• Title/Summary/Keyword: level of confidence

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Life Testing Simulation for Reliability Prediction (신뢰도 예측을 위한 수명시험 시뮬레이션)

  • Kim, Yon-Soo;Chung, Young-Bae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.124-131
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    • 2012
  • This paper presents a spreadsheet-based reliability prediction simulation framework for the conceptual product design stage to acquire system reliability information in timely manner. During early stage, reliability performance deals with both known and unknown failure rates and component-level and subsystem-level failure estimate to predict system reliability. A technique for performing life testing simulation using Excel spreadsheet has been developed under the such circumstances. This paper also discuss the results obtainable from this method such as reliability estimate, mean and variance of failures and confidence intervals. The resultant of this reliability prediction system is mainly benefitting small and medium-sized enterprise's field engineers.

An Analysis of Single PPM Quality Innovation's Status using Covariance Structure Model (공분산구조모델에 의한 싱글 PPM 품질혁신 운동 추진현황 분석)

  • Koo, Il-Seob;Kim, Tae-Sung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.102-108
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    • 2005
  • Single PPM Quality Innovation Movement is originally developed quality program in Korea for supplier's quality level-up since 1995. The quality target is below the 10ppm(parts per million) in outgoing quality and delivered goods plus field claim. Recently 1,053 companies is received Single PPM Quality Certification from government. This quality program is to realized the anticipated results not only duality level's increasing, but also company's confidence, competitiveness. We were able to obtain participations of 75 questionnaire, and derived statistics by means of SPSS/PC version 10.0. In this study, we find the bottleneck factor for promotion and upgrade S-PPM, and suggest a way out of difficulties.

ROK Army War-Game Simulation System Development (한국 육군 제대별 워게임 모의체계 개발사례)

  • 이해관;김장현
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Simulation Conference
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    • 2003.06a
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    • pp.31-35
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    • 2003
  • In the late 1990s, ROK Army started developing a simulation model(ChangJo21) for division/corps level battle command training and finished it successfully. The CJ2l model provides realistic representation of Korean characteristics in doctrine, weapon systems, terrain, and climate etc. The successful development of CJ2l implanted us with confidence on high-technology model development and this has been our motive for development of JeonToo21 for battalion/regiment level battle command training and other war-game models like Hwarang21 (Rear Area Ops. Model) and Vision21 (Division Combat Analysis Model). Eventually, ROK Army was able to establish M&S system by echelons, from battalion to corps. Moreover interoperability between ROK-US simulation systems are on the progress. In this paper, we introduce recently developed 3 war-game simulation models and mention on the future directions of ROK Army Modeling & Simulation.

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Performance Evaluation of High-Level Ozone Prediction Model Based on the Confidence Level Test (신뢰수준평가에 기반한 고농도 오존 예측모델의 성능평가)

  • 정재룡;안항배;송치권;배현;전병희;김성신
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2002.12a
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    • pp.195-198
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    • 2002
  • 고농도오존이 발생되는 원인과 환경적 요인의 상호관계를 모델링하기 위해 신경회로 망과 같은 지능제어 기법들이 많이 적용되어 왔다 분석과 모델링을 위해 유전자 알고리즘과 같은 최적화 방법을 적용하기도 하지만, 고농도 오존이 발생되는 메커니즘이 매우 복잡하고, 비선형적이며, 패턴파악이 어렵기 때문에 고농도 오존의 예측 모델링에는 여전히 문제점이 있다 따라서 본 논문에서는 신뢰수준과 신뢰구간을 이용하여 초농도 오존을 예측할 수 있는 모델링 방법을 서술하였다 예측값의 신뢰수준의 평가는 예측에 대한 실측값을 구하여 신뢰구간내의 데이터의 개수를 파악함으로써 신뢰성을 평가할 수 있다. 또한 이 테스트는 우리가 가지고 있지 않은 데이터에 대한 유효성을 평가하는데 적용될 수 있다 그리고 본 논문에서는 GMDH(Group Method of data handling)의 전형적인 알고리즘에 바탕을 두고 있는 DPNN(Dynamic Polynomial Neural Network)를 이용하여 예측 모델을 구성하였다. DPNN은 데이터 해석이 용이하고 비선형적인 동적 시스템 예측에 유용하게 적용될 수 있는 장점을 가지고 있다.

