• 한국수자원학회논문집
• /
• 제32권6호
• /
• pp.657-664
• /
• 1999

본 논문은 이상호와 이길성(1995)에 의해서 제안된 LRCS(Linear Reservoir and Channel System) 강우-유출 모형의 기본 이론을 소개하였고, 모형의 민감도 분석 및 보정과정에서 나타나는 목적함수에 따른 모형 출력의 변화를 파악하고자 하였다. 보정시 매개변수 영향성 분석을 위한 "hat" 행렬과 영향성 척도의 사용을 제안하였고, 매개변수 추정시 오차 전파에 따른 모형 출력의 변화 정도 및 모형 예측치 분산과 매개변수 변화에 따른 모형 출력의 민감도와의 관련성을 조사하였다. 민감도계수와 hi의 대각 요소와 Di 값의 분석으로 매개변수 추정치의 정확성을 알 수 있었다.을 알 수 있었다.

• 한국물환경학회지
• /
• 제28권4호
• /
• pp.551-560
• /
• 2012

The objectives of this study were to elucidate spatio-temporal heterogeneity of water chemistry and develop empirical models using trophic variables in Daechung Reservoir during 2005-2010 along with in situ tests of nutrient enrichment bioassays (NEB). The relations of water quality parameters in regard to precipitation showed that seasonal and interannual fluctuations of biological oxygen demand (BOD), total nitrogen (TN) and pH were minor, whereas conductivity, suspended solids (SS), and total phosphorus (TP) were largely varied in response to the magnitude of rainfall. The CHL maxima occurred immediately after the spate of TP during the high flow, indicating that phytoplankton growth was directly controlled by phosphorus. Empirical linear models of CHL-TP indicated that the variation of CHL in premonsoon was accounted 60% ($R^2$ = 0.60, p < 0.05, n = 54) by TP. In the mean time, empirical models of annual CHL-TN showed that the variation of CHL was weakly accounted ($R^2$ = 0.16, p < 0.001) by TN and more strongly ($R^2$ = 0.44, p < 0.001) by TP. Thus, the variation of CHL was more explained by the variation of TP than TN. In situ tests of Nutrient Enrichment Bioassays (NEBs) showed that the growth of CHL was greater in the P-treatments (as $PO_4-P$) than the control and N-treatment (as $NO_3-P$). Overall, our results suggest that phosphorus was aprimary limiting nutrient controlling the seasonal phytoplankton growth, based on the in situ experiments of NEBs.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
• /
• 제35권5호
• /
• pp.501-510
• /
• 2002

가뭄상황 또는 가뭄이 임박한 상황에서의 저수지 운영은 수요관리개념(단계별 급수)에서의 운영률을 필요로 한다. 본 연구는 저수지 갈수대응 차원에서 수문상황에 따른 단계별 방류량 감소를 고려할 수 있는 heding 효과를 고려한 단일 저수지 운영률 개발을 목표로 하였다. hedging 효과를 고려한 최적운영률 결정에는 혼합정수계획기법이 적용되었으며, 정식화단계에는 Shih 등(1994)의 hedging효과를 고려한 운영률을 개선하여 정식화 요소에 Hashimoto 등(1982)의 위험도 평가기준을 포함시켰다. 또한 hedging항의 비선형 해석을 수행하기 위하여 축차 선형계획기법을 도입ㆍ정식화에 적용하였다. 본 hedging운영률의 적용결과 대청다목적댐에 대하여 hedging 매개변수론 산정하였으며, 이를 통하여 각 월별 갈수대응 제한공급 시점 저수량(trigger volume)을 산정할 수 있었다.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
• /
• 제35권1호
• /
• pp.51-64
• /
• 2002

위험도 평가기준을 발전함수를 고려하여 단일저수지에 적용한 박명기 등(2001)의 혼합정수계획법 모형을 다중저수지군 운영에 적합하도록 개선하였다. 본 모형중의 축차선형계획기법(SLP)은 목적함수중 수력발전함수의 선형화를 위하여 적용되었으며, 저수지 방류량의 합리적인 월별 방류배분을 위하여 수력발전량에 대한 가중치를 발전시간 수준별로 적용하도록 정식화요소에 반영하였다. 개선된 모형은 한강수계 5개 저수지군에 시험적용 하였으며, 수계내 연계운영을 위한 복합저수지군의 최적연계에 본 위험도 평가기준을 적용할수 있음을 확인할 수 있었다.

• ETRI Journal
• /
• 제46권3호
• /
• pp.461-472
• /
• 2024

We propose a network traffic prediction model based on linear and nonlinear model combination. Network traffic is modeled by an autoregressive moving average model, and the error between the measured and predicted network traffic values is obtained. Then, an echo state network is used to fit the prediction error with nonlinear components. In addition, an improved slime mold algorithm is proposed for reservoir parameter optimization of the echo state network, further improving the regression performance. The predictions of the linear (autoregressive moving average) and nonlinear (echo state network) models are added to obtain the final prediction. Compared with other prediction models, test results on two network traffic datasets from mobile and fixed networks show that the proposed prediction model has a smaller error and difference measures. In addition, the coefficient of determination and index of agreement is close to 1, indicating a better data fitting performance. Although the proposed prediction model has a slight increase in time complexity for training and prediction compared with some models, it shows practical applicability.

