• 응용통계연구
• /
• 제23권1호
• /
• pp.81-93
• /
• 2010

1990년 시장평균환율제도에서 1997년 외환위기 이후 자유변동환율제도까지 환율제도의 변경과 더불어 자본시장 자율화로 인하여 환율의 변동성이 증대되고 있다. 이와 같은 환율 변동성의 증대는 우리나라와 같은 소규모 개방경제와 수출중심의 경제기반 하에서 주요관심사가 아닐 수 없다. 이에 본 연구는 자유변동환율제도를 설명하기 위해 이론적으로 고안된 통화론적 접근방법을 적용하여 우리나라의 대미 환율 결정요인을 실증적으로 분석하였다. 이들 모형에 근거하여 설명변수로는 통화량과 소득, 이지율, 자본수지, 엔화환율, 교역조건 등을 선택하였다. 또한 분석기간을 1990년부터 2009 년으로 하여 외환위기 전 후 균형관계의 차이를 비교분석할수 있도록 하였다. 공적분 검정과 벡터오차수정모형을 통한 실증분석 결과, 우리나라에서도 통화적 접근방법은 자유변동환율제도 기간인 외환위기 이후기간에 더 설명력 있는 것으로 나타났다. 외환위기 이후기간에는 통화량, 소득, 단기이자율로 구성된 가격신축적 Bilson 모형이 가장 우세하였으며, 환율과 장기적 관계에 았는 변수들이 환율의 단기변동에도 영향을 미치는 것으로 드러났다.

• Ocean Systems Engineering
• /
• 제1권4호
• /
• pp.285-296
• /
• 2011

Spar platforms have several advantages for deploying wind turbines in offshore for depth beyond 120 m. The merit of spar platform is large range of topside payloads, favourable motions compared to other floating structures and minimum hull/deck interface. The main objective of this paper is to present the response analysis of the slack moored spar platform supporting 5MW wind turbine with bottom keel plates in regular and random waves, studied experimentally and numerically. A 1:100 scale model of the spar with sparD, sparCD and sparSD configuration was studied in the wave basin ($30{\times}30{\times}3m$) in Ocean engineering department in IIT Madras. In present study the effect of wind loading, blade dynamics and control, and tower elasticity are not considered. This paper presents the details of the studies carried out on a 16 m diameter and 100 m long spar buoy supporting a 90 m tall 5 MW wind turbine with 3600 kN weight of Nacelle and Rotor and 3500 kN weight of tower. The weight of the ballast and the draft of the spar are adjusted in such a way to keep the centre of gravity below the centre of buoyancy. The mooring lines are divided into four groups, each of which has four lines. The studies were carried out in regular and random waves. The operational significant wave height of 2.5 m and 10 s wave period and survival significant wave height of 6 m and 18 s wave period in 300 m water depth are considered. The wind speed corresponding to the operational wave height is about 22 knots and this wind speed is considered to be operating wind speed for turbines. The heave and surge accelerations at the top of spar platform were measured and are used for calculating the response. The geometric modeling of spar was carried out using Multisurf and this was directly exported to WAMIT for subsequent hydrodynamic and mooring system analysis. The numerical results were compared with experimental results and the comparison was found to be good. Parametric study was carried out to find out the effect of shape, size and spacing of keel plate and from the results obtained from present work ,it is recommended to use circular keel plate instead of square plate.

