• Title/Summary/Keyword: multinomial logit

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Analyzing Factors to Affect Trip Mode Chaining Behavior Using Travel Diary Survey Data in Seoul (가구통행실태조사 자료를 활용한 서울시 연계수단 통행행태의 영향요인 분석 연구)

  • Kim, Su jae;Choo, Sang ho;Kim, Ji yoon;Han, Jae yoon
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.55-70
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    • 2018
  • Recently, as shared transportation services has expanded, integrated mobility services that link personal transportation and public transportation are paid attention. To do this, it is necessary to analyze trip mode chaining behavior. This study analyzed the characteristics of the trip mode chaining behavior using the 2010 travel diary survey in Seoul, and analyzed factors to affect mode choice of trip chaining through the multinomial logit model. The transportation means were classified into passenger cars, city buses, intercity buses, railways, taxis, and others, and 25 trip mode chaining types were identified. Among them, the trip share connected between city bus and railways was the highest. It was also found that the trip mode chaining occurred mainly at commuting and in the morning and afternoon peak. According to the model results, the mode choice of trip chaining is significantly influenced by individual attributes (sex and age), household attributes (car ownership and income), trip attributes (trip purpose, trip time and trip length), and arrival area attributes (number of subway lines and bus lines, ratio of commercial area, land use mix and central region).

A Study on the Choice Factors and Possibility of Traditional Market - Compared to Other Competing Markets Based on Consumer Behavior Analyses - (소비행태분석을 통한 전통시장과 경쟁시장 간 선택요인 및 이용확률 비교분석)

  • Kim, Hyun-Joong;Cho, Kyu-Young;Lee, Seong-Woo
    • Journal of Distribution Research
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.81-102
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    • 2010
  • The present study analyzes the choice factors and possibility of traditional and other competing markets through consumer behavior analyses in order to suggest factors that can help reactivate traditional markets. Hence, Multinomial Logit Model is used as it is an optimum model to understand discrete selection. The results suggested some tendencies regarding traditional market. For example, traditional market is more activated when the market is large and has more parking spaces, and when the level of consumer satisfaction is high. While, increased travel distance and time have negative effects on visitor's choice. Governmental supports are turned out to have less to do with the consumer attraction. People with higher incomes tend to prefer other types of market. The results also suggested there is more likelihood of traditional markets being reactivated if the market is not fiercely competing with other types of markets. Internet market is ranked top in consumer's choice possibility, while traditional market is ranked at the bottom. The plausible factors to reactivate traditional market were physical factors(including increasing shops and parking facilities), which is followed by governmental support.

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A Study on the Vulnerability Assessment of Forest Vegetation using Regional Climate Model (지역기후모형을 이용한 산림식생의 취약성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jae-Uk;Lee, Dong-Kun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.32-40
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    • 2006
  • This study's objects are to suggest effective forest community-level management measures by identifying the vulnerable forest vegetation communities types to climate change through a comparative analysis with present forest communities identified and delineated in the Actual Vegetation Map. The methods of this study are to classify the climatic life zones based on the correlative climate-vegetation relationship for each forest vegetation community, the Holdridge Bio-Climate Model was employed. This study confirms relationship between forest vegetation and environmental factors using Pearson's correlation coefficient analysis. Then, the future distribution of forest vegetation are predicted derived factors and present distribution of vegetation by utilizing the multinomial logit model. The vulnerability of forest to climate change was evaluated by identifying the forest community shifts slower than the average velocity of forest moving (VFM) for woody plants, which is assumed to be 0.25 kilometers per year. The major findings in this study are as follows : First, the result of correlative analysis shows that summer precipitation, mean temperature of the coldest month, elevation, soil organic matter contents, and soil acidity (pH) are highly influencing factors to the distribution of forest vegetation. Secondly, the result of the vulnerability assessment employing the assumed velocity of forest moving for woody plants (0.25kmjyear) shows that 54.82% of the forest turned out to be vulnerable to climate change. The sub-alpine vegetations in regions around Mount Jiri and Mount Seorak are predicted to shift the dominance toward Quercus mongolica and Pinus densiflora communities. In the identified vulnerable areas centering the southern and eastern coastal regions, about 8.27% of the Pinus densiflora communities is likely to shift to sub-tropical forest communities, and 3.38% of the Quercus mongolica communities is likely to shift toward Quercus acutissima communities. In the vulnerable areas scattered throughout the country, about 8.84% of the Quercus mongolica communities is likely to shift toward Pinus densiflora communities due to the effects of climate change. The study findings concluded that challenges associated with predicting the future climate using RCM and the assessment of the future vulnerabilities of forest vegetations to climate change are significant.