• 생태와환경
• /
• 제37권4호통권109호
• /
• pp.423-430
• /
• 2004

본 연구는 선택 취수하는 저수지에서 장마 전후에 탁수의 거동을 파악하고자 하였다. 강수량은 11월-5월에 적었고, 6월-10월에 풍부하여 대비가 되었다. 수문에 의한 방류는 선행 강수량과 유입량이 각각 50mm, $80\;m^3^s{-1}$이상일 때 조작되었고, 그 외 기간은 대부분 취수탑을 통해 배출되었다. 하류부를 중심으로 비교할 때, 장마 전후 수중 탁도 차이는 평균값이 29.9NTU로서 장마 후에 크게 증가하였다. 탁수에 포함된 입자 크기의 범위는 0.435-$482.9\;{mu}m$이었고, 전 정점에서 clay성분의 미세립자로 갈수록 크기 분포가 더욱 조밀하였을 뿐만 아니라 상대적으로 차지하는 비율도 높았다. 탁수의 입자 분포에서 clay는 94.4-98.9%, silt는 1.1-5.6% 범위로서 총 입자수의 대부분을 차지하였다. 입자 분포에 의한 탁수의 흐름을 분석한 결과, 저수지의 하류부에서 총입자수는 저층에서 표층으로 갈수록 선형적인 증가가 뚜렷하였다. 이것은 저수지의 수리학적 환경과 밀접한 관련성이 있었고, 선택취수탑과 수문을 통한 방류에 의한 영향이 큰 것으로 추정되었다. 하천으로부터 유입된 탁수는 중류부에서 침강되다가 하류부에서 재부유하는 현상이 발생함으로서 표층-중층을 통한 탁수 이동이 현저하였다. 따라서, 향후 저수지 수질관리 측면에서 이에 대한 육수학적 영향을 규명할 필요성을 제시하고자 한다.

• 한국물환경학회지
• /
• 제26권6호
• /
• pp.994-999
• /
• 2010

The toxin of Cyanobacteria (blue-green algae) during summer season has been a problem and early prevention should be considered. A variety of methods can be used to forecast algal blooms and this study aims at examining feasibility of chlorophyll-a. The real-time data were collected by automatic water quality monitoring system (AWQMS) in Daecheong reservoir and invalid data were sorted by experts. And then, the sorted data were filled using linear interpolation. When the concentration of chlorophyll-a increased by $15mg/m^3$, water temperature and pH exceeded $26.8^{\circ}C$ and 9.5 respectively. As a result of correlation between chlorophyll-a and other parameters(i.e. water quality items and hydrological data), temperature (r=0.502 - 0.574), pH (r=0.583 - 0.681), total organic carbon (TOC, r=0.583 - 0.681) comparably had higher values. Meanwhile, the data around a day or two showed the highest correlation. In addition, chlorophyll-a is considered to be significantly effected by precipitation and inflow.

• 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국농공학회 2005년도 학술발표논문집
• /
• pp.614-619
• /
• 2005

The object of this study was to presented regression equations for obtaining simply and quickly values of water quality items, BOD, COD, T-N, and T-P. Regression equations obtained to analyze relationships for water quality items to land use types in agricultural reservoir watersheds. In order to derive regression equations, a multiple linear regression analysis was used in this studying reservoirs. In this regression analysis, a independent values used land used types and dependent values used BOD, COD, T-N, T-P values in water quality items. The results showed that numbers of regression equation ranging above 0.90 in a multiple correlation coefficient (MCC) was not found, ranging from 0.70 to 0.90 in the MCC was 6, ranging from 0.40 to 0.70 in the MCC was 20, and ranging from 0.20 to 0.40 in the MCC was 4. The results of this study can be used as a basic information for evaluating simply and quickly water quality for proposing and designing steps in water quality policy.

• 한국농공학회지
• /
• 제37권6호
• /
• pp.103-111
• /
• 1995

Drought index calculation based on the principal hydrological parameters, such as rainfall and reservoir storage, can estimate the duration and intensity of drought in irrigation reservoirs. It is difficult to build up a drought criteria since the conditions change variously by the reliability of rainfall. Because of the increasing water demands, it is urgent to prepare a generalized positive countermeasure to overcome drought. Water demands can at calculated but the estimation of drought characteristics, and the effective water management method can be established. The purpose of this study is to obtain a drought index and build up a data-base on the reservoir basins for establishing the fundamental hydrological data-base. This Index can observe the behavior of the WSI(Water Supply Index) and the component indices. The results summarized through this study are as follows. 1. WSI value of zero does not correspond to 100% in average due to the skewness in the probability distributions. 2. WSI is not a linear index; that is, given change in terms of water volume or percentage of average does not result in a proportional change on the WSI scale. 3. WSI is not always between the reservoir and the rainfall index in magnitude. This is only true if the component indices are of opposite sign. If they are of the same sign, the SWSI will often have a mangitude greater than either of the component indices. This is easily understood, because the concurrence of extreme values of the same sign for the two components is rarer than the occurrence of extreme values for either of the two components individually.

• 한국농공학회논문집
• /
• 제55권6호
• /
• pp.37-46
• /
• 2013

Many factors about the stability for the reservoir embankments is determined when the facility is completed. Therefore the initial design of the embankment is important. Many researchers focused the effect of soil parameters although the cross section greatly affects the stability and can be controlled in design step. The objective of this research is to analysis of the effects for the safety factor of slope and seepage according to change cross-section in embankment. As a result, the quantity of seepage decreased as the gradient of downstream slope decreased and was proportional to the height of embankments. There was a linear relationship between the gradient of slope and the safety factor of slope. However the gradient of slope did not affect other side slope. All in a relationship, regressive equations with a high correlation coefficient were calculated and can be applied the simple estimation method of the stability using the cross-section. As results of analyzing the sensitivity, the friction angle and permeability critically effect for the slope stability and the seepage, respectively. The effect of the slope gradient was similar to major soil properties.