• 대한간호학회지
• /
• 제22권4호
• /
• pp.636-652
• /
• 1992

This study identified the impact of childhood cancer on the Korean family. The purpose was to contribute knowledge for family nursing and pediatric hospice care practice with sick children and their families. This descriptive study was conducted during a 6 month period with children who were being treated for cancer at six university hospitals in Seoul. The data were gathered from members of 68 families ; 24(Group A), with a child newly diagnosed with cancer : 27(Group B), with a child under treatment and without complications, and 17 (Group C), with a child in relapse. Medical records, structured questionnaires and interviews were used for data collection. The questionnaires and interview schedules had been used previously in Martinson's research in the USA and China. The findings, conclusions, and suggestions are as follows. 1. The impact of childhood cancer on the family. Members of the family experienced fear, helplessness, guilty feelings, and anger at the time of the initial diagnosis and at relapse. Mothers complained of headache, anorexia and poor appetite, weight loss, sleep disturbance, and bad dreams. Many of the fathers either lost or changed jobs, and all working mothers stopped working. Half the parents reported changes in their marital relationships such as frequent quarrels but also stronger unity. Family members perceived cancer as the most frightening disease. Change in their world view was expressed as living on faith understanding suffering, determining to live a better life, wanting to live an upright life and valuing health as the most important. Religious activities are found most helpful through this difficult experience. Financial debt due to the treatment and care of the sick child, burdened 22 families. The above mentioned impact was most evidant in Group B(those presently undergoing treatment) and Group C(those in relapse). Findings indicate that nursing care should embrace the family of a child who is being treated for cancer. 2. Characteristics of the child with cancer The majority of the children in this sample had a diagnosis of leukemia. Their mean age was 6.8 and the ratio of boys to girls was 1.12 ; 1. The mean hospitalization frequency was 13.5 times and the mean duration of illness was 16.8 months. Most of 1.he children perceived cancer as the most frightening disease ; 32.7% of the children described their sickness as serious. Children in Group C were hospitalized more frequently, stayed in hospital for longer periods, and expressed their sickness as quite serious more often than the other two groups. These findings indicate how much comprehensive pediatric hospice nursing care services are needed along with relevant research and nursing education. 3. Characteristics of the families. The mean age of the father was 39.5 and the mother, 36,6 ; they are in their most productive life period. Mothers especially expressed feelings of financial uneasiness and powerlessness about giving up their jobs, and guilty feelings for not providing enough care and concern to other children due to taking care of the sick one. The burden of caring for the sick child can bring negative changes in family dynamics which they think provoke potential health problems in members of the family These findings suggest a need for nursing support and counselling resources. Findings also suggest the need for ethical inquiry about such questions as who should give information to the child in regard to diagnosis and prognosis, when, and how. Other suggestions included : 1) Quality health care for childhood cancer such as home care and pediatric hospice programs should be established. 2) Special and practical consideration for long-term patients should be made in the present insurance coverage. The reimbursement period for long-term patients should be lengthened. 3) Further in-depth qualitative studies are needed. 4) Education programs including guided practice experience for pediatric hospice care practitioners are needed.

• 한국생활환경학회지
• /
• 제16권2호
• /
• pp.89-100
• /
• 2009

본 연구는 최대하 부하 트래드밀 운동과 간헐적 부위별 인체 냉각 시 심부와 말초 부위의 동적 체온조절을 관찰하기 위해 고안되었다. 이를 위해 총 다섯명의 남자 피험자가 세 가지 실험 조건, 머리와 손 냉각 조건(HH cooling), 다리 냉각 조건(Leg Cooling), 냉각하지 않는 대조군(Control)에 참여하였고, 모든 실험은 기온 24±1℃와 습도 50±5%RH로 유지되는 인공기후실에서 수행되었다. 피험자들은80%HR_max의 트래드밀 운동과 이어지는 회복 스케쥴을 두 번 반복하였고, 인체 부위별 냉각은 15℃의 물이 순환하는 액체 냉각모자, 장갑, 다리를 덮는 형태의 담요를 이용하여 회복 시에만 적용되었다. 본 연구 결과, (1) 직장온도(T_re)는 세 조건 간에 유의한 차이를 보이지 않았다; (2) 피부온도는 부위별로 특징되어지는 다양한 체온조절 현상을 보였다. 특히, 운동의 시작 시점에서 보이는 피부온도의 초기 하강은 주로 가슴, 넓적다리, 종아리, 손가락 피부 온도에서 관찰되었으며, 이 중 손가락 온도(T_fing)에서의 초기 하강 현상은 매우 현저했다. (3) 피부 온도가 초기 하강을 보이는 동안 T_re는 점점 증가했다. (4) 두 번째 운동 시작 시 T_fing에서의 초기 하강 규모는 Control 조건에서 평균 4.8℃, HH cooling 조건에서는 5.1℃, Leg cooling 조건에서는 3.4℃로, 통계적으로 유의한 차이를 보였다(p<0.05). 초기 하강 현상을 보인 시간은 Control 조건에서 평균 8.1분으로 HH cooling 조건에서는 7.9분, Leg cooling 조건에서는 6.3분보다 길었으나 통계적 차이는 발견되지 않았다. 결론적으로, 트래드밀 운동의 개시기에 관찰된 피부온도 하강 현상은 인체 심부의 온열 상태의 진행과는 반대되므로, 비 온열적 요인을 반영한다. 특히, T_fing에서 초기 하강의 규모는 인체 부위별 냉각에 의해 영향을 받았다. 따라서, 말초 부위의 피부온도 하강 현상은 운동 중 피부면의 온열 상태 예측 시 주의깊게 고려되어져야 한다.

