• Title/Summary/Keyword: leakage prediction

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Development of a Dynamic Model for Water Quality Simulation during Unsteady Flow in Water Distribution Networks (부정류 흐름에서 상수관망 수질해석을 위한 동역학적 모형의 개발)

  • Choi, Doo-Yong;Cho, Won-cheol;Kim, Do-Hwan;Bae, Cheol-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.609-617
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    • 2012
  • A dynamic water quality model is presented in order to simulate water quality under slowly varying flow conditions over time. To improve numerical accuracy, the proposed model uses a lumped system approach instead of extended period simulation, unlike the other available models. This approach can achieve computational efficiency by assuming liquid and pipe walls to be rigid, unlike the method of characteristics, which has been successfully implemented in rapidly varying flows. The discrete volume method is applied to resolve the advection and reaction terms of the transport equation for water quality constituents in pipes. Numerical applications are implemented to the pipe network examples under steady and unsteady conditions as well as hydraulic and water quality simulations. The numerical results are compared with EPANET2, which is a widely used simulation model for a water distribution system. The model results are in good agreement with EPANET2 for steady-state simulation. However, the hydraulic simulation results under unsteady flows differ from those of EPANET2, which causes a deviation in water quality prediction. The proposed model is expected to be a component of an integrated operation model for a water distribution system if it is combined with a computational model for rapidly varying flows to estimate leakage, pipe roughness, and intensive water quality.

Crack Propagation in Earth Embankment Subjected to Fault Movement (단층 운동시 댐 파괴 거동 해석)

  • 손익준
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 1988.06c
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    • pp.3-67
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    • 1988
  • Model studies on the response of homgeneous earth embankment dams subjected to strike-slip fault movement have been penomed via centrifuge and finite element analysis. The centrifuge model tests have shown that crack development in earth embankment experiences two major patters: shear failure deep inside the embankment and tension failure near the surface. The shear rupture zone develops from the base level and propagates upward continuously in the transverse direction but allows no open leakage chnnel. The open tensile cracks develop near the surface of the embankment, but they disappear deep in the embankment. The functional relationship has been developed based on the results of the centrifuge model tests incorporating tile variables of amount of fault movement, embankment geometry, and crack propagation extent in earth des. This set of information can be used as a guide line to evaluate a "transient" safety of the duaged embankment subjected to strike-slip fault movement. The finite element analysis has supplemented the additional expluations on crack development behavior identified from the results of the centrifuge model tests. The bounding surface time-independent plasticity soil model was employed in the numerical analysis. Due to the assumption of continuum in the current version of the 3-D FEM code, the prediction of the soil structure response beyond the failure condition was not quantitatively accurate. However, the fundamental mechanism of crack development was qualitatively evaluated based on the stress analysis for the deformed soil elements of the damaged earth embankment. The tensile failure zone is identified when the minor principal stress of the deformed soil elements less than zero. The shear failure zone is identified when the stress state of the deformed soil elements is at the point where the critical state line intersects the bounding surface.g surface.

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Elastic-plastic Fracture Mechanics Analyses for Burst Pressure Prediction of Through-wall Cracked Tubes (관통균열 세관의 파열압력 예측을 위한 탄소성 파괴역학 해석)

  • Chang Yoon-Suk;Moon Seong-In;Kim Young-Jin;Hwang Seong-Sik;Kim Joung-Soo;Kim Yun-Jae
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.29 no.10 s.241
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    • pp.1361-1368
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    • 2005
  • The structural and leakage integrity of steam generator tubes should be sustained all postulated loads with appropriate margin even if a crack is present. During the past three decades, for effective integrity evaluation, several limit load solutions have been used world-widely. However, to predict accurately load carrying capacities of specific components under different conditions, the solutions have to be modified by using lots of experimental data. The purpose of this paper is to propose a new burst pressure estimation scheme based on fracture mechanics analyses for steam generator tube with an axial or circumferential through-wall crack. A series of three dimensional elastic-plastic finite element analyses were carried out and, then, closed-form estimation equations with respect to both J-integral and crack opening displacement were derived through reference stress method. The developed engineering equations were utilized for structural integrity evaluation and the resulting data were compared to the corresponding ones fiom experiments as well as limit load solutions. Thereafter, since the effectiveness was proven by promising results, it is believed that the proposed estimation scheme can be used as an efficient tool for integrity evaluation of cracked steam generator tubes.

