• Title/Summary/Keyword: location-prediction

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Developing an User Location Prediction Model for Ubiquitous Computing based on a Spatial Information Management Technique

  • Choi, Jin-Won;Lee, Yung-Il
    • Architectural research
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.15-22
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    • 2010
  • Our prediction model is based on the development of "Semantic Location Model." It embodies geometrical and topological information which can increase the efficiency in prediction and make it easy to manipulate the prediction model. Data mining is being implemented to extract the inhabitant's location patterns generated day by day. As a result, the self-learning system will be able to semantically predict the inhabitant's location in advance. This context-aware system brings about the key component of the ubiquitous computing environment. First, we explain the semantic location model and data mining methods. Then the location prediction model for the ubiquitous computing system is described in details. Finally, the prototype system is introduced to demonstrate and evaluate our prediction model.

Mobility Prediction Algorithms Using User Traces in Wireless Networks

  • Luong, Chuyen;Do, Son;Park, Hyukro;Choi, Deokjai
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.17 no.8
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    • pp.946-952
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    • 2014
  • Mobility prediction is one of hot topics using location history information. It is useful for not only user-level applications such as people finder and recommendation sharing service but also for system-level applications such as hand-off management, resource allocation, and quality of service of wireless services. Most of current prediction techniques often use a set of significant locations without taking into account possible location information changes for prediction. Markov-based, LZ-based and Prediction by Pattern Matching techniques consider interesting locations to enhance the prediction accuracy, but they do not consider interesting location changes. In our paper, we propose an algorithm which integrates the changing or emerging new location information. This approach is based on Active LeZi algorithm, but both of new location and all possible location contexts will be updated in the tree with the fixed depth. Furthermore, the tree will also be updated even when there is no new location detected but the expected route is changed. We find that our algorithm is adaptive to predict next location. We evaluate our proposed system on a part of Dartmouth dataset consisting of 1026 users. An accuracy rate of more than 84% is achieved.

A Tracking System Using Location Prediction and Dynamic Threshold for Minimizing SMS Delivery

  • Lai, Yuan-Cheng;Lin, Jian-Wei;Yeh, Yi-Hsuan;Lai, Ching-Neng;Weng, Hui-Chuan
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.54-60
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, a novel method called location-based delivery (LBD), which combines the short message service (SMS) and global position system (GPS), is proposed, and further, a realistic system for tracking a target's movement is developed. LBD reduces the number of short message transmissions while maintaining the location tracking accuracy within the acceptable range. The proposed approach, LBD, consists of three primary features: Short message format, location prediction, and dynamic threshold. The defined short message format is proprietary. Location prediction is performed by using the current location, moving speed, and bearing of the target to predict its next location. When the distance between the predicted location and the actual location exceeds a certain threshold, the target transmits a short message to the tracker to update its current location. The threshold is dynamically adjusted to maintain the location tracking accuracy and the number of short messages on the basis of the moving speed of the target. The experimental results show that LBD, indeed, outperforms other methods because it satisfactorily maintains the location tracking accuracy with relatively fewer messages.

A Design of Context Prediction Structure using Homogeneous Feature Extraction (동질적 특징추출을 이용한 상황예측 구조의 설계)

  • Kim, Hyung-Sun;Im, Kyoung-Mi;Lim, Jae-Hyun
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.85-94
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we propose a location-prediction structure that can provide user service in advance. It consists of seven steps and supplies intelligent services which can forecast user's location. Context information collected from physical sensors and a history database is so difficult that it can't present importance of data and abstraction of data because of heterogeneous data type. Hence, we offer the location-prediction that change data type from heterogeneous data to homogeneous data. Extracted data is clustered by SOFM, then it gets user's location information by ARIMA and realizes the services by a reasoning engine. In order to validate the proposed location-prediction, we built a test-bed and test it by the scenario.

Data mining approach to predicting user's past location

  • Lee, Eun Min;Lee, Kun Chang
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.22 no.11
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    • pp.97-104
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    • 2017
  • Location prediction has been successfully utilized to provide high quality of location-based services to customers in many applications. In its usual form, the conventional type of location prediction is to predict future locations based on user's past movement history. However, as location prediction needs are expanded into much complicated cases, it becomes necessary quite frequently to make inference on the locations that target user visited in the past. Typical cases include the identification of locations that infectious disease carriers may have visited before, and crime suspects may have dropped by on a certain day at a specific time-band. Therefore, primary goal of this study is to predict locations that users visited in the past. Information used for this purpose include user's demographic information and movement histories. Data mining classifiers such as Bayesian network, neural network, support vector machine, decision tree were adopted to analyze 6868 contextual dataset and compare classifiers' performance. Results show that general Bayesian network is the most robust classifier.

