• 제목/요약/키워드: meteorological disasters

검색결과 152건 처리시간 0.025초

Evaluation of Economic Damage Caused by Drought in Central Region Vietnam: A Case Study of Phu Yen Province

  • Truong, Dinh Duc;Tri, Doan Quang
    • 자원환경지질
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    • 제54권6호
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    • pp.649-657
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    • 2021
  • This paper aims to study the impact of natural disasters on per capita income in Vietnam both the short and long-term, specifically impact loss of income caused by the extreme drought 2013 for agriculture, forestry and fishery in Phu Yen Province, Central Vietnam. The study valued economic damage by applying the synthetic control method (SCM), which is a statistical method to evaluate the effect of an intervention (e.g. natural disasters) in different case studies. It estimates what would have happened to the treatment group if it had not received the treatment by constructing a weighted combination of control units (e.g. control provinces). The results showed that the 2013 drought caused a decrease in income per capita, mainly in the agriculture, forestry, and fishery sector in Phu Yen. The reduced income was estimated to be VND 160,000 (1 USD = 23,500 VND (2021)) for one person per month, accounting for 11% of total income per capita and continued to affect the income 6 years later. Therefore, authorities need to invest in preventive solutions such as early and accurate warnings to help people to be more proactive in disaster prevention.

한국형 태풍 영향예보 구축을 위한 연구 -현황 및 구성- (Construction of Typhoon Impact Based Forecast in Korea -Current Status and Composition-)

  • 나하나;정우식
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제32권8호
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    • pp.543-553
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    • 2023
  • Weather forecasts and advisories provided by the national organizations in Korea that are used to identify and prevent disaster associated damage are often ineffective in reducing disasters as they only focus on predicting weather events (World Meteorological Organization(WMO ), 2015). In particular, typhoons are not a single weather disaster, but a complex weather disaster that requires advance preparation and assessment, and the WMO has established guidelines for the impact forecasting and recommends typhoon impact forecasting. In this study, we introduced the Typhoon-Ready System, which is a system that produces pre-disaster prevention information(risk level) of typhoon-related disasters across Korea and in detail for each region in advance, to be used for reducing and preventingtyphoon-related damage in Korea.

기후변화의 위험이 시중은행과 손해보험에 장기적으로 미치는 영향 (Climate Change-Induced Physical Risks' Impact on Korean Commercial Banks and Property Insurance Companies in the Long Run)

  • 김세완
    • 대기
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    • 제34권2호
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    • pp.107-121
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    • 2024
  • In this study, we empirically analyzed the impact of physical risks due to climate change on the soundness and operational performance of the financial industry by combining economics and climatology. Particularly, unlike previous studies, we employed the Seasonal-Trend decomposition using LOESS (STL) method to extract trends of climate-related risk variables and economic-financial variables, conducting a two-stage empirical analysis. In the first stage estimation, we found that the delinquency rate and the Bank for International Settlement (BIS) ratio of commercial banks have significant negative effects on the damage caused by natural disasters, frequency of heavy rainfall, average temperature, and number of typhoons. On the other hand, for insurance companies, the damage from natural disasters, frequency of heavy rainfall, frequency of heavy snowfall, and annual average temperature have significant negative effects on return on assets (ROA) and the risk-based capital ratio (RBC). In the second stage estimation, based on the first stage results, we predicted the soundness and operational performance indicators of commercial banks and insurance companies until 2035. According to the forecast results, the delinquency rate of commercial banks is expected to increase steadily until 2035 under assumption that recent years' trend continues until 2035. It indicates that banks' managerial risk can be seriously worsened from climate change. Also the BIS ratio is expected to decrease which also indicates weakening safety buffer against climate risks over time. Additionally, the ROA of insurance companies is expected to decrease, followed by an increase in the RBC, and then a subsequent decrease.

농작물 재배와 관련된 이상기온 출현 일수의 기후학적 지역 특성 (The Climatological Regional Characteristics of the Occurrence of Extraordinary Temperature Events Associated with Cropcultivation)

