• Title/Summary/Keyword: lagged effects

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Symmetric and Asymmetric Effects of Financial Innovation and FDI on Exchange Rate Volatility: Evidence from South Asian Countries

  • QAMRUZZAMAN, Md.;MEHTA, Ahmed Muneeb;KHALID, Rimsha;SERFRAZ, Ayesha;SALEEM, Hina
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.23-36
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    • 2021
  • The study explores the nexus between foreign direct investment (FDI), financial innovation, and exchange rate volatility in selected South Asian countries for 1980 to 2017. The study applies the unit root test, Autoregressive Distributed Lagged, nonlinear ARDL, and causality test following Toda-Yamamoto. Unit root tests ascertain that variables are integrated in a mixed order; few variables are stationary at a level and few after the first difference. Empirical model estimation with ARDL, Long-run cointegration revealed with the tests of FPSS, WPSS, and tBDM by rejecting the null hypothesis of "no cointegration." This finding suggests that, in the long-run financial innovation, FDI inflows, and exchange rate volatility move together. Moreover, study findings established adverse effects running from FDI inflows and financial innovation to exchange rate volatility in the long run. These findings suggest that continual FDI inflows and innovativeness in the financial system assist in lessening the volatility in the foreign exchange market. Furthermore, nonlinear ARDL confirms the presence of asymmetric cointegration in the model. The standard Wald test established asymmetric effects running from FDI inflows and financial innovation to exchange rate volatility, both in the long and short run. Directional causality unveils feedback hypothesis holds for explaining causality between FDI, financial innovation, and exchange rate volatility.

Stability and Reciprocal Effects of Abuse and Neglect by Parents and Adolescent Depression and Delinquency (부모의 학대 및 방임과 청소년의 우울 및 비행의 안정성 및 상호적 영향)

  • Kim, Minjoo;Doh, Hyun-Sim
    • Korean Journal of Child Studies
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.133-148
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    • 2017
  • Objective: This study focused on the stability and reciprocal effects between abuse and neglect by parents and adolescent depression and delinquency. We examined both parent and child effects by adopting the transactional model proposed by Sameroff (2009). Methods: Using autoregressive cross-lagged modeling, data from the $2^{nd}$ to the $4^{th}$ wave of the Korean Children and Youth Panel Study (KCYPS) were analyzed. The sample consisted of 1,982 adolescents who were $8^{th}$ graders in 2011. Data were collected at three different phases: when participants were in $8^{th}$ grade (T1), $9^{th}$ grade (T2) and $10^{th}$ grade (T3). Results: First, the effects of abuse and neglect by parents and adolescent depression and delinquency showed stability from the $8^{th}$ to the $10^{th}$ grade. Second, abuse at T1 and T2 had effects on adolescent delinquency at T2 and T3, respectively, but not on adolescent depression. In terms of child effects, abuse was influenced by adolescent depression only. Adolescent depression and delinquency had no reciprocal effects. Finally, there were reciprocal effects between neglect on one hand and adolescent depression and delinquency on the other. That is, there were child effects as well as parent effects. No significant effects were found in the reciprocal relations between adolescent depression and delinquency. Conclusion: The present study found the stability of abuse and neglect by parents and adolescent depression and delinquency. Furthermore, this study identified the child effects as well as parent effects, thus supporting the transactional model of neglect by parents and adolescent depression and delinquency.

Networks and Innovative Performance of the Korean Manufacturing Firms

  • Sung, Tae-Kyung
    • Proceedings of the Technology Innovation Conference
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    • 2005.08a
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    • pp.5-28
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    • 2005
  • This paper estimates the effect of networks on innovative performance at the firm level , using Korean Innovation Survey (KIS) dataset Product innovation, product improvement , and process innovation are used as proxies for innovative activity. The explanatory variables such as firm size, market concentration ratio, lagged profitability, foreign ownership, export ratio, firm's age, formal R&D activity, and industrial R&D intensity are yet other considerations. With two year-long (2000 and 2001) data from 1,124 Korean manufacturing firms, we estimated the logistic regression model. The research finding indicates that the external networks have a strong positive effect on innovative output regardless of type of innovation. However, the network effects by partner (other firms or research institutions) vary across the type of innovation. Especially, we found that the user-supplier linkage plays an important role in product ion innovation, product improvement, and process innovation.

