• Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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• 제33권8호
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• pp.1360-1368
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• 2020

Objective: The aim of our study was to determine the associations of heifer reproductive performance with survival up to the first calving, first-lactation milk yield, and the probability of being culled within 50 days after first calving. Methods: Data from 33 large Holstein-Friesian commercial dairy herds were gathered from the official milk recording database in Hungary. The data of heifers first inseminated between January 1, 2011 and December 31, 2014 were analyzed retrospectively, using Cox proportional hazards models, competing risks models, multivariate linear and logistic mixed-effects models. Results: Heifers (n = 35,128) with younger age at conception were more likely to remain in the herd until calving, and each additional month in age at conception increased culling risk by 5.1%. Season of birth was related to first-lactation milk yield (MY1; n = 19,931), with cows born in autumn having the highest milk production (p<0.001). The highest MY1 was achieved by heifers that first calved between 22.00 and 25.99 months of age. Heifers that calved in autumn had the highest MY1, whereas calving in summer was related to the lowest milk production (p<0.001). The risk of culling within 50 days in milk in first lactation (n = 21,225) increased along with first calving age, e.g. heifers that first calved after 30 months of age were 5.52-times more likely to be culled compared to heifers that calved before 22 months of age (p<0.001). Calving difficulty was related to higher culling risk in early lactation (p<0.001). Heifers that required caesarean section were 24.01-times more likely to leave the herd within 50 days after first calving compared to heifers that needed no assistance (p<0.001). Conclusion: Reproductive performance of replacement heifers is closely linked to longevity and milk production in dairy herds.

• Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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• 제46권4호
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• pp.509-516
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• 2004

한우 종모우 선발을 위한 유전능력 평가에서 고려되는 형질들 중 이산형 형태로 조사되는 근내지방도의 유전변이가 추정방법에 따라 어느 정도 차이가 있는지 알아보기 위한 모의실험을 실시하였다. 모의실험 자료는 연속변량으로 간주되는 도체중 및 배장근단면적과 근내지방도의 잠재변수를 다변량 정규분포함수에서 생성하였고 근내지방도의 잠재변수를 이용하여 특정 임계값을 중심으로 순서화된 근내지방도 점수로 변화 하였따. 근내지방도의 점수 부여방법으로써 비거세우에서 조사된 근내지방도의 점수 1${\sim}$5점 사이에 정규분포에서 크게 어긋나는 분포특성을 갖도록 자료(DSI)를 생성하였고 또한 한우 거세우에서 현재 조사되고 있는 점수 1${\sim}$7점 사이에 정규 분포에 좀더 접근한 분포특성을 갖는 모의 자료(DS2)를 생성하였다. 분석방법간에 유전변이 추정의 정확도를 알아보기 위하여 1) 생성된 이들 자료를 선형으로 간주하고 다형질 혼합 선형 개체모형에서 REML 분석방법으로 유전변이를 추정하였고 2) 특정 임계치를 중심으로 잠재변수가 존재한다는 가정하에 다형질 임계 개체 혼합모형을 설정하여 Gibbs sampling 방법으로 유전변이를 추정하였다. 여기서 추정된 유전변이(유전력, 유전상관 및 잔차상관)에 대하여 모수와의 차이를 검정함으로써 편의되는 정도를 알아보았다. 모의실험은 각 자료에 대하여 10회 실시하였다. 분석결과, 근내지방도의 유전력 추정치는 DS1에서는 다형질 임계개체혼합모형을 설정하여 Gibbs sampling 방법으로 모수에 대한 사후분포의 평균으로 계산한 결과 참값과 유의적인 차이가 없는 것으로 분석되었다. 반면에 근내지방도를 선형으로 간주하고 다형질 선형 개체혼합모형에 의한 유전력 추정치는 모수보다 매우 낮은 유전력을 보였다(0.500 vs 0.315). 유전상관 추정치는 선형모형에서의 REML 방법 또는 임계모형에서의Gibbs sampling 방법에서 모두 모수와 유의적인 차이가 없는 것으로 분석되었으나 근내지방도의 잔차상관에 있어서 REML 방법으로 분석하였을 경우에 모수보다 낮게 추정되었다. 반면에 범주형 모형에서는 모수와 추정치 간에 유의적인 차이가 없는 것으로 분석되었다. 또한 7개의 범주형으로 조사된 자료(DS2)에서 이들 추정치는 DS1에서와 동일한 경향을 보였는데 그 편의 정도는 다소 적어지는 경향을 보였다. 따라서 이산형으로 조사되는 근내지방도에 대한 유전변이를 추정하기 위해서는 범주형 임계모형이 선형모형 보다 사소 정확한 추정을 할 수 있을 것으로 판단 되었다.

• Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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• 제47권2호
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• pp.94-103
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• 2014

Objectives: The present study examined relationships between socioeconomic status (SES) and obesity and body mass index (BMI) as well as the effects of health-related behavioral and psychological factors on the relationships. Methods: A cross-sectional population-based study was conducted on Korean adults aged 20 to 79 years using data from the 2001, 2005, and 2007 to 2009 Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Multivariate logistic and linear regression models were used to estimate odds ratios of obesity and mean differences in BMI, respectively, across SES levels after controlling for health-related behavioral and psychological factors. Results: We observed significant gender-specific relationships of SES with obesity and BMI after adjusting for all covariates. In men, income, but not education, showed a slightly positive association with BMI (p<0.05 in 2001 and 2005). In women, education, but not income, was inversely associated with both obesity and BMI (p<0.0001 in all datasets). These relationships were attenuated with adjusting for health-related behavioral factors, not for psychological factors. Conclusions: Results confirmed gender-specific disparities in the associations of SES with obesity and BMI among adult Korean population. Focusing on intervention for health-related behaviors may be effective to reduce social inequalities in obesity.

• 한국환경과학회지
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• 제21권5호
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• pp.613-622
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• 2012

A pilot-scale pulse-jet bagfilter was designed, built and tested for the effects of four operating conditions (filtration velocity, inlet dust concentration, pulse pressure, and pulse interval time) on the total system pressure drop, using coke dust from a steel mill factory. Two models were used to predict the total pressure drop according to the operating conditions. These model parameters were estimated from the 180 experimental data points. The empirical model (EM) with filtration velocity, areal density, inlet dust concentration, pulse interval time and pulse pressure shows the best correlation coefficient (R=0.971) between experimental data and model predictions. The empirical model was used as it showed higher correlation coefficient (R=0.971) compared to that of the Multivariate linear regression(MLR) (R=0.961). The minimum pulse pressure predicted by empirical model (EM) was 5kg/$cm^2$.

• Educational Technology International
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• 제22권2호
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• pp.285-309
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• 2021

It is commonly understood that students' autonomous motivation and individualistic orientations and instructors' autonomy support are important for student-centered learning (SCL). However, few studies have examined this assumption. To help researchers and practitioners design more engaging SCL experiences across diverse cultural contexts, this study examines the associations of these factors with SCL engagement and how these associations compare in different cultures. University students in South Korea and the United States participated in a bold SCL assignment, called Pink Time, in which students decide what and how they learn. Linear, multivariate models were estimated in each context to identify and compare relationships between SCL engagement and student characteristics and perceptions. We found that engagement was high in both contexts. Autonomous motivation, individualism, and perceived instructor support each had significant associations with SCL engagement in South Korea. In the US, which had a smaller sample size, only perceived instructor support was significantly associated. These findings suggest that SCL strategies can be effective across cultures. Also, the narrower classroom context, specifically instructors' support, may be a stronger driver of engagement than the broader societal context. This study contributes to the scholarly discussion regarding SCL in diverse settings and offers several implications for instructors.

