• 제목/요약/키워드: model input uncertainty

검색결과 273건 처리시간 0.033초

B2B 전자제품 수요예측 모형 : PC시장 사례 (Demand Forecasting for B2B Electronic Products : The Case of Personal Computer Market)

  • 문정웅;장남식;조우제
    • 한국IT서비스학회지
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.185-197
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    • 2015
  • As the uncertainty of demand in B2B electronics market has increased, firms need a strong method to estimate the market demand. An accurate prediction on the market demand is crucial for a firm not to overproduce or underproduce its goods, which would influence the performance of the firm. However, it is complicated to estimate the demand in a B2B market, particularly for the private sector, because firms are very diverse in terms of size, industry, and types of business. This study proposes both qualitative and quantitative demand forecasting approaches for B2B PC products. Four different measures for predicting PC products in B2B market with consideration of the different PC uses-personal work, common work, promotion, and welfare-are developed as the qualitative model's input variables. These measures are verified by survey data collected from experts in 139 firms, and can be applied when individual firms estimate the demand of PC goods in a B2B market. As the quantitative approach, the multiple regression model is proposed and it includes variables of region, type of industry, and size of the firm. The regression model can be applied when the aggregated demand for overall domestic PC market needs to be estimated.

분포형 강우-유출 모형의 입력자료 해상도에 따른 유출변동 연구 (Study on Runoff Variation by Spatial Resolution of Input GIS Data by using Distributed Rainfall-Runoff Model)

  • 정충길;문장원;이동률
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제47권9호
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    • pp.767-776
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    • 2014
  • 최근 기후변화에 의한 기상이변이 발생하고 국지적 집중호우로 인한 홍수피해가 심각하게 증가하고 있다. 이러한 피해를 경감하기 위한 방법으로 정확한 홍수유출량 예측을 통한 홍수예경보 구축이 필요시 된다. 정확한 홍수유출량 예측을 위해 수문기상학적 요소와 특성인자들의 정확한 상호 연관성 규명과 공간적 변동성 해석은 강우-유출 모형에서 발생하는 불확실성을 감소시키는데 중요한 요소로 작용하게 된다. 본 연구에서는 정확한 홍수유출량을 산정하기 위한 강우-유출모형을 이용한 입력자료의 해상도에 따른 불확실성을 감소시키기 위해 강우격자 해상도와 지형인자 격자 해상도에 따라 강우-유출모형이 어떻게 반응하는지 분석하였다. 분포형 강우-유출 모형인 GRM 모형을 이용하여 내성천 및 감천 유역을 대상으로 이벤트를 산정하여 홍수유출 모의 및 검증을 실시하였다. GRM 모형 구성을 위한 입력자료(강우, DEM, 토지이용도, 토양도)의 해상도 격자크기는 500m 격자크기를 기본으로 각각 1 km, 2 km, 5 km, 10 km, 12 km 격자크기의 지형자료를 사용하여 유출모의를 실시하고 유출량 변화를 모의하였다. 입력자료별 모의결과로 DEM의 분석결과는 모든 시험유역에서 공통적으로 DEM의 격자크기가 증가할수록 첨두유량과 총유출량이 일정하게 감소하는 경향을 나타내고 있다. 나머지 입력자료로 토지이용 및 토양도에 격자크기에 따른 모의결과는 DEM과는 상반되게 일정한 경향성을 나타나지 않는 것으로 분석되었다. 특히 일정한 경향성이 나타나는 DEM의 분석결과는 DEM의 격자크기가 증가할수록 수평거리가 증가하여 경사도는 감소하는 특징으로 인해 나타나는 결과인 것으로 판단된다.

속도관측기를 활용한 영구자석동기전동기의 적응 백스테핑 제어기 설계 (Adaptive Backstepping Controller Design for a Permanent Magnet Synchronous Motor using Speed Observer)

  • 현근호;양해원
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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    • 제9권5호
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    • pp.347-353
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    • 2003
  • A nonlinear speed controller for a surface mounted permanent magnet synchronous motor (PMSM) based on a newly developed adaptive backstepping approach is presented To compensate parameter uncertainties and load torque disturbance, a nonlinear adaptive backstepping control law and adaptive law are derived systematically through virtual control input and suitable Lyapunov function. Also, speed observer without using costly speed sensor is presented. Simulation results show that the proposed controller can observe the speed and track the reference speed signal generated by a reference model.

An Orbit Robust Control Based on Linear Matrix Inequalities

  • Prieto, D.;Bona, B.
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2004년도 ICCAS
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    • pp.454-459
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    • 2004
  • This paper considers the problem of satellite's orbit control and a solution based in Linear Matrix Inequalities (LMI) is proposed for the case of Low Earth Orbiters (LEO). In particular, the modelling procedure and the algorithm for control law synthesis are tested using as study case the European Gravity Field and Ocean Circulation Explorer satellite (GOCE), to be launched by the European Space Agency (ESA) in the year 2006. The scientific objective of this space mission is the recovering of the Earth gravity field with high accuracy (less than 10${\mu}m$/${\mu}m$) and spatial resolution (better than 100km). In order to meet these scientific requirements, the orbit control must guarantee stringent specifications in terms of environmental disturbances attenuation (atmospheric drag forces) even in presence of high levels of model uncertainty.

