• Title/Summary/Keyword: lognormal

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Characteristics of Fatigue Life Distribution for Carbon/Epoxy Composite Laminates (탄소섬유/에폭시 복합적층판의 피로수명 분포특성)

  • 김영기;박병준;김재훈;이영신;전제춘
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society For Composite Materials Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.119-123
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    • 2000
  • The characteristics of fatigue life distribution for Carbon/epoxy composite laminates was investigated under tension-tension loading(R=0.1). The statistical nature of the fatigue life of the composite materials was analyzed by Weibull, normal, lognormal distributions As a result, it was observed that the correlation between the experimental results and the theoretical predictions for the fatigue life is good. The distribution of the static ultimate strength has the characteristic of lognormal distribution and distribution of the fatigue life has characteristics of the weibull distribution.

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A Bulk Sampling Plan for Reliability Assurance (벌크재료의 신뢰성보증을 위한 샘플링검사 방식)

  • Kim, Dong-Chul;Kim, Jong-Gurl
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.123-134
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    • 2007
  • This paper focuses on the in-house reliability assurance plan for the bulk materials of each company. The reliability assurance needs in essence a long time and high cost for testing the materials. In order to reduce the time and cost, accelerated life test is adopted. The bulk sampling technique was used for acceptance. Design parameters might be total sample size(segments and increments}, stress level and so on. We focus on deciding the sample size by minimizing the asymptotic variance of test statistics as well as satisfying the consumer's risk. In bulk sampling, we also induce the sample size by adapting the normal life time distribution model when the variable of the lognormal life time distribution is transformed and adapted to the model. In addition, the sample size for both the segments and increments can be induced by minimizing the asymptotic variance of test statistics of the segments and increments with consumer's risk met. We can assure the reliability of the mean life and B100p life time of the bulk materials by using the calculated minimum sample size.

Statistical Inferences on the Lognormal Hazard Function under Type I Censored Data

  • Kil Ho Cho;In Suk Lee;Jeen Kap Choi
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.20-26
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    • 1994
  • The hazard function is a non-negative function that measures the propensity of failure in the immediate furture, and is frequently used as a decision criterion, especially in replacement decisions. In this paper, we compute approximate confidence intervals for the lognormal hazard function under Type I censored data, and show how to choose the sample size needed to estimate a point on the hazard function with a specified degree of precision. Also we provide a table that can be used to compute the sample size.

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Parametric Study on Fragility Curves of Concrete Wall Structures (콘크리트 벽식구조의 취약도 곡선에 대한 변수 연구)

  • Kim, Hyo-Jin;Park, Hong-Gun;Lee, Young-Wook
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.101-104
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    • 2006
  • In the past study, the fragility curve for the evaluation of earthquake resistance and earthquake-related damage of concrete bearing wall structures were studied. The fragility curve represents the probability of being in or exceeding a given damage state such as Slight, Moderate, Extensive or Complete structural damage state, and is defined as a cumulative lognormal distribution. Each fragility curve is characterized by median and lognormal standard deviation values. We performed parametric pushover analysis for typical 12 and 24 stories apartment buildings. Based on the results, the fragility curves of concrete wall structures were standardized. Using the fragility curve, engineers can directly evaluate the probability of a damage state to a spectral displacement of interest.

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Design of Accelerated Life Test Plans for the Lognormal Failure Distribution under Intermittent Inspection (대수정규분포와 간헐적 검사하에서 가속수명시험방식의 설계)

  • Seo, Sun-Keun;Cho, Ho-Sung
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.25-43
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    • 1996
  • This paper presents the optimal and practical constant-stress accelerated life test plans for the lognormal lifetime distribution tinder assumptions of intermittent inspection and Type-I censoring. In an optimal plan, the low stress level and the proportions of test units allocated at each stress are determined under given inspection scheme and number of inspections such that the asymptotic variance of the maximum likelihood estimator of a certain quantile at use condition is minimized. Although the practical plan adopts the same design criterion, it involves three rather than two overstress levels in order to compromise the practical deficiencies of the optimal plan. Computational experiments are conducted to choose an allocation plan and a inspection scheme of the practical plan and to compare with test plans over a range of parameter values.

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On State Estimation Using Remotely Sensed Data and Ground Measurements -An Overview of Some Useful Tools-

  • Seo, Dong-Jun
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.45-67
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    • 1991
  • An overview is given on stochastic techniques with which remotely sensed data may be used together with ground measurements for purposes of state estimation and prediction. They can explicitly account for spatiotemporal differences in measurement characteristics between ground measurements and remotely sensed data, and are suitable for highly variant space or space-time processes, such as atmosperic processes, which may be viewed as (containing) a random process. For state estimation of static ststems, optimal linear estimation is described. As alternatives, various co-kriging estimation techniques are also described, including simple, ordinary, universal, lognormal, disjunctive, indicator, and Bayesian extersion to simple and lognormal. For illustrative purposes, very simple examples of optimal linear estimation and simple co-kriging are given. For state estimation and prediction of dynamic system, distributed-parameter kalman filter is described. Issues concerning actual implemention are given, and with application potential are described.