• 대한지역사회영양학회지
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• 제17권3호
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• pp.329-340
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• 2012

Hypertension is a well-known risk factor for cardiovascular disease. Previous studies have shown that changes in diet and lifestyle factors can prevent the development of hypertension, but the combined effects of these modifiable factors on hypertension are not well established. The objective of this study is to investigate associations of diet and lifestyle factors, evaluated both individually and in combination, with prevalent hypertension among Korean adults. We analyzed data obtained from the 2007-2008 Korean National Health and Nutritional Examination Survey, a nationwide cross-sectional study using a stratified, multistage probability sampling design. The associations of 12 nutrient intakes and lifestyle factors with risk of hypertension were explored using restricted cubic spline regression and logistic regression models among 6,351 adults. Total energy and several nutrients and minerals, including, calcium, vitamin A, vitamin C, and sodium, showed non-linear relationships with the risk of prevalent hypertension. In multivariate logistic regression models, dietary score, obesity and alcohol intake were independently associated with the risk of prevalent hypertension, but smoking and physical activity were not. Overall, participants whose dietary habits and lifestyle factors were all in the low-risk group had 68% lower prevalence of hypertension (OR: 0.32, 95 CI: 0.14-0.74) compared to those who were at least one in the high-risk group of any dietary or lifestyle factors. The result suggests that combined optimal lifestyle habits are strongly associated with lower prevalence of hypertension among Korean adults.

• 한국환경복원기술학회지
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• 제19권6호
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• pp.19-30
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• 2016

The projection of climate-related range shift is critical information for conservation planning of Korean fir (Abies koreana E. H. Wilson). We first modeled the distribution of Korean fir under current climate condition using five single-model species distribution models (SDMs) and the pre-evaluation weighted ensemble method and then predicted the distributions under future climate conditions projected with HadGEM2-AO under four $CO_2$ emission scenarios, the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 2.6, 4.5, 6.0 and 8.5. We also investigated the predictive uncertainty stemming from five individual algorithms and four $CO_2$ emission scenarios for better interpretation of SDM projections. Five individual algorithms were Generalized linear model (GLM), Generalized additive model (GAM), Multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS), Generalized boosted model (GBM) and Random forest (RF). The results showed high variations of model performances among individual SDMs and the wide range of diverging predictions of future distributions of Korean fir in response to RCPs. The ensemble model presented the highest predictive accuracy (TSS = 0.97, AUC = 0.99) and predicted that the climate habitat suitability of Korean fir would increase under climate changes. Accordingly, the fir distribution could expand under future climate conditions. Increasing precipitation may account for increases in the distribution of Korean fir. Increasing precipitation compensates the negative effects of increasing temperature. However, the future distribution of Korean fir is also affected by other ecological processes, such as interactions with co-existing species, adaptation and dispersal limitation, and other environmental factors, such as extreme weather events and land-use changes. Therefore, we need further ecological research and to develop mechanistic and process-based distribution models for improving the predictive accuracy.

• Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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• 제17권1호
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• pp.7-12
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• 2004

Real time ultrasonic measurements for 13th rib fat thickness (LBF), longissimus muscle area (LEMA) and marbling score (LMS) of live animal at pre-harvest and subsequent carcass measurements for fat thickness (BF), longissimus muscle area (EMA), marbling score (MS) as well as body weight of live animal, carcass weight (CW), dressing percentage (DP), and total merit index (TMI) on 755 Korean beef steers were analyzed to estimate genetic parameters. Data were analyzed using multivariate animal models with an EM-REML algorithm. Models included fixed effects for year-season of birth, location of birth, test station, age of dam, linear and quadratic covariates for age or body weight at slaughter and random animal and residual effects. The heritability estimates for LEMA, LBF and LMS on RTU scans were 0.17, 0.41 and 0.55 in the age-adjusted model (Model 1) and 0.20, 0.52 and 0.55 in the weight-adjusted model (Model 2), respectively. The Heritability estimates for subsequent traits on carcass measures were 0.20, 0.38 and 0.54 in Model 1 and 0.23, 0.46 and 0.55 in Model 2, respectively. Genetic correlation estimate between LEMA and EMA was 0.81 and 0.79 in Model 1 and Model 2, respectively. Genetic correlation estimate between LBF and BF were high as 0.97 in Model 1 and 0.98 in Model 2. Real time ultrasonic marbling score were highly genetically correlated to carcass MS of 0.89 in Model 1 and 0.92 in Model 2. These results indicate that RTU scans would be alterative to carcass measurement for genetic evaluation of meat quality in a designed progeny-testing program in Korean beef cattle.

