• 제목/요약/키워드: level exceedance probability

검색결과 25건 처리시간 0.023초

Exceedance probability as a tool to evaluate the wind environment of urban areas

  • Bady, Mahmoud;Kato, Shinsuke;Ishida, Yoshihiro;Huang, Hong;Takahashi, Takeo
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제11권6호
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    • pp.455-478
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    • 2008
  • The present study aims to estimate the wind ventilation performance for pedestrian level domains from the air quality point of view. Three typical models of a dense urban area were considered and numerically simulated in order to examine the effects of the geometry of such models on wind flow characteristics, which in turn affect the air quality, within the pedestrian domain of a street canyon located within this area. The calculated flow fields were employed to estimate the exceedance probabilities within the study domain using a new approach: air exchange rate within the domain. The study has been applied to nine cities in Japan: Tokyo, Osaka, Sapporo, Niigata, Fukuoka, Nagoya, Sendai, Yokohama, and Kyoto, based on their mean wind velocity data. The results demonstrated that the exceedance probability analysis of the pedestrian wind environment could be a valuable tool during the design stage of inhabited areas for the evaluation of pollutant-removal efficiency by the applied wind. Also, the calculated probabilities demonstrated substantial dependence on both the geometry of building arrays and the wind conditions of the nine cities.

Reliability and code level

  • Kasperski, Michael;Geurts, Chris
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제8권4호
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    • pp.295-307
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    • 2005
  • The paper describes the work of the IAWE Working Group WBG - Reliability and Code Level, one of the International Codification Working Groups set up at ICWE10 in Copenhagen. The following topics are covered: sources of uncertainties in the design wind load, appropriate design target values for the exceedance probability of the design wind load for different structural classes with different consequences of a failure, yearly exceedance probability of the design wind speed and specification of the design aerodynamic coefficient for different design purposes. The recommendations from the working group are summarized at the end of the paper.

Seismic performance-based optimal design approach for structures equipped with SATMDs

  • Mohebbi, Mohtasham;Bakhshinezhad, Sina
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.95-107
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    • 2022
  • This paper introduces a novel, rigorous, and efficient probabilistic methodology for the performance-based optimal design (PBOD) of semi-active tuned mass damper (SATMD) for seismically excited nonlinear structures. The proposed methodology is consistent with the modern performance-based earthquake engineering framework and aims to design reliable control systems. To this end, an optimization problem has been defined which considers the parameters of control systems as design variables and minimization of the probability of exceeding a targeted structural performance level during the lifetime as an objective function with a constraint on the failure probability of stroke length damage state associated with mass damper mechanism. The effectiveness of the proposed methodology is illustrated through a numerical example of performance analysis of an eight-story nonlinear shear building frame with hysteretic bilinear behavior. The SATMD with variable stiffness and damping have been designed separately with different mass ratios. Their performance has been compared with that of uncontrolled structure and the structure controlled with passive TMD in terms of probabilistic demand curves, response hazard curves, fragility curves, and exceedance probability of performance levels during the lifetime. Numerical results show the effectiveness, simplicity, and reliability of the proposed PBOD method in designing SATMD with variable stiffness and damping for the nonlinear frames where they have reduced the exceedance probability of the structure up to 49% and 44%, respectively.

Seismic microzonation of Kolkata

  • Shiuly, Amit;Sahu, R.B.;Mandal, Saroj
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.125-144
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    • 2015
  • This paper presents the probabilistic seismic microzonation of densely populated Kolkata city, situated on the world's largest delta island with very soft alluvial soil deposit. At first probabilistic seismic hazard analysis of Kolkata city was carried out at bedrock level and then ground motion amplification due to sedimentary deposit was computed using one dimensional (1D) wave propagation analysis SHAKE2000. Different maps like fundamental frequency, amplification at fundamental frequency, peak ground acceleration (PGA), peak ground velocity (PGV), peak ground displacement (PGD), maximum response spectral acceleration at different time period bands are developed for variety of end users, structural and geotechnical engineers, land use planners, emergency managers and awareness of general public. The probabilistically predicted PGA at bedrock level is 0.12 g for 50% exceedance in 50 years and maximum PGA at surface level it varies from 0.095 g to 0.18 g for same probability of exceedance. The scenario of simulated ground motion revealed that Kolkata city is very much prone to damage during earthquake.

