• Title/Summary/Keyword: model samples

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Bayes Estimation for the Rayleigh Failure Model

  • Ko, Jeong-Hwan;Kang, Sang-Gil;Shin, Jae-Kyoung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.227-235
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, we consider a hierarchical Bayes estimation of the parameter, the reliability and hazard rate function based on type-II censored samples from a Rayleigh failure model. Bayes calculations can be implemented easily by means of the Gibbs sampler. A numerical study is provided.

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Quantitative microbial risk assessment of Campylobacter jejuni in jerky in Korea

  • Ha, Jimyeong;Lee, Heeyoung;Kim, Sejeong;Lee, Jeeyeon;Lee, Soomin;Choi, Yukyung;Oh, Hyemin;Yoon, Yohan
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.274-281
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    • 2019
  • Objective: The objective of this study was to estimate the risk of Campylobacter jejuni (C. jejuni) infection from various jerky products in Korea. Methods: For the exposure assessment, the prevalence and predictive models of C. jejuni in the jerky and the temperature and time of the distribution and storage were investigated. In addition, the consumption amounts and frequencies of the products were also investigated. The data for C. jejuni for the prevalence, distribution temperature, distribution time, consumption amount, and consumption frequency were fitted with the @RISK fitting program to obtain appropriate probabilistic distributions. Subsequently, the dose-response models for Campylobacter were researched in the literature. Eventually, the distributions, predictive model, and dose-response model were used to make a simulation model with @RISK to estimate the risk of C. jejuni foodborne illness from the intake of jerky. Results: Among 275 jerky samples, there were no C. jejuni positive samples, and thus, the initial contamination level was statistically predicted with the RiskUniform distribution [RiskUniform (-2, 0.48)]. To describe the changes in the C. jejuni cell counts during distribution and storage, the developed predictive models with the Weibull model (primary model) and polynomial model (secondary model) were utilized. The appropriate probabilistic distribution was the BetaGeneral distribution, and it showed that the average jerky consumption was 51.83 g/d with a frequency of 0.61%. The developed simulation model from this data series and the dose-response model (Beta Poisson model) showed that the risk of C. jejuni foodborne illness per day per person from jerky consumption was $1.56{\times}10^{-12}$. Conclusion: This result suggests that the risk of C. jejuni in jerky could be considered low in Korea.

근적외 분광분석법을 이용한 황색종 잎담배의 화학성분 분석

  • 김용옥;이경구;장기철;김기환
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Tobacco Science
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.183-190
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    • 1998
  • This study was conducted to analyze chemical components in flue-cured tobacco using near infrared spectroscopy(NIRS). Samples were collected in '96 and '97 crop year and were scanned in the wavelengths of 400 ~ 2500 nm by near infrared analyzer(NIRSystem Co., Model 6500). Calibration equations were developed and then analyzed flue-cured samples by NIRS. The standard error of calibration(SEC) and performance (SEP) of '96 crop year samples between NIRS and standard laboratory analysis(SLA) were 0.18% and 0.24% for nicotine, 1.60% and 1.77% for total sugar, 0.13% and 0.15% for total nitrogen, 0.58% and 0.68% for crude ash, 0.23% and 0.28% for ether extracts, and 0.09% and 0.08% for chlorine, respectively. The coefficient of determination($R^2$) of calibration and prediction samples between NIRS and SLA of '96 crop year samples was 0.94~0.99 and 0.83~0.97 depending on chemical components, respectively. The SEC and SEP of '97 crop year samples were similar to those of '96 crop year samples. The SEP of '97 crop year samples which were analyzed using '96 calibration equation was 0.32 % for nicotine, 2.72% for total sugar, 0.14 % for total nitrogen, 1.00 % for crude ash, 0.48 for ether extracts and 0.17% for chlorine, respectively. The prediction result was more accurate when calibration and prediction samples were produced in the same crop year than those of the different crop year. The SEP of '96 and '97 crop year samples using calibration equation which was developed '96 plus '97 crop year samples was similar to that of '96 crop year samples using 96 calibration equation and that of '97 crop year samples using '97 calibration equation, respectively. The SEP of '97 crop year samples using calibration equation which was developed '96 plus '97 crop year samples was lower than that of '97 crop year samples analyzed by '96 calibration equation. To improve the analytical inaccuracy caused by the difference of crop year between calibration and prediction samples, we need to include the prediction sample spectra which are different from calibration sample spectra in recalibration sample spectra, and then develop recalibration equation. Although the analytical result using NIR is not as good as SLA, the chemical component analysis using NIR can apply to tobacco leaves, leaf process or tobacco manufacturing process which demand the rapid analytical result.