User Location Prediction Within a Building Using Search Tree (탐색 트리를 이용한 건물 내 사용자의 위치 예측 방법)

  • Oh, Se-Chang
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2010.10a
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    • pp.585-588
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    • 2010
  • The prediction of user location within a building can be applied to many areas like visitor guiding. The existing methods for solving this problem consider limited number of locations a user visited in the past to predict the current location. It cannot model the complex movement patterns, and makes the system inefficient by modeling simple ones too detail. Also it causes prediction errors. In this paper, there is no restriction on the length of past movement patterns to consider for current location prediction. For this purpose, a modified search tree is used. The search tree is constructed to make exact matching as needed for location prediction. The search tree makes the efficient and accurate prediction possible.

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Multi-Label Classification Approach to Location Prediction

  • Lee, Min Sung
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.22 no.10
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    • pp.121-128
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, we propose a multi-label classification method in which multi-label classification estimation techniques are applied to resolving location prediction problem. Most of previous studies related to location prediction have focused on the use of single-label classification by using contextual information such as user's movement paths, demographic information, etc. However, in this paper, we focused on the case where users are free to visit multiple locations, forcing decision-makers to use multi-labeled dataset. By using 2373 contextual dataset which was compiled from college students, we have obtained the best results with classifiers such as bagging, random subspace, and decision tree with the multi-label classification estimation methods like binary relevance(BR), binary pairwise classification (PW).

Base Location Prediction Algorithm of Serial Crimes based on the Spatio-Temporal Analysis (시공간 분석 기반 연쇄 범죄 거점 위치 예측 알고리즘)

  • Hong, Dong-Suk;Kim, Joung-Joon;Kang, Hong-Koo;Lee, Ki-Young;Seo, Jong-Soo;Han, Ki-Joon
    • Journal of Korea Spatial Information System Society
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.63-79
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    • 2008
  • With the recent development of advanced GIS and complex spatial analysis technologies, the more sophisticated technologies are being required to support the advanced knowledge for solving geographical or spatial problems in various decision support systems. In addition, necessity for research on scientific crime investigation and forensic science is increasing particularly at law enforcement agencies and investigation institutions for efficient investigation and the prevention of crimes. There are active researches on geographic profiling to predict the base location such as criminals' residence by analyzing the spatial patterns of serial crimes. However, as previous researches on geographic profiling use simply statistical methods for spatial pattern analysis and do not apply a variety of spatial and temporal analysis technologies on serial crimes, they have the low prediction accuracy. Therefore, this paper identifies the typology the spatio-temporal patterns of serial crimes according to spatial distribution of crime sites and temporal distribution on occurrence of crimes and proposes STA-BLP(Spatio-Temporal Analysis based Base Location Prediction) algorithm which predicts the base location of serial crimes more accurately based on the patterns. STA-BLP improves the prediction accuracy by considering of the anisotropic pattern of serial crimes committed by criminals who prefer specific directions on a crime trip and the learning effect of criminals through repeated movement along the same route. In addition, it can predict base location more accurately in the serial crimes from multiple bases with the local prediction for some crime sites included in a cluster and the global prediction for all crime sites. Through a variety of experiments, we proved the superiority of the STA-BLP by comparing it with previous algorithms in terms of prediction accuracy.

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A study on the prediction method of the real fault distance using probability to the relay data of transmission line fault location (송전선로 거리표정치에 대한 실 고장거리의 확률적 예측방안)

  • Lee, Y.H.;Back, D.H.;Jang, S.H.
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2006.07a
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    • pp.10-11
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    • 2006
  • The fault location is obtained from the distance relay that detects the fault of the transmission line. In this time, transmission line crews track down the fault location and the reasons. However, because of having error at the fault location of the distance relay, there is a discordance between real and obtained fault location. As this reason, the inspection time for finding fault location can be longer. In this paper, we proposed the statistical (regression) analysis method based on each type of relay's the historical fault location data and the real fault distance data to improve the problems. With finding the regression equation based on the regression analysis, and putting the relay fault location into that equation, the real fault distance is calculated. As a result of the Prediction fault location, the inspection time of transmission line can be reduced.

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Using an Adaptive Search Tree to Predict User Location

  • Oh, Se-Chang
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.437-444
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, we propose a method for predicting a user's location based on their past movement patterns. There is no restriction on the length of past movement patterns when using this method to predict the current location. For this purpose, a modified search tree has been devised. The search tree is constructed in an effective manner while it additionally learns the movement patterns of a user one by one. In fact, the time complexity of the learning process for a movement pattern is linear. In this process, the search tree expands to take into consideration more details about the movement patterns when a pattern that conflicts with an existing trained pattern is found. In this manner, the search tree is trained to make an exact matching, as needed, for location prediction. In the experiments, the results showed that this method is highly accurate in comparison with more complex and sophisticated methods. Also, the accuracy deviation of users of this method is significantly lower than for any other methods. This means that this method is highly stable for the variations of behavioral patterns as compared to any other method. Finally, 1.47 locations were considered on average for making a prediction with this method. This shows that the prediction process is very efficient.