Projection of Forest Vegetation Change by Applying Future Climate Change Scenario MIROC3.2 A1B (미래 기후변화 시나리오 MIROC3.2 A1B에 따른 우리나라 산림식생분포의 변화 전망)

  • Shin, Hyung-Jin;Park, Geun-Ae;Park, Min-Ji;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.64-75
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    • 2012
  • To predict the future distribution of forest vegetation, the present forest stand distributions of South Korea were represented by multinomial logit model with the following environmental variables: summer average precipitation, the coldest month average temperature, elevation, degree of base saturation, and soil organic matter. The future forest community was predicted by applying the MIROC3.2 hires A1B scenario. The future climate data were downscaled by statistically method. The coldest month average temperature increased $4.4^{\circ}C$, $6.0^{\circ}C$, and $9.4^{\circ}C$, and 3 months average precipitation changed -1.2%, 5.7%, and 5.3% for 2020s, 2050s, and 2080s respectively. For the projected summer precipitation and the coldest temperature, the future deciduous and mixed forests in the study area increased 56.9% and 8.3% and the coniferous forest decreased 11.2% in 2080s based on present.

The Self-employed and Preference for the Speed of Minimum Wage Hike -Focused on the Moderating Effect of Income Class- (자영업자와 최저임금 인상 속도에 대한 선호 -소득 계층의 조절효과를 중심으로-)

  • Lee, Jae-Wan
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.403-412
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    • 2019
  • There has been a lively debate between self-employed and wage workers on the speed of minimum wage hikes. Minimum wage is a redistributive policy that evokes confrontation and conflict whereby individuals' views on the policy coincide with their material self-interest. With this in mind, the researcher analyzed whether an individual's labor market status was explanatory to his/her view on the speed of minimum wage hike. Moreover, in light of the likelihood that the varying degree to which self-employed can afford minimum wage hike affects their differential preferences for the policy, the researcher attempted to identify whether there was a moderation effect of income class on the relationship. In the actual analysis, the researcher investigated employment policy survey dataset using a multinomial logit model. The results suggest that, among self-employed, 'gradual increase' and 'rapid increase' of minimum wages are less preferred $vis-{\grave{a}}-vis$ 'minimal increase,' which is the reference. As to the moderation effect, when a self-employed has a middle-income class status, his/her negative preference for the policy is likely to be attenuated. One implication of this study is that subsidizing self-employed small business owners, who are most dissatisfied with the current speed at which minimum wages rise, would be an effective prescription on reducing social conflicts.

Housing Choice Determinants of the Youth and Newlyweds Households: A Case Study of Incheon (청년·신혼부부의 주거선택요인에 관한 연구: 인천시를 중심으로)

  • Key, Yunhwan
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.13-26
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    • 2022
  • This study analyzes housing choice determinants of the youth and newlyweds households by using housing survey data in Incheon. A multinomial logit model is employed for analysis with the following variables: housing characteristics, housing market characteristics, and residential and neighborhood environment characteristics. The findings from the analysis are as follows. First, for the continued residence of the youth, the important factors were the relief assistance of housing maintenance costs. For the newlyweds, the important factors were the quality improvement of residential environments to ensure residential stability. Second, the housing choice factors to attract the youth were residential support for rent, maintenance costs, and relocation, and the improvements of residential environments such as security, noise levels, and medical facilities. For the newlyweds, the important factors were housing loan assistance for a home purchase or a cheonsei deposit and residential quality improvements for air pollution and parking facilities. Third, the youth were likely to move out due to high rental costs, and the newlyweds were likely to move out for the purchase of a new apartment or higher-quality housing.

Examining Access Mode Choice Behavior of Local Metropolitan High-Speed Rail Station - A Case Study of Dong-Daegu Station - (고속철도 지방대도시 정차역의 연계교통수단 선택모형 구축에 관한 연구 - 동대구역을 사례로 -)

  • Kim, Sang Hwang;Kim, Kap Soo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.4D
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    • pp.565-571
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    • 2006
  • This study aimed to analyze access mode choice behavior for KTX Passengers. To fulfill the aims of this study, Dong-Daegu Station was selected as a station for a case study. This study takes place in two stages. These are (i) descriptive statistical analysis of transportation status before and after introduction of the KTX, (ii) empirical model estimation for analyzing access mode choice behavior. This study makes use of the data from travel survey from Daegu metropolitan area. The main part of the survey was carried out in the KTX Dong-Daegu station. The data was collected from a sample of 1,800 individuals. The survey data includes the information on travel from Dong-Daegu station to Seoul. From descriptive statistical analysis of transportation status before and after introduction of the KTX, it is found that revealed demand of the KTX is lower than that expected. Moreover, it is found that the low demand of the KTX stems from high cost for the KTX itself and inconvenience( including travel time and cost) of access mode. In order to analyze mode choice behavior for accessing Dong-Daegu station, multinomial logit model structure is used. For the model specification, a variety of behavioral assumptions about the factors which affect the access mode choice, were considered. From the empirical model estimation, it si found that access travel time and access travel cost are significant in choosing access mode. Given the empirical evidence, we see that improvement of access transportation system for Dong-Daegu station is very important for enhancing the use of KTX.

