• 제목/요약/키워드: marginal model

검색결과 596건 처리시간 0.026초

경쟁적 전력시장에서 한계손실계수 적용시 기준모선 선정에 대한 연구 (A Study on the Selection of Slack Bus at Application of Marginal Loss-Factor in a Competitive Electricity Market)

  • 김상훈;이광호
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제58권2호
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    • pp.264-269
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    • 2009
  • Marginal Loss Factor(MLF) is represented as the sensitivity of transmission loss, which is computed from the change of the generation at slack bus by the change of the load at the arbitrary bus. The MLF dependent on the selection of slack bus is one of the key factors affecting nodal pricing, Genco's profits, social welfare(SW) and Nash Equilibrium in a competitive electricity market. This paper addresses the methodology of slack bus selection by using Cournot model of Cost Based Pool market. Numerical results from sample cases show that the slack bus of MLF of the highest average is beneficial from the view points of SW.

ARIMA 모형을 이용한 계통한계가격 예측방법론 개발 (Development of System Marginal Price Forecasting Method Using ARIMA Model)

  • 김대용;이찬주;정윤원;박종배;신종린
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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    • 제55권2호
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    • pp.85-93
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    • 2006
  • Since the SMP(System Marginal Price) is a vital factor to the market participants who intend to maximize the their profit and to the ISO(Independent System Operator) who wish to operate the electricity market in a stable sense, the short-term marginal price forecasting should be performed correctly. In an electricity market the short-term market price affects considerably the short-term trading between the market entities. Therefore, the exact forecasting of SMP can influence on the profit of market participants. This paper presents a new methodology for a day-ahead SMP forecasting using ARIMA(Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) model based on the time-series method. And also the correction algorithm is proposed to minimize the forecasting error in order to improve the efficiency and accuracy of the SMP forecasting. To show the efficiency and effectiveness of the proposed method, the case studies are performed using historical data of SMP in 2004 published by KPX(Korea Power Exchange).

Generalized methods of moments in marginal models for longitudinal data with time-dependent covariates

  • Cho, Gyo-Young;Dashnyam, Oyunchimeg
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.877-883
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    • 2013
  • The quadratic inference functions (QIF) method proposed by Qu et al. (2000) and the generalized method of moments (GMM) for marginal regression analysis of longitudinal data with time-dependent covariates proposed by Lai and Small (2007) both are the methods based on generalized method of moment (GMM) introduced by Hansen (1982) and both use generalized estimating equations (GEE). Lai and Small (2007) divided time-dependent covariates into three types such as: Type I, Type II and Type III. In this paper, we compared these methods in the case of Type II and Type III in which full covariates conditional mean assumption (FCCM) is violated and interested in whether they can improve the results of GEE with independence working correlation. We show that in the marginal regression model with Type II time-dependent covariates, GMM Type II of Lai and Small (2007) provides more ecient result than QIF and for the Type III time-dependent covariates, QIF with independence working correlation and GMM Type III methods provide the same results. Our simulation study showed the same results.

상향식 모형을 이용한 국내 주거부문의 온실가스 한계감축비용 분석 (Marginal Abatement Cost Analysis for the Korean Residential Sector Using Bottom-Up Modeling)

  • 정용주;김후곤;백천현;김영진
    • 에너지공학
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.58-68
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    • 2015
  • 상향식 모형을 이용하여 국내 주거부문의 온실가스 배출특성과 감축 잠재량을 도출하고 이를 바탕으로 한계감축 비용 분석을 수행하였다. 이를 위하여 먼저 상향식 모형의 필수 입력요소인 주거부문의 최종수요, 기준에너지시스템 (Reference Energy System; RES) 등을 정의하고 국내 통계데이터를 분석하여 필요한 활동량 데이터를 도출하였다. 기준 시나리오에서의 연도별 에너지 사용량 및 온실가스 배출량을 구하고 감축수단의 도입에 따른 감축잠재량 및 관련 비용을 분석하였다. 한계감축비용 분석 결과는 중장기적으로 부문별 온실가스 감축목표 달성을 위한 감축정책의 수립에 기여할 것으로 기대된다.