• 자원환경지질
• /
• 제53권2호
• /
• pp.147-157
• /
• 2020

남극 빙상의 질량 변화는 지구온난화와 관련된 기후 변화와 해수면 상승의 가장 중요한 지표 중 하나이다. 본 연구에서는 위성 중력 자료와 광역 기후 수치 모델을 사용하여, 남극 빙상 질량에 대한 시공간 변화의 특성을 분석하였다. 중력 자료의 분석을 통해 연구 기간(2002.08-2016.08) 동안 지속적으로 남극 빙상의 심각한 질량 손실이 서남극을 중심으로 발생하였음을 확인하였고, 상대적으로 미약한 질량 증가가 동남극에 존재함을 확인하였다. 또한 이들 질량 변동이 해안 지역에 집중되어 있음을 함께 확인하였다. 광역 기후 수치 모델을 사용하여 이러한 질량 변동의 시간적, 공간적 패턴을 유사하게 재현할 수 있었으나, 관측 값에 비해 그 변화 폭이 매우 작았다. 이러한 문제는 빙하의 기저 유출량에 대한 조정을 통해 상당 부분 해결이 되었다. 이 과정에서 재현된 빙상의 질량 변화는 2009년 이전 관측 값의 추세를 97%정도 설명할 수 있었다. 이러한 결과는 빙하 흐름의 역학적 변동이 빙상의 가장 자리를 따라 크게 변하였고, 이러한 변화가 지난 10여 년 동안 남극 빙상의 질량 변화에 크게 영향을 주었다는 것을 의미한다.

• 대한환경공학회지
• /
• 제39권9호
• /
• pp.534-541
• /
• 2017

바이오리액터형 매립지는 매립지 내부로 침출수나 폐수 같은 수분의 공급을 통하여 폐기물의 분해를 촉진하기 위하여 운영하며, 이러한 수분 공급은 매립가스를 증산하고 결국 매립지 조기안정화에 기여한다. 최근 바이오리액터형 매립지 운영을 위한 환경법이 제정되었으며 이에 따라 국내 최초로 수도권매립지에 도입하였다. 바이오리액터형 매립지의 안정적인 적용을 위하여는 매립지 내부의 수분분포 파악이 필수적이며 이를 통해 해당 구역에 적정하게 수분이 유지되도록 한다. 이를 위하여 매립지내부 수분분포 파악을 위하여 전기비저항탐사를 실시하였다. 본 연구에서는 수도권매립지 제2매립장 내에 침출수 재순환과 함께 장기간 전기비저항탐사를 수행하였다. 그 결과, 전기비저항값이 계절적 온도 변화에 큰 영향을 받고 있는 것을 확인할 수 있었다. 이에 따라 본 연구를 통해 조사된 온도와 전기비저항값의 상관관계를 통한 보정방법을 이용하여 바이오리액터형 매립지를 안정적으로 운영할 수 있도록 하였다.

