• 한국안전학회지
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• 제26권2호
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• pp.6-12
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• 2011

The failure probabilities of pipes in nuclear power plants due to stress corrosion are obtained using the P-PIE program, which is developed for evaluating failure probability of pipes based on the existing PRAISE program. Leak, big leak and LOCA(loss of coolant accident) probabilities are calculated as a function of operating time for several pipes in a domestic nuclear plant. The sensitivity analysis is also performed to find out the important parameters for the failure of pipes due to stress corrosion. The results show that the steady state oxygen concentration and steady state temperature are important parameters and failure probability is very low when the oxygen concentration is maintained according to the regulation.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제23권4호
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• pp.747-757
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• 2010

이 논문에서는 여러 종류의 고객을 서비스하는 멀티클래스 손실시스템의 상태를 마코프 확률과정으로 표현하고 분석하는 방법을 연구한다. 특히 손실시스템에 대한 유니트 개념을 설명하고 등확률 유니트 배정을 운용하는 경우를 중점적으로 다룬다. 상태방정식을 이용하여 극한확률을 구하는 방법을 연구하고 손실확률 등의 성능척도를 산출한다. 간단한 시스템에 대한 분석을 통하여 일반적인 시스템의 특성을 알아본다.

• Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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• 제30권2호
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• pp.91-97
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• 2005

베이지안 기법은 객관적 자료 이외에 주관적 지식도 평가에 반영하는 특성으로 인해 최근 PRA에서 널리 사용되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 비파괴검사 장비 분실에 대한 방사선 위험도를 평가하기 위해 베이지안 기법을 활용하였다. U.S. NRC에서 제시한 선원분실 피폭 시나리오를 국내 실정에 맞게 재구성하였고 안전인자의 사고발생 확률에 국한하여 적용하였다. 사고발생 확률수정의 경우 Jeffreys사전분포를 사용한 결과가 모호사전분포를 사용한 결과보다 5 % 베이즈 하한치가 더 낮아서 방사선 사고와 같은 낮은 사고발생 확률을 가지는 시스템에 대한 위험도 평가에 적합하다. 위험도의 결과를 보면 일반인의 연간 예상되는 평균선량은 베이지안 기법이 고전적인 기법에 의거한 평가보다 높은 선량을 나타내는데 이는 수정된 안전인자 확률의 평균이 고전적 확률 참보다 높게 평가된 것에 기인한다. 국내의 경우 방사선 위험도 평가를 위한 자료구축이 미비한 바 베이지안 기법은 위험도 평가에 유용한 대안으로 활용할 수 있으며 이러한 연구는 위험도 정보-기반 규제에 기여할 것이다.

• Journal of Communications and Networks
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• 제16권3호
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• pp.322-334
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• 2014

Multimedia content is very sensitive to packet loss and therefore multimedia streams are typically protected against packet loss, either by supporting retransmission requests or by adding redundant forward error correction (FEC) data. However, the redundant FEC information introduces significant additional bandwidth requirements, as compared to the bitrate of the original video stream. Especially on wireless and mobile networks, bandwidth availability is limited and variable. In this article, an adaptive FEC (A-FEC) system is presented whereby the redundancy rate is dynamically adjusted to the packet loss, based on feedback messages from the client. We present a statistical model of our A-FEC system and validate the proposed system under different packet loss conditions and loss probabilities. The experimental results show that 57-95%bandwidth gain can be achieved compared with a static FEC approach.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제31권4호
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• pp.164-175
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• 2003

This paper investigates bootstrap confidence intervals of the process capability index(PCI) based on the expected loss derived from the empirical distribution function(EDF). The PCI based on the expected loss is too complex to derive its confidence interval analytically, so the bootstrap method is a good alternative. We propose three types of the bootstrap confidence interval; the standard bootstrap(SB), the percentile bootstrap(PB), and the acceleration biased­corrected percentile bootstrap(ABC). We also perform a comprehensive simulation study under various process distributions, in order to compare the accuracy of the coverage probability of the bootstrap confidence intervals. In most cases, the coverage probabilities of the bootstrap confidence intervals from the EDF PCI turned out to be more accurate than those from the PCI based on the normal distribution. It is expected that the bootstrap confidence intervals from the EDF PCI can be utilized in real processes where the true distribution family may not be known.

