• Title/Summary/Keyword: long term neural network

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Enhancing Wind Speed and Wind Power Forecasting Using Shape-Wise Feature Engineering: A Novel Approach for Improved Accuracy and Robustness

  • Mulomba Mukendi Christian;Yun Seon Kim;Hyebong Choi;Jaeyoung Lee;SongHee You
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.393-405
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    • 2023
  • Accurate prediction of wind speed and power is vital for enhancing the efficiency of wind energy systems. Numerous solutions have been implemented to date, demonstrating their potential to improve forecasting. Among these, deep learning is perceived as a revolutionary approach in the field. However, despite their effectiveness, the noise present in the collected data remains a significant challenge. This noise has the potential to diminish the performance of these algorithms, leading to inaccurate predictions. In response to this, this study explores a novel feature engineering approach. This approach involves altering the data input shape in both Convolutional Neural Network-Long Short-Term Memory (CNN-LSTM) and Autoregressive models for various forecasting horizons. The results reveal substantial enhancements in model resilience against noise resulting from step increases in data. The approach could achieve an impressive 83% accuracy in predicting unseen data up to the 24th steps. Furthermore, this method consistently provides high accuracy for short, mid, and long-term forecasts, outperforming the performance of individual models. These findings pave the way for further research on noise reduction strategies at different forecasting horizons through shape-wise feature engineering.

Activity recognition of stroke-affected people using wearable sensor

  • Anusha David;Rajavel Ramadoss;Amutha Ramachandran;Shoba Sivapatham
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.45 no.6
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    • pp.1079-1089
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    • 2023
  • Stroke is one of the leading causes of long-term disability worldwide, placing huge burdens on individuals and society. Further, automatic human activity recognition is a challenging task that is vital to the future of healthcare and physical therapy. Using a baseline long short-term memory recurrent neural network, this study provides a novel dataset of stretching, upward stretching, flinging motions, hand-to-mouth movements, swiping gestures, and pouring motions for improved model training and testing of stroke-affected patients. A MATLAB application is used to output textual and audible prediction results. A wearable sensor with a triaxial accelerometer is used to collect preprocessed real-time data. The model is trained with features extracted from the actual patient to recognize new actions, and the recognition accuracy provided by multiple datasets is compared based on the same baseline model. When training and testing using the new dataset, the baseline model shows recognition accuracy that is 11% higher than the Activity Daily Living dataset, 22% higher than the Activity Recognition Single Chest-Mounted Accelerometer dataset, and 10% higher than another real-world dataset.

Assessment of maximum liquefaction distance using soft computing approaches

  • Kishan Kumar;Pijush Samui;Shiva S. Choudhary
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.395-418
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    • 2024
  • The epicentral region of earthquakes is typically where liquefaction-related damage takes place. To determine the maximum distance, such as maximum epicentral distance (Re), maximum fault distance (Rf), or maximum hypocentral distance (Rh), at which an earthquake can inflict damage, given its magnitude, this study, using a recently updated global liquefaction database, multiple ML models are built to predict the limiting distances (Re, Rf, or Rh) required for an earthquake of a given magnitude to cause damage. Four machine learning models LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory), BiLSTM (Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory), CNN (Convolutional Neural Network), and XGB (Extreme Gradient Boosting) are developed using the Python programming language. All four proposed ML models performed better than empirical models for limiting distance assessment. Among these models, the XGB model outperformed all the models. In order to determine how well the suggested models can predict limiting distances, a number of statistical parameters have been studied. To compare the accuracy of the proposed models, rank analysis, error matrix, and Taylor diagram have been developed. The ML models proposed in this paper are more robust than other current models and may be used to assess the minimal energy of a liquefaction disaster caused by an earthquake or to estimate the maximum distance of a liquefied site provided an earthquake in rapid disaster mapping.