Marginal Likelihoods for Bayesian Poisson Regression Models

  • Kim, Hyun-Joong;Balgobin Nandram;Kim, Seong-Jun;Choi, Il-Su;Ahn, Yun-Kee;Kim, Chul-Eung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.381-397
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    • 2004
  • The marginal likelihood has become an important tool for model selection in Bayesian analysis because it can be used to rank the models. We discuss the marginal likelihood for Poisson regression models that are potentially useful in small area estimation. Computation in these models is intensive and it requires an implementation of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. Using importance sampling and multivariate density estimation, we demonstrate a computation of the marginal likelihood through an output analysis from an MCMC sampler.

한계보수비용법 및 위험지수 평준화법에 의한 최적전원보수계획의 비교 (A Comparative Study on Optimal Generation Maintenance Scheduling with Marginal Maintenance Cost and Levelized Risk Methods)

  • 이봉용;심건보
    • 대한전기학회논문지
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    • 제41권1호
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    • pp.9-17
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    • 1992
  • Proper resource allocation is also a very important topic in power system problems, especially in operation and planning. One such is optimal maintenance problem in operation and planning. Least cost and highest reliability should be the subjects to be pursued. A probabilistic operation simulation model developed recently by authors is applied to the proboem of optimal maintenance scheduling. Three different methods are compared, marginal maintenance cost, levelized risk and maintenance space. The method by the marginal maintenance costs shows the least cost, the highest reliability and the highest maintenance outage rates. This latter characteristics may considerably influence the results of genetation planning, because the usual maintenance outages obtained from the other methods have shown to be lower.

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제조업 한계기업의 정상기업 전환에 대한 실증분석 : 기업의 R&D 활동과 정부 지원효과를 중심으로 (Empirical analysis of conversion of marginal companies in manufacturing to normal companies : Focusing on company's R&D activities and government's support effect)

  • 백철우;정민우;이현익;이윤빈;노민선;손병호
    • 기술혁신연구
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.59-85
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    • 2021
  • 본 연구에서는 기술혁신 관점에서 창업기업 여부, 연구전담조직 보유, 국가연구개발사업 수혜 등의 특성이 한계기업의 정상기업 전환에 유의하게 기여하는지를 분석하였다. 분석결과, 한계기업 중 창업기업에게 국가연구개발사업을 지원하면, High-tech 산업을 중심으로 정상기업으로의 전환에 긍정적으로 기여하는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 한계기업의 연구전담조직의 보유여부가 정상기업으로의 전환에 긍정적으로 기여하였다. 이는 연구전담조직이 체계적인 R&D를 수행할 수 있는 조직기반이 되고 있음을 시사한다. 상기 분석결과는 한계기업에 대한 구조조정 위주의 기존 산업정책에서 정상기업으로의 전환 가능성이 높은 한계기업에 대한 선별적인 R&D 지원정책으로 패러다임 전환이 필요함과 동시에 한계기업의 정상기업으로의 전환을 지원하기 위한 국가연구개발사업의 전략성 강화가 필요함을 시사한다.

Investigation of the marginal fit of a 3D-printed three-unit resin prosthesis with different build orientations and layer thicknesses