Leak and Leak Point Prediction by Detecting Negative Pressure Wave in High Pressure Piping System (저압확장파 검출을 통한 배관 누출 및 누출위치 예측)

  • Ha, Tae-Woong;Ha, Jong-Man;Kim, Dong-Hyuk;Kim, Young-Nam
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.47-53
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    • 2007
  • The safe operation of high pressure pipe line systems is of significant importance. Leaks due to faulty operation from the pipelines can lead to considerable product losses and to exposure of community to dangerous gases. There are several leak detection methods, which have been recently suggested on pipeline network. The negative pressure wave detection technology, which has advantages of short time detection availability, accurate leaking location estimate capability and cost effective, is concentrated in this study. Theoretical analysis of the flow characteristics for leaking through a hole on the pipe wall has been performed by using CFD++, commercial CFD package. The results of 3-dimensional analysis near leaking hole confirm the occurrence of negative pressure wave and verify the characteristics of propagation of the wave which travels with speed equal to the speed of sound in the pipeline contents. For the application of long pipe line system. The method of 1-dimensional analysis has been suggested and verified with results of CFD++.

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Development of IoT-based Safety Management Method through an Analysis of Risk Factors for Industrial Valves (산업용 밸브의 위험요소 분석을 통한 IoT 기반 안전관리 방안 개발)

  • Kim, Jung-Hoon;Kim, Young-Gu
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.35-43
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    • 2019
  • The safety of industrial valves, which are the core parts of plant facilities, are managed by manpower and there are difficulties because of side area for inspection and limited accessibility due to the nature of facilities. The industrial valves used in plant facilities cause problems such as interrupted production; a loss of life due to leak or explosion of poisonous material and flammable gases, and difficulty in locating accident positions in the event of leakage or failure. Therefore, safety management and control systems based on IoT technology are needed. This study is about the development of risk factor prediction technique among the safety management of industrial valves through IoT- based wireless communication and the development of actuator control system. We have developed IoT-based industrial valve safety management techniques to prevent accidents caused by main risk factors by conducting an analysis of the structural characteristics of valves and an analysis of the causes of main risk factors through review of failure data and literature and an analysis of accident scenarios.

Probabilistic Neural Network for Prediction of Leakage in Water Distribution Network (급배수관망 누수예측을 위한 확률신경망)

  • Ha, Sung-Ryong;Ryu, Youn-Hee;Park, Sang-Young
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.799-811
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    • 2006
  • As an alternative measure to replace reactive stance with proactive one, a risk based management scheme has been commonly applied to enhance public satisfaction on water service by providing a higher creditable solution to handle a rehabilitation problem of pipe having high potential risk of leaks. This study intended to examine the feasibility of a simulation model to predict a recurrence probability of pipe leaks. As a branch of the data mining technique, probabilistic neural network (PNN) algorithm was applied to infer the extent of leaking recurrence probability of water network. PNN model could classify the leaking level of each unit segment of the pipe network. Pipe material, diameter, C value, road width, pressure, installation age as input variable and 5 classes by pipe leaking probability as output variable were built in PNN model. The study results indicated that it is important to pay higher attention to the pipe segment with the leak record. By increase the hydraulic pipe pressure to meet the required water demand from each node, simulation results indicated that about 6.9% of total number of pipe would additionally be classified into higher class of recurrence risk than present as the reference year. Consequently, it was convinced that the application of PNN model incorporated with a data base management system of pipe network to manage municipal water distribution network could make a promise to enhance the management efficiency by providing the essential knowledge for decision making rehabilitation of network.

Early Predictive Values for Severe Rhabdomyolysis in Blunt Trauma

  • Park, Jung Yun;Kim, Myoung Jun;Lee, Jae Gil
    • Journal of Trauma and Injury
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.26-31
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: Rhabdomyolysis (RB) is a syndrome characterized by the decomposition of striated muscles and leakage of their contents into the bloodstream. Acute kidney injury (AKI) is the most significant and serious complication of RB and is a major cause of mortality in patients with RB. Severe RB (creatine kinase [CK] ${\geq}5,000$) has been associated with AKI. However, early prediction is difficult because CK can reach peak levels 1-3 days after the trauma. Hence, the aim of our study was to identify predictors of severe RB using initial patient information and parameters. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 1,023 blunt trauma patients admitted to a single tertiary hospital between August 2011 and March 2018. Patients with previously diagnosed chronic kidney disease were excluded from the study. RB and severe RB were defined as a CK level ${\geq}1,000U/L$ and ${\geq}5,000U/L$, respectively. The diagnosis of AKI was based on RIFLE criteria. Results: The overall incidence of RB and severe RB was 31.3% (n=320) and 6.2% (n=63), respectively. On multivariable analysis, male sex (odds ratio [OR] 3.78, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.43 to 10.00), initial base excess (OR 0.85, 95% CI 0.80 to 0.90), initial CK (OR 2.07, 95% CI 1.67 to 2.57), and extremity abbreviated injury scale score (OR 1.78, 95% CI 1.39 to 2.29) were found to predict severe RB. The results of receiver operating characteristic analysis showed that the best cutoff value for the initial serum CK level predictive of severe RB was 1,494 U/L. Conclusions: Male patients with severe extremity injuries, low base excess, and initial CK level >1,500 U/L should receive vigorous fluid resuscitation.

