• Title/Summary/Keyword: long short-term memory network

Search Result 322, Processing Time 0.029 seconds

Prediction of pollution loads in agricultural reservoirs using LSTM algorithm: case study of reservoirs in Nonsan City

  • Heesung Lim;Hyunuk An;Gyeongsuk Choi;Jaenam Lee;Jongwon Do
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
    • /
    • v.49 no.2
    • /
    • pp.193-202
    • /
    • 2022
  • The recurrent neural network (RNN) algorithm has been widely used in water-related research areas, such as water level predictions and water quality predictions, due to its excellent time series learning capabilities. However, studies on water quality predictions using RNN algorithms are limited because of the scarcity of water quality data. Therefore, most previous studies related to water quality predictions were based on monthly predictions. In this study, the quality of the water in a reservoir in Nonsan, Chungcheongnam-do Republic of Korea was predicted using the RNN-LSTM algorithm. The study was conducted after constructing data that could then be, linearly interpolated as daily data. In this study, we attempt to predict the water quality on the 7th, 15th, 30th, 45th and 60th days instead of making daily predictions of water quality factors. For daily predictions, linear interpolated daily water quality data and daily weather data (rainfall, average temperature, and average wind speed) were used. The results of predicting water quality concentrations (chemical oxygen demand [COD], dissolved oxygen [DO], suspended solid [SS], total nitrogen [T-N], total phosphorus [TP]) through the LSTM algorithm indicated that the predictive value was high on the 7th and 15th days. In the 30th day predictions, the COD and DO items showed R2 that exceeded 0.6 at all points, whereas the SS, T-N, and T-P items showed differences depending on the factor being assessed. In the 45th day predictions, it was found that the accuracy of all water quality predictions except for the DO item was sharply lowered.

Comparative Study of Data Preprocessing and ML&DL Model Combination for Daily Dam Inflow Prediction (댐 일유입량 예측을 위한 데이터 전처리와 머신러닝&딥러닝 모델 조합의 비교연구)

  • Youngsik Jo;Kwansue Jung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2023.05a
    • /
    • pp.358-358
    • /
    • 2023
  • 본 연구에서는 그동안 수자원분야 강우유출 해석분야에 활용되었던 대표적인 머신러닝&딥러닝(ML&DL) 모델을 활용하여 모델의 하이퍼파라미터 튜닝뿐만 아니라 모델의 특성을 고려한 기상 및 수문데이터의 조합과 전처리(lag-time, 이동평균 등)를 통하여 데이터 특성과 ML&DL모델의 조합시나리오에 따른 일 유입량 예측성능을 비교 검토하는 연구를 수행하였다. 이를 위해 소양강댐 유역을 대상으로 1974년에서 2021년까지 축적된 기상 및 수문데이터를 활용하여 1) 강우, 2) 유입량, 3) 기상자료를 주요 영향변수(독립변수)로 고려하고, 이에 a) 지체시간(lag-time), b) 이동평균, c) 유입량의 성분분리조건을 적용하여 총 36가지 시나리오 조합을 ML&DL의 입력자료로 활용하였다. ML&DL 모델은 1) Linear Regression(LR), 2) Lasso, 3) Ridge, 4) SVR(Support Vector Regression), 5) Random Forest(RF), 6) LGBM(Light Gradient Boosting Model), 7) XGBoost의 7가지 ML방법과 8) LSTM(Long Short-Term Memory models), 9) TCN(Temporal Convolutional Network), 10) LSTM-TCN의 3가지 DL 방법, 총 10가지 ML&DL모델을 비교 검토하여 일유입량 예측을 위한 가장 적합한 데이터 조합 특성과 ML&DL모델을 성능평가와 함께 제시하였다. 학습된 모형의 유입량 예측 결과를 비교·분석한 결과, 소양강댐 유역에서는 딥러닝 중에서는 TCN모형이 가장 우수한 성능을 보였고(TCN>TCN-LSTM>LSTM), 트리기반 머신러닝중에서는 Random Forest와 LGBM이 우수한 성능을 보였으며(RF, LGBM>XGB), SVR도 LGBM수준의 우수한 성능을 나타내었다. LR, Lasso, Ridge 세가지 Regression모형은 상대적으로 낮은 성능을 보였다. 또한 소양강댐 댐유입량 예측에 대하여 강우, 유입량, 기상계열을 36가지로 조합한 결과, 입력자료에 lag-time이 적용된 강우계열의 조합 분석에서 세가지 Regression모델을 제외한 모든 모형에서 NSE(Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency) 0.8이상(최대 0.867)의 성능을 보였으며, lag-time이 적용된 강우와 유입량계열을 조합했을 경우 NSE 0.85이상(최대 0.901)의 더 우수한 성능을 보였다.