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Neural Network-based Decision Class Analysis with Incomplete Information

  • Kim, Jae-Kyeong;Lee, Jae-Kwang;Park, Kyung-Sam
    • 한국데이타베이스학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국데이타베이스학회 1999년도 춘계공동학술대회: 지식경영과 지식공학
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    • pp.281-287
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    • 1999
  • Decision class analysis (DCA) is viewed as a classification problem where a set of input data (situation-specific knowledge) and output data (a topological leveled influence diagram (ID)) is given. Situation-specific knowledge is usually given from a decision maker (DM) with the help of domain expert(s). But it is not easy for the DM to know the situation-specific knowledge of decision problem exactly. This paper presents a methodology fur sensitivity analysis of DCA under incomplete information. The purpose of sensitivity analysis in DCA is to identify the effects of incomplete situation-specific frames whose uncertainty affects the importance of each variable in the resulting model. For such a purpose, our suggested methodology consists of two procedures: generative procedure and adaptive procedure. An interactive procedure is also suggested based the sensitivity analysis to build a well-formed ID. These procedures are formally explained and illustrated with a raw material purchasing problem.

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FNPPI 제어기를 이용한 유도전동기 드라이브의 고성능 제어 (High Performance Control of Induction Motor Drive using FNPPI Controller)

  • 이진국;고재섭;강성준;장미금;김순영;문주희;정동화
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2011년도 제42회 하계학술대회
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    • pp.1097-1098
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    • 2011
  • This paper proposes high performance control of induction motor drive using fuzzy neural network precompensation PI(FNPPI) controller. To apply industrial processes, control methods is requested technique that can be demonstrate high performance and robust about load disturbance, parameter variation and uncertainty of model, etc. The PI controller dose not show satisfactory performance due to fixed gain. Therefore, this paper proposes FNPPI which is adjusted input values of PI controller according to operating conditions of motor by FNN controller mixed neural network and fuzzy. And this paper proves validity of proposed control algorithm through result analysis.

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Neural Network-based Decision Class Analysis with Incomplete Information

  • 김재경;이재광;박경삼
    • 한국지능정보시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지능정보시스템학회 1999년도 춘계공동학술대회-지식경영과 지식공학
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    • pp.281-287
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    • 1999
  • Decision class analysis (DCA) is viewed as a classification problem where a set of input data (situation-specific knowledge) and output data(a topological leveled influence diagram (ID)) is given. Situation-specific knowledge is usually given from a decision maker (DM) with the help of domain expert(s). But it is not easy for the DM to know the situation-specific knowledge of decision problem exactly. This paper presents a methodology for sensitivity analysis of DCA under incomplete information. The purpose of sensitivity analysis in DCA is to identify the effects of incomplete situation-specific frames whose uncertainty affects the importance of each variable in the resulting model. For such a purpose, our suggested methodology consists of two procedures: generative procedure and adaptive procedure. An interactive procedure is also suggested based the sensitivity analysis to build a well-formed ID. These procedures are formally explained and illustrated with a raw material purchasing problem.

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2자유도 서보제어기를 이용한 크레인의 Anti-sway 제어 (Anti-sway Control for Crane System Using Two Degree of Freedom Servo Controller)

  • 이진우;여태경;김환성;김상봉
    • 한국정밀공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정밀공학회 1995년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.555-558
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    • 1995
  • In designing the anti-sway controller for crane system in the industrial field, one of the basic problem is to keep the stability of system, even if the mathematical model of the plant is not exact and disturbance exists. Form this point of view, a two-degree-of-freedom(2DOF) servo controller effact to the system in which the integral compensation is effctive only when a modeling error and/or a disturbance input exist. In this paper, the change of load weight and variation of wire rope length considered as the structured uncertainty, and design the 2DOF servo contorller using independently the informations of reference signal and control output with both feedforward and feedback. The effectivenss is proved through the results for the anti-sway system in the system with the position control of trolley.

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Statically compensated modal approximation of a class of distributed parameters systems

  • Imai, Jun;Wada, Kiyoshi;Sagara, Setsuo
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 1995년도 Proceedings of the Korea Automation Control Conference, 10th (KACC); Seoul, Korea; 23-25 Oct. 1995
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    • pp.416-419
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    • 1995
  • A finite-dimensional approximation technique is developed for a class of spectral systems with input and output operators which are unbounded. A corresponding bounding technique on the frequency-response error is also established for control system design. Our goal is to construct an uncertainty model including a nominal plant and its error bounds so that the results from robust linear control theory can be applied to guarantee a closed loop control performance. We demonstrate by numerical example that these techniques are applicable, with a modest computational burden, to a wide class of distributed parameter system plants.

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강인 내부루프 보상기를 이용한 슬라이딩 모드 제어기의 구조적 설계 (Structural Design of Sliding Mode Controllers Using Robust Inernal-Loop Compensator)

  • 김봉근;정완균
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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    • 제7권4호
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    • pp.351-361
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, a generalized framework called as robust internal-loop compensator(RIC) is presented, and by using this, a structural design method of sliding of sliding mode controller is proposed. First, a general sliding mode controller is derived and a stabilizing control input is designed based on Lyapunov redesign for the system in the presence of uncertainty and disturbance. And adopting the internal model following control, RIC is proposed. Next, using the structural characteristics of the proposed RIC, disturbance attenuation characteristics are analyzed and the performance of the closed-loop system is predicted. Through this analysis, it is shown that if the control gain of RIC is increased by N times, the magnitude of error is reduced to its 1/N. the proposed method is verified through experiments using a high-precision positioning system and the performance is evaluated.

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