• 한국환경과학회지
• /
• 제22권3호
• /
• pp.359-369
• /
• 2013

Chronic effects such as reproduction and population dynamics with elevated $CO_2$ concentration were evaluated using two representative marine benthic species, copepod (Tisbe sp.) and amphipod (Monocorophium acherusicum) adopting long-term exposure. Juvenile copepod and amphipod individuals were cultivated in the seawater equilibrated with control air (0.395 mmol $CO_2$/air mol) and high $CO_2$ air having 0.998, to 3.03, 10.3, and 30.1 mmol $CO_2$/air mol during 20 and 46 days, respectively. After the exposure period, the number of benthic invertebrate was counted with separate larval and juvenile stage such as naupliar, copepodid and adult for copepod, or neonate and adult for amphipod, respectively. The individual number of both test species at each life-stage was significantly decreased in seawater with 10.3 mmol $CO_2$/air mol or higher. Recently, the technology of marine $CO_2$ sequestration has been developed for the reduction of $CO_2$ emission, which may cause climate change. However, under various scenarios of $CO_2$ leaks during the injection process or sequestrated $CO_2$ in marine geological structure, the potential risk to organism including various invertebrates can be expected to exposure. So the results of this study suggested that the detailed consideration on the adverse effect with marine ecosystem can be prerequisite for the marine $CO_2$ sequestration projects.

• 한국진공학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국진공학회 2014년도 제46회 동계 정기학술대회 초록집
• /
• pp.150.1-150.1
• /
• 2014

Showerhead is used as a main part in the semiconductor equipment. The face plate flatness should remain constant and the cleaning performance must be gained to keep the uniformity level of etching or deposition in chemical vapor deposition process. High operating temperature or long period of thermal loading could lead the showerhead to be deformed thermally. In some case, the thermal deformation appears very sensitive to showerhead performance. This paper describes the methods for robust design using computational fluid dynamics. To reveal the influence of the post distribution on flow pattern in the showerhead cavity, numerical simulation was performed for several post distributions. The flow structure appears similar to an impinging flow near a centered baffle in showerhead cavity. We took the structure as an index to estimate diffusion path. A robust design to reduce the thermal deformation of showerhead can be achieved using post number increase without ill effect on flow. To prevent the showerhead deformation by heat loading, its face plate thickness was determined additionally using numerical simulation. The face plate has thousands of impinging holes. The design key is to keep pressure drop distribution on the showerhead face plate with the holes. This study reads the methodology to apply to a showerhead hole design. A Hagen-Poiseuille equation gives the pressure drop in a fluid flowing through such hole. The assumptions of the equation are the fluid is viscous-incompressible and the flow is laminar fully developed in a through hole. An equation can be expressed with radius R and length L related to the volume flow rate Q from the Hagen-Poiseuille equation, $Q={\pi}R4{\Delta}p/8{\mu}L$, where ${\mu}$ is the viscosity and ${\Delta}p$ is the pressure drop. In present case, each hole has steps at both the inlet and the outlet, and the fluid appears compressible. So we simplify the equation as $Q=C(R,L){\Delta}p$. A series of performance curves for a through hole with geometric parameters were obtained using two-dimensional numerical simulation. We obtained a relation between the hole diameter and hole length from the test cases to determine hole diameter at fixed hole length. A numerical simulation has been performed as a tool for enhancing showerhead robust design from flow structure. Geometric parameters for the design were post distribution and face plate thickness. The reinforced showerhead has been installed and its effective deposition profile is being shown in factory.