  • PDF

Futures Price Prediction based on News Articles using LDA and LSTM (LDA와 LSTM를 응용한 뉴스 기사 기반 선물가격 예측)

  • Jin-Hyeon Joo;Keun-Deok Park
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
    • /
    • v.21 no.1
    • /
    • pp.167-173
    • /
    • 2023
  • As research has been published to predict future data using regression analysis or artificial intelligence as a method of analyzing economic indicators. In this study, we designed a system that predicts prospective futures prices using artificial intelligence that utilizes topic probability data obtained from past news articles using topic modeling. Topic probability distribution data for each news article were obtained using the Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) method that can extract the topic of a document from past news articles via unsupervised learning. Further, the topic probability distribution data were used as the input for a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network, a derivative of Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) in artificial intelligence, in order to predict prospective futures prices. The method proposed in this study was able to predict the trend of futures prices. Later, this method will also be able to predict the trend of prices for derivative products like options. However, because statistical errors occurred for certain data; further research is required to improve accuracy.

Quality Control Plan of Water Level in Agricultural Reservoirs using a Deep-Learning Based LSTM Model (딥러닝 기반 LSTM 모형을 이용한 농업용 저수지 수위자료 품질관리 방안)

  • Yang, Mi-Hye;Nam, Won-Ho;Shin, An-Kook;Kang, Mun-Sung;Kim, Taegon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2020.06a
    • /
    • pp.128-128
    • /
    • 2020
  • 최근 농업환경의 변화와 기후변화에 대응하기 위해 농업용수 관리 정보화 및 과학화의 필요성이 증대되어 실시간으로 저수지 저수량과 농업용수 공급량을 파악하기 위해 자동 수위계측시설이 도입되었다. 농림축산식품부의 저수지 자동수위측정기 설치 및 운영지침에 따라 현재 농어촌공사 관리 저수지 1,734개소 및 수로부 1,880개소에 자동수위계가 설치되어 있으며, 저수지와 수로에서 10분 간격으로 수위자료가 생성되고 있다. 농업용 저수지 수문자료의 공인지점은 2016년 6개소에서 2019년 49개소로 증대되고 있으며, 데이터 품질 저하의 최소화 및 신뢰성 있는 수문자료 생성의 필요성이 증가함에 따라 농업용 저수지의 특성을 반영한 저수지 수위 오결측 데이터 보정 방안 및 수문 자료 품질관리 방안이 요구된다. 농업용 저수지의 수위 변화 및 강우-유출 현상은 물리적 모형을 구축하여 기상, 지형 등 영향 인자와 수위(또는 유출)와의 상관관계를 분석하는 것은 무적으로 불가능하였지만, 최근 인공신경망 (Artificial Neural Network, ANN) 등과 같이 black-box 형태의 모형을 이용하여 비선형적인 수문해석이 가능해졌다. 본 연구에서는 빅데이터와 인공신경망을 결합시킨 알고리즘인 딥러닝 (Deep Learning) 기반의 LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) 모형을 활용하여 농업용 저수지 수위자료를 검토하여 자동계측기에서 발생하는 오류 보정을 위해 품질관리 방안을 제시하고자 한다.