  • Yang, Min-Seong;Kim, Seong-Kyun;Heo, Seong-Joo;Koak, Jai-Young;Park, Ji-Man
    • The Journal of Advanced Prosthodontics
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.250-261
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    • 2022
  • PURPOSE. The purpose of this study was to analyze the marginal fit of three-unit resin prostheses printed with the stereolithography (SLA) method in two build orientations (45°, 60°) and two layer thicknesses (50 ㎛, 100 ㎛). MATERIALS AND METHODS. A master model for a three-unit resin prosthesis was designed with two implant abutments. Forty specimens were printed using an SLA 3D printer. The specimens were printed with two build orientations (45°, 60°), and each orientation was printed with two layer thicknesses (50 ㎛, 100 ㎛). The marginal fit was measured as the marginal gap (MG) and absolute marginal discrepancy (AMD), and MG and AMD measurements were performed at 8 points per abutment, for 16 points per specimen. All statistical analyses were performed using SPSS software. Two-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) was separately performed on the MG and AMD values of the build orientations and layer thicknesses. Moreover, one-way ANOVA was performed for each point within each group. RESULTS. The margins of the area adjacent to the pontic showed significantly high values, and the values were smaller when the build orientation was 45° than when it was 60°. However, the margin did not differ significantly according to the layer thicknesses. CONCLUSION. The marginal fit of the three-unit resin prosthesis fabricated by the SLA 3D method was affected by the pontic. Moreover, the marginal fit was affected by the build orientation. The 45° build orientation is recommended.

시멘트 공간이 적층 가공으로 제작한 지르코니아 하부구조물의 변연 및 내면 적합도에 미치는 영향 (Effect of cement space on marginal and internal fit of a zirconia core fabricated using by additive manufacturing)

  • 민지원;김세연;김재홍
    • 대한치과기공학회지
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    • 제46권1호
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: The goal of this study was to determine the clinical acceptability of various cement space settings for the marginal and internal fit of a zirconia core manufactured using additive manufacturing. Methods: The maxillary right incisor served as the master model. After scanning the maxillary right incisor with a dental 3D (three-dimensional) scanner, the stereo lithography file was created using different cement space settings of 40, 120, and 200 ㎛ using computer-aided design software (Dental System 2018; 3Shape). The marginal and internal fit of the 3 groups were determined using the silicon replica technique. Measurement points were divided into the following three categories: margin, axial wall, and incisal. To ensure more accurate measurements, these three measurement points were divided into 8 points. The Shapiro-Wilk, one-way ANOVA, and Tukey's honestly significant difference test (for all tests α=0.05) were the statistical analyses that were included in the study. Results: The CS (cement space)-200 group had better marginal and internal fit than the CS-40 and CS-120 groups, and there were statistically significant differences at the marginal and incisal points, except for the axial wall points. CS-200 group, both marginal and internal fit were within 120 ㎛, which is the clinically acceptable value. Conclusion: This study suggests that a 200 ㎛ cement space setting is ideal for optimal marginal and internal fit of 3D-printed ceramic crowns.

3차원 사면안정해석을 이용한 활동지괴 가장자리부의 전단저항에 관한 연구 (A Study on Shear Resistance Effect along Marginal Region of Sliding Mass using 3D Slope Stability Analysis)

  • 서용석;태전영장;채병곤;윤운상
    • 지질공학
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.451-460
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    • 2004
  • 사면안정해석에 일반적으로 이용되는 2차원 한계평형해석에서는 활동면의 강도를 활동면 전체에 동일하게 설정한다. 그러나 사면의 활동면에서 저면부와 가장자리부의 강도는 다른 경우가 대부분이다. 4가지 절취모델을 이용한 3차원 사면안정해석의 결과에 따르면 활동면내에서 가장자리부의 저항력이 사면의 안정성에 크게 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 3차원 사면안정해석에서 활동면 강도를 저면부와 가장자리부로 구분하여 설정함으로써 지금까지 고려하지 못했던 사면 가장자리부의 전단강도가 사면안정에 미치는 영향을 정량적으로 파악할 수 있었다. 활동 저면부의 저항력이 낮은 경우에는 사면의 측부 절토에 의하여 안전율이 크게 저하되며, 저항력이 높은 경우에는 말단부 절토에 의하여 안전율이 저하되고 두부 절토에 의하여 안전율이 향상된다.