• Title/Summary/Keyword: long-term verification

Search Result 210, Processing Time 0.03 seconds

Generation of High Resolution Scenarios for Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources (II): Runoff Scenarios on Each Sub-basins (수자원에 대한 기후변화 영향평가를 위한 고해상도 시나리오 생산(II): 유역별 유출시나리오 구축)

  • Jung, Il-Won;Bae, Deg-Hyo;Im, Eun-Soon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.40 no.3
    • /
    • pp.205-214
    • /
    • 2007
  • The objective of this study is to generate the regional scale runoff scenarios by using IPCC SRES A2 climate change scenario for analyzing the spatial variation of water resources in Korea. The PRMS model was adopted to simulate long-term stream discharge. To estimate the PRMS model parameters on each sub-basin, the streamflow data at 6 dam sites and Rosenbrock's scheme are used for model parameter calibration and those parameters are translated to ungauged catchments by regionalization method. The other 3 dam sites are selected for the verification of the adequateness of regionalized model parameters in ungagued catchments. The statistical results show that the simulated flows by using regionalized parameters well agree with observed ones. The generated runoff scenarios by climate change are compared with observed data on 4 dam sites for the reference period. The consequences show that the selection of climate station for generating climate scenario affects the reliability of climate scenario at sub-basin. The comparison results of the stream flows between the 30-year baseline period (1971-2000) and future 90-year (2001-2030, 2031-2060, 2061-2090) show that the long-term mean annual runoff in the Han River has increasing trend, while the Nakdong, the Gum, the Youngsan and the Sumjin Rivers have decreasing trend.

Verification of Stream Flow by Rainfall-Runoff Simulation and Hydrologic Analysis in Daecheong Basin (수문 특성 분석에 의한 대청유역 주요지점 유출모의 검증)

  • Lee, Sang-Jin;Kim, Joo-Cheol;Noh, Joon-Woo
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
    • /
    • v.43 no.2
    • /
    • pp.183-189
    • /
    • 2010
  • In this study long term rainfall-runoff model, developed based on SSARR, was applied to Geum river basin and its simulation results of major control points were compared with the corresponding observed channel discharges. The validities of the simulation results were examined with re-measured discharges of those control points. From the above procedure the points showing the unreliable results were found out and its principal causes are analyzed through hydrological inspection of runoff characteristics of their circumstances. Finally the simulation results were modified by the consideration of the effects by small-scale hydraulic structures which could directly affect the channel discharges. As a result the annual runoff simulations of two major points in Geum river basin, Yongdam and Daecheong dam sites, work well. However the low flow simulation of the point located between them, Sutong station, showed more or less the unreliable result. Its causes are considered by means of the hydraulic/hydrological inspection of the corresponding point.

Verification of Freezing Index and Frost Penetration Depth with Temperature Data of Korea LTPP (국내 LTPP 온도 자료를 이용한 동결지수와 동결깊이 검증 연구)

  • Kim, Boo-Il;Jeon, Sung-Il;Lee, Moon-Sup;Lim, Kwang-Su
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
    • /
    • v.11 no.4
    • /
    • pp.143-152
    • /
    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate the freezing index and frost penetration depth. The freezing index and frost penetration depth were analyzed using air temperature and temperature profile of pavement system in Korea LTPP-SPS(Long Term Pavement Performance-Specific Pavement Study) site. The predicted frost penetration depth were then compared with the measured one from the LTPP sites. And the trend of annual freezing index was analyzed using the temperature data of meteorological stations located in the vicinity of Korea LTPP-SPS site. The result showed that the freezing index was rapidly decreased since 1987, and it was known that the use of freezing index determined from the past 30 years temperature data could cause the over estimates in the pavement thickness design. The temperature profile measured at 3 sections of LTPP-SPS sites showed that the temperature of subbase layer was above $0^{\circ}C$, even though anti-frost layers were found in these sections. Comparing the measured and calculated frost depth, the frost depth calculated from the subgrade frost penetration permissible method showed a similar trend with the measured frost depth.

  • PDF

High-Efficiency CMOS Power Amplifier using Low-Loss PCB Balun with Second Harmonic Impedance Matching (2차 고조파 정합 네트워크를 포함하는 저손실 PCB 발룬을 이용한 고효율 CMOS 전력증폭기)

  • Kim, Hyungyu;Lim, Wonseob;Kang, Hyunuk;Lee, Wooseok;Oh, Sungjae;Oh, Hansik;Yang, Youngoo
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
    • /
    • v.30 no.2
    • /
    • pp.104-110
    • /
    • 2019
  • In this paper, a complementary metal oxide semiconductor(CMOS) power amplifier(PA) integrated circuit operating in the 900 MHz band for long-term evolution(LTE) communication systems is presented. The output matching network based on a transformer was implemented on a printed circuit board for low loss. Simultaneously, to achieve high efficiency of the PA, the second harmonic impedances are controlled. The CMOS PA was fabricated using a $0.18{\mu}m$ CMOS process and measured using an LTE uplink signal with a bandwidth of 10 MHz and peak to average power ratio of 7.2 dB for verification. The implemented CMOS PA module exhibits a power gain of 24.4 dB, power-added efficiency of 34.2%, and an adjacent channel leakage ratio of -30.1 dBc at an average output power level of 24.3 dBm.

