• 제목/요약/키워드: model-assisted inference

검색결과 3건 처리시간 0.016초

Bayesian model updating for the corrosion fatigue crack growth rate of Ni-base alloy X-750

  • Yoon, Jae Young;Lee, Tae Hyun;Ryu, Kyung Ha;Kim, Yong Jin;Kim, Sung Hyun;Park, Jong Won
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제53권1호
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    • pp.304-313
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    • 2021
  • Nickel base Alloy X-750, which is used as fastener parts in light-water reactor (LWR), has experienced many failures by environmentally assisted cracking (EAC). In order to improve the reliability of passive components for nuclear power plants (NPP's), it is necessary to study the failure mechanism and to predict crack growth behavior by developing a probabilistic failure model. In this study, The Bayesian inference was employed to reduce the uncertainties contained in EAC modeling parameters that have been established from experiments with Alloy X-750. Corrosion fatigue crack growth rate model (FCGR) was developed by fitting into Paris' Law of measured data from the several fatigue tests conducted either in constant load or constant ΔK mode. These parameters characterizing the corrosion fatigue crack growth behavior of X-750 were successfully updated to reduce the uncertainty in the model by using the Bayesian inference method. It is demonstrated that probabilistic failure models for passive components can be developed by updating a laboratory model with field-inspection data, when crack growth rates (CGRs) are low and multiple inspections can be made prior to the component failure.

표본조사에서 일반회귀 추정량의 활용 (General Regression Estimators in Survey Sampling)

  • 김규성
    • 한국조사연구학회지:조사연구
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.49-70
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    • 2004
  • 표본조사에서 사용 가능한 보조변수가 있는 경우에 추정의 효율을 높이기 위하여 보조변수를 활용하는 방법이 다각적으로 개발되어 왔다. 이 논문은 보조변수를 효과적으로 이용하는 방법 중의 하나인 일반회귀추정량에 대한 개괄적인 고찰이다. 일반회귀추정량의 출현부터 분산추정법의 제안까지 이론전개 과정을 살펴보았으며, 보정추정량 및 QR추정량과의 관련성을 통하여 일반회귀추정량의 성질을 알아보았다. 특히 분산추정에서 통상적인 설계기반 분산추정량이 가지는 조건부 성질의 약점을 보완하기 위하여 가중잔차기법을 사용하는 과정을 살펴보았다. 층화표집이나 집략표집과 같은 복합설계에서 활용할 수 있는 일반회귀추정량의 형태를 소개하였고, 마지막으로 일반회귀추정량의 장단점, 그리고 향후 이론적인 발전방향 및 실용적인 발전방향을 언급하였다.

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마이크로 컴퓨터를 이용한 수학 교수.학습법 개발에 관한 연구 (On the Development of Microcomputer-Assisted Mathematics Teaching/Learning Method)

  • 김창동;이태욱
    • 한국수학교육학회지시리즈A:수학교육
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    • 제27권1호
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    • pp.15-23
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    • 1988
  • We are at the onset of a major revolution in education, a revolution unparalleled since the invention of the printing press. The computer will be the instrument of this revolution. Computers and computer application are everywhere these days. Everyone can't avoid the influence of the computer in today's world. The computer is no longer a magical, unfamiliar tool that is used only by researchers or scholars or scientists. The computer helps us do our jobs and even routine tasks more effectively and efficiently. More importantly, it gives us power never before available to solve complex problems. Mathematics instruction in secondary schools is frequently perceived to be more a amendable to the use of computers than are other areas of the school curriculum. This is based on the perception of mathematics as a subject with clearly defined objectives and outcomes that can be reliably measured by devices readily at hand or easily constructed by teachers or researchers. Because of this reason, the first large-scale computerized curriculum projects were in mathematics, and the first educational computer games were mathematics games. And now, the entire mathematics curriculum appears to be the first of the traditional school curriculum areas to be undergoing substantial trasformation because of computers. Recently, many research-Institutes of our country are going to study on computers in orders to use it in mathematics education, but the study is still start ing-step. In order to keep abreast of this trend necessity, and to enhance mathematics teaching/learning which is instructed lecture-based teaching/learning at the present time, this study aims to develop/present practical method of computer-using. This is devided into three methods. 1. Programming teaching/learning method This part is presented the following five types which can teach/learn the mathematical concepts and principle through concise program. (Type 1) Complete a program. (Type 2) Know the given program's content and predict the output. (Type 3) Write a program of the given flow-chart and solve the problem. (Type 4) Make an inference from an error message, find errors and correct them. (Type 5) Investigate complex mathematical fact through program and annotate a program. 2. Problem-solving teaching/learning method solving This part is illustrated how a computer can be used as a tool to help students solve realistic mathematical problems while simultaneously reinforcing their understanding of problem-solving processes. Here, four different problems are presented. For each problem, a four-stage problem-solving model of polya is given: Problem statement, Problem analysis, Computer program, and Looking back/Looking ahead. 3. CAI program teaching/learning method This part is developed/presented courseware of sine theorem section (Mathematics I for high school) in order to avail individualized learning or interactive learning with teacher. (Appendix I, II)

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