Predicting Arachnoid Membrane Descent in the Chiasmatic Cistern in the Treatment of Pituitary Macroadenoma

  • Ko, Hak Cheol;Lee, Seung Hwan;Shin, Hee Sup;Koh, Jun Seok
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
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    • v.64 no.1
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    • pp.110-119
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    • 2021
  • Objective : Preoperative prediction of the arachnoid membrane descent in pituitary surgery is useful for achieving gross total removal and avoiding cerebrospinal fluid leakage resulting from tearing of the arachnoid membrane in the chiasmatic cistern. In this study, we analyzed the patterns of arachnoid membrane descent during or after pituitary tumor surgery and identified the factors related to this descent. Methods : Analysis was restricted to pituitary macroadenomas not extending into the third ventricle or over the internal carotid artery. To minimize confounding factors, patients who underwent revision surgery, those who had a torn arachnoid during operation or small medial diaphragma sellae (DS) opening, and subtotal resections were excluded. We enrolled 41 consecutive patients in this retrospective analysis. The degree of arachnoid descent was categorized using intraoperative videos. Preoperative magnetic resonance findings, including tumor height, suprasellar extension, and variables including DS area and medial opening size, tumor composition, and displacement of the pituitary stalk and gland were evaluated to determine their correlations with arachnoid membrane descent. Results : Arachnoid membrane descent was significantly correlated with DS area and medial opening size. Based on T2-weighted images (T2WI) magnetic resonance (MR) images, tumor composition was significantly associated with arachnoid membrane descent. Other factors were not significantly correlated with arachnoid membrane descent. Conclusion : T2WI of tumor composition and preoperative MR imaging of DS area and medial opening provided valuable information regarding arachnoid membrane descent. These parameters may serve as fundamental measures to facilitate complete resection of pituitary macroadenomas.

Modeling on the Prediction of Flow Rate and Groundwater Level Drawdown Associated with Tunnel Excation in Fractured rock (단열암반내 터널 굴착에 따른 지하수유출 및 주변지역의 지하수위 하강예측 모델링)

  • Lee Byeong-Dae;Sung Ig-Hwan;Jeong Chan-Ho;Kim Yong-Je
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.289-301
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    • 2005
  • Groundwater level drawdown of the first stage resulted from groundwater leakage into tunnel was predicted by an analytical approximation. And numerical modeling was performed to predict the flow rates into tunnel and the groundwater level decline in the vicinity of future proposed tunnel area using a groundwater flow model MODFLOW. Groundwater level of the first stage was predicted to decrease by 15.3 m in analytical approximation. The flow rates in the total length of the future tunnel, when it is excavated, would be approximately $1,870m^3/day$ in numerical model. The model predicts that the groundwater levels in the area around the future tunnel are expected to drop between 5 to 25 m relative to current groundwater levels. Under condition for a $50\%$ tunnel conductance increase, the flow rate was estimated to be $2,518m^3/day$ and the groundwater level drawdown was predicted to be between 5 to 35 m The flow rate and the predicted groundwater level drawdown under a $2,518m^3/day$ tunnel conductance decrease was estimated to be $1,273m^3/day$ and between 2 to 12 m.

A numerical study on the fatigue evaluation of mark-III LNG primary barrier (수치해석을 이용한 Mark-III LNG 1차 방벽에 대한 피로 평가)

  • Kwon, Sun-Beom;Kim, Myung-Sung;Lee, Jae-Myung
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.337-344
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    • 2017
  • The demand of liquified natural gas is increasing due to environmental issues. This reason has resulted in increasing the capacity of liquified natural gas cargo tank. The Mark-III type primary barrier directly contacts liquified natural gas. Also, the primary barrier is under various loading conditions such as weight of liquified natural gas and sloshing loads. During a ship operation, various loads can cause fatigue failure. Therefore, the fatigue life prediction should be evaluated to prevent leakage of liquified natural gas. In the present study, the fatigue analysis of insulation system including primary barrier is performed using a finite element model. The fatigue life of primary barrier is carried out using a numerical study. The value of principle stress and the location of maximum principle stress range are calculated, and the fatigue life is evaluated. In addition, the effects on the insulation panel status and the arrangement of knot or corrugation are analyzed by comparing the fatigue life of various models. The insulation system which has best structural performance of primary barrier was selected to ensure structural integrity in fatigue assessment. These results can be used as a design guideline and a fundamental study for the fatigue assessment of primary barrier.