Psychological effects on elderly driver's traffic accidents (고령운전자 교통사고의 심리적 요인)

  • Soonchul Lee
    • Korean Journal of Culture and Social Issue
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    • v.12 no.5_spc
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    • pp.149-167
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    • 2006
  • Korean society is rapidly changing to aging society comparing the other industrialized countries, however, the studies of elderly driver's driving behavior and accidents are not enough in Korea for elderly driver's accident prevention. This study focused on the elderly driver's psychological effects on elderly driver's driving behavior and traffic accidents; carefulness and aberrant driving behavior. - Elderly driver's traffic accidents The high percentage of elderly driver's accidents occurs in intersections and when turning left. There was a significant difference of the opponent vehicle's speed when left turn, between elderly driver and young driver; the elderly driver choose the higher speed of opponent vehicle than young driver when left turning. This result means that elderly driver has some problems with deciding the vehicle's speed and gap acceptance(Sunyeol Lee, Soonchul Lee, and Inseok Kim, 2006)(Table 1). - Carefulness and driving confidence In order to understand elderly driver's carefulness, this study compared the elderly driver's driving confidence. Driving confidence was consisted of 4 factors; environment of traffic condition, safe driving, driving ability and attention. Elderly driver's confidence was lower than young driver's. Elderly driver in high driving confidence group, showed longer driving history and they were tend to commit violations more frequently than elerly driver in low driving confidence group. Young driver, whose driving confidence level was high answered more driving history, annual mileage, the frequency of committing traffic violation and the experience of accident within lats 5 years(Soonchul Lee, Juseok Oh, Sunjin Park, Soonyeol Lee and Inseok Kim, 2006)(Table 2). This study examined the total time required until deciding to turn left in the no traffic signal intersection between elderly driver and young driver. The result showed that the time of elderly driver was significant longer than young driver(Sunyeol Lee et al, 2006)(Table 3). - Elderly driver's aberrant behavior Driver behavior Questionnaire(DBQ) was measured to understand the aberrant behavior; violation, error and lapse. The tend of aberrant behavior was observed by aging(Sunjin Park, Soonchul Lee, Jonghoi, Kim and Inseok Kim, 2006). Elderly driver's DBQ score was lower than young driver's(Table 4). Elderly and young driver showing longer driving history were in low DBQ score group. Elderly driver had high error score and young driver had high violation score. Young driver's aberrant driving behaviour was associated with annual mileage and the frequency of committing traffic violation. Elderly driver's aberrant driving behaviour was associated with annual mileage and experience of accident. Especially elderly driver whose violation, error and lapse score was high answered more committing experience of accident within last 5 years.

An Empirical Research for the Critical Factors on International Market Entry in Electronic Commerce Industry (전자상거래 산업의 해외 진출 결정요인에 관한 실증적 연구)

  • 김정욱;홍성태;이동일
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.18-38
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    • 2001
  • This paper attempts to identify variables which affect Korean electronic commerce(EC) venture's strategies for the international market entry decision making. Especially in the perspective of quality management perspective, it is highly relevant question which factors are critical when the industry has high technology driven characteristics such as EC, product quality related factors or environmental factors. Technology competence, operational competence, local marketing competence, psychological barriers, domestic competition level, and local infrastructure level are included to generate the explaining model for international market entry decision. The result is that the higher technology competence and local marketing competence are the significant factors. The higher the perception in these factors, the higher the intention to enter the international market in EC industry. These factors play a pivotal role in determining to go abroad the foreign EC market. Our finding implies that the subjective confidence on quality of EC solution(technology competence) and venture's capability of maintaining it(local marketing competence) are the important factors, when EC ventures make the decisions to enter the foreign markets.

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Development of a Quality Assurance Safety Assessment Database for Near Surface Radioactive Waste Disposal

  • Park J.W.;Kim C.L.;Park J.B.;Lee E.Y.;Lee Y.M.;Kang C.H.;Zhou W.;Kozak M.W.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.556-565
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    • 2003
  • A quality assurance safety assessment database, called QUARK (QUality Assurance Program for Radioactive Waste Management in Korea), has been developed to manage both analysis information and parameter database for safety assessment of low- and intermediate-level radioactive waste (LILW) disposal facility in Korea. QUARK is such a tool that serves QA purposes for managing safety assessment information properly and securely. In QUARK, the information is organized and linked to maximize the integrity of information and traceability. QUARK provides guidance to conduct safety assessment analysis, from scenario generation to result analysis, and provides a window to inspect and trace previous safety assessment analysis and parameter values. QUARK also provides default database for safety assessment staff who construct input data files using SAGE(Safety Assessment Groundwater Evaluation), a safety assessment computer code.

