• Title/Summary/Keyword: model factor

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Validation of a Model for Estimating Individual External Dose Based on Ambient Dose Equivalent and Life Patterns

  • Sato, Rina;Yoshimura, Kazuya;Sanada, Yukihisa;Sato, Tetsuro
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.77-85
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    • 2022
  • Background: After the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station (FDNPS) accident, a model was developed to estimate the external exposure doses for residents who were expected to return to their homes after evacuation orders were lifted. However, the model's accuracy and uncertainties in parameters used to estimate external doses have not been evaluated. Materials and Methods: The model estimates effective doses based on the integrated ambient dose equivalent (H*(10)) and life patterns, considering a dose reduction factor to estimate the indoor H*(10) and a conversion factor from H*(10) to the effective dose. Because personal dose equivalent (Hp(10)) has been reported to agree well with the effective dose after the FDNPS accident, this study validates the model's accuracy by comparing the estimated effective doses with Hp(10). The Hp(10) and life pattern data were collected for 36 adult participants who lived or worked near the FDNPS in 2019. Results and Discussion: The estimated effective doses correlated significantly with Hp(10); however, the estimated effective doses were lower than Hp(10) for indoor sites. A comparison with the measured indoor H*(10) showed that the estimated indoor H*(10) was not underestimated. However, the Hp(10) to H*(10) ratio indoors, which corresponds to the practical conversion factor from H*(10) to the effective dose, was significantly larger than the same ratio outdoors, meaning that the conversion factor of 0.6 is not appropriate for indoors due to the changes in irradiation geometry and gamma spectra. This could have led to a lower effective dose than Hp(10). Conclusion: The estimated effective doses correlated significantly with Hp(10), demonstrating the model's applicability for effective dose estimation. However, the lower value of the effective dose indoors could be because the conversion factor did not reflect the actual environment.

ARMA Model Identification Using the Bayes Factor

  • Son, Young-Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.503-513
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    • 1999
  • The Bayes factor for the identification of stationary ARM(p,q) models is exactly computed using the Monte Carlo method. As priors are used the uniform prior for (\ulcorner,\ulcorner) in its stationarity-invertibility region, the Jefferys prior and the reference prior that are noninformative improper for ($\mu$,$\sigma$\ulcorner).

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A Study on Load Distribution Factor Considering Plasticity of Ground (지반의 소성을 고려한 하중분담율 연구)

  • Kim Dong Wook;Jung Sang Kug;Yu Oh Shick;Lee Song
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2003.10b
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    • pp.411-416
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    • 2003
  • On the tunnel design, 3D model substituted for 2D model because of economic reason and time shortage. It is applied Load Distribution Factor, which is compared of displacement of tunnel crown, generally 50-25-25, 40-30-30 are used for tunnel design. Logicality about used Load Distribution Factor will investigated

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Utterance Verification Using Anti-models Based on Neighborhood Information (이웃 정보에 기초한 반모델을 이용한 발화 검증)

  • Yun, Young-Sun
    • MALSORI
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    • no.67
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    • pp.79-102
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, we investigate the relation between Bayes factor and likelihood ratio test (LRT) approaches and apply the neighborhood information of Bayes factor to building an alternate hypothesis model of the LRT system. To consider the neighborhood approaches, we contemplate a distance measure between models and algorithms to be applied. We also evaluate several methods to improve performance of utterance verification using neighborhood information. Among these methods, the system which adopts anti-models built by collecting mixtures of neighborhood models obtains maximum error rate reduction of 17% compared to the baseline, linear and weighted combination of neighborhood models.

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The Effect Analysis of Quality Considering Human Factor in a Single Lot Production System (단일 Lot 생산시스템에서의 Human Factor가 품질에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • 윤상원;윤석환;신용백
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.17 no.31
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    • pp.33-42
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    • 1994
  • This paper aims to analyse and appraise the effect of human performance to the variation of quality through constructing the dynamic recursive control model considering the human factor in a single production system. The model studied in this paper has a great advance from the point of combinating three technologies(quality control, automatic control theory, human engineering) and can also be expanded in several applications.