• 지능정보연구
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• 제23권3호
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• pp.139-153
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• 2017

기업의 부도는 이해관계자들뿐 아니라 사회에도 경제적으로 큰 손실을 야기한다. 따라서 기업부도예측은 경영학 연구에 있어 중요한 연구주제 중 하나로 다뤄져 왔다. 기존의 연구에서는 부도 예측을 위해 다변량판별분석, 로짓분석, 신경망분석 등 다양한 방법론을 이용하여 모형의 부도 예측력을 높이고 과적합의 문제를 해결하고자 시도하였다. 하지만 기존의 연구들이 시간적 요소를 고려하지 않아 발생할 수 있는 문제점들을 갖고 있음에도 불구하고 부도 예측에 있어서 동적 모형을 이용한 연구는 활발히 진행되고 있지 않으며 따라서 동적 모형을 이용하여 부도예측모형이 더욱 개선될 여지가 있다는 점을 확인할 수 있었다. 이에 본 연구에서는 RNN(Recurrent Neural Network)을 이용하여 시계열 재무 데이터의 동적 변화를 반영한 모형을 만들었으며 기존의 부도예측모형들과의 비교분석을 통해 부도 예측력의 향상에 도움이 된다는 것을 확인할 수 있었다. 모형의 유용성을 검증하기 위해 KIS Value의 재무 데이터를 이용하여 실험을 수행하였고 비교모형으로는 다변량판별분석, 로짓분석, SVM, 인공신경망을 선정하였다. 실험 결과 제안된 모형이 비교 모형에 비해 우수한 예측력을 보이는 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 본 연구는 변수들의 변화를 포착하는 동적 모형을 부도예측에 새롭게 제안하여 부도예측 연구의 발전에 기여할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

• Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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• 제15권8호
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• pp.1085-1090
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• 2002

Genetic parameters for birth weights (BWT), calving ease scores observed from calves born by heifers (CEH), and calving ease scores observed from calves born by cows (CEC) were estimated using Bayesian methodology with Gibbs sampling in different threshold animal models. Data consisted of 77,458 records for calving ease scores and birth weights in Gelbvieh cattle. Gibbs samplers were used to obtain the parameters of interest for the categorical traits in two univariate threshold animal models, a bivariate threshold animal model, and a three-trait linear-threshold animal model. Samples of heritabilities and genetic correlations were calculated from the posterior means of dispersion parameters. In a univariate threshold animal model with CEH (model 1), the posterior means of heritabilities for calving ease was 0.35 for direct genetic effects and 0.18 for maternal genetic effects. In the other univariate threshold model with CEC (model 2), the posterior means of heritabilities of CEC was 0.28 for direct genetic effects and 0.18 for maternal genetic effects. In a bivariate threshold model with CEH and CEC (model 3), heritability estimates were similar to those in unvariate threshold models. In this model, genetic correlation between heifer calving ease and cow calving ease was 0.89 and 0.87 for direct genetic effect and maternal genetic effects, respectively. In a three-trait animal model, which contained two categorical traits (CEH and CEC) and one continuous trait (BWT) (model 4), heritability estimates of CEH and CEC for direct (maternal) genetic effects were 0.40 (0.23) and 0.23 (0.13), respectively. In this model, genetic correlation estimates between CEH and CEC were 0.89 and 0.66 for direct genetic effects and maternal effects, respectively. These estimates were greater than estimates between BWT and CEH (0.82 and 0.34) or BWT and CEC (0.85 and 0.26). This result indicates that CEH and CEC should be high correlated rather than estimates between calving ease and birth weight. Genetic correlation estimates between direct genetic effects and maternal effects were -0.29, -0.31 and 0.15 for BWT, CEH and CEC, respectively. Correlation for permanent environmental effects between BWT and CEC was -0.83 in model 4. This study can provide genetic evaluation for calving ease with other continuous traits jointly with assuming that calving ease from first calving was a same trait to calving ease from later parities calving. Further researches for reliability of dispersion parameters would be needed even if the more correlated traits would be concerned in the model, the higher reliability could be obtained, especially on threshold model with property that categorical traits have little information.