• Title/Summary/Keyword: mixture of distributions

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Comparison of Three Parameter Estimation Methods for Mixture Distributions (혼합분포모형의 매개변수 추정방법 비교)

  • Shin, Ju-Young;Kim, Sooyoung;Kim, Taereem;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.45-45
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    • 2017
  • 상이한 자연현상으로 발생된 자료들은 때때로 통계적으로 다른 특성을 가지는 경우가 있다. 이런 자료들은 다른 두 개 이상의 모집단에서 자료가 발생한 것으로 가정할 수 가 있다. 기존에 널리 사용되어온 분포형 모형의 경우 단일한 모집단으로부터 자료가 발생한다는 가정하에서 개발된 모형들로 위에서 언급한 자료들을 적절히 모의할 수 없다. 이런 상이한 모집단에서 발생된 자료를 모형화 하기 위해서 혼합분포모형(mixture distribution)이 개발되었다. 홍수나 가뭄 등과 같은 극치 사상의 경우 다양한 자연현상들로부터 발생하기에 혼합분포모형을 적용할 경우 보다 정확한 모의가 가능하다. 혼합분포모형은 두 개 이상의 비혼합분포모형들을 가중합하여 만들어진다. 혼합 분포모형의 형태로 인하여 기존의 분포형 모형의 매개변수 추정 모형으로 널리 사용되던 최우도법 (maximum likelihood method), 모멘트법(method of moment), 확률가중모멘트법 (probability weighted moment method) 등을 이용하여 혼합분포모형의 매개변수를 추정하는 것이 용이 하지 않다. 혼합분포모형의 매개변수 추정 방법으로는 Expectation-Maximization (EM) 알고리즘, Meta-Heuristic Maximum Likelihood (MHML) 방법, Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) 방법 등이 적용되고 있다. 현재까지 수자원 분야에서 사용되는 극치 자료를 혼합분포모형을 이용하여 모의할 때 매개변수 추정방법에 따른 특성에 대한 연구가 진행되지 않았다. 본 연구에서는 우리나라 연최대강우량 자료를 이용하여 혼합분포모형의 매개변수 추정방법 (EM 알고리즘, MHML 방법, MCMC 방법) 들의 특성들을 비교 분석하였다. 혼합분포모형으로는 Gumbel-Gumbel 혼합분포 모형을 적용하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 향후 혼합분포모형을 이용한 연구에 좋은 기초자료로 사용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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The Critical Pigment Volume Concentration Concept for Paper Coatings: II. Later-Bound Clay; Ground Calcium Carbonate, and Clay- carbonate Pigment Coatings

  • Lee, Do-Ik
    • Journal of Korea Technical Association of The Pulp and Paper Industry
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.18-38
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    • 2002
  • A previous study on the model coatings based on latex-bound plastic pigment coatings (1) has been extended to latex-bound No. 1 clay, ultra-fine ground calcium carbonate (UFGCC), and clay-carbonate pigment mixture coatings, which are being widely used in the paper industry. The latex binder used was a good film-forming, monodisperse S/B latex or 0.15$\mu\textrm{m}$. No. 1 clay was representative of plate-like pigment particles, whereas UFGCC was of somewhat rounded rhombohedral pigment particlel. Both of them had negatively skewed triangular particle size distributions having the mean particle suet of 0.7${\mu}{\textrm}{m}$ and 0.6$\mu\textrm{m}$, respectively. Their packing volumes were found to be 62.5% and 657%, respectively. while their critical pigment volume concentrations (CPVC's) were determined to be 52.7% and 50.5% ( average of 45% caused by the incompatibility and 55.9% extrapolated) by coating porosity, respectively. Each pigment/latex coating system has shown its unique relationship between coating properties and pigment concentrations, especially above its CPVC. Notably, the clay/latex coating system hat shown higher coating porosity than the UFGCC/latex system at high pigment concentrations above their respective CPVC's. It was also found that their coating porosity and gloss were inter-related to each other above the CPVC's, as predicted by the theory. More interestingly, the blends of these two pigments have shown unique rheological and coating properties which may explain why such pigment blends are widely used in the industry. These findings have suggested that the unique structure of clay coatings and the unique high-shear rheology of ground calcium carbonate coatings can be judiciously combined to achieve superior coatings. Importantly, the low-shear viscosity of the blends was indicative of their unique packing and coating structure, whereas their high-shear rheology was represented by a common mixing rule, i.e., a viscosity-averaging. Transmission and scanning electron and atomic force microscopes were used to probe the state of pigment / latex dispersions, coating surfaces, freeze fractured coating cross-sections, and coating surface topography. These microscopic studies complemented the above observations. In addition, the ratio, R, of CPVC/(Pigment Packing Volume) has been proposed as a measure of the binder efficiency for a given pigment or pigment mixtures or as a measure of binder-pigment interactions. Also, a mathematical model has been proposed to estimate the packing volumes of clay and ground calcium carbonate pigments with their respective particle size distributions. As well known in the particle packing, the narrower the particle size distributions, the lower the packing volumes and the greater the coating porosity, regardless of particle shapes.

