• 제목/요약/키워드: long-term variability

검색결과 275건 처리시간 0.025초

서울시 대기 중 수은농도의 장기변동 특성 1997~2002 (The Long-term Variation Patterns of Atmospheric Mercury in Seoul, Korea from 1997 to 2002)

  • 김민영;김기현
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.179-189
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    • 2003
  • The concentration of gaseous elemental mercury (Hg) was measured concurrently with relevant environmental parameters from Yang-Jae monitoring station in Seoul during Sept. 1997 to June 2002. Although data collection was disrupted for certain periods, the grand mean concentration of Hg for this five year period was found at 5.32 $\pm$ 3.53 ng m$^{-3}$ (N = 27,170). Because of short resolution of data acquisition, we were able to examine the temporal variability of Hg at varying time scale. The diurnal variability of Hg, when investigated for each of those five years, indicated consistently the dominance of nighttime over daytime. If examined at seasonal scale, Hg level was systematically higher during winter/spring than summer/fall period. The results of this short-term variability were best explained by the combined effects of such factors as meteorological conditions (formation of inversion layer and seasonal changes) and anthropogenic source processes. However, examination of long-term variation Pattern was much more complicated to explain. Thus, extension of our study is needed to diagnose the future direction in long-term trend of Hg behavior.

기후 자료 분석을 통한 장기 기후변동성이 태양광 발전량에 미치는 영향 연구 (Assessing the Impact of Long-Term Climate Variability on Solar Power Generation through Climate Data Analysis)

  • 김창기;김현구;김진영
    • 신재생에너지
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.98-107
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    • 2023
  • A study was conducted to analyze data from 1981 to 2020 for understanding the impact of climate on solar energy generation. A significant increase of 104.6 kWhm-2 was observed in the annual cumulative solar radiation over this period. Notably, the distribution of solar radiation shifted, with the solar radiation in Busan rising from the seventh place in 1981 to the second place in 2020 in South Korea. This study also examined the correlation between long-term temperature trends and solar radiation. Areas with the highest solar radiation in 2020, such as Busan, Gwangju, Daegu, and Jinju, exhibited strong positive correlations, suggesting that increased solar radiation contributed to higher temperatures. Conversely, regions like Seosan and Mokpo showed lower temperature increases due to factors such as reduced cloud cover. To evaluate the impact on solar energy production, simulations were conducted using climate data from both years. The results revealed that relying solely on historical data for solar energy predictions could lead to overestimations in some areas, including Seosan or Jinju, and underestimations in others such as Busan. Hence, considering long-term climate variability is vital for accurate solar energy forecasting and ensuring the economic feasibility of solar projects.

Water Mass Formation Variability in the Intermediate Layer of the East Sea

  • Min, Hong-Sik;Kim, Cheol-Ho
    • Ocean Science Journal
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    • 제41권4호
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    • pp.255-260
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    • 2006
  • Long-term variability in the intermediate layer of the eastern Japan Basin has been investigated to understand the variability of water mass formation in the East Sea. The simultaneous decrease of temperature at shallower depths and oxygen increasing at deeper depths in the intermediate layer took place in the late 1960's sand the mid-1980's. Records of winter sea surface temperatures and air temperatures showed that there were cold winters that persisted for several years during those periods. Therefore, it was assumed that a large amount of newly-formed water was supplied to the intermediate layer during those cold winters. Close analysis suggests that the formation of the Upper Portion of Proper Water occurred in the late 1960's and the Central Water in the mid-1980's.

공간의 가변을 고려한 장수명주택 평면계획 연구 (A Study on Long-Life Housing Plan Considering Space Variability)

  • 왕우철
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2019년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.147-148
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    • 2019
  • Long-life housing should be durable enough to maintain structural safety even after long-term use by applying a durable structural system. Also, the residence space can be repaired according to the life cycle of the resident, and the space can be easily changed. The purpose of this study is to propose a plan which can increase the variability of unit space of long - lived houses in terms of architectural planning. We propose a new plan that can embody flexibility and ease of repair through the design of long life.

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Dynamic-Thermodynamic Sea Ice Model: Application to Climate Study and Navigation

  • Makshtas, Alexander;Shoutilin, Serger V.;Marchenko, Alexey V.;Bekryaev, Roman V.
    • Journal of Ship and Ocean Technology
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.20-28
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    • 2004
  • A dynamic-thermodynamic sea ice model with 50-km spatial and 24-hour temporal resolution is used to investigate the spatial and long-term temporal variability of the sea ice cover the Arctic Basin. The model satisfactorily reproduces the averaged main characteristics of the sea ice and the sea ice extent in the Arctic Basin and its decrease in early 1990th. At times model allows to suppose partial recovery of sea ice cover in the last years of twenty century. The employment of explicit form for description of ridging gives opportunity to assume that the observed thinning is the result of reduction the intensity of ridging processes and to estimate long-term variability of probability the ridge free navigation in the different parts of the Arctic Ocean including the North Sea Route area.