  • 이재규;김유진;정선희
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.157-172
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    • 2010
  • 월별 $2{\sigma}$값 분포를 보면, 4~7월까지 4개월 동안, 전국에서 $2{\sigma}$값이 가장 크게 나타난 곳은 강릉이었으며, 또한, 동해안 지역이 다른 지역에 비해 상대적으로 제일 큰 값이 나타나, 기후학적으로 기온 변동폭이 큰 지역임을 뚜렷이 잘 보여주었다. 그리고 전 지역 평균한 $2{\sigma}$값의 월별 크기를 비교해보면, 4월의 $2{\sigma}$값이 5.6도로 제일 컸다. 월별 이상저온 및 이상고온 출현일수 분포에서는, 4월의 경우, 30일 이상의 이상고온 출현 일수를 기록한 지역은 대부분의 서해안 지역과 동해안 지역인 속초와 영덕, 그리고 제주이다. 특히 강화에서는 이상고온 출현 일수가 무려 45일이나 되었으며, 조사 월인 4~10월 중에서 이상고온 출현 일수가 제일 많은 월로, 그리고, 이상저온 출현 일수가 제일 적게 나타난 월이었다. 따라서 4월의 경우, 동해안 지역과 서해안 지역은 이상저온에 따른 냉해보다는 이상고온에 따른 피해 대책에 더욱 유의할 필요가 있겠다. 한편, 8월은 기후학적으로 제일 더운 계절이지만, 이상저온 출현 일수가 30일 이상이 되는 지역이 분석기간 중에서 제일 광범위하며, 또한 이상저온 출현 일수가 제일 많은 달이다, 특히, 강원도 내륙, 충청도 내륙, 그리고 남부 지방에서 최다인 반면에, 이상고온 출현 일수가 제일 적게 나타난 월이었다. 따라서 8월은 모든 월 중에서 이상고온보다는 이상저온과 관련하여 농작물 재배에 있어 제일 세심한 관리가 요구되는 월로 분석되었다.

기상.지진 R&D의 최근 동향 및 발전 방향 (Research and Development for Atmospheric Sciences and Earthquake of Korea)

  • 김도용;오재호;이찬구;함인경
    • 대기
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.455-462
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    • 2007
  • Of late, natural disasters are becoming more frequent and the damages caused by these are quite substantial. All these are mainly due to a climate change. Many scientists from various countries are therefore engaged in research on atmospheric sciences and seismology. Korea meteorological administration (KMA) has established an advanced research and development center "CATER" for atmospheric sciences and earthquake. CATER has been managing and promoting the five major fields of research such as strategic meteorology, applied meteorology, climate change/countermeasure, earthquake, and research planning for CATER. Compared to 2006, CATER in 2007 has increased the funding by 7% and 5% for the climate change/countermeasure and the earthquake research fields, respectively. Also, the distribution rate of funding in 2007 has increased in 12% for basic research, 6% for university research organization, and 13% for the local area. CATER is trying to construct basic system and infrastructure for atmospheric sciences and earthquake research based on information technology. KMA has also a middle-term vision plan "World Best 365" for atmospheric science and earthquake research. These will give us a chance to become advanced nation in field of atmospheric sciences and seismology.

기후변화에 따른 적응대책과 환경영향평가 (Review on Environmental Impact Assessment and Adaptation Strategies for Climate Change)

  • 최광호
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.249-256
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    • 2011
  • Causing by green house gas emission, global warming is being accelerated significantly. This global warming cause world climate to change quiet different than before and we call this phenomenon is Climate Change. Environmental Impact Assessment being implemented in Korea is to prevent predicted environmental impacts from deteriorating within the domestic information and situation. As the climate change is getting severe, new meteorological records can be occurred which is exceeded existing statistical data. According to KMA(Korea Meteorological Administration) data, maximum value of precipitation and temperature in many regions changed with new data within last decade. And these events accompanied with landslides and flooding, and these also affected on water quality in rivers and lakes. According to impacts by climate change, disasters and accidents from heavy rain are the most apprehensive parts. And water pollution caused by overflowed non-point sources during heavy rain fall, fugitive dust caused by long-term drought, and sea level rise and Tsunami may affect on seaside industrial complex should be worth consideration. In this review, necessity of mutual consideration with influences of climate change was considered adding on existing guideline.

기상재해 대응 긴급보수용 패브릭 콘크리트 혼합물의 역학적 특성 및 내구성능 평가 (Evaluation of Mechanical Properties and Durability of Fabric Concrete Binder for Emergency Repair)

  • 전상민;조성문;오리온;김황희;차상선;박찬기
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제62권4호
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    • pp.23-31
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    • 2020
  • Recently, meteorological disasters have been increasing by climate change, excessive rainfall, and landslide. The purpose is to develop new fabric concrete that can prevent and recover from damages because some of areas are vulnerable to meteorological disaster. Specifically, this technology can minimize time and space constraint when repairing the concrete structure and installing a formwork. The structure of fabric concrete is a mixture of fabric concrete and a high-speed hardened cement, Silica sand, wollastonite mineral fiber, fabric material and waterproof PVC fabric. In this study, the ratio of mechanical properties and durability of the fabric concrete mixture was evaluated by deriving the binder: silica sand mix ratio of the fabric concrete mixture and substituting part of the cement amount with wollastonite mineral fiber. Best binder in performance evaluation: Silica sand mix ratio is 6: 4 and the target mechanical performance and durability are the best when over 15% wollastonite binder is replaced by silicate mineral fiber.