Comparative Study on the Green Speed by different the Types of Putting green Maintenance Equipment (퍼팅그린 관리 장비 유형에 따른 그린스피드 차이 비교)

  • 장유비;심경구
    • Asian Journal of Turfgrass Science
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.37-46
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    • 2004
  • The purpose of this study is to find the suitable putting green maintenance equipment for improving the quality of putting green. This study was carried out to investigate the green speed(i.e., ball roll distance) by different the types of greens mower(between work-behind greens mower and riding greens mower), the types of reel blades(between 9 blades and II blades) and the types of roller(between riding soil sprayer and lightweight roller). Green speed of golf course putting greens is assessed by use of Stimpmeter. The west course of Lakeside Country Club was selected for the case study. The results are summarized as follows; 1. The green speed was faster in 3.8 mm moving height treatment plot using work-behind greens mower than in 3.8 mm moving height treatment plot using riding greens mower right after the moving and even after eight hours had passed, and it was statistically significant at a 95% confidence level. Therefore, work-behind greens mower was judged to be a proper equipment type for the fast green management practice than riding greens mower. 2. The green speed was faster in 3.2 mm mowing height treatment plot using work-behind greens mower equipped with II blades than in 3.2 mm mowing height treatment plot using work-behind greens mower equipped with 9 blades, and this result was statistically significant at a 95% confidence level. Therefore, II-blade was judged to be a proper blade type for the fast green management practice than 9-blade. 3. The difference in green speed (green speed increased after rolling) between a treatment plot mowed at 3.0 mm mowing height with the work-behind greens mower and then rolled a single time with riding soil sprayer and a treatment plot mowed at 3.0 mm mowing height with the work-behind greens mower and then rolled once with lightweight roller was not statistically significant at a 95% confidence level. However, the difference in green speed (green speed decreased after rolling) between two treatment plots measured after eight hours had passed was statistically significant at a 95% confidence level. Therefore, the lightweight roller was judged to be a proper roller type for the fast green management practice than the riding soil sprayer.

The Relationships of Ego-Identity, Social support and Mental health of Adolescents (청소년의 자아정체감, 사회적지지와 정신건강과의 관계)

  • Koo, Seung-Shin;Jung, Ok-Hee;Jang, Sung-Hwa
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.11 no.9
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    • pp.225-237
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze the Relationshipss of Ego-Identity, Social support and Mental health of Adolescents. The subjects for this study were 347 adolescents composed of 169 middle school students, 347 high school students in Kyung-gi Do. The data was conducted by using a correlations coefficient and the multiple regression analysis. The results of the study were as follows: First correlations among measured subordinate variables of Ego-Identity, Social support on subordinate variables of Mental health of Adolescents were significant. except compulsiveness and support of friend, hostility, phobia and support of teacher, somatization and confidence of one's future, intimacy, support of teacher, support of friend, depression, psychosis and confidence of one's future. Second, the result of the multiple regression analysis, the significant variables affected mental health are ranked in the order of self-acceptance, aim for goal, support of parents, intimacy, independence. while confidence of one's future, leading, support of teacher, support of friend are not significant. The result of this study shows that adolescents of high level of self-acceptance, aim for goal, intimacy, independence and perceived highly support of teacher are high level of mental health.

Association Between Communication for Chemical Hazards Information and Characteristics of Occupational Safety and Health manager (산업안전보건관리자 특성과 화학물질 유해성 정보전달의 관련성)

  • Kim, Ki-Woong;Park, Jin Woo;Jeong, Mu Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Occupational and Environmental Hygiene
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.156-163
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    • 2012
  • Objectives: The aim of the present study was undertaken to investigate the association between communication for chemical hazard information and characteristics of occupational safety and health managers. Subjects and Methods: We surveyed 78 occupational safety and health managers(64 male and 14 female) in 78 chemical manufacturing plants. Data were obtained using a self-reported questionnaire about size and type of company, products, communication system for chemicals and work-related characteristics of occupational safety and health managers. All analyses in this study were performed using SPSS program 12.0. Results: 64.1% of the study participants were occupational health managers aged 39.3 years on average and were graduated from college and university around 90%. 30.0% and of them were majoring in chemistry (engineering chemistry), 18.0% occupational health, 16% nursing and 30.0% others. Occupational safety managers were aged 39.4 years on average, 42.9% of them were majoring in chemistry (engineering chemistry), 21.4% environmental engineering, 10.7% occupational safety and 25% others. 86% of occupational health managers and 71.4% of occupational safety managers were classified as office job. Over 94% of the hazards information for chemicals were delivered by occupational safety and health managers, but about 28.2% workers preferred outside experts who have a profound knowledge about occupational safety and health and understandable. Occupational safety and health managers and workers had difficulties in understanding toxicological information, hazards identification, stability/reactivity, composition/information on ingredients, physical/chemical properties and ecological information. On multiple logistic regression analysis for the 16 heading of material safety data sheet, content of material safety data sheet was significantly associated with education level (odds ratio=0.286, 95% confidence interval=0.105-0.780). The hazard identification (odds ratio=3.947, 95% confidence interval=1.092-14.271) and toxicological information (odds ratio=0.841, 95% confidence interval=0.705-0.998) were significantly associated with type of occupation. Conclusions: This finding implies that the education level, type of occupation and speciality of occupational safety and health managers may affects hazards information delivery.