• 제목/요약/키워드: low failure probability

검색결과 112건 처리시간 0.021초

파괴메카니즘을 고려한 강박스교량의 내진설계 (Earthquake Resistant Design of Steel Box Bridges considering Failure Mechanism)

  • 국승규;이동휘
    • 한국지진공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지진공학회 2002년도 추계 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.330-337
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    • 2002
  • The objective of the earthquake resistant design of structures is to satisfy on the one side the minimization of damage requirement under earthquakes with high probability of occurrence during the design life and on the other side the no collapse requirement under the design seismic event with low probability of occurrence. The two requirements are satisfied with the minimum strength of substructure as well as the ductile failure mechanism presented in the codes. In this study seismic performance is evaluated with two bridges which have steel box superstructures and T type, II type piers as substructures. In order to satisfy the two requirements redesign of both substructures and steel bearings are carried out.

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Optimal Latinized partially stratified sampling for structural reliability analysis

  • Majid Ilchi Ghazaan;Amirreza Davoodi Yekta
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제92권1호
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    • pp.111-120
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    • 2024
  • Sampling methods are powerful approaches to solving the problems of structural reliability analysis and estimating the failure probability of structures. In this paper, a new sampling method is proposed offering lower variance and lower computational cost for complex and high-dimensional problems. The method is called Optimal Latinized partially stratified sampling (OLPSS) as it is based upon the Latinized Partially Stratified Sampling (LPSS) which itself is based on merging Stratified Sampling (SS) and Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS) algorithms. While LPSS has a low variance, it may suffer from a lack of good space-filling of its generated samples in some cases. In the OLPSS, this issue has been resolved by employing a new columnwise-pairwise exchange optimization procedure for sample generation. The efficiency of the OLPSS has been tested and reported under several benchmark mathematical functions and structural examples including structures with a large number of variables (e.g., a structure with 67 variables). The proposed method provides highly accurate estimates of the failure probability of structures with a significantly lower variance relative to the Monte Carlo simulations, Latin Hypercube, and standard LPSS.

평가용 스펙트럼이 구조물의 지진리스크에 미치는 영향 (Effect of Evaluation Response Spectrum on the Seismic Risk of Structure)

  • 김민규;최인길
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
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    • 제13권6호
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    • pp.39-46
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    • 2009
  • 구조물의 지진취약도 분석을 위해서는 평가용 지반응답스펙트럼의 선택이 중요한 영향을 미친다. 본 연구에서는 기존의 설계응답스펙트럼을 이용하여 평가된 전력설비에 대하여 등재해도 스펙트럼을 이용하여 취약도 변수를 치환하는 방법을 제시하였다. 제시된 방법을 이용하여 기존의 전력설비를 대상으로 도출된 고신뢰도저파손확률값(HCLPF)을 비교하였으며, 최종적으로 지진재해도 곡선을 이용하여 전력설비에 대한 정량적 지진위험도를 도출하였다. 결과적으로 설계응답스펙트럼을 이용한 지진위험도 평가는 전력설비의 지진위험도를 보수적으로 판단할 수 있는 것으로 평가되었다.

원전 구조물의 내진성능 평가 방법론 고찰 (Seismic Performance Evaluation Methodology for Nuclear Power Plants)

  • 안호준;김유석;공정식;최영진;최세운;이민석
    • 한국압력기기공학회 논문집
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.32-40
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    • 2018
  • Since 2000, the frequency of earthquakes beyond the 5.0 magnitude quake has been increasing in the Korean peninsula. For instance, the 5.0-magnitude earthquake in Baekryong-do in 2003 has occurred, and recent earthquake with Gyeongju(2016) and Pohang(2017) measured respectively magnitude of 5.2 and 5.8 on the Richter scale. As results, the public concern and anxiety about earthquakes are increasing, and therefore it is necessarily required for social infrastructure to reinforce seismic design and energy production facilities directly related to the national economy and security. This study represents the analysis of seismic performance evaluation methodology such as Seismic Margin Assessment (SMA), Seismic Probabilistic Risk Assessment (SPRA), High Confidence Low Probability Failure (HCLPF) in nuclear power plants in order to develop optimal seismic performance improvement. Current methodologies to evaluate nuclear power plants are also addressed. Through review of the nuclear structure evaluation past and current trend, it contributes to be the basis for the improvement of evaluation techniques on the next generation of nuclear power plants.