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Optimal Internet Worm Treatment Strategy Based on the Two-Factor Model

  • Yan, Xiefei;Zou, Yun
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.81-88
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    • 2008
  • The security threat posed by worms has steadily increased in recent years. This paper discusses the application of the optimal and sub-optimal Internet worm control via Pontryagin's maximum principle. To this end, a control variable representing the optimal treatment strategy for infectious hosts is introduced into the two-factor worm model. The numerical optimal control laws are implemented by the multiple shooting method and the sub-optimal solution is computed using genetic algorithms. Simulation results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed optimal and sub-optimal strategies. It also provides a theoretical interpretation of the practical experience that the maximum implementation of treatment in the early stage is critically important in controlling outbreaks of Internet worms. Furthermore, our results show that the proposed sub-optimal control can lead to performance close to the optimal control, but with much simpler strategies for long periods of time in practical use.

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Dynamic Reliability Model for Stability Analysis of Armor Units on Rubble-Mound Breakwater (경사제 피복재의 안정성 해석을 위한 동력학적 신뢰성 모형)

  • Lee, Cheol-Eung
    • Journal of Industrial Technology
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    • v.21 no.B
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    • pp.163-174
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    • 2001
  • A dynamic reliability model for analyzing the stability of armor units on rubble-mound breakwater is mathematically developed by using Hudson's formula and definition of single-failure mode. The probability density functions of resistance and loading functions are defined properly, the related parameters to those probability density functions are also estimated straightforwardly by the first-order analysis. It is found that probabilities of failure for the stability of armor units on rubble-mound breakwater are continuously increased as the service periods are elapsed, because of the occurrence of repeated loading of random magnitude by which the resistance may be deteriorated. In particular, the factor of safety is incorporated into the dynamic reliability model in order to evaluate the probability of failure as a function of factor of safety. It may thus be possible to take some informations for optimal design as well as managements and repairs of armor units on rubble-mound breakwater from the dynamic reliability analyses.

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Empirical Study of Multimodal Transport Route Choice Model in Freight Transport between Mongolia and Korea

  • Ganbat, Enkhtsetseg;Kim, Hwan-Seong
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.39 no.5
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    • pp.409-415
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    • 2015
  • According to the globalization of world economy on distribution and sales, logistics and transportation parts are playing an important role. Especially, they have to decide what is the key factor of route choice model and how to choose the right transport route in multimodal transport system. By considering the key factors in rote choice model for freight forwarders between Mongolia and Korea, this paper propose 4 main factors: Cost, Delivery time, Freight and Logistics service with 13 sub factors. The importance of factors is surveyed base on AHP through interview with freight forwarders. In results, the empirical insights about current status of Mongolian forwarders are provided with different factors between transportation modes. Expecially, the Time factor is a role factor to choose transport route for air transportation forwarders.

Estimation of Environmental Characteristics for Deep Ocean Water Development Site Using Ecological Model (생태모델을 이용한 해상형 해양심층수 사업해역의 환경 특성 평가)

  • Kim, Dong-Myung
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.20 no.7
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    • pp.919-927
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    • 2011
  • A ecosystem model was applied for understanding of circulation process of state variables in marine ecosystem. A mass balance was conducted by calculating the physical process. The sensitivity analysis was conducted to know which coefficient is the most effective factor to the state variables in the model. The results of the mass balance indicate that the primary production was 58.6 ton C/day in the case of mass flux. DIN and DIP in nutrient ingestion of phytoplankton were each 7.9 ton N/day, 1.1 ton P/day. POC and DOC in mineralization of organic matter were each 10.8 ton C/day, 40.6 ton C/day. The results of sensitivity analysis showed that the maximum growth rate of phytoplankton was the most important factor for overall state variables. In the case of nutrients, Half saturation constant of DIN, and mineralization rate of DOM for COD were important factor.

User Adoption Model under Service Competitive Market Structure for Next-Generation Media Services

  • Jeon, Hyo-Ri;Shin, Yong-Hee;Choi, Mun-Kee;Rho, Jae-Jeung;Kim, Myung-Seuk
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.110-120
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    • 2011
  • As information technology rapidly develops and the period required to enter new technology shortens, there emerges a wide variety of alternatives for consumers. When there are many alternatives in the market, users choose after making comparisons. This process of making comparisons is our research key. We established a research model to find a mixed effect that comes from new attitudes to technology adoption and alternative's continuous usage intention. The effect is revealed through a relative attractiveness (RA) factor to explain a user's process of comparison. We empirically test our research model in the new media services, such as mobile TV, web TV, and mobile IPTV. According to our research results, a continuous usage intention of an existing technology is an important factor to explain the adoption of a new technology. So, the contribution of our research is in finding a role for the RA factor in research in new technology adoption.