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Development of Calibration Model for Firmness Evaluation of Apple Fruit using Near-infrared Reflectance Spectroscopy (사과 경도의 비파괴측정을 위한 검량식 개발 및 정확도 향상을 위한 연구)

  • 손미령;조래광
    • Food Science and Preservation
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 1999
  • Using Fuji apple fruits cultivated in Kyungpook prefecture, the calibration model for firmness evaluation of fruits by near infrared(NIR) reflectance spectroscopy was developed, and the various influence factors such as instrument variety, measuring method, sample group, apple peel and selection of firmness point were investigated. Spectra of sample were recorded in wavelength range of 1100∼2500nm using NIR spectrometer (InfraAlyzer 500), and data were analyzed by stepwise multiple linear regression of IDAS program. The accuracy of calibration model was the highest when using sample group with wide range, and the firmness mean values obtained in graph by texture analyser(TA) were used as standard data. Chemometrics models were developed using a calibration set of 324 samples and an independent validation set of 216 samples to evaluate the predictive ability of the models. The correlation coefficients and standard error of prediction were 0.84 and 0.094kg, respectively. Using developed calibration model, it was possible to monitor the firmness change of fruits during storage frequently. Time, which was reached to firmness high value in graph by TA, is possible to use as new parameter for freshness of fruit surface during storage.

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Dehydration Kinetics of Rehmannia (Rehmannia glutinosa Liboschitz)

  • Rhim, Jong-Whan;Kim, Ji-Hye;Jeong, Won-Chul
    • Food Science and Biotechnology
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.771-777
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    • 2007
  • Sliced and whole root of rehmannia were dehydrated in a laboratory dryer at 40, 60, 80, and $100^{\circ}C$ to evaluate the kinetic parameters for dehydration of rehmannia. The drying curves of both samples were characterized by a falling-rate drying period only. Sliced rehmannia dried 1.1 to 3.1 times faster than whole root of rehmannia depending on drying temperature. Equilibrium moisture content (EMC) of rehmannia samples at the drying temperature tested were 0.069-0.078 g water/g dry solid, which was coincided with the monolayer moisture content (0.06 and 0.07 g water/g dry solid) evaluated from desorption isotherms using GAB (Guggenheim-Anderson-de Boer) model. A logarithmic model for thin layer drying was applied to evaluate the drying time to reach EMC ($t_{EMC}$) and drying constant (k). The effect of temperature on $1/t_{EMC}$ and k was described by the Arrhenius model with activation energy values of 32.56 and 47.14 kJ/mol determined using the former parameter, and 34.27 and 38.26 kJ/mol determined using the latter parameter for sliced and whole root of rehmannia, respectively.

Experimental investigation of predicting rockburst using Bayesian model

  • Wang, Chunlai;Chuai, Xiaosheng;Shi, Feng;Gao, Ansen;Bao, Tiancai
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.1153-1160
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    • 2018
  • Rockbursts, catastrophic events involving the violent release of elastic energy stored in rock features, remain a worldwide challenge for geoengineering. Especially at deep-mining sites, rockbursts can occur in hard, high-stress, brittle rock zones, and the associated risk depends on such factors as mining activity and the stress on surrounding rocks. Rockbursts are often sudden and destructive, but there is still no unified standard for predicting them. Based on previous studies, a new Bayesian multi-index model was introduced to predict and evaluate rockbursts. In this method, the rock strength index, energy release index, and surrounding rock stress are the basic factors. Values from 18 rock samples were obtained, and the potential rockburst risks were evaluated. The rockburst tendencies of the samples were modelled using three existing methods. The results were compared with those obtained by the new Bayesian model, which was observed to predict rockbursts more effectively than the current methods.