Analysis on Electric Field Based on Three Dimensional Atmospheric Electric Field Apparatus

  • Xing, Hong-yan;He, Gui-xian;Ji, Xin-yuan
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.1697-1704
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    • 2018
  • As a key component of lighting location system (LLS) for lightning warning, the atmospheric electric field measuring is required to have high accuracy. The Conventional methods of the existent electric field measurement meter can only detect the vertical component of the atmospheric electric field, which cannot acquire the realistic electric field in the thunderstorm. This paper proposed a three dimensional (3D) electric field system for atmospheric electric field measurement, which is capable of three orthogonal directions in X, Y, Z, measuring. By analyzing the relationship between the electric field and the relative permittivity of ground surface, the permittivity is calculated, and an efficiency 3D measurement model is derived. On this basis, a three-dimensional electric field sensor and a permittivity sensor are adopted to detect the spatial electric field. Moreover, the elevation and azimuth of the detected target are calculated, which reveal the location information of the target. Experimental results show that the proposed 3D electric field meter has satisfactory sensitivity to the three components of electric field. Additionally, several observation results in the fair and thunderstorm weather have been presented.

화산재해 피해 예측 시스템의 성능 향상을 위한 파이프라인 기반 워크플로우 (Workflow Based on Pipelining for Performance Improvement of Volcano Disaster Damage Prediction System)

  • 허대영;이동환;황선태
    • 정보과학회 논문지
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    • 제42권3호
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    • pp.281-288
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    • 2015
  • 화산재해 피해 예측 시스템은 기상과 화산분화 시뮬레이션 결과를 기반으로 화산재해대응을 위한 판단을 도와주는 시스템이다. 이 시스템에서 Fall3D라는 프로그램은 기상정보를 바탕으로 화산분화 이후 화산재의 확산예측결과를 생성하고 기상정보를 생성하기 위해 WRF라는 기상수치예보모델을 사용한다. 두 시뮬레이션의 프로그램을 수정하지 않고, 전체 실행시간을 줄이기 위해서는 WRF의 기상예측모델의 시간별 부분결과가 발생할 때마다 Fall3D를 부분수행 할 수 있도록 하는 파이프라이닝 방식을 생각할 수 있다. 이를 위해서 Fall3D와 같은 후속계산은 선행계산의 부분결과가 생성될 때까지 일시정지하고, 계산에 필요한 정보가 발생하면 재개할 수 있어야한다. 비록 Fall3D가 이런 일시정지와 재개기능을 가지고 있지는 않지만 그 이전 계산을 이어서 진행할 수 있는 재시작기능을 활용하여 파이프라이닝 효과를 낼 수 있다. 본 논문에서는 이러한 실행 형태를 제어할 수 있는 워크플로우를 제안한다.

겨울철 강설 실내외 실험을 위한 성능 시험 조건 선정에 관한 연구 (The study on the selection of performance test conditions for indoor and outdoor experiments of snowfall in winter)

  • 김병택;인소라;김상조
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제55권12호
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    • pp.1149-1154
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    • 2022
  • 본 연구는 기상청에서 운영하고 있는 관측지점을 대상으로 강설량과 강설 일수를 위도와 고도 분포를 고려하여 겨울철 강설 측정 장비의 성능 시험을 위한 대표 관측지점과 실내외실험을 위한 조건을 제시하기 위해 수행하였다. 30년간(1981~2010) 관측한 겨울철 강설 자료를 사용하여 강설 일수의 계급별 분류, 관측지점의 위도 및 해발고도 분포를 고려하여 대표관측지점 10개소를 선정하였다. 분석결과 실외 실험에 적합한 지점은 연평균 강설 일수와 5 cm 이상의 적설 일수가 각각 57.5일, 13.2일로 나타난 대관령을 선정하였다. 실내 실험조건은 기온 -15~5℃ 습도 50% 이상의 조건이 적합하다고 사료된다. 연구 결과는 겨울철 대설재난에 대응할 수 있는 장비의 성능 시험을 위한 조건과 실외 실험장소에 대한 기초자료 로 활용이 가능할 것으로 판단된다.