  • PDF

Deep Learning-based Rheometer Quality Inspection Model Using Temporal and Spatial Characteristics

  • Jaehyun Park;Yonghun Jang;Bok-Dong Lee;Myung-Sub Lee
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
    • /
    • v.28 no.11
    • /
    • pp.43-52
    • /
    • 2023
  • Rubber produced by rubber companies is subjected to quality suitability inspection through rheometer test, followed by secondary processing for automobile parts. However, rheometer test is being conducted by humans and has the disadvantage of being very dependent on experts. In order to solve this problem, this paper proposes a deep learning-based rheometer quality inspection system. The proposed system combines LSTM(Long Short-Term Memory) and CNN(Convolutional Neural Network) to take advantage of temporal and spatial characteristics from the rheometer. Next, combination materials of each rubber was used as an auxiliary input to enable quality conformity inspection of various rubber products in one model. The proposed method examined its performance with 30,000 validation datasets. As a result, an F1-score of 0.9940 was achieved on average, and its excellence was proved.

Speech Emotion Recognition in People at High Risk of Dementia

  • Dongseon Kim;Bongwon Yi;Yugwon Won
    • Dementia and Neurocognitive Disorders
    • /
    • v.23 no.3
    • /
    • pp.146-160
    • /
    • 2024
  • Background and Purpose: The emotions of people at various stages of dementia need to be effectively utilized for prevention, early intervention, and care planning. With technology available for understanding and addressing the emotional needs of people, this study aims to develop speech emotion recognition (SER) technology to classify emotions for people at high risk of dementia. Methods: Speech samples from people at high risk of dementia were categorized into distinct emotions via human auditory assessment, the outcomes of which were annotated for guided deep-learning method. The architecture incorporated convolutional neural network, long short-term memory, attention layers, and Wav2Vec2, a novel feature extractor to develop automated speech-emotion recognition. Results: Twenty-seven kinds of Emotions were found in the speech of the participants. These emotions were grouped into 6 detailed emotions: happiness, interest, sadness, frustration, anger, and neutrality, and further into 3 basic emotions: positive, negative, and neutral. To improve algorithmic performance, multiple learning approaches were applied using different data sources-voice and text-and varying the number of emotions. Ultimately, a 2-stage algorithm-initial text-based classification followed by voice-based analysis-achieved the highest accuracy, reaching 70%. Conclusions: The diverse emotions identified in this study were attributed to the characteristics of the participants and the method of data collection. The speech of people at high risk of dementia to companion robots also explains the relatively low performance of the SER algorithm. Accordingly, this study suggests the systematic and comprehensive construction of a dataset from people with dementia.

Experimental Comparison of Network Intrusion Detection Models Solving Imbalanced Data Problem (데이터의 불균형성을 제거한 네트워크 침입 탐지 모델 비교 분석)

  • Lee, Jong-Hwa;Bang, Jiwon;Kim, Jong-Wouk;Choi, Mi-Jung
    • KNOM Review
    • /
    • v.23 no.2
    • /
    • pp.18-28
    • /
    • 2020
  • With the development of the virtual community, the benefits that IT technology provides to people in fields such as healthcare, industry, communication, and culture are increasing, and the quality of life is also improving. Accordingly, there are various malicious attacks targeting the developed network environment. Firewalls and intrusion detection systems exist to detect these attacks in advance, but there is a limit to detecting malicious attacks that are evolving day by day. In order to solve this problem, intrusion detection research using machine learning is being actively conducted, but false positives and false negatives are occurring due to imbalance of the learning dataset. In this paper, a Random Oversampling method is used to solve the unbalance problem of the UNSW-NB15 dataset used for network intrusion detection. And through experiments, we compared and analyzed the accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, training and prediction time, and hardware resource consumption of the models. Based on this study using the Random Oversampling method, we develop a more efficient network intrusion detection model study using other methods and high-performance models that can solve the unbalanced data problem.

