• Title/Summary/Keyword: multi-climate models

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Development of a Simulation Model based on CAN Data for Small Electric Vehicle (소형 전기자동차 CAN 데이터 기반의 시뮬레이션 모델 개발)

  • Lee, Hongjin;Cha, Junepyo
    • Journal of ILASS-Korea
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.155-160
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    • 2022
  • Recently, major developed countries have strengthened automobile fuel efficiency regulations and carbon dioxide emission allowance standards to curb climate change caused by global warming worldwide. Accordingly, research and manufacturing on electric vehicles that do not emit pollutants during actual driving on the road are being conducted. Several automobile companies are producing and testing electric vehicles to commercialize them, but it takes a lot of manpower and time to test and evaluate mass-produced electric vehicles with driving mileage of more than 300km on a per-charge. Therefore, in order to reduce this, a simulation model was developed in this study. This study used vehicle information and MCT speed profile of small electric vehicle as basic data. It was developed by applying Simulink, which models the system in a block diagram method using MATLAB software. Based on the vehicle dynamics, the simulation model consisted of major components of electric vehicles such as motor, battery, wheel/tire, brake, and acceleration. Through the development model, the amount of change in battery SOC and the mileage during driving were calculated. For verification, battery SOC data and vehicle speed data were compared and analyzed using CAN communication during the chassis dynamometer test. In addition, the reliability of the simulation model was confirmed through an analysis of the correlation between the result data and the data acquired through CAN communication.

Development of Dam Inflow Simulation Method Based on Bayesian Autoregressive Exogenous Stochastic Volatility (ARXSV) model

  • Fabian, Pamela Sofia;Kim, Ho-Jun;Kim, Ki-Chul;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.437-437
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    • 2022
  • The prediction of dam inflow rate is crucial for the management of the largest multi-purpose dam in South Korea, the Soyang Dam. The main issue associated with the management of water resources is the stochastic nature of the reservoir inflow leading to an increase in uncertainty associated with the inflow prediction. The Autoregressive (AR) model is commonly used to provide the simulation and forecast of hydrometeorological data. However, because its estimation is based solely on the time-series data, it has the disadvantage of being unable to account for external variables such as climate information. This study proposes the use of the Autoregressive Exogenous Stochastic Volatility (ARXSV) model within a Bayesian modeling framework for increased predictability of the monthly dam inflow by addressing the exogenous and stochastic factors. This study analyzes 45 years of hydrological input data of the Soyang Dam from the year 1974 to 2019. The result of this study will be beneficial to strengthen the potential use of data-driven models for accurate inflow predictions and better reservoir management.

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Assessment of Global Air Quality Reanalysis and Its Impact as Chemical Boundary Conditions for a Local PM Modeling System (전지구 대기질 재분석 자료의 평가와 국지규모 미세먼지 예보모델에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Kangyeol;Lee, Soon-Hwan;Kim, EunJi
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.25 no.7
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    • pp.1029-1042
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    • 2016
  • The initial and boundary conditions are important factors in regional chemical transport modeling systems. The method of generating the chemical boundary conditions for regional air quality models tends to be different from the dynamically varying boundary conditions in global chemical transport models. In this study, the impact of real time Copernicus atmosphere monitoring service (CAMS) re-analysis data from the modeling atmospheric composition and climate project interim implementation (MACC) on the regional air quality in the Korean Peninsula was carried out using the community multi-scale air quality modeling system (CMAQ). A comparison between conventional global data and CAMS for numerical assessments was also conducted. Although the horizontal resolution of the CAMS re-analysis data is not higher than the conventionally provided data, the simulated particulate matter (PM) concentrations with boundary conditions for CAMS re-analysis is more reasonable than any other data, and the estimation accuracy over the entire Korean peninsula, including the Seoul and Daegu metropolitan areas, was improved. Although an inland area such as the Daegu metropolitan area often has large uncertainty in PM prediction, the level of improvement in the prediction for the Daegu metropolitan area is higher than in the coastal area of the western part of the Korean peninsula.