A Study on the Stationary State of Military Pension using Markov Chains (마코프 체인을 이용한 군인연금 안정상태에 관한 연구)

  • Bae, Young-Min
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
    • /
    • v.19 no.2
    • /
    • pp.61-69
    • /
    • 2021
  • The military pension deficit is increasing due to an increase in the average life expectancy and pension option rate, and a significant reason for this is estimated to be a continued increase in the number of military pension recipients. In terms of the soundness of military pension finances, this paper uses the Markov chain model to validate the stability of the military group, suggesting the direction of future military pension system in terms of the ratio of pension receipts to employees, and verifying the feasibility of the method applied through verification. Through this paper, we have confirmed that the initial 45,270 military personnel converge to 43,141 after a certain period of time and reach a stable state, which is expected to help us to estimate the long term size of military pension recipients to confirm the direction of national financial support. Military man who are eligible for pensions for more than 20 years have a relatively low rate of turnover or retirement compared to ordinary private groups, making it easier to define their status and simplify state transition probabilities. Therefore, it is expected that the sustainability of the military pension will be confirmed from a long term perspective by viewing the military group as a system and applying it to the Markov chain model by checking the probability of transfer of status such as promotion, maintaining the current grade, and retirement during the period.

Time Series Data Analysis and Prediction System Using PCA (주성분 분석 기법을 활용한 시계열 데이터 분석 및 예측 시스템)

  • Jin, Young-Hoon;Ji, Se-Hyun;Han, Kun-Hee
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
    • /
    • v.12 no.11
    • /
    • pp.99-107
    • /
    • 2021
  • We live in a myriad of data. Various data are created in all situations in which we work, and we discover the meaning of data through big data technology. Many efforts are underway to find meaningful data. This paper introduces an analysis technique that enables humans to make better choices through the trend and prediction of time series data as a principal component analysis technique. Principal component analysis constructs covariance through the input data and presents eigenvectors and eigenvalues that can infer the direction of the data. The proposed method computes a reference axis in a time series data set having a similar directionality. It predicts the directionality of data in the next section through the angle between the directionality of each time series data constituting the data set and the reference axis. In this paper, we compare and verify the accuracy of the proposed algorithm with LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) through cryptocurrency trends. As a result of comparative verification, the proposed method recorded relatively few transactions and high returns(112%) compared to LSTM in data with high volatility. It can mean that the signal was analyzed and predicted relatively accurately, and it is expected that better results can be derived through a more accurate threshold setting.

Towards Carbon-Neutralization: Deep Learning-Based Server Management Method for Efficient Energy Operation in Data Centers (탄소중립을 향하여: 데이터 센터에서의 효율적인 에너지 운영을 위한 딥러닝 기반 서버 관리 방안)

  • Sang-Gyun Ma;Jaehyun Park;Yeong-Seok Seo
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
    • /
    • v.12 no.4
    • /
    • pp.149-158
    • /
    • 2023
  • As data utilization is becoming more important recently, the importance of data centers is also increasing. However, the data center is a problem in terms of environment and economy because it is a massive power-consuming facility that runs 24 hours a day. Recently, studies using deep learning techniques to reduce power used in data centers or servers or predict traffic have been conducted from various perspectives. However, the amount of traffic data processed by the server is anomalous, which makes it difficult to manage the server. In addition, many studies on dynamic server management techniques are still required. Therefore, in this paper, we propose a dynamic server management technique based on Long-Term Short Memory (LSTM), which is robust to time series data prediction. The proposed model allows servers to be managed more reliably and efficiently in the field environment than before, and reduces power used by servers more effectively. For verification of the proposed model, we collect transmission and reception traffic data from six of Wikipedia's data centers, and then analyze and experiment with statistical-based analysis on the relationship of each traffic data. Experimental results show that the proposed model is helpful for reliably and efficiently running servers.

