10 prediction, IOA value was improved by 5.1% for regression, 6.5% for NN, and 6.3% for SVR method. As a conclusion, SVR method was found to be performed better than the other methods in the point of the model accuracy and fitness views.

Study on Nonlinearites of Short Term, Beat-to-beat Variability in Cardiovascular Signals (심혈관 신호에 있어서 단기간 beat-to-beat 변이의 비선형 역할에 관한 연구)

  • Han-Go Choi
    • Journal of Biomedical Engineering Research
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.151-158
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    • 2003
  • Numerous studies of short-term, beat-to-beat variability in cardiovascular signals have used linear analysis techniques. However, no study has been done about the appropriateness of linear techniques or the comparison between linearities and nonlinearities in short-term, beat-to-beat variability. This paper aims to verify the appropriateness of linear techniques by investigating nonlinearities in short-term, beat-to-beat variability. We compared linear autoregressive moving average(ARMA) with nonlinear neural network(NN) models for predicting current instantaneous heart rate(HR) and mean arterial blood pressure(BP) from past HRs and BPs. To evaluate these models. we used HR and BP time series from the MIMIC database. Experimental results indicate that NN-based nonlinearities do not play a significant role and suggest that 10 technique provides adequate characterization of the system dynamics responsible for generating short-term, beat-to-beat variability.

A Study on the Combined Decision Tree(C4.5) and Neural Network Algorithm for Classification of Mobile Telecommunication Customer (이동통신고객 분류를 위한 의사결정나무(C4.5)와 신경망 결합 알고리즘에 관한 연구)

  • 이극노;이홍철
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.139-155
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents the new methodology of analyzing and classifying patterns of customers in mobile telecommunication market to enhance the performance of predicting the credit information based on the decision tree and neural network. With the application of variance selection process from decision tree, the systemic process of defining input vector's value and the rule generation were developed. In point of customer management, this research analyzes current customers and produces the patterns of them so that the company can maintain good customer relationship and makes special management on the customer who has huh potential of getting out of contract in advance. The real implementation of proposed method shows that the predicted accuracy is higher than existing methods such as decision tree(CART, C4.5), regression, neural network and combined model(CART and NN).

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Genetic Design of Granular-oriented Radial Basis Function Neural Network Based on Information Proximity (정보 유사성 기반 입자화 중심 RBF NN의 진화론적 설계)

  • Park, Ho-Sung;Oh, Sung-Kwun;Kim, Hyun-Ki
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.59 no.2
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    • pp.436-444
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    • 2010
  • In this study, we introduce and discuss a concept of a granular-oriented radial basis function neural networks (GRBF NNs). In contrast to the typical architectures encountered in radial basis function neural networks(RBF NNs), our main objective is to develop a design strategy of GRBF NNs as follows : (a) The architecture of the network is fully reflective of the structure encountered in the training data which are granulated with the aid of clustering techniques. More specifically, the output space is granulated with use of K-Means clustering while the information granules in the multidimensional input space are formed by using a so-called context-based Fuzzy C-Means which takes into account the structure being already formed in the output space, (b) The innovative development facet of the network involves a dynamic reduction of dimensionality of the input space in which the information granules are formed in the subspace of the overall input space which is formed by selecting a suitable subset of input variables so that the this subspace retains the structure of the entire space. As this search is of combinatorial character, we use the technique of genetic optimization to determine the optimal input subspaces. A series of numeric studies exploiting some nonlinear process data and a dataset coming from the machine learning repository provide a detailed insight into the nature of the algorithm and its parameters as well as offer some comparative analysis.