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Firm Size, Networks, and Innovation: Evidence from the Korean Manufacturing Firms (기업규모, 네트워크, 그리고 기술혁신: 우리나라 제조업에 대한 실증 분석)

  • 성태경
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.77-100
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    • 2005
  • This paper analyzes the determinants of firm's innovative activity, using Korean Innovation Survey (KIS) dataset. Especially, we focused on the role of external networks by partners(other firms or research institutions) in performing innovative activities. The product innovation, product improvement, and process innovation are used as proxies for innovative activity. The explanatory variables such as market concentration ratio, lagged profitability, foreign ownership, export ratio, firm's age, formal R&D activity, and industrial R&D intensity are also considered. With data from 1,124 firms for the two years (2000-2001), we estimated the logistic regression model. The finding is that the determinants of firm's innovative activities differ by type of innovations. We also found that the innovative behavior of SMEs differs from that of large firms. The result confirms that external networks have a strong positive effect on innovative activity. However, the network effects by partners vary across both firm size and type of innovations.

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Dynamic Relationship between Stock Prices and Exchange Rates: Evidence from Nepal

  • Kim, Do-Hyun;Subedi, Shyam;Chung, Sang-Kuck
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.123-144
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    • 2016
  • This paper investigates the linkages between returns both in foreign exchange and stock markets, and uncertainties in two markets using daily data for the period of 16 July 2004 to 30 June 2014 in Nepalese economy. Four hypotheses are tested about how uncertainty influences the stock index and exchange rates. From the empirical results, a bivariate EGARCH-M model is the best to explain the volatility in the two markets. There is a negative relationship from the exchange rates return to stock price return. Empirical results do provide strong empirical confirmation that negative effect of stock index uncertainty and positive effect of exchange rates uncertainty on average stock index. GARCH-in-mean variables in AR modeling are significant and shows that there is positive effect of exchange rates uncertainty and negative effect of stock index uncertainty on average exchange rates. Stock index shocks have longer lived effects on uncertainty in the stock market than exchange rates shock have on uncertainly in the foreign exchange market. The effect of the last period's shock, volatility is more sensitive to its own lagged values.

The Impact of Income Inequality on Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from Vietnam

  • HIEN, Luong Quang
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.305-312
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    • 2022
  • Each country's economic progress creates opportunities for its citizens to raise their income. Meanwhile, the country has secured the people's social security policies, particularly the protection of income equality, to promote harmonious and sustained economic development. Vietnam has been located in a dynamic economic development area in Southeast Asia since the 1986 economic reforms, with an annual growth rate of around 7%. Meanwhile, having achieved a middle-income status of roughly 3500 USD per person per year, Vietnam is attempting to maintain income equality and access to welfare systems for its inhabitants. As a result, the primary goal of this study is to use an autoregressive distributed lagged model to investigate the effects of income inequality and other economic factors such as foreign direct investment and trade openness on Vietnam's economic growth from 1992 to 2019. The research focuses attention on literature on income inequality, economic development indicators, and economic development in unique ways in this study. Income inequality slows the rate of change in economic development in the same year, according to our findings. Finally, the study will make policy suggestions to the Vietnamese government.

The Effect of AEO MRA on Trade Cost (AEO MRA가 무역비용에 미치는 영향)

  • Eui-Hyun Ha
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.45 no.2
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    • pp.17-29
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    • 2020
  • This study analyzed that the effects of AEO MRA benefit on decreasing of trade cost and the strategies for expanding of trade. It uses the system GMM for effective solutions of endogenous matter with lagged dependent variable. In terms of the result of analysis, AEO MRA has a positive effect on decreasing of trade cost, especially this study proved the result of previous study AEO MRA expanded the trade through improving the time required for customs clearance and deregulation of non-tariff barriers. In conclusion, this study proposes the policy fo AEO MRA by analyzing the trade cost of AEO MRA by using the system GMM.