비정지궤도 위성이동지구국과 육상이동간의 주파수 공유에 따른 간섭 확률 계산 (Interference Probability Calculation of Frequency Sharing Between Non-Geostationary-Satellite Orbit Mobile Earth Station and Land Mobile Station)

  • 박지웅;최재훈;김희동
    • 한국통신학회논문지
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    • 제23권7호
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    • pp.1807-1816
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    • 1998
  • 1GHz 이하의 주파수 대역에서 비정지궤도 위성이동지구국과 육상이동국간의 주파수 공유에 따른 간섭 확률을 계산하였다. 전파전파 모델(Propagation model)로서 Flat earth 모델과 Hata 대도시 모델을 사용하고 그에 따른 이동 지구국(MES:Model earth station)의 전력값에 대한 확률밀도함수를 구한 후 이를 이용하여 간섭 기준을 초과할 확률을 도출하였다. 비정지궤도 위성이동서비스(MSS: Mobile staellite service) 전체 영역의 단위 시간당 평균 전송량과 단말의 비율을 변화시킴으로서 단위시간당 평균전송량을 구하였고, 이로부터 주어진 전력 한계값을 초과하는 확률을 통계적인 방법으로 예측하였다. 그 결과, MSS 전체 영역의 단위 시간당 평균 전송량과 단말의 비율이 각각 증가함에 따라 간섭허용기준을 초과할 확률이 증가하였다. 또한, LMS(Land Mobile Service)와 MSS의 사용 주파수의 중심주파수로부터의 편차에 따른 분리 효과를 고려하였다.

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Performance Based Seismic Design State of Practice, 2012 Manila, Philippines

  • Sy, Jose A.;Anwar, Naveed;HtutAung, Thaung;Rayamajhi, Deepak
    • 국제초고층학회논문집
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    • 제1권3호
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    • pp.203-209
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this paper is to present the state of practice being used in the Philippines for the performance-based seismic design of reinforced concrete tall buildings. Initially, the overall methodology follows "An Alternative Procedure for Seismic Analysis and Design of Tall Buildings Located in the Los Angeles Region, 2008", which was developed by Los Angeles Tall Buildings Structural Design Council. After 2010, the design procedure follows "Tall Buildings Initiative, Guidelines for Performance-Based Seismic Design of Tall Buildings, 2010" developed by Pacific Earthquake Engineering Research Center (PEER). After the completion of preliminary design in accordance with code-based design procedures, the performance of the building is checked for serviceable behaviour for frequent earthquakes (50% probability of exceedance in 30 years, i.e,, with 43-year return period) and very low probability of collapse under extremely rare earthquakes (2% of probability of exceedance in 50 years, i.e., 2475-year return period). In the analysis, finite element models with various complexity and refinements are used in different types of analyses using, linear-static, multi-mode pushover, and nonlinear-dynamic analyses, as appropriate. Site-specific seismic input ground motions are used to check the level of performance under the potential hazard, which is likely to be experienced. Sample project conducted using performance-based seismic design procedures is also briefly presented.

Seismic performance of RC buildings subjected to past earthquakes in Turkey

  • Inel, Mehmet;Meral, Emrah
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.483-503
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    • 2016
  • This study aims to evaluate seismic performance of existing low and mid-rise reinforced concrete buildings by comparing their displacement capacities and displacement demands under selected ground motions experienced in Turkey as well as demand spectrum provided in 2007 Turkish Earthquake Code for design earthquake with 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years for soil class Z3. It should be noted that typical residential buildings are designed according to demand spectrum of 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years. Three RC building sets as 2-, 4- and 7-story, are selected to represent reference low-and mid-rise buildings located in the high seismicity region of Turkey. The selected buildings are typical beam-column RC frame buildings with no shear walls. The outcomes of detailed field and archive investigation including approximately 500 real residential RC buildings established building models to reflect existing building stock. Total of 72 3-D building models are constructed from the reference buildings to include the effects of some properties such as structural irregularities, concrete strength, seismic codes, structural deficiencies, transverse reinforcement detailing, and number of story on seismic performance of low and mid-rise RC buildings. Capacity curves of building sets are obtained by nonlinear static analyses conducted in two principal directions, resulting in 144 models. The inelastic dynamic characteristics are represented by "equivalent" Single-Degree-of- Freedom (ESDOF) systems using obtained capacity curves of buildings. Nonlinear time history analysis is used to estimate displacement demands of representative building models idealized with (ESDOF) systems subjected to the selected ground motion records from past earthquakes in Turkey. The results show that the significant number of pre-modern code 4- and 7-story buildings exceeds LS performance level while the modern code 4- and 7-story buildings have better performances. The findings obviously indicate the existence of destructive earthquakes especially for 4- and 7-story buildings. Significant improvements in the performance of the buildings per modern code are also obvious in the study. Almost one third of pre-modern code buildings is exceeding LS level during records in the past earthquakes. This observation also supports the building damages experienced in the past earthquake events in Turkey.