장기재령 FA 콘크리트에 대한 염화물 거동 및 확률론적 염해 내구수명 평가 (Evaluation of Chloride Behavior and Service Life in Long-Term Aged FA Concrete through Probabilistic Analysis)

  • 윤용식;권성준
    • 한국건설순환자원학회논문집
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    • 제8권3호
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    • pp.276-285
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    • 2020
  • 본 연구에서는 3가지 수준의 물-결합재 비를 고려한 OPC 및 FA 콘크리트를 대상으로 재령 1,095일에 촉진 염화물 확산 시험을 수행하였다. Tang's method 및 ASTM C 1202에 준하여 촉진 염화물 확산계수 및 통과 전하량을 평가하였으며 시간의 존적으로 개선되는 염화물 확산 거동을 고찰하였다. FA 배합에서는 포졸란 반응에 의해 뛰어난 염해저항성능을 나내었는데, 통과 전하량 평가 결과에 따르면 FA 콘크리트는 재령 1,095일에 "Low" 등급에서 "Very low" 등급으로 감소하였으나, OPC 배합의 경우 "Moderate" 등급에서 "Low" 등급으로 감소하였다. 염해 내구수명 해석 시 사용되는 설계변수를 정규분포 함수로 가정한 후, MCS를 기반으로 각 배합의 내구수명을 확률론적 해석 방법으로 평가하였다. FA 콘크리트에서는 OPC 콘크리트 대비 시간의 증가에 따른 내구적 파괴확률의 증가가 낮게 나타났는데 이는 FA 콘크리트의 시간의존성지수가 OPC 배합 대비 최대 3.2배 높기 때문이다. 또한 목표 내구적 파괴확률을 10%로 설정하였기 때문에 확률론적 해석에 의한 내구수명이 결정론적 해석에 의한 내구수명보다 낮게 평가되었다. 다양한 환경 하의 실태조사 및 실내 시험을 통해 각 구조물에 적합한 목표 내구적 파괴확률을 설정한다면 더욱 경제적인 내구성능 설계가 가능해지리라 사료된다.

삼원 촉매의 열적 내구 성능 평가 (A Estimation of Thermal Fatigue Performance in Three-way Catalyst)

  • 이성룡;조석수
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.13-19
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    • 2013
  • 국내 승용차용 삼원촉매의 경우 열적 내구성을 만족시키지 못하고 조기 파손되는 사례가 증가하고 있다. 이것은 차량의 배기가스 정화장치의 신뢰성에 치명적 손상을 유발시키므로 삼원촉매의 내구성 평가 모델을 파악할 필요가 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 세라믹 모노리스 담체에서 발생되는 열응력을 구한 뒤 강도저하계수모델과 파손확률을 기초로 삼원촉매의 열적 내구성을 평가하였다.

중저진 지역에서의 지진격리교량의 경제적 효율성에 관한 연구 (Cost Effectiveness of Bse-Isolation for Bridges in Low and Moderate Seismic Region)

  • 고현무
    • 한국지진공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지진공학회 1999년도 춘계 학술발표회 논문집 Proceedings of EESK Conference-Spring
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    • pp.178-185
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    • 1999
  • Minimum life-cycle cost helps to evaluate cost effectiveness of base-isolated bridges under specific condition. Life-cycle cost mainly consists of the initial construction cost and the expected damage cost. Damage cost estimation needs proper model of input ground motion failure probability evaluation method and limit states definition. We model the input ground motion as spectral density function compatible with the response spectra defined at each seismicity and site condition. Spectrum analysis and crossing theory is suitable for reseating calculation of failure probabilities in the process of cost minimization. Limit states of base-isolated bridges re defined for superstructure isolator and pier respectively The method is applied to both base-isolated bridges and conventional bridges under the same conditions to investigate cost effectiveness of base isolation in low and moderate seismic region. the results show that base-isolation of bridges are more effective in low and moderate seismic region and that the site effects on the economical efficiency may not be negligible in such a region.