Impact of Heterogeneous Dispersion Parameter on the Expected Crash Frequency (이질적 과분산계수가 기대 교통사고건수 추정에 미치는 영향)

  • Shin, Kangwon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.15 no.9
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    • pp.5585-5593
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    • 2014
  • This study tested the hypothesis that the significance of the heterogeneous dispersion parameter in safety performance function (SPF) used to estimate the expected crashes is affected by the endogenous heterogeneous prior distributions, and analyzed the impacts of the mis-specified dispersion parameter on the evaluation results for traffic safety countermeasures. In particular, this study simulated the Poisson means based on the heterogeneous dispersion parameters and estimated the SPFs using both the negative binomial (NB) model and the heterogeneous negative binomial (HNB) model for analyzing the impacts of the model mis-specification on the mean and dispersion functions in SPF. In addition, this study analyzed the characteristics of errors in the crash reduction factors (CRFs) obtained when the two models are used to estimate the posterior means and variances, which are essentially estimated through the estimated hyper-parameters in the heterogeneous prior distributions. The simulation study results showed that a mis-estimation on the heterogeneous dispersion parameters through the NB model does not affect the coefficient of the mean functions, but the variances of the prior distribution are seriously mis-estimated when the NB model is used to develop SPFs without considering the heterogeneity in dispersion. Consequently, when the NB model is used erroneously to estimate the prior distributions with heterogeneous dispersion parameters, the mis-estimated posterior mean can produce large errors in CRFs up to 120%.

Vibration analysis of functionally graded nanocomposite plate moving in two directions

  • Arani, Ali Ghorbanpour;Haghparast, Elham;Zarei, Hassan BabaAkbar
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.529-541
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    • 2017
  • In the present study, vibration analysis of functionally graded carbon nanotube reinforced composite (FGCNTRC) plate moving in two directions is investigated. Various types of shear deformation theories are utilized to obtain more accurate and simplest theory. Single-walled carbon nanotubes (SWCNTs) are selected as a reinforcement of composite face sheets inside Poly methyl methacrylate (PMMA) matrix. Moreover, different kinds of distributions of CNTs are considered. Based on extended rule of mixture, the structural properties of composite face sheets are considered. Motion equations are obtained by Hamilton's principle and solved analytically. Influences of various parameters such as moving speed in x and y directions, volume fraction and distribution of CNTs, orthotropic viscoelastic surrounding medium, thickness and aspect ratio of composite plate on the vibration characteristics of moving system are discussed in details. The results indicated that thenatural frequency or stability of FGCNTRC plate is strongly dependent on axially moving speed. Moreover, a better configuration of the nanotube embedded in plate can be used to increase the critical speed, as a result, the stability is improved. The results of this investigation can be used in design and manufacturing of marine vessels and aircrafts.