Fake News Detection Using CNN-based Sentiment Change Patterns (CNN 기반 감성 변화 패턴을 이용한 가짜뉴스 탐지)

  • Tae Won Lee;Ji Su Park;Jin Gon Shon
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
    • /
    • v.12 no.4
    • /
    • pp.179-188
    • /
    • 2023
  • Recently, fake news disguises the form of news content and appears whenever important events occur, causing social confusion. Accordingly, artificial intelligence technology is used as a research to detect fake news. Fake news detection approaches such as automatically recognizing and blocking fake news through natural language processing or detecting social media influencer accounts that spread false information by combining with network causal inference could be implemented through deep learning. However, fake news detection is classified as a difficult problem to solve among many natural language processing fields. Due to the variety of forms and expressions of fake news, the difficulty of feature extraction is high, and there are various limitations, such as that one feature may have different meanings depending on the category to which the news belongs. In this paper, emotional change patterns are presented as an additional identification criterion for detecting fake news. We propose a model with improved performance by applying a convolutional neural network to a fake news data set to perform analysis based on content characteristics and additionally analyze emotional change patterns. Sentimental polarity is calculated for the sentences constituting the news and the result value dependent on the sentence order can be obtained by applying long-term and short-term memory. This is defined as a pattern of emotional change and combined with the content characteristics of news to be used as an independent variable in the proposed model for fake news detection. We train the proposed model and comparison model by deep learning and conduct an experiment using a fake news data set to confirm that emotion change patterns can improve fake news detection performance.

Radar rainfall prediction based on deep learning considering temporal consistency (시간 연속성을 고려한 딥러닝 기반 레이더 강우예측)

  • Shin, Hongjoon;Yoon, Seongsim;Choi, Jaemin
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.54 no.5
    • /
    • pp.301-309
    • /
    • 2021
  • In this study, we tried to improve the performance of the existing U-net-based deep learning rainfall prediction model, which can weaken the meaning of time series order. For this, ConvLSTM2D U-Net structure model considering temporal consistency of data was applied, and we evaluated accuracy of the ConvLSTM2D U-Net model using a RainNet model and an extrapolation-based advection model. In addition, we tried to improve the uncertainty in the model training process by performing learning not only with a single model but also with 10 ensemble models. The trained neural network rainfall prediction model was optimized to generate 10-minute advance prediction data using four consecutive data of the past 30 minutes from the present. The results of deep learning rainfall prediction models are difficult to identify schematically distinct differences, but with ConvLSTM2D U-Net, the magnitude of the prediction error is the smallest and the location of rainfall is relatively accurate. In particular, the ensemble ConvLSTM2D U-Net showed high CSI, low MAE, and a narrow error range, and predicted rainfall more accurately and stable prediction performance than other models. However, the prediction performance for a specific point was very low compared to the prediction performance for the entire area, and the deep learning rainfall prediction model also had limitations. Through this study, it was confirmed that the ConvLSTM2D U-Net neural network structure to account for the change of time could increase the prediction accuracy, but there is still a limitation of the convolution deep neural network model due to spatial smoothing in the strong rainfall region or detailed rainfall prediction.

A Study on Performance Improvement of Recurrent Neural Networks Algorithm using Word Group Expansion Technique (단어그룹 확장 기법을 활용한 순환신경망 알고리즘 성능개선 연구)

  • Park, Dae Seung;Sung, Yeol Woo;Kim, Cheong Ghil
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
    • /
    • v.20 no.4
    • /
    • pp.23-30
    • /
    • 2022
  • Recently, with the development of artificial intelligence (AI) and deep learning, the importance of conversational artificial intelligence chatbots is being highlighted. In addition, chatbot research is being conducted in various fields. To build a chatbot, it is developed using an open source platform or a commercial platform for ease of development. These chatbot platforms mainly use RNN and application algorithms. The RNN algorithm has the advantages of fast learning speed, ease of monitoring and verification, and good inference performance. In this paper, a method for improving the inference performance of RNNs and applied algorithms was studied. The proposed method used the word group expansion learning technique of key words for each sentence when RNN and applied algorithm were applied. As a result of this study, the RNN, GRU, and LSTM three algorithms with a cyclic structure achieved a minimum of 0.37% and a maximum of 1.25% inference performance improvement. The research results obtained through this study can accelerate the adoption of artificial intelligence chatbots in related industries. In addition, it can contribute to utilizing various RNN application algorithms. In future research, it will be necessary to study the effect of various activation functions on the performance improvement of artificial neural network algorithms.