ON THE LONG TIME SPECTRAL VARIABILITY OF NGC 5548

  • ISMAILOV, NARIMAN Z.;BASHIROVA, ULVIYYE Z.
    • 천문학논총
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    • 제30권2호
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    • pp.531-533
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    • 2015
  • We have investigated the long term variability of the intensities of the broad-line region emission lines in the UV spectra of Seyfert I galaxy NGC 5548 from 1973-1996. We have obtained the following results: 1) a high level correlation between the intensities of emission lines as well as between intensities of emission lines and continuum fluxes was discovered. With increasing wavelength the correlation in both cases becomes weaker, 2) the relationship between the intensity of emission lines and the flux radiation in the continuum can be expressed by a power law function with coefficients of ${\alpha}{\approx}0.8-1.1$ for different lines. When the difference between the wavelengths of spectral lines and the continuum is increased, the value of the power function decreases, and 3) it was found that the magnitude of the variability of the line intensities are weaker than the range of variability of the continuum fluxes. The magnitude of the variability of the line intensities and the continuum fluxes increase at longer wavelengths.

LONG-TERM SOFT X-RAY VARIABILITY OF ACTIVE GALAXY MRK 841

  • Kim, Chul-Hee
    • 천문학회지
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    • 제41권2호
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    • pp.17-22
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    • 2008
  • We present an analysis of the soft X-ray emission of MRK 841 to investigate its long-term variation. The light variation of MRK 841 for three different energy bands of soft, medium, and hard values were studied. The maximum variability with a factor of 5 for about two years was confirmed at all three different bands. The light curves exhibit a gradual variation of brightness. In addition to a gradual variation, the short- term or micro variation was also confirmed with a factor of about two for all three different bands. The light variation of each band did not exhibit a correlation between them, but the flare event is strongest in the soft band. The hardness ratio for hard and soft bands shows irregular variation but there was no correlation between them. It was confirmed that there is a gradual decrease of the photon index. Results of our analysis are discussed within the framework of the accretion disk phenomenon.

추계적 공동주택 장기수선충당금 산출 및 분석 방법론 개발 (Developing Stochastic Long-Term Maintenance Cost Estimating Method for Apartment Housing)

  • 곽한성;이동은
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2015년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.243-244
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    • 2015
  • This paper presents a Stochastic Long-Term Maintenance Costs Estimating Method for the Apartment Housing (SLCE). A simulation approach is used for generating the stochastic long-term maintenance cost, and it is based on the defined variability in repair cycle of the individual maintenance elemental within the process. SLCE provides the probability distribution of the budget required to maintain the apartment housing. A case study is presented to demonstrate and to validate the system.

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Multi-wavelength Study of Blazars Using Variability as a Tool

  • Baliyan, Kiran S.;Kaur, Navpreet;Chandra, Sunil;Sameer, Sameer;Ganesh, Shashikiran
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • 제33권3호
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    • pp.177-183
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    • 2016
  • Active galactic nuclei (AGN) are too compact to be resolved by any existing optical telescope facility, making it difficult to understand their structure and the emission processes responsible for their huge energy output. However, variability, one of their characteristic properties, provides a tool to probe the inner regions of AGN. Blazars are the best candidates for such a study, and hence a considerable amount of effort is being made to investigate variability in these sources across the electromagnetic spectrum. Here, using the Mt. Abu infrared observatory (MIRO) blazar monitoring program, we present intra-night, inter-night, and long term aspects of the variability in S5 0716+71, 3C66A, and OJ 287. These stars show significant variability on short (a few tens of mins, to a few hours, to a few days) to long term (months to years) timescales. Based on the light travel time argument, the shortest variability timescales (micro-variability) provide upper limits to the size of the emission region. While S5 0716 shows a very high duty cycle of variability (> 80 %), 3C66A shows a much lower intra day variability (IDV) duty cycle (< 20 %). All three show rapid variations within 2.5 to 3.5 hr, which, perhaps, are generated near the vicinity of black holes. Assuming this, estimates of the masses of the black holes are made at ~109, 8×108, and 2.7×109 M for S5 0716+71, 3C66A, and OJ 287, respectively. Multi-wavelength light-curves for the blazar PKS 1510-089 are discussed to infer the emission processes responsible for the recent flaring episodes in this source.

여름철 계절안 진동이 한반도 강수에 미치는 영향 및 장기 변화 특성 연구 (Influence of Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation on Korean Precipitation and its Long-Term Changes)

  • 이준이;;문수연;하경자
    • 대기
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.435-444
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    • 2017
  • By analyzing Asian Precipitation-Highly-Resolved Observational Data Integration Towards Evaluation (APHRODITE) from May to September for 1951~2007, this study investigates impacts of two dominant boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation (BSISO) modes on precipitation over Monsoon Asia including Korea and long-term change of 10~20-day and 30~60-day ISO over Korea. It is shown that BSISO strongly modulates rainfall variability over the many part of Monsoon Asia including Korea. Korea tends to have more (less) rainfall during the phases 3~5 (7~8) of BSISO1 representing the canonical northward/northeastward propagating 30~60-day ISO and during the phases 6~8 (3~5) of BSISO2 representing the northward/northwestward propagating 10~20-day ISO. It is found that the 10~20-day ISO variability contributes to summer mean rainfall variability more than 30~60-day ISO over Korea. For the 57 years of 1951~2007, the correlation coefficient between the May to September mean precipitation anomaly and standard deviation of 10~20-day (30~60-day) ISO is 0.71 (0.46). It is further noted that there is a significant increasing trend in the 10~20-day and 30~60-day ISO variability in the rainy season during the period of 1951 to 2007.