A Study on the Analysis of Jeju Island Precipitation Patterns using the Convolution Neural Network (합성곱신경망을 이용한 제주도 강수패턴 분석 연구)

  • Lee, Dong-Hoon;Lee, Bong-Kyu
    • Journal of Software Assessment and Valuation
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.59-66
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    • 2019
  • Since Jeju is the absolute weight of agriculture and tourism, the analysis of precipitation is more important than other regions. Currently, some numerical models are used for analysis of precipitation of Jeju Island using observation data from meteorological satellites. However, since precipitation changes are more diverse than other regions, it is difficult to obtain satisfactory results using the existing numerical models. In this paper, we propose a Jeju precipitation pattern analysis method using the texture analysis method based on Convolution Neural Network (CNN). The proposed method converts the water vapor image and the temperature information of the area of ​​Jeju Island from the weather satellite into texture images. Then converted images are fed into the CNN to analyse the precipitation patterns of Jeju Island. We implement the proposed method and show the effectiveness of the proposed method through experiments.

Efficient Learning and Classification for Vehicle Type using Moving Cast Shadow Elimination in Vehicle Surveillance Video (차량 감시영상에서 그림자 제거를 통한 효율적인 차종의 학습 및 분류)

  • Shin, Wook-Sun;Lee, Chang-Hoon
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartB
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    • v.15B no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2008
  • Generally, moving objects in surveillance video are extracted by background subtraction or frame difference method. However, moving cast shadows on object distort extracted figures which cause serious detection problems. Especially, analyzing vehicle information in video frames from a fixed surveillance camera on road, we obtain inaccurate results by shadow which vehicle causes. So, Shadow Elimination is essential to extract right objects from frames in surveillance video. And we use shadow removal algorithm for vehicle classification. In our paper, as we suppress moving cast shadow in object, we efficiently discriminate vehicle types. After we fit new object of shadow-removed object as three dimension object, we use extracted attributes for supervised learning to classify vehicle types. In experiment, we use 3 learning methods {IBL, C4.5, NN(Neural Network)} so that we evaluate the result of vehicle classification by shadow elimination.

A Study on design of Fuzzy neural network Intelligence controller using Evolution Programming (진화프로그래밍을 이용한 퍼지 신경망 지능 제어기 설계에 관한 연구)

  • 이상부;임영도
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 1997.10a
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    • pp.143-153
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    • 1997
  • At the on-line control method FLC(Fuzzy Logic Controller) is stronger to the disturbance than a classical controller and its overshoot of the initialized value is excellent. The fuzzy controller can do a proper control, though it doesn't know the mathematical model of the system or the parameter value. But to make the control rule of the fuzzy controller through an expert's experiance has a changes of the control system, the control rule is fixed, it can't adjust to the environment changes of the control system, the controller output value has a minute error and it can't convergence correctly to the desired value[1][2]. There are many ways to eliminate the minute error[3][4][5], but in this paper suggests EP-FNNIC(Fuzzy Neurla Network Intelligence Controller) intelligence controller which combines FLC with NN(Neural Network) and EP(Evolution Programming). The output characteristics of EP-FNNIC controller will be compared and analyzed with FLC. It will be showed that this EP-FN IC controller converge correctly to the desirable value without any error. The convergence speed, overshoot, rising time, error of steady state of controller of these two kinds also will be compared.

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A Study on Fault Detection of Off-design Performance for Smart UAV Propulsion System (스마트 무인기용 가스터빈 엔진의 탈설계 영역 구성품 손상 진단에 관한 연구)

  • Kong, Chang-Duk;Kho, Seong-Hee;Choi, In-Soo;Lee, Seung-Heon;Lee, Chang-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers Conference
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    • 2007.04a
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    • pp.245-249
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    • 2007
  • In this study a model-based diagnostic method using the Neural Network was proposed for PW206C turbo shaft engine and performance model was developed by SIMULINK. Fault and test database to build the NN was obtained at various off-design operating range such as flight altitude, flight Mach number and gas generator rotational speed variation. According to the fault detection analysis results, it was confirmed that the proposed fault detection method could find well the fault of compressor, compressor turbine and power turbine at on-design point as well as off-design point conditions.

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