• 유통과학연구
• /
• 제13권5호
• /
• pp.53-60
• /
• 2015

Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to shed light on the importance of the slope and curvature of the volatility curve implied in option prices in the KOSPI 200 options index. A number of studies examine the implied volatility curve, however, these usually focus on cross-sectional characteristics such as the volatility smile. Contrary to previous studies, we focus on time-series characteristics; we investigate correlation dynamics among slope, curvature, and level of the implied volatility curve to capture market information embodied therein. Our study may provide useful implications for investors to utilize current market expectations in managing portfolios dynamically and efficiently. Research design, data, and methodology - For our empirical purpose, we gathered daily KOSPI200 index option prices executed at 2:50 pm in the Korean Exchange distribution market during the period of January 2, 2004 and January 31, 2012. In order to measure slope and curvature of the volatility curve, we use approximated delta distance; the slope is defined as the difference of implied volatilities between 15 delta call options and 15 delta put options; the curvature is defined as the difference between out-of-the-money (OTM) options and at-the-money (ATM) options. We use generalized method of moments (GMM) and the seemingly unrelated regression (SUR) method to verify correlations among level, slope, and curvature of the implied volatility curve with statistical support. Results - We find that slope as well as curvature is positively correlated with volatility level, implying that put option prices increase in a downward market. Further, we find that curvature and slope are positively correlated; however, the relation is weakened at deep moneyness. The results lead us to examine whether slope decreases monotonically as the delta increases, and it is verified with statistical significance that the deeper the moneyness, the lower the slope. It enables us to infer that when volatility surges above a certain level due to any tail risk, investors would rather take long positions in OTM call options, expecting market recovery in the near future. Conclusions - Our results are the evidence of the investor's increasing hedging demand for put options when downside market risks are expected. Adding to this, the slope and curvature of the volatility curve may provide important information regarding the timing of market recovery from a nosedive. For financial product distributors, using the dynamic relation among the three key indicators of the implied volatility curve might be helpful in enhancing profit and gaining trust and loyalty. However, it should be noted that our implications are limited since we do not provide rigorous evidence for the predictability power of volatility curves. Meaning, we need to verify whether the slope and curvature of the volatility curve have statistical significance in predicting the market trough. As one of the verifications, for instance, the performance of trading strategy based on information of slope and curvature could be tested. We reserve this for the future research.

• 통합자연과학논문집
• /
• 제4권2호
• /
• pp.149-157
• /
• 2011

Urbanization of the world's population has given rise to more than 450 cities around the world with populations in excess of 1 million (megacity) and more than 25 so-called metacities with populations over 10 million (Brinkhoff, 2010). The United States today has a total resident population of more than 308,500,000 people, with 81 percent residing in cities and suburbs as of mid - 2005 (UN, 2008). Urban meteorology is the study of the physics, dynamics, and chemistry of the interactions of Earth's atmosphere and the urban built environment, and the provision of meteorological services to the populations and institutions of metropolitan areas. While the details of such services are dependent on the location and the synoptic climatology of each city, there are common themes, such as enhancing quality of life and responding to emergencies. Experience elsewhere (e.g., Shanghai, Helsinki, Tokyo, Seoul, etc.) shows urban meteorological support is a key part of an integrated or multi-hazard warning system that considers the full range of environmental challenges and provides a unified response from municipal leaders. Urban meteorology has come to require much more than observing and forecasting the weather of our cities and metropolitan areas. Forecast improvement as a function of more and better observations of various kinds and as a function of model resolution, larger ensembles, predicted probability distributions; Responses of emergency managers, government officials, and users to improved and probabilistic forecasts; Benefits of improved forecasts in reduction of loss of life, property damage, and other adverse effects. A national initiative to enhance urban meteorological services is a high-priority need for a wide variety of stakeholders, including the general, commerce and industry, and all levels of government. Some of the activities of such an initiative include: conducting basic research and development; prototyping and other activities to enable very--short and short range predictions; supporting and improving productivity and efficiency in commercial and industrial sectors; and urban planning for long term sustainability. In addition urban test-beds are an effective means for developing, testing, and fostering the necessary basic and applied meteorological and socioeconomic research, and transitioning research findings to operations. An extended, multi-year period of continuous effort, punctuated with intensive observing and forecasting periods, is envisioned.