• 제목/요약/키워드: location-scale parameters

검색결과 135건 처리시간 0.028초

Optimal Bayesian MCMC based fire brigade non-suppression probability model considering uncertainty of parameters

  • Kim, Sunghyun;Lee, Sungsu
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제54권8호
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    • pp.2941-2959
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    • 2022
  • The fire brigade non-suppression probability model is a major factor that should be considered in evaluating fire-induced risk through fire probabilistic risk assessment (PRA), and also uncertainty is a critical consideration in support of risk-informed performance-based (RIPB) fire protection decision-making. This study developed an optimal integrated probabilistic fire brigade non-suppression model considering uncertainty of parameters based on the Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach on electrical fire which is one of the most risk significant contributors. The result shows that the log-normal probability model with a location parameter (µ) of 2.063 and a scale parameter (σ) of 1.879 is best fitting to the actual fire experience data. It gives optimal model adequacy performance with Bayesian information criterion (BIC) of -1601.766, residual sum of squares (RSS) of 2.51E-04, and mean squared error (MSE) of 2.08E-06. This optimal log-normal model shows the better performance of the model adequacy than the exponential probability model suggested in the current fire PRA methodology, with a decrease of 17.3% in BIC, 85.3% in RSS, and 85.3% in MSE. The outcomes of this study are expected to contribute to the improvement and securement of fire PRA realism in the support of decision-making for RIPB fire protection programs.

고해상도 위성영상의 지상위치 정확도 개선을 위한 다항식 보정 프로그램의 개발 (Development of a Polynomial Correction Program for Accuracy Improvement of the Geopositioning of High Resolution Imagery)

  • 이진덕;소재경
    • 한국측량학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국측량학회 2007년도 춘계학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.135-140
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    • 2007
  • Due to the expensiveness of IKONOS Pro and Precision Products, it is attractive to use the low-cost IKONOS Geo Product with vendor-provided RPCs to produce highly accurate mapping products. The imaging geometry of IKONOS high-resolution imagery is described by RFs instead of rigorous sensor models. This paper presents four different models defined respectively in object space and image space to improve the accuracies of the RF-derived ground coordinates. The four models include the offset model, the scale & offset model, the affine model and the 2nd-order polynomial model. Different configurations of ground control points (GCPs) are carefully examined to evaluate the effect of the GCPs arrangement on the accuracy of ground coordinates. The experiment also evaluates the effect of different cartographic parameters such as the number location, and accuracy of GCPs on the accuracy of geopositioning.

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분리막과 PSA혼합법에 의한 고순도 산소의 제조 (Production of High Purity Oxygen by Combination of Membrane and PSA Methods)

  • Hwang, Sun-Tak
    • 멤브레인
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 1994
  • There are growing needs to produce relatively high purity(99.0% or higher) oxygen at low cost. For small scale production, both pressure swing adsorption(PSA) and membrane process are competitive and less expensive or more convenient than well known cryogenic fractionation technology. A continuous membrane column(CMC) combined with a PSA oxygen generator can be employed to produce high purity oxygen continuously. The oxygen enriched gas generated by a PSA unit, with a concentration of 93~94%, is fed to the CMC that consism of three modules of poly(imide) hollow fibers. Several experiments were conducted by varying parameters, such as feed flow rate, transmembrane pressure drop, stage cut, and feed location in order to obtain a high oxygen concentration above 99.0%. A two-series unit mode was also employed with CMC operation to optimize the given membrane area.

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BAYESIAN ROBUST ANALYSIS FOR NON-NORMAL DATA BASED ON A PERTURBED-t MODEL

  • Kim, Hea-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제35권4호
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    • pp.419-439
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    • 2006
  • The article develops a new class of distributions by introducing a nonnegative perturbing function to $t_\nu$ distribution having location and scale parameters. The class is obtained by using transformations and conditioning. The class strictly includes $t_\nu$ and $skew-t_\nu$ distributions. It provides yet other models useful for selection modeling and robustness analysis. Analytic forms of the densities are obtained and distributional properties are studied. These developments are followed by an easy method for estimating the distribution by using Markov chain Monte Carlo. It is shown that the method is straightforward to specify distribution ally and to implement computationally, with output readily adopted for constructing required criterion. The method is illustrated by using a simulation study.