비연성 철근콘크리트 건물의 내진설계범주에 따른 붕괴 위험성 평가 (Seismic Collapse Risk for Non-Ductile Reinforced Concrete Buildings According to Seismic Design Categories)

  • 김민지;한상환;김태오
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
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    • 제25권4호
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    • pp.161-168
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    • 2021
  • Existing old reinforced concrete buildings could be vulnerable to earthquakes because they were constructed without satisfying seismic design and detail requirements. In current seismic design standards, the target collapse probability for a given Maximum Considered Earthquake (MCE) ground-shaking hazard is defined as 10% for ordinary buildings. This study aims to estimate the collapse probabilities of a three-story, old, reinforced concrete building designed by only considering gravity loads. Four different seismic design categories (SDC), A, B, C, and D, are considered. This study reveals that the RC building located in the SDC A region satisfies the target collapse probability. However, buildings located in SDC B, C, and D regions do not meet the target collapse probability. Since the degree of exceedance of the target probability increases with an increase in the SDC level, it is imminent to retrofit non-ductile RC buildings similar to the model building. It can be confirmed that repair and reinforcement of old reinforced concrete buildings are required.

New Madrid 지진대의 다경간 PSC 교량의 지진거동 (Seismic Response of Multiple Span Prestressed Concrete Girder Bridges in the New Madrid Seismic Zone)

  • 최은수;김학수;김광일;조병완
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
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    • 제10권5호
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    • pp.11-23
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    • 2006
  • 본 연구는 미중부지역의 New Madrid 지역에서 일반적으로 존재하는 다경간 PSC 교량의 지진거동을 평가하였다. 지진 해석은 비선형 교량모델과 인공지진파를 사용하여 수행하였으며, 인공지진파는 50년 동안 발생확률이 10%와 2%의 두 가지 수준을 사용하였다. 10%의 지진파에 대해서는 해석교량은 양호한 응답을 보였으나, 2%의 지진파에 대해서는 비선형 거동을 보이면 응답이 좋지 않았다. 바닥판사이의 충돌로 인하여 기둥의 요구량이 증가하였으며 교량받침의 파손이 발생하였다. 또한 PSC 거더를 연속화하면 매우 만족한 응답의 개선효과가 있었으며, 이러한 연속화는 유지보수의 절감 및 사하중에 의한 모멘트의 감소를 위해서 일반적으로 행해지는 것이다.

금호강 유역의 대장균 부하지속곡선 개발 및 적용 (Development and Application of Coliform Load Duration Curve for the Geumho River)

  • 정강영;임태효;김경훈;이인정;윤종수;허성남
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제28권6호
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    • pp.890-895
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    • 2012
  • Duration curves describe the percentage of time that a certain water quality (total/fecal coliform (=TC/FC)) or discharge is exceeded. The curves methodology are usually based on daily records and are useful in estimating how many days per year and event will be exceeded. The technique was further applied to estimated TC/FC loading to the Geumho River, using the daily mean flow rate and TC/FC concentration data during January, 2001 and December, 2011 for the Geumhogang6 (=Seongseo water level station) where an automated monitoring station is located in Gangchang-bridge. Low flow of the Seongseo (=11.1 cms) was equivalent to 75.3% on an exceedance probability scale. Load Duration curve for TC/FC loading at the Seongseo was constructed. Standard load duration curve was constructed with the water quality criteria for class III (TC/FC concentration = 5000/1000 CFU/ 100 mL). By plotting TC/FC observed load duration curve with standard load duration curve, it could be revealed that water quality do not meet the desired water quality for 68.8/11.2% on an exceedance probability scale. IF linear correlation between flow rate and coliform concentration is assumed, it can be interpreted that water quality exceed desired criteria when daily average flow rate is over 11.9/109.9 cms.