• 제목/요약/키워드: multivariate normal distribution

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Critical Multiple Correlation Coefficient for Improving Mean and Variance in Augmenting Hydrologic Samples

  • Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Korean Journal of Hydrosciences
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    • 제6권
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    • pp.13-22
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    • 1995
  • The augmenting hydrologic data using a correlation procedure has been used to improve the estimates of the mean and variance at the site of interest with short record when one or more near by sites with longer records are available. The variance of the unbiased maximum likelihood estimator of $ derived by Moran based on the multivariate normal distribytion is modified into the form of Matalas and Jacobs for the biveriate normal distribution to get the critical minimum values of the multiple correlation coefficient which give the improvement for estimating the variance at the site of interest. Those values are tabulated for various lengths of short records and the number of sites.

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배열을 이용한 효과적인 일부실시법의 설계 및 분석방법에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Construction and Analysis of Fractional Designs by Using Arrays for Factorial Experiments)

  • 김상익
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제40권1호
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    • pp.15-24
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    • 2012
  • For the construction of fractional factorial designs, the various arrays can be widely used. In this paper we review the statistical properties of fractional designs constructed by two arrays such as orthogonal array and partially balanced array, and develop a quick and easy method for analyzing unreplicated saturated designs. The proposed method can be characterized that we control the error rate by experiment-wise way and exploit the multivariate Student $t$-distribution. Especially the proposed method can be used efficiently together with some exploratory analysis methods, such as half normal probability plot method.

수문자료 확충을 위한 다중상관계수의 한계최소치 유도 (Derivation of the Critical Minimum Values of the Multiple Correlation Coefficient for Augmenting Hydrologic Samples)

  • 허준행
    • 물과 미래
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    • 제27권1호
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    • pp.133-140
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    • 1994
  • 주변 관측지점의 자료가 유용한 경우 관측자료가 짧은 지점의 평균과 분산 추정치를 개선하기 위하여 상관계수를 이용한 수문자료 확충을 이용하여왔다. 본 연구에서는 관측지점의 분산 추정치를 개선하기 위한 다중 상관계수의 한계최소치를 얻기 위하여, 다변량 정규분포에 근거하여 Moran이 유도한 확충자료 분산( ${{\sigma}_v}^2$ )의 불편 최우도추정량의 분산식을 Matalas와 Jacobs가 2변량 정규분포에 근거하여 유도한 식의 형태로 변형하였으며, 다양한 자료수와 지점수에 따라 다중상관계수의 한계최소치를 도표화했다.

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Reject Inference of Incomplete Data Using a Normal Mixture Model

  • Song, Ju-Won
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.425-433
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    • 2011
  • Reject inference in credit scoring is a statistical approach to adjust for nonrandom sample bias due to rejected applicants. Function estimation approaches are based on the assumption that rejected applicants are not necessary to be included in the estimation, when the missing data mechanism is missing at random. On the other hand, the density estimation approach by using mixture models indicates that reject inference should include rejected applicants in the model. When mixture models are chosen for reject inference, it is often assumed that data follow a normal distribution. If data include missing values, an application of the normal mixture model to fully observed cases may cause another sample bias due to missing values. We extend reject inference by a multivariate normal mixture model to handle incomplete characteristic variables. A simulation study shows that inclusion of incomplete characteristic variables outperforms the function estimation approaches.

A Predictive Two-Group Multinormal Classification Rule Accounting for Model Uncertainty

  • Kim, Hea-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.477-491
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    • 1997
  • A new predictive classification rule for assigning future cases into one of two multivariate normal population (with unknown normal mixture model) is considered. The development involves calculation of posterior probability of each possible normal-mixture model via a default Bayesian test criterion, called intrinsic Bayes factor, and suggests predictive distribution for future cases to be classified that accounts for model uncertainty by weighting the effect of each model by its posterior probabiliy. In this paper, our interest is focused on constructing the classification rule that takes care of uncertainty about the types of covariance matrices (homogeneity/heterogeneity) involved in the model. For the constructed rule, a Monte Carlo simulation study demonstrates routine application and notes benefits over traditional predictive calssification rule by Geisser (1982).