A Load Emulator for Low-power Embedded Systems and Its Application (저전력 내장형 시스템을 위한 부하의 전력 소모 에뮬레이션 시스템과 응용)

  • Kim, Kwan-Ho;Chang, Nae-Hyuck
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SC
    • /
    • v.42 no.6
    • /
    • pp.37-48
    • /
    • 2005
  • The efficiency of power supply circuits such as DC-DC converters and batteries varies on the trend of the power consumption because their efficiencies are not fixed. To analyze the efficiency of power supply circuits, we need the temporal behavior of the power consumption of the loads, which is dependent on the activity factors of the devices during the operation. Since it is not easy to model every detail of those factors, one of the most accurate power consumption analyses of power supply circuits is measurement of a real system, which is expensive and time consuming. In this paper, we introduce an active load emulator for embedded systems which is capable of power measurement, logging, replaying and synthesis. We adopt a pattern recognition technique for data compression in that long-term behaviors of power consumption consist of numbers of repetitions of short-term behaviors, and the number of short-term behaviors is generally limited to a small number. We also devise a heterogeneous structure of active load elements so that low-speed, high-current active load elements and high-speed, low-current active load elements may emulate large amount and fast changing power consumption of digital systems. For the performance evaluation of our load emulator, we demonstrate power measurement and emulation of a hard drive. As an application of our load emulator, it is used for the analysis of a DC-DC converter efficiency and for the verification of a low-power frequency scaling policy for a real-time task.

A Study on Follow-up Survey Methodology to Verify the Effectiveness of (<인생나눔교실> 사업의 효과 검증을 위한 추적 조사 방법론 연구 - 2017~2018년도 영상추적조사를 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Dong Eun
    • Korean Association of Arts Management
    • /
    • no.53
    • /
    • pp.207-247
    • /
    • 2020
  • is a project for the senior generation with humanistic knowledge to become a mentor and communicate with them to present the wisdom and direction of life to the new generations of mentees based on various life experiences. has been expanding since 2015, starting with the pilot operation in 2014. In general, projects such as these are assessed to establish effectiveness indicators to verify effectiveness and to establish project management and development strategies. However, most of the evaluations have been conducted quantitatively and qualitatively based on the short-term duration of the project. Therefore, in the case of continuous projects such as , especially in the field of culture and arts where long-term effectiveness verification is required, the short-term evaluation is difficult to predict and judge the actual meaningful effects. In this regard, tried to examine the qualitative change of key participants in this project through the 2017 and 2018 image tracking survey. For this purpose, we adopted qualitative research methodology through interview video shooting, field shooting, and value coding as a research method suitable for the research subject. To analyze the results, first, the interview images were transcribed, keywords were extracted, value encoding works were matched with human psychological values, and the theoretical method was used to identify changes and to derive the meaning. In fact, despite the fact that the study conducted in this study was a follow-up survey, it remained a limitation that it analyzed the changed pattern in a rather short time of 2 years. However, this study systemized the specific methodology that researchers should conduct for follow-up and provided the flow of research at the present time when there is hardly a model for follow-up in the field of culture and arts education business in Korea as well as abroad. Significance can be derived from this point. In addition, it can be said that it has great significance in preparing the detailed system and case of comparative analysis methodology through value coding.

Numerical Modelling for the Dilation Flow of Gas in a Bentonite Buffer Material: DECOVALEX-2019 Task A (벤토나이트 완충재에서의 기체 팽창 흐름 수치 모델링: DECOVALEX-2019 Task A)

  • Lee, Jaewon;Lee, Changsoo;Kim, Geon Young
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
    • /
    • v.30 no.4
    • /
    • pp.382-393
    • /
    • 2020
  • The engineered barrier system of high-level radioactive waste disposal must maintain its performance in the long term, because it must play a role in slowing the rate of leakage to the surrounding rock mass even if a radionuclide leak occurs from the canister. In particular, it is very important to clarify gas dilation flow phenomenon clearly, that occurs only in a medium containing a large amount of clay material such as a bentonite buffer, which can affect the long-term performance of the bentonite buffer. Accordingly, DECOVALEX-2019 Task A was conducted to identify the hydraulic-mechanical mechanism for the dilation flow, and to develop and verify a new numerical analysis technique for quantitative evaluation of gas migration phenomena. In this study, based on the conventional two-phase flow and mechanical behavior with effective stresses in the porous medium, the hydraulic-mechanical model was developed considering the concept of damage to simulate the formation of micro-cracks and expansion of the medium and the corresponding change in the hydraulic properties. Model verification and validation were conducted through comparison with the results of 1D and 3D gas injection tests. As a result of the numerical analysis, it was possible to model the sudden increase in pore water pressure, stress, gas inflow and outflow rate due to the dilation flow induced by gas pressure, however, the influence of the hydraulic-mechanical interaction was underestimated. Nevertheless, this study can provide a preliminary model for the dilation flow and a basis for developing an advanced model. It is believed that it can be used not only for analyzing data from laboratory and field tests, but also for long-term performance evaluation of the high-level radioactive waste disposal system.