Estimating the Attribute Values of 4 Major River Estuaries in Korea -Focusing on Testing for the IIA Assumption in MNL Model and the Alternative Models- (4대강 하구의 속성 가치 추정 -다항로짓모형에서 IIA가정의 검토와 대안 모형을 중심으로-)

  • Shin, Youngchul
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.521-545
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    • 2013
  • This study applied choice experiment(CE) method(which is included in the stated preference method) to estimate values of some important attributes(i.e. type of estuary, water quality of river in estuary, water quality of sea in estuary, biodiversity level of estuary) of 4 major river(Hangang, Guemgang, Yeongsangang, Nakdonggang) estuaries in Korea. Although the multinomial logit model(MNL) is generally applied to analyse the CE data, testing for IIA assumption with the Hausman and McFadden test in MNL model shows that the IIA assumption in our data is rejected. Therefore, the heteroscedastic extreme value model(HEV) and the multinomial probit model(MNP) which are not based on the IIA assumption are used to analyse our CE data. As results, the coefficients and the elicited economic values of MNL model are seriously distorted if the IIA assumption is not satisfied in MNL model. The estimation results of MNP model show that the economic values are elicited as 352.3 billion won(95% C.I. 261.1 - 477.8 billion won) for natural estuary, 411.5 billion won(95% C.I. 338.5 - 525.5 billion won) for one grade improvement of river water quality in estuary, 358.9 billion won(95% C.I. 292.5 - 457.0 billion won) for one grade improvement of sea water quality in estuary, and 151.9 billion won(95% C.I. 99.0 - 218.6 billion won) for one grade improvement of biodiversity level of estuary. Therefore, the value of estuary is reached to 2,197.0 billion won(95% C.I. 1,721.0 - 2,879.9 billion won) if any natural estuary in 4 major rivers has good water quality of river in estuary(i.e. 2nd grade), good water quality of sea in estuary(i.e. 1st grade), and good biodiversity level of estuary.

An Analysis on Consumers' Preference of Agricultural Products Cultivated from Plants Factory System (식물공장 농산물에 대한 소비자 선호속성 탐색)

  • Kim, Yean-Jung;Kim, Bae-Sung
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.13 no.11
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    • pp.5052-5059
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    • 2012
  • This study was carried out to find consumers' attributes and willingness to pay(WTP) of agricultural products cultivated from plants factory system. The agricultural products were sorted into lettuce, strawberry, Ligularia fischeri(wild edible greens), and ginseng. We made the questionaires to survey consumers' purchasing attributes and preference of agricultural products. Finally, 200 valid replies were selected to analyze consumers' attributes and to estimate marginal willingness to pay. We used conjoint analysis and multinomial logit model for empirical analysis. MWTPs of commodities are estimated as follows; Lettuce is 1,016KW(100g), Strawberry is 6,014KW(2kg), Ligularia fischeri is 3,652KW(100g), and Ginseng is 5,905KW(100g). Several attributes of consumers' purchasing behavior were identified from this study. We suggested several implications to formulate more appropriate policy of plants factory system.

A Study on the Parking Place Choice Behaviors Using Stated Preference Data (the case of shopping trips) (SP Data를 이용한 주차장선택행태 분석에 관한 연구 (쇼핑통행을 중심으로))

  • 정성용;윤용득;배영석;이재륜
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.19-32
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    • 2001
  • A parking facility choice model. which can be applied to analyze of the driver's parking behavioral changes in response to the local government's parking policy changes and to predict parking demand by the facility types, is developed. Under the context of the stated preference discrete choice model, socioeconomic variables and parking alternative characteristic variables are introduced as explanatory variables. A parking facility choice model for the shopping trip purpose is derived using multinomial logit model and nested logit model and the stated preference data collected in Taegu metropolitan area. The result shows that the sign of all the estimated parameters are logically consistent and the model's goodness of fit is reasonably good. As a result of the elasticity analysis of the model, the elasticity of parking cost is highest, and the elasticity of walking distance between parking place and the destination is higher than parking place searching and ingress time. This means that the parking places are supplied around the destination in the form of small-size parking place. The findings in this study is expected to provide a fundamental data for various short-term parking policy analyses and for parking facility's demand estimations.

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