Estimation for the Exponentiated Exponential Distribution Based on Multiply Type-II Censored Samples

  • Kang Suk-Bok;Park Sun-Mi
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.643-652
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    • 2005
  • It has been known that the exponentiated exponential distribution can be used as a possible alternative to the gamma distribution or the Weibull distribution in many situations. But the maximum likelihood method does not admit explicit solutions when the sample is multiply censored. So we derive the approximate maximum likelihood estimators for the location and scale parameters in the exponentiated exponential distribution that are explicit function of order statistics. We also compare the proposed estimators in the sense of the mean squared error for various censored samples.

Multi-stage approach for structural damage identification using particle swarm optimization

  • Tang, H.;Zhang, W.;Xie, L.;Xue, S.
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.69-86
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    • 2013
  • An efficient methodology using static test data and changes in natural frequencies is proposed to identify the damages in structural systems. The methodology consists of two main stages. In the first stage, the Damage Signal Match (DSM) technique is employed to quickly identify the most potentially damaged elements so as to reduce the number of the solution space (solution parameters). In the second stage, a particle swarm optimization (PSO) approach is presented to accurately determine the actual damage extents using the first stage results. One numerical case study by using a planar truss and one experimental case study by using a full-scale steel truss structure are used to verify the proposed hybrid method. The identification results show that the proposed methodology can identify the location and severity of damage with a reasonable level of accuracy, even when practical considerations limit the number of measurements to only a few for a complex structure.

Reliability Estimation in an Exponentiated Logistic Distribution under Multiply Type-II Censoring

  • Han, Jun-Tae;Kang, Suk-Bok;Cho, Young-Seuk
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.1081-1091
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we derive the approximate maximum likelihood estimators of the scale parameter and location parameter in an exponentiated logistic distribution based on multiply Type-II censored samples. We compare the proposed estimators in the sense of the mean squared error for various censored samples. We also propose and compare the estimators of the reliability function by using the proposed estimators of the parameters.

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Reference priors for two parameter exponential stress-strength model

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Le, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제21권5호
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    • pp.935-944
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we develop the noninformative priors for the reliability in a stress-strength model where a strength X and a stress Y have independent exponential distributions with different scale parameters and a common location parameter. We derive the reference priors and prove the propriety of joint posterior distribution under the general prior including the reference priors. Through the simulation study, we show that the proposed reference priors match the target coverage probabilities in a frequentist sense.

축방향 왕복운동을 하는 집중질량을 가진 외팔보의 동적 안정성 해석 (Dynamic Stability Analysis of Axially Oscillating Cantilever Beams with a Concentrated Mass)

  • 현상학;유홍희
    • 한국소음진동공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국소음진동공학회 2000년도 춘계학술대회논문집
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    • pp.718-723
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    • 2000
  • Dynamic stability of an axially oscillating cantilever beam with a concentrated mass is investigated in this paper. The equations of motion are derived and the derived equations include harmonically oscillating parameters which originate from the motion-induced stiffness variation. Under certain conditions of the frequency and the amplitude of oscillating motion, parametric instabilities may occur. The multiple scale perturbation method is employed to obtain the stability analysis results. It is found that the system stability varies with the magnitude or the location of the concentrated mass. Instability increases as the concentrated mass approaches to the free-end or its magnitude increases.

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하나의 확실한 이상점을 갖는 지수모형에서 모수에 대한 짹나이프 추정 (Jackknife parametric estimation in the two parameter exponential model with an identified outlier)

  • Jung Soo Woo;Chang Soo Lee
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.313-321
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    • 1994
  • 소표본에서 하나의 확실한 이상점을 갖는 지수모형에서 permanent 이론을 도입하여 표본들의 순서통계량의 분포를 정확한 형태로 유도하고, 이 결과를 이용하여 가정된 지수모형의 위치모수와 측도모수에 대한 최우추정량과 그 짹나이프 추정량을 편의와 평균제곱오차면에서 두 추정량의 소표본 성질을 비교하였다.

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