Bayesian Variable Selection in Linear Regression Models with Inequality Constraints on the Coefficients (제한조건이 있는 선형회귀 모형에서의 베이지안 변수선택)

  • 오만숙
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.73-84
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    • 2002
  • Linear regression models with inequality constraints on the coefficients are frequently used in economic models due to sign or order constraints on the coefficients. In this paper, we propose a Bayesian approach to selecting significant explanatory variables in linear regression models with inequality constraints on the coefficients. Bayesian variable selection requires computation of posterior probability of each candidate model. We propose a method which computes all the necessary posterior model probabilities simultaneously. In specific, we obtain posterior samples form the most general model via Gibbs sampling algorithm (Gelfand and Smith, 1990) and compute the posterior probabilities by using the samples. A real example is given to illustrate the method.

Supervised-learning-based algorithm for color image compression

  • Liu, Xue-Dong;Wang, Meng-Yue;Sa, Ji-Ming
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.42 no.2
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    • pp.258-271
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    • 2020
  • A correlation exists between luminance samples and chrominance samples of a color image. It is beneficial to exploit such interchannel redundancy for color image compression. We propose an algorithm that predicts chrominance components Cb and Cr from the luminance component Y. The prediction model is trained by supervised learning with Laplacian-regularized least squares to minimize the total prediction error. Kernel principal component analysis mapping, which reduces computational complexity, is implemented on the same point set at both the encoder and decoder to ensure that predictions are identical at both the ends without signaling extra location information. In addition, chrominance subsampling and entropy coding for model parameters are adopted to further reduce the bit rate. Finally, luminance information and model parameters are stored for image reconstruction. Experimental results show the performance superiority of the proposed algorithm over its predecessor and JPEG, and even over JPEG-XR. The compensation version with the chrominance difference of the proposed algorithm performs close to and even better than JPEG2000 in some cases.

Analysis on Food Waste Compost by Near Infrared Reflectance Spectroscopy(NIRS) (Near Infrared Reflectance Spectroscopy(NIRS)에 의한 음식물 쓰레기 퇴비 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Lee Hyo-Won;Kil Dong-Yong
    • Korean Journal of Organic Agriculture
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.281-289
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    • 2005
  • In order to find out an alternative way of analysis of food waste compost, the Near Infrared Reflectance Spectroscopy(NIRS) was used for the compost assessment because the technics has been known as non-detructive, cost-effective and rapid method. One hundred thirty six compost samples were collected from Incheon food waste compost factory at Namdong Indurial Complex. The samples were analyzed for nitrogen, organic matter (OM), ash, P, and K using Kjedahl, ignition method, and acid extraction with spectrophotometer, respectively. The samples were scanned using FOSS NIRSystem of Model 6500 scanning mono-chromator with wavelength from $400\~2,400nm$ at 2nm interval. Modified partial Least Squares(MPLS) was applied to develop the most reliable calibration model between NIR spectra and sample components such as nitrogen, ash, OM, P, and K. The regression was validated using validation set(n=30). Multiple correlation coefficient($R^2$) and standard error of prediction(SEP) for nitrogen, ash, organic matter, OM/N ratio, P and K were 0.87, 0.06, 0.72, 1.07, 0.68, 1.05, 0.89, 0.31, 0.77, 0.06, and 0.64, 0.07, respectively. The results of this experiment indicates that NIRS is reliable analytical method to assess some components of feed waste compost, also suggests that feasibility of NIRS can be Justified in case of various sample collection around the year.

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Inspection method of BGA Ball Using 5-step Ring Illumination (5층 링 조명에 의한 BGA 볼의 검사 방법)

  • Kim, Jong Hyeong;Nguyen, Chanh D.Tr.
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.21 no.12
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    • pp.1115-1121
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    • 2015
  • Fast inspection of solder ball bumps in ball grid array (BGA) is an important issue in the flip chip bonding technology. Particularly, semiconductor industry has required faster and more accurate inspection of micron-size solder bumps in flip chip bonding, as the density of balls increase dramatically. In this paper, we describe an inspection approach of BGA balls by using 5-step ring illumination device and normalized cross-correlation (NCC) method. The images of BGA ball by the illumination device show unique and distinguishable characteristic contours by their 3-D shapes, which are called as "iso-slope contours". Template images of reference ball samples can be produced artificially by the hybrid reflectance model and 3D data of balls. NCC values between test and template samples are very robust and reliable under well-structured condition. The 200 samples on real wafer are tested and show good practical feasibility of the proposed method.