Studies on the Stochastic Generation of Long Term Runoff (1) (장기유출랑의 추계학적 모의 발생에 관한 연구 (I))

  • 이순혁;맹승진;박종국
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.100-116
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    • 1993
  • It is experienced fact that unreasonable design criterion and unsitable operation management for the agricultural structures including reservoirs based on short terms data of monthly flows have been brought about not only loss of lives, but also enormous property damage. For the solution of this point at issue, this study was conducted to simulate long series of synthetic monthly flows by multi-season first order Markov model with selection of best fitting frequency distribution and to make a comparison of statistical parameters between observed and synthetic flows of six watersheds in Yeong San and Seom Jin river systems. The results obtained through this study can be summarized as follows. 1.Both Gamma and two parameter lognormal distribution were found to be suitable ones for monthly flows in all watersheds by Kolmogorov-Smirnov test while those distributions were judged to be unfitness in Nam Pyeong of Yeong San and Song Jeong and Ab Rog watersheds of Seom Jin river systems in the $\chi$$^2$ goodness of fit test. 2.Most of the arithmetic mean values for synthetic monthly flows simulated by Gamma distribution are much closer to the results of the observed data than those of two parameter lognomal distribution in the applied watersheds. 3.Fluctuation for the coefficient of variation derived by Gamma distribution was shown in general as better agreement with the results of the observed data than that of two parameter lognormal distribution in the applied watersheds both in Yeong San and Seom Jin river systems. Especially, coefficients of variation calculated by Gamma distribution are seemed to be much closer to those of the observed data during July and August. 4.It can be concluded that synthetic monthly flows simulated by Gamma distribution are seemed to be much closer to the observed data than those by two parameter lognormal distribution in the applied watersheds. 5.It is to be desired that multi-season first order Markov model based on Gamma distribution which is confirmed as a good fitting one in this study would be compared with Harmonic synthetic model as a continuation follows.

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Threshold estimation for the composite lognormal-GPD models (로그-정규분포와 파레토 합성 분포의 임계점 추정)

  • Kim, Bobae;Noh, Jisuk;Baek, Changryong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.807-822
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    • 2016
  • The composite lognormal-GPD models (LN-GPD) enjoys both merits from log-normality for the body of distribution and GPD for the thick tailedness of the observation. However, in the estimation perspective, LN-GPD model performs poorly due to numerical instability. Therefore, a two-stage procedure, that estimates threshold first then estimates other parameters later, is a natural method to consider. This paper considers five nonparametric threshold estimation methods widely used in extreme value theory and compares their performance in LN-GPD parameter estimation. A simulation study reveals that simultaneous maximum likelihood estimation performs good in threshold estimation, but very poor in tail index estimation. However, the nonparametric method performs good in tail index estimation, but introduced bias in threshold estimation. Our method is illustrated to the service time of an Israel bank call center and shows that the LN-GPD model fits better than LN or GPD model alone.

Influence of the Statistical Distribution of Bioassay Measurement Errors on the Intake Estimation (바이오어쎄이 측정오차의 통계적 분포가 섭취량 추정판에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, T.Y.;Kim, J.K.
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.17-23
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study is to provide the guidance necessary for making a selection of error distributions by analyzing influence of statistical distribution for a type of bioassay measurement error on the intake estimation. For this purpose, intakes were estimated using maximum likelihood method for cases that error distributions are normal and lognormal, and comparisons between two distributions for the estimated intakes were made. According to the results of this study, in case that measurement results for lung retention are somewhat greater than the limit of detection it appeared that distribution types have negligible influence on the results. Whereas in case of measurement results for the daily excretion rate, the results obtained from assumption of a lognormal distribution were 10 % higher than those obtained from assumption of a normal distribution. In view of these facts, in case where uncertainty component is governed by counting statistics it is considered that distribution type have no influence on intake estimation. Whereas in case where the others are predominant, it is concluded that it is clearly desirable to estimate the intake assuming a lognormal distribution.

Time and Spatial Distribution of Probabilistic Typhoon Storms and Winds in Korean Peninsula (한반도에 내습한 태풍의 확률강우 및 풍속의 시공적 분포 특성)

  • 윤경덕;서승덕
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.122-134
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    • 1994
  • The objective of this study is to provide with the hydrometeological and probabilistic characteristics of the storms and winds of typhoons that have been passed through the Korea peninsula during the last twenty-three years since 1961. The paths and intensities of the typhoons were analyzed. Fifty weather stations were selected and the rainfall and wind data during typhoon periods were collected. Rainfall data were analyzed for the patterns and probabilistic distributions. The results were presented to describe the areal distributions of probabilistic characteristics. Wind data were also analysed for their probabilistic distributions. The results obtained from this study can be summarized as follows: 1. The most frequent typhoon path that have passed through the Korean peninsula was type E, which was followed by types CWE, W, WE, and S. The most frequent typhoon intensity was type B, that was followed by A, super A, and C types, respectively. 2. The third quartile typhoon rainfall patterns appear most frequently followed by the second, first, and quartiles, respectively, in Seoul, Pusan, Taegu, Kwangju and Taejon. The single typhoon rainfalls with long rainfall durations tended to show delayed type rainfall patterns predominantly compared to the single rainfalls with short rainfall durations. 3. The most frequent probabilistic distribution for typhoon rainfall event is Pearson type-III, followed by Two-parameter lognormal distribution, and Type-I extremal distribution. 4. The most frequent probability distribution model of seashore location was Pearson type-III distribution. The most frequent probability distribution model of inland location was two parameter lognormal distribution. 5. The most frequent probabilistic distribution for typhoon wind events was Type-I xtremal distribution, followed by Two-parameter lognormal distribution, and Normal distribution.

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