• 한국통신학회논문지
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• 제22권6호
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• pp.1148-1159
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• 1997

In the broadband integrated service digital networks (B-ISDN), ATM switches hould be abld to accommodate diverse types of applications ith different traffic characteristics and quality ddo services (QOS). Thus, in order to increase the utilization of switches and satisfy the QOS's of each traffic type, some types of priority control schemes are needed in ATM switches. In this paper, a nonblocking input and output queueing ATm switch with capacity C is considered in which two classes of traffics with different loss probability constraints are admitted. 'Partial push-out' algorithm is suggested as a loss priority control schemes, and the performance of this algorithm is analyzed when this is adopted in input buffers of the switch. The quque length distribution of input buffers and loss probabilities of each traffic are obtained using a matrix-geometric solution method. Numerical analysis and simulation indicate that the utilization of the switch with partial push-out algorithm satisfying the QOS's of each traffic is much higher than that of the switch without control. Also, the required buffer size is reduced while satisfying the same QOS's.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제16권3호
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• pp.317-326
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• 2003

The tension leg platform (TLP) is a moored floating offshore structure whose buoyancy is more than its weight. The mooring system, known as tethers, is vulnerable to failure due to extreme (maximum and minimum) tensions. In the present study the reliability of these tethers under maximum and minimum tension (ultimate limit state) has been studied. Von-Mises failure criteria has been adopted to define the failure of a tether against maximum tension. The minimum tension failure criteria has been assumed to meet when the tethers slack due to loss of tension. First Order Reliability method (FORM) has been adopted for reliability assessment. The reliability, in terms of reliability index, and probability of failure has been obtained for twelve sea states. The probabilities of failure so obtained for different sea states have been adopted for the calculation of annual and life time probabilities of failure.

• 한국통신학회논문지
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• 제28권9B호
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• pp.783-792
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• 2003

We consider a finite-buffer discrete-time queueing system with fixed-size bulk-service discipline: Geo/ $G^{B}$1/K＋B. The main purpose of this paper is to present a performance analysis of this system that has a wide range of applications in Asynchronous Transfer Mode (ATM) and other related telecommunication systems. For this purpose, we first derive the departure-epoch probabilities based on the embedded Markov chain method. Next, based on simple rate in and rate out argument, we present stable relationships for the steady-state probabilities of the queue length at different epochs: departure, random, and arrival. Finally, based on these relationships, we present various useful performance measures of interest such as the moments of number of packets in the system at three different epochs and the loss probability. The numerical results are presented for a deterministic service-time distribution - a case that has gained importance in recent years.s.

• International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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• 제12권2호
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• pp.45-50
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• 2020

A Language model with neural networks commonly trained with likelihood loss. Such that the model can learn the sequence of human text. State-of-the-art results achieved in various language generation tasks, e.g., text summarization, dialogue response generation, and text generation, by utilizing the language model's next token output probabilities. Monotonous and boring outputs are a well-known problem of this model, yet only a few solutions proposed to address this problem. Several decoding techniques proposed to suppress repetitive tokens. Unlikelihood training approached this problem by penalizing candidate tokens probabilities if the tokens already seen in previous steps. While the method successfully showed a less repetitive generated token, the method has a large memory consumption because of the training need a big vocabulary size. We effectively reduced memory footprint by encoding words as sequences of subword units. Finally, we report competitive results with token level unlikelihood training in several automatic evaluations compared to the previous work.

• International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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• 제11권1호
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• pp.22-32
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• 2019

On offshore platforms, oil and gas leaks are apt to be the initial events of major accidents that may result in significant loss of life and property damage. To prevent accidents induced by leakage, it is vital to perform a case-specific and accurate risk assessment. This paper presents an integrated method of Ddynamic Qquantitative Rrisk Aassessment (DQRA)-using the Decision Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory (DEMATEL)-Bayesian Network (BN)-for evaluation of the system vulnerabilities and prediction of the occurrence probabilities of accidents induced by leakage. In the method, three-level indicators are established to identify factors, events, and subsystems that may lead to leakage, fire, and explosion. The critical indicators that directly influence the evolution of risk are identified using DEMATEL. Then, a sequential model is developed to describe the escalation of initial events using an Event Tree (ET), which is converted into a BN to calculate the posterior probabilities of indicators. Using the newly introduced accident precursor data, the failure probabilities of safety barriers and basic factors, and the occurrence probabilities of different consequences can be updated using the BN. The proposed method overcomes the limitations of traditional methods that cannot effectively utilize the operational data of platforms. This work shows trends of accident risks over time and provides useful information for risk control of floating marine platforms.