A Review of Open Modeling Platform Towards Integrated Water Environmental Management (통합 물환경 관리를 위한 개방형 모델링 플랫폼 고찰)

  • Lee, Sunghack;Shin, Changmin;Lee, Yongseok;Cho, Jaepil
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.636-650
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    • 2020
  • A modeling system that can consider the overall water environment and be used to integrate hydrology, water quality, and aquatic ecosystem on a watershed scale is essential to support decision-making in integrated water resources management (IWRM). In adapting imported models for evaluating the unique water environment in Korea, a platform perspective is becoming increasingly important. In this study, a modeling platform is defined as an ecosystem that continuously grows and provides sustainable values through voluntary participation- and interaction-of all stakeholders- not only experts related to model development, but also model users and decision-makers. We assessed the conceptual values provided by the IWRM modeling platform in terms of openness, transparency, scalability, and sustainability. I We also reviewed the technical aspects of functional and spatial integrations in terms of socio-economic factors and user-centered multi-scale climate-forecast information. Based on those conceptual and technical aspects, we evaluated potential modeling platforms such as Source, FREEWAT, Object Modeling System (OMS), OpenMI, Community Surface-Dynamics Modeling System (CSDMS), and HydroShare. Among them, CSDMS most closely approached the values suggested in model development and offered a basic standard for easy integration of existing models using different program languages. HydroShare showed potential for sharing modeling results with the transparency expected by model user-s. Therefore, we believe that can be used as a reference in development of a modeling platform appropriate for managing the unique integrated water environment in Korea.

Development of Artificial Intelligence-Based Remote-Sense Reflectance Prediction Model Using Long-Term GOCI Data (장기 GOCI 자료를 활용한 인공지능 기반 원격 반사도 예측 모델 개발)

  • Donguk Lee;Joo Hyung Ryu;Hyeong-Tae Jou;Geunho Kwak
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.39 no.6_2
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    • pp.1577-1589
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    • 2023
  • Recently, the necessity of predicting changes for monitoring ocean is widely recognized. In this study, we performed a time series prediction of remote-sensing reflectance (Rrs), which can indicate changes in the ocean, using Geostationary Ocean Color Imager (GOCI) data. Using GOCI-I data, we trained a multi-scale Convolutional Long-Short-Term-Memory (ConvLSTM) which is proposed in this study. Validation was conducted using GOCI-II data acquired at different periods from GOCI-I. We compared model performance with the existing ConvLSTM models. The results showed that the proposed model, which considers both spatial and temporal features, outperformed other models in predicting temporal trends of Rrs. We checked the temporal trends of Rrs learned by the model through long-term prediction results. Consequently, we anticipate that it would be available in periodic change detection.

Applying Ensemble Model for Identifying Uncertainty in the Species Distribution Models (종분포모형의 불확실성 확인을 위한 앙상블모형 적용)

  • Kwon, Hyuk Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.47-52
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    • 2014
  • Species distribution models have been widely applied in order to assess biodiversity, design reserve, manage habitat and predict climate change. However, SDMs has been used restrictively to the public and policy sectors owing to model uncertainty. Recent studies on ensemble and consensus models have been increased to reduce model uncertainty. This paper was carried out single model and multi model for Corylopsis coreana and compares two models. First, model evaluation was used AUC, kappa and TSS. TSS was the most effective method because it was easy to compare several models and convert binary maps. Second, both single and ensemble model show good performance and RF, Maxent and GBM was evaluated higher, GAM and SRE was evaluated lower relatively. Third, ensemble model tended to overestimate over single model. This problem can be solved by the suitable model selection and weighting through collaboration between field experts and modeler. Finally, we should identify causes and magnitude of model uncertainty and improve data quality and model methods in order to apply special decision-making support system and conservation planning, and when we make policy decisions using SDMs, we should recognize uncertainty and risk.

Distribution of Organic Matter and $Al_o+1/2Fe_o$ Contents in Soils Using Principal Component and Multiple Regression Analysis in Jeju Island (주성분분석 및 다중회귀분석에 의한 제주도 토양유기물 및 $Al_o+1/2Fe_o$ 함량 분포)

  • Moon, Kyung-Hwan;Lim, Han-Cheol;Hyun, Hae-Nam
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.43 no.5
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    • pp.748-754
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    • 2010
  • The contents of soil organic matter (SOM) and $Al_o+1/2Fe_o$ in soils are important criteria for the classification of new Andisols in Soil Taxonomy system. There are many soil types in Jeju Island with various soil forming environments. This paper was conducted to estimate the contents of soil organic matter and the content of ammonium oxalate extracted Al and Fe ($Al_o+1/2Fe_o$) using various environmental variables and to make soil property maps using a statistical analyses. The soil samples were collected from 321 locations and analyzed to measure the contents of SOM and $Al_o+1/2Fe_o$. It was analyzed the relationships among them and various environmental variables such as temperature, precipitation, net primary product, radiation, evapotranspiration, altitude, soil forming energy, topographic wetness index, elevation, difference surrounded area, and distances from the shore and the peak. We can exclude multi-collinearity among environmental variables with principal component analysis and reduce all the variables to 3 principal components. The contents of SOM and $Al_o+1/2Fe_o$ were estimated by multiple regression models and maps of them were made using the models.