Utilizing Deep Learning for Early Diagnosis of Autism: Detecting Self-Stimulatory Behavior

  • Seongwoo Park;Sukbeom Chang;JooHee Oh
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.148-158
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    • 2024
  • We investigate Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD), which is typified by deficits in social interaction, repetitive behaviors, limited vocabulary, and cognitive delays. Traditional diagnostic methodologies, reliant on expert evaluations, frequently result in deferred detection and intervention, particularly in South Korea, where there is a dearth of qualified professionals and limited public awareness. In this study, we employ advanced deep learning algorithms to enhance early ASD screening through automated video analysis. Utilizing architectures such as Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory (ConvLSTM), Long-term Recurrent Convolutional Network (LRCN), and Convolutional Neural Networks with Gated Recurrent Units (CNN+GRU), we analyze video data from platforms like YouTube and TikTok to identify stereotypic behaviors (arm flapping, head banging, spinning). Our results indicate that the LRCN model exhibited superior performance with 79.61% accuracy on the augmented platform video dataset and 79.37% on the original SSBD dataset. The ConvLSTM and CNN+GRU models also achieved higher accuracy than the original SSBD dataset. Through this research, we underscore AI's potential in early ASD detection by automating the identification of stereotypic behaviors, thereby enabling timely intervention. We also emphasize the significance of utilizing expanded datasets from social media platform videos in augmenting model accuracy and robustness, thus paving the way for more accessible diagnostic methods.

Comparison of Learning Techniques of LSTM Network for State of Charge Estimation in Lithium-Ion Batteries (리튬 이온 배터리의 충전 상태 추정을 위한 LSTM 네트워크 학습 방법 비교)

  • Hong, Seon-Ri;Kang, Moses;Kim, Gun-Woo;Jeong, Hak-Geun;Beak, Jong-Bok;Kim, Jong-Hoon
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.1328-1336
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    • 2019
  • To maintain the safe and optimal performance of batteries, accurate estimation of state of charge (SOC) is critical. In this paper, Long short-term memory network (LSTM) based on the artificial intelligence algorithm is applied to address the problem of the conventional coulomb-counting method. Different discharge cycles are concatenated to form the dataset for training and verification. In oder to improve the quality of input data for learning, preprocessing was performed. In addition, we compared learning ability and SOC estimation performance according to the structure of LSTM model and hyperparameter setup. The trained model was verified with a UDDS profile and achieved estimated accuracy of RMSE 0.82% and MAX 2.54%.

THM analysis for an in situ experiment using FLAC3D-TOUGH2 and an artificial neural network

  • Kwon, Sangki;Lee, Changsoo
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.363-373
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    • 2018
  • The evaluation of Thermo-Hydro-Mechanical (THM) coupling behavior is important for the development of underground space for various purposes. For a high-level radioactive waste repository excavated in a deep underground rock mass, the accurate prediction of the complex THM behavior is essential for the long-term safety and stability assessment. In order to develop reliable THM analysis techniques effectively, an international cooperation project, Development of Coupled models and their Validation against Experiments (DECOVALEX), was carried out. In DECOVALEX-2015 Task B2, the in situ THM experiment that was conducted at Horonobe Underground Research Laboratory(URL) by Japan Atomic Energy Agency (JAEA), was modeled by the research teams from the participating countries. In this study, a THM coupling technique that combined TOUGH2 and FLAC3D was developed and applied to the THM analysis for the in situ experiment, in which rock, buffer, backfill, sand, and heater were installed. With the assistance of an artificial neural network, the boundary conditions for the experiment could be adequately implemented in the modeling. The thermal, hydraulic, and mechanical results from the modeling were compared with the measurements from the in situ THM experiment. The predicted buffer temperature from the THM modelling was about $10^{\circ}C$ higher than measurement near by the overpack. At the other locations far from the overpack, modelling predicted slightly lower temperature than measurement. Even though the magnitude of pressure from the modeling was different from the measurements, the general trends of the variation with time were found to be similar.