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A Two-Stage Elimination Type Selection Procedure for Stochastically Increasing Distributions : with an Application to Scale Parameters Problem

  • Lee, Seung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.24-44
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    • 1990
  • The purpose of this paper is to extend the idea of Tamhane and Bechhofer (1977, 1979) concerning the normal means problem to some general class of distributions. The key idea in Tamhane and Bechhofer is the derivation of the computable lower bounds on the probability of a correct selection. To derive such lower bounds, they used the specific covariance structure of a multivariate normal distribution. It is shown that such lower bounds can be obtained for a class of stochastically increasing distributions under certain conditions, which is sufficiently general so as to include the normal means problem as a special application. As an application of the general theory to the scale parameters problem, a two-stage elimination type procedure for selecting the population associated with the smallest variance from among several normal populations is proposed. The design constants are tabulated and the relative efficiencies are computed.

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다변량 관리도를 활용한 블로거 정서 변화 탐지 (Detection of the Change in Blogger Sentiment using Multivariate Control Charts)

  • 문정훈;이성임
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제26권6호
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    • pp.903-913
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    • 2013
  • 최근 소셜 네크워크 서비스의 발달로 인해 개인의 감정이나 의견을 표현하는 소셜 데이터들이 하루에도 수백만 건씩 생산되고 있다. 또한 소셜 데이터는 개인의 의견에 또 다른 생각을 더하는 등 정보의 생산과 소비가 누구나 가능해짐으로써 사회현상을 잘 반영해주는 도구로 성장하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 블로그에 올라온 부정적인 감성어들을 분석하여 블로거의 감성변화를 탐지하기 위해 다변량 관리도를 이용하고자 한다. 이를 위해 2008년 1월 1일부터 2009년 12월 31일 사이에 생성되었던 모든 블로그를 사용하였다. 품질 특성치가 다변량으로 주어지는 경우 호텔링의 $T^2$ 관리도가 널리 사용된다. 그러나 이 관리도는 품질 특성치들의 분포가 다변량 정규분포라는 가정을 하고 있어, 비정규 다변량 자료에 대한 관리도의 성능은 좋지 않다. 이에 본 논문에서는 Sun과 Tsung (2003)이 제안한 써포트 벡터머신에서 단일 집합 분류 기법 중 하나인 SVDD(support vector data description) 알고리즘과 이를 확장한 K-관리도를 소개하고, 실제 데이터 분석에 적용해 보았다.

Empirical Bayes Posterior Odds Ratio for Heteroscedastic Classification

  • Kim, Hea-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.92-101
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    • 1987
  • Our interest is to access in some way teh relative odds or probability that a multivariate observation Z belongs to one of k multivariate normal populations with unequal covariance matrices. We derived the empirical Bayes posterior odds ratio for the classification rule when population parameters are unknown. It is a generalization of the posterior odds ratio suggested by Gelsser (1964). The classification rule does not have complicated distribution theory which a large variety of techniques from the sampling viewpoint have. The proposed posterior odds ratio is compared to the Gelsser's posterior odds ratio through a Monte Carlo study. The results show that the empiricla Bayes posterior odds ratio, in general, performs better than the Gelsser's. Especially, for large dimension of Z and small training sample, the performance is prominent.

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Characterization of the Asymptotic Distributions of Certain Eigenvalues in a General Setting

  • Hwang, Chang-Ha
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.13-32
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    • 1994
  • Let A(n) and B(n) be sequences of $m \times m$ random matrices with a joint asymptotic distribution as $n \to \infty$. The asymptotic distribution of the ordered roots of $$\mid$A(n) - f B(n)$\mid$ = 0$ depends on the multiplicity of the roots of a determinatal equation involving parameter roots. This paper treats the asymptotic distribution of the roots of the above determinantal equation in the case where some of parameter roots are zero. Furthermore, we apply our results to deriving the asymptotic distributions of the eigenvalues of the MANOVA matrix in the noncentral case when the underlying distribution is not multivariate normal and some parameter roots are zero.

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Gibbs Sampling for Double Seasonal Autoregressive Models

  • Amin, Ayman A.;Ismail, Mohamed A.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제22권6호
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    • pp.557-573
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    • 2015
  • In this paper we develop a Bayesian inference for a multiplicative double seasonal autoregressive (DSAR) model by implementing a fast, easy and accurate Gibbs sampling algorithm. We apply the Gibbs sampling to approximate empirically the marginal posterior distributions after showing that the conditional posterior distribution of the model parameters and the variance are multivariate normal and inverse gamma, respectively. The proposed Bayesian methodology is illustrated using simulated examples and real-world time series data.