Analysis of the efficiency of natural ventilation in a multi-span greenhouse using CFD simulation (CFD 시뮬레이션을 이용한 연동형 온실 내 자연환기의 효율성 분석)

  • Short, Ted H.
    • Journal of Bio-Environment Control
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.9-18
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    • 1999
  • Natural ventilation in a four and one-half span, double polyethylene commercial greenhouse was investigated with actual data collected at Quailcrest Farm near Wooster, Ohio. Moreover, a computational fluid dynamics (CFD) numerical technique, FLUENT V4.3, was used to predict natural ventilation rates, thermal conditions, and airflow distributions in the greenhouse. The collected climate data showed that the multi-span greenhouse was well ventilated by the natural ventilation system during the typical summer weather conditions. The maximum recorded air temperature difference between inside and outside the greenhouse was 3.5$^{\circ}C$ during the hottest (34.7$^{\circ}C$) recorded sunny day; the air temperatures in the greenhouse were very uniform with the maximum temperature difference between six widely dispersed locations being only 1.7$^{\circ}C$. The CFD models predicted that air exchange rates were as high as 0.9 volume per minute (A.C. .min$^{-1}$ ) with 2.5m.s$^{-1}$ winds from the west as designed.

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Applicability Analysis on Estimation of Spectral Induced Polarization Parameters Based on Multi-objective Optimization (다중목적함수 최적화에 기초한 광대역 유도분극 변수 예측 적용성 분석)

  • Kim, Bitnarae;Jeong, Ju Yeon;Min, Baehyun;Nam, Myung Jin
    • Geophysics and Geophysical Exploration
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.99-108
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    • 2022
  • Among induced polarization (IP) methods, spectral IP (SIP) uses alternating current as a transmission source to measure amplitudes and phase of complex electrical resistivity at each source frequency, which disperse with respect to source frequencies. The frequency dependence, which can be explained by a relaxation model such as Cole-Cole model or equivalent models, is analyzed to estimate SIP parameters from dispersion curves of complex resistivity employing multi-objective optimization (MOO). The estimation uses a generic algorithm to optimize two objective functions minimizing data misfits of amplitude and phase based on Cole-Cole model, which is most widely used to explain IP relaxation effects. The MOO-based estimation properly recovered Cole-Cole model parameters for synthetic examples but hardly fitted for the real laboratory measures ones, which have relatively smaller values of phases (less than about 10 mrad). Discrepancies between scales for data misfits of amplitude and phase, used as parameters of MOO method, and it is in necessity to employ other methods such as machine learning, which can deal with the discrepancies, to estimate SIP parameters from dispersion curves of complex resistivity.

The effect of climate change on hydroelectric power generation of multipurpose dams according to SSP scenarios (SSP 시나리오에 따른 기후변화가 다목적댐 수력발전량에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Wang, Sizhe;Kim, Jiyoung;Kim, Yongchan;Kim, Dongkyun;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.57 no.7
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    • pp.481-491
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    • 2024
  • Recent droughts make hydroelectric power generation (HPG) decreasing. Due to climate change in the future, the frequency and intensity of drought are expected to increase, which will increase uncertainty of HPG in multi-purpose dams. Therefore, it is necessary to estimate the amount of HPG according to climate change scenarios and analyze the effect of drought on the amount of HPG. This study analyzed the future HPG of the Soyanggang Dam and Chungju Dam according to the SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios. Regression equations for HPG were developed based on the observed data of power generation discharge and HPG in the past provided by My Water, and future HPGs were estimated according to the SSP scenarios. The effect of drought on the amount of HPG was investigated based on the drought severity calculated using the standardized precipitation index (SPI). In this study, the future SPIs were calculated using precipitation data based on four GCM models (CanESM5, ACCESS-ESM1-5, INM-CM4-8, IPSL-CM6A) provided through the environmental big data platform. Overall results show that climate change had significant effects on the amount of HPG. In the case of Soyanggang Dam, the amount of HPG decreased in the SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios. Under the SSP2-4.5 scenario the CanESM model showed a 65% reduction in 2031, and under the SSP5-8.5 scenario the ACCESS-ESM1-5 model showed a 54% reduction in 2029. In the case of Chungju Dam, under the SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios the average monthly HPG compared to the reference period showed a decreasing trend except for INM-CM4 model.