Heating Performance Prediction of Low-depth Modular Ground Heat Exchanger based on Artificial Neural Network Model (인공신경망 모델을 활용한 저심도 모듈러 지중열교환기의 난방성능 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Oh, Jinhwan;Cho, Jeong-Heum;Bae, Sangmu;Chae, Hobyung;Nam, Yujin
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Geothermal and Hydrothermal Energy
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2022
  • Ground source heat pump (GSHP) system is highly efficient and environment-friendly and supplies heating, cooling and hot water to buildings. For an optimal design of the GSHP system, the ground thermal properties should be determined to estimate the heat exchange rate between ground and borehole heat exchangers (BHE) and the system performance during long-term operating periods. However, the process increases the initial cost and construction period, which causes the system to be hindered in distribution. On the other hand, much research has been applied to the artificial neural network (ANN) to solve problems based on data efficiently and stably. This research proposes the predictive performance model utilizing ANN considering local characteristics and weather data for the predictive performance model. The ANN model predicts the entering water temperature (EWT) from the GHEs to the heat pump for the modular GHEs, which were developed to reduce the cost and spatial disadvantages of the vertical-type GHEs. As a result, the temperature error between the data and predicted results was 3.52%. The proposed approach was validated to predict the system performance and EWT of the GSHP system.

Short-term Power Consumption Forecasting Based on IoT Power Meter with LSTM and GRU Deep Learning (LSTM과 GRU 딥러닝 IoT 파워미터 기반의 단기 전력사용량 예측)

  • Lee, Seon-Min;Sun, Young-Ghyu;Lee, Jiyoung;Lee, Donggu;Cho, Eun-Il;Park, Dae-Hyun;Kim, Yong-Bum;Sim, Isaac;Kim, Jin-Young
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.79-85
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, we propose a short-term power forecasting method by applying Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) neural network to Internet of Things (IoT) power meter. We analyze performance based on real power consumption data of households. Mean absolute error (MAE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), mean percentage error (MPE), mean squared error (MSE), and root mean squared error (RMSE) are used as performance evaluation indexes. The experimental results show that the GRU-based model improves the performance by 4.52% in the MAPE and 5.59% in the MPE compared to the LSTM-based model.

Development of prediction model identifying high-risk older persons in need of long-term care (장기요양 필요 발생의 고위험 대상자 발굴을 위한 예측모형 개발)

  • Song, Mi Kyung;Park, Yeongwoo;Han, Eun-Jeong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.457-468
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    • 2022
  • In aged society, it is important to prevent older people from being disability needing long-term care. The purpose of this study is to develop a prediction model to discover high-risk groups who are likely to be beneficiaries of Long-Term Care Insurance. This study is a retrospective study using database of National Health Insurance Service (NHIS) collected in the past of the study subjects. The study subjects are 7,724,101, the population over 65 years of age registered for medical insurance. To develop the prediction model, we used logistic regression, decision tree, random forest, and multi-layer perceptron neural network. Finally, random forest was selected as the prediction model based on the performances of models obtained through internal and external validation. Random forest could predict about 90% of the older people in need of long-term care using DB without any information from the assessment of eligibility for long-term care. The findings might be useful in evidencebased health management for prevention services and can contribute to preemptively discovering those who need preventive services in older people.

LSTM Language Model Based Korean Sentence Generation (LSTM 언어모델 기반 한국어 문장 생성)

  • Kim, Yang-hoon;Hwang, Yong-keun;Kang, Tae-gwan;Jung, Kyo-min
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.41 no.5
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    • pp.592-601
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    • 2016
  • The recurrent neural network (RNN) is a deep learning model which is suitable to sequential or length-variable data. The Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) mitigates the vanishing gradient problem of RNNs so that LSTM can maintain the long-term dependency among the constituents of the given input sequence. In this paper, we propose a LSTM based language model which can predict following words of a given incomplete sentence to generate a complete sentence. To evaluate our method, we trained our model using multiple Korean corpora then generated the incomplete part of Korean sentences. The result shows that our language model was able to generate the fluent Korean sentences. We also show that the word based model generated better sentences compared to the other settings.