Measurements of $^{224}Ra\;and\;^{223}Ra$ in the Nakdong River estuary and the South Sea of Korea

  • Hwang, Dong-Woon;Kim, Gue-Buem;Yang, Han-Soeb
    • Journal of the korean society of oceanography
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.80-86
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    • 2003
  • The horizontal distributions of $^{224}Ra$ (half life=3.4 days) and $^{223}Ra$ (half life=11.3 days) were measured in surface seawaters of the Nakdong River estuary and the South Sea of Korea in April and October 2002. In order to determine these short-lived Ra isotopes, we used a delayed coincidence counter which is much more rapid and accurate than traditional methods. In an estuarine mixing zone (salinity, ~l6 ppt), the activities of $^{224}Ra\;and\;^{223}Ra$ were much greater than what would be expected from a mixture of freshwater and seawater in the Nakdong River estuary. This excess Ra may be a result of Ra desorption from fresh sediments originating from the river upstream. However, in the more open areas of the Nakdong River estuary (salinity>30 ppt) and the South Sea of Korea, $^{224}Ra\;and\;^{^{223}Ra$ activities decreased exponentially as a function of distance offshore. Using the decrease of $^{223}Ra$ with distance offshore in the South Sea of Korea, we estimated the apparent horizontal eddy diffusivities. The apparent eddy diffusion coefficients in South Sea of Korea are calculated to be approximately $3500-8000\;\textrm{m}^2/sec$.

The surface stress effects on the buckling analysis of porous microcomposite annular sandwich plate based on HSDT using Ritz method

  • Mohsen Emdadi;Mehdi Mohammadimehr;Borhan Rousta Navi
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.439-454
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    • 2023
  • In this article, the surface stress effects on the buckling analysis of the annular sandwich plate is developed. The proposed plate is composed of two face layers made of carbon nanotubes (CNT) reinforced composite with assuming of fully bonded to functionally graded porous core. The generalized rule of the mixture is employed to predict the mechanical properties of the microcomposite sandwich plate. The derived potentials energy based on higher order shear deformation theory (HSDT) and modified couple stress theory (MCST) is solved by employing the Ritz method. An exact analytical solution is presented to calculate the critical buckling loads of the annular sandwich plate. The predicted results are validated by carrying out the comparison studies for the buckling analysis of annular plates with those obtained by other analytical and finite element methods. The effects of various parameters such as material length scale parameter, core thickness to total thickness ratio (hc/h), surface elastic constants based on surface stress effect, various boundary condition and porosity distributions, size of the internal pores (e0), Skempton coefficient and elastic foundation on the critical buckling load have been studied. The results can be served as benchmark data for future works and also in the design of materials science, injunction high-pressure micropipe connections, nanotechnology, and smart systems.

Chaff-outlet Grain Loss of Head-feed Combine -Development of a Monitor for Detecting Chaff-outlet Grain Loss of Head-feed Combine- (자탈형(自脱型) 콤바인의 배진손실(排塵損失)에 관(關)한 연구(硏究)(I) -자탈형(自脱型) 콤바인의 배진손실(排塵損失) 모니터 개발-)

  • Chung, C.J.;Choe, J.S.;Choi, Y.S.
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.251-261
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    • 1989
  • The amount of grain loss incurred during harvesting operation through the chaff-outlet of combine may not be negligible. To minimize this grain loss and optimize condition of combining, it may be necessary that the amount of chaff-outlet loss dependent on varying crop condition is to be estimated as exactly as possible. This study was thus intended to develop the monitor that could indicate the amount of grain loss occurred through the chaff-outlet of combine during harvesting operation. The function of this monitor is to measure at the sounding board the impact sound of paddy kernels which could be distinguished from those of other threshing products through chaff-outlet, and from vibration or noise created by the combine engine and other moving parts. To develop such monitor, the frequency distributions of each sound generated by the impact of grain and chaff, the sound generated by the impact of the mixture of grain and chaff, and vibration or noise created by the combine engine and other moving parts were investigated experimentally. From the results of frequency analyses, the trainsducer adequate for the monitering system was selected and sounding board was constructed. The grain loss monitor thus obtained was tested by attaching the sounding board to the chaff-outlet of combine.