The Longitudinal Interrelationships of Multidimensional Social Exclusion among Married Immigrant Women in Korea (결혼이주여성이 경험하는 다차원적 사회적 배제 영역간의 종단적 상호관계)

  • Park, Hyun-Sun;Jeong, Su Jeong
    • Korean Journal of Family Social Work
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    • no.56
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    • pp.197-224
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study was to examine how various dimensions of social exclusion experienced by married immigrant women are affected longitudinally. Autoregressive cross-lagged analysis between sub-dimensions of social exclusion of married immigrant women was conducted to investigate the direction of interrelationships. The data were collected each year through a three-wave longitudinal survey from 2011 to 2013. The results showed that statically significant autoregressive effects appeared among economic exclusion, community exclusion, educational exclusion, and ethnic exclusion. The cross-lagged effects of the sub-dimensions of social exclusion showed that married immigrant women with higher levels of the economic exclusion tend to experience higher levels of the educational exclusion, and ethnic exclusion at the later measurement point, even when controlling for their previous level of social exclusion. It was found that economic exclusion as a more fundamental precedent factor positively predicted other dimensions of social exclusion. The results suggested that financial support and job-related services should be strengthened for active social inclusion of married immigrant women, and early intervention to prevent chronicization of social exclusion should be needed.

The Dynamic Effects of Customer Satisfaction on Firm's Profitability and Value (기업의 수익성과 가치에 미치는 고객만족의 동태적 영향)

  • Yi, Youjae;Cha, Kyoung Cheon;Lee, Cheonglim
    • Asia Marketing Journal
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.1-23
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    • 2008
  • It is natural that firms would like to increase their profits and value through customer satisfaction (CS). It is therefore important for the academic and practical purposes to investigate the relationship between CS and firm's performance. Previous studies about this relationship have examined mainly the current effect of CS on firm's performance. According to the research that many marketing activities have dynamic effects over time, however, the dynamic effect of CS on firm's performance needs to be tested. Failure to assess the dynamic effects might lead to the underestimation of the impact of CS. This study thus attempts to investigate the dynamic effects of CS on firm's profitability and value by panel data analysis. The results show that CS has dynamic effects on firm's profitability and value. There was a significant improvement in model fit compared with the model examining the current effects only. On the other hand, it was difficult to interpret the estimation results of the alternative model incorporating two lagged variables of CS, and there was also a multicollinearity problem.

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The Effects of Earnings Management, Related Party Transactions and ESG Management of Chaebol Firms on Corporate Performance in Korea (재벌기업의 이익조정, 관계회사 간 거래와 ESG 경영이 경영성과에 미치는 영향)

  • Narantugs, Namuun;Liu, Yue;Kim, Sung-Hwan
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.103-123
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    • 2022
  • Purpose - This study investigates the effects of earnings management, related party transactions between chaebol affiliates on earnings management and ESG score on their profitability using return on assets (ROA). Design/Methodology/Approach - We use data including ESG (Environmental, Social, and Corporate Governance) score of the Korea Corporate Governance Service(KCGS), and financial data of 10,145 firm-year observations from the Total Solution 2000 (TS 2000) and Korea Companies-Information Service (KOKOInfo), and apply the finite lagged models to investigate the long-term effects of related party transactions between chaebol affiliates of earnings management on ESG scores and corporate performance. Furthermore, to take into consideration the simultaneous mutual effects on each other of main variables, we introduce finite distributed lags of five years. Findings - First, ESG-rated firms have a higher total asset return than non-ESG-rated firms. Second, chaebol firms have a higher profitability than non-chaebol firms. Third, profit management of related party transactions between affiliates within a chaebol has a positive effect on the short-term profitability and a negative effect on the long-term profitability. Fourth, chaebol ESG firms have a lower impact on profitability due to rating up (down) than non-chaebol ESG firms. Research Implications or Originality - Based on the above results, it can be concluded that firms used related party transactions for earnings management, the effects of related party transactions change over time, and chaebol firms manipulate earnings through related party transactions and ESG scores.