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In-situ monitoring and reliability analysis of an embankment slope with soil variability

  • Bai, Tao;Yang, Han;Chen, Xiaobing;Zhang, Shoucheng;Jin, Yuanshang
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.261-273
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    • 2020
  • This paper presents an efficient method utilizing user-defined computer functional codes to determine the reliability of an embankment slope with spatially varying soil properties in real time. The soils' mechanical properties varied with the soil layers that had different degrees of compaction and moisture content levels. The Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS) for the degree of compaction and Kriging simulation of moisture content variation were adopted and programmed to predict their spatial distributions, respectively, that were subsequently used to characterize the spatial distribution of the soil shear strengths. The shear strength parameters were then integrated into the Geostudio command file to determine the safety factor of the embankment slope. An explicit metamodal for the performance function, using the Kriging method, was established and coded to efficiently compute the failure probability of slope with varying moisture contents. Sensitivity analysis showed that the proposed method significantly reduced the computational time compared to Monte Carlo simulation. About 300 times LHS Geostudio computations were needed to optimize precision and efficiency in determining the failure probability. The results also revealed that an embankment slope is prone to high failure risk if the degree of compaction is low and the moisture content is high.

Reliability and risk assessment for rainfall-induced slope failure in spatially variable soils

  • Zhao, Liuyuan;Huang, Yu;Xiong, Min;Ye, Guanbao
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.207-217
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    • 2020
  • Slope reliability analysis and risk assessment for spatially variable soils under rainfall infiltration are important subjects but they have not been well addressed. This lack of study may in part be due to the multiple and diverse evaluation indexes and the low computational efficiency of Monte-Carlo simulations. To remedy this, this paper proposes a highly efficient computational method for investigating random field problems for slopes. First, the probability density evolution method (PDEM) is introduced. This method has high computational efficiency and does not need the tens of thousands of numerical simulation samples required by other methods. Second, the influence of rainfall on slope reliability is investigated, where the reliability is calculated from based on the safety factor curves during the rainfall. Finally, the uncertainty of the sliding mass for the slope random field problem is analyzed. Slope failure consequences are considered to be directly correlated with the sliding mass. Calculations showed that the mass that slides is smaller than the potential sliding mass (shallow surface sliding in rainfall). Sliding mass-based risk assessment is both needed and feasible for engineered slope design. The efficient PDEM is recommended for problems requiring lengthy calculations such as random field problems coupled with rainfall infiltration.

플루이드 모델에 따른 다중 보호채널 기반 채널할당기법의 성능 분석 (English Channel Allocation Scheme based on Multiple Guard Channels)

  • 박희철;이도형;박영근
    • 한국통신학회논문지
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    • 제25권4A호
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    • pp.471-480
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    • 2000
  • 한정된 무선 자원을 사용하는 데 있어서 그 효율을 극대화하기 위하여 마이크로 셀이나 피코 셀 구조에서 다양한 트래픽을 서비스하게 되는데, 급격한 무선 통신 사용자의 증가에 따른 잦은 핸드오프 발생이 문제가 되어왔다. 본 논문에서 제안하는 채널할당기법에서는 서비스별로 각각 보호채널을 두어 핸드오프호를 전담함으로써, 서비스 품질에 관건이 되는 핸드오프 실패 확률을 낮은 값으로 유지시킨다. 또한, 트래픽의 다양한 변화에 따른 성능 저하를 방지하기 위해 호의 밀도에 따라 채널 조정을 수행하여 주어진 한정된 수의 채널을 가변으로 운용함으로써 고정 채널할당기법이 갖는 단점을 보완할 수 있도록 하였다. 이동국의 속도와 트래픽의 변화에 따른 초기호 차단 확률과 핸드오프호 차단 확률을 기존의 방식과 비교·분석함으로써 성능을 평가하였다. 트래픽이 서비스별로 불균일한 경우에도 제안하는 방식은 효과적 채널 조정을 통하여 모든 서비스에서 규정된 호차단 확률을 위반하지 않는다.

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