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Fabrication of High Strength Mg-Li-Al Alloys by Squeeze Casting Process (용탕단조법에 의한 고강도 Mg-Li-Al합금 제조)

  • Han, Chang-Hwa;Hwang, Yong-Ha;Kim, Yong-Woo;Kim, Do-Hyang;Hong, Chun-Pyo
    • Journal of Korea Foundry Society
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.267-275
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    • 1997
  • Fabrication of high strength Mg-Li-Al alloys by squeeze casting was established by the stabilization of melt and mold temperatures, applied pressure and the refining method. The entrapment of inclusions during pouring was prevented using 30 ppi alumina foam filter. The as-cast microstructure consists of a mixture of ${\alpha}$ and ${\beta}$ phases including AILi and $MgLi_2$, Al particles, which are distributed in the ${\beta}$ matrix. The grain sizes of gravity and squeeze casting alloys were 288 ${\mu}m$ and 207 ${\mu}m$ respectively. The addition of Al in Mg-Li alloys promoted the formation of second phase particles, which were adjusted to optimize the properties of Mg-Li-Al alloys. The Mg-10wt%Li-5wt%Al alloy after heat treatment at $350^{\circ}C$ for 1 hour showed the maximum hardness value. This is due to the facts that the amounts of ${\alpha}$ and ${\beta}$ phases and their distributions are dependent upon the solution treatment temperature, and that the amounts of AILi and $MgLi_2Al$ particles are dependent upon the Al content.

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Free vibration of imperfect sigmoid and power law functionally graded beams

  • Avcar, Mehmet
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.30 no.6
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    • pp.603-615
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    • 2019
  • In the present work, free vibration of beams made of imperfect functionally graded materials (FGMs) including porosities is investigated. Because of faults during process of manufacture, micro voids or porosities may arise in the FGMs, and this situation causes imperfection in the structure. Therefore, material properties of the beams are assumed to vary continuously through the thickness direction according to the volume fraction of constituents described with the modified rule of mixture including porosity volume fraction which covers two types of porosity distribution over the cross section, i.e., even and uneven distributions. The governing equations of power law FGM (P-FGM) and sigmoid law FGM (S-FGM) beams are derived within the frame works of classical beam theory (CBT) and first order shear deformation beam theory (FSDBT). The resulting equations are solved using separation of variables technique and assuming FG beams are simply supported at both ends. To validate the results numerous comparisons are carried out with available results of open literature. The effects of types of volume fraction function, beam theory and porosity volume fraction, as well as the variations of volume fraction index, span to depth ratio and porosity volume fraction, on the first three non-dimensional frequencies are examined in detail.

Dilutant flow characteristics model of coarse particle suspensions with uniform size distribution

  • Ookawara, Shinichi;Ogawa, Kohei
    • Korea-Australia Rheology Journal
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.35-41
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    • 2003
  • It is expected that particle size distribution of any portion obtained through screening, is of more uniform than that of the original mixture, typically following such as log-normal, Rosin-Rammler distributions and so on. In this study, therefore, a new relation between parameters of the uniform distribution and flow characteristics of the coarse particle suspensions is derived based on the continuous polydisperse model (Ookawara and Ogawa, 2002b), which is derived from the discrete polydisperse model (Ookawara and Ogawa,2002a). The derived model equation predicts a linear increase of viscosity with shear rate, viz., dilutant flow characteristics. Further, the increase of viscosity is expected to be proportional to the square of volume fraction of particles, and to show the linear dependency on density and average diameter of particles. It is also shown that the uniform distribution model includes additional term that expresses the effect of distribution width. For verification of the model, the experimental results of Clarke (1967) are cited as well as in our previous work for the monodisperse model (Ookawara and Ogawa,2000) since most parameters were varied independently in his work. It is suggested that the newly introduced term expands the applicable range compared with the monodisperse model.