• Title/Summary/Keyword: interval regression model

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Production Characteristics of Nili-Ravi Buffaloes

  • Khan, R.N.;Akhtar, S.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.56-60
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    • 1999
  • Production and reproduction data of 47 Nili-Ravi buffaloes (162 records) were analyzed with regression techniques. Average lactation milk yield was $2,020.04{\pm}44.59$ liters, lactation length $277.42{\pm}5.70$ d and calving interval $467.10{\pm}11.58$ d. The ranges for these parameters respectively were : 609-3591 lit, 122-614 d and 228-982 d. Year of calving and lactation length had significant effect on total milk yield (p < 0.01), whereas other factors such as month of calving, lactation number and calving interval had no effect on total lactation milk yield. Year of calving had influenced significantly other traits (p < .01) such as calving interval and lactations completed. This indicated considerable environment role in buffalo productivity. Effect of month of calving on total lactation milk yield and other traits was however, found to be non-significant. Nili-Ravi buffaloes produced maximum milk during their first three lactations as compared to subsequent lactations. Regression model explained 40 percent variation in total lactation milk yield due to factors analyzed : animal (dam), year and month of calving lactation length and calving interval.

UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS OF DATA-BASED MODELS FOR ESTIMATING COLLAPSE MOMENTS OF WALL-THINNED PIPE BENDS AND ELBOWS

  • Kim, Dong-Su;Kim, Ju-Hyun;Na, Man-Gyun;Kim, Jin-Weon
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.44 no.3
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    • pp.323-330
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    • 2012
  • The development of data-based models requires uncertainty analysis to explain the accuracy of their predictions. In this paper, an uncertainty analysis of the support vector regression (SVR) model, which is a data-based model, was performed because previous research showed that the SVR method accurately estimates the collapse moments of wall-thinned pipe bends and elbows. The uncertainty analysis method used in this study was an analytic uncertainty analysis method, and estimates with a 95% confidence interval were obtained for 370 test data points. From the results, the prediction interval (PI) was very narrow, which means that the predicted values are quite accurate. Therefore, the proposed SVR method can be used effectively to assess and validate the integrity of the wall-thinned pipe bends and elbows.

Alternative Confidence Intervals on the Sum of Variance Components in a Simple Regression Model with Unbalanced Nested Error Structure

  • Park Dong Joon;Lee Soo Jin
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.87-100
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    • 2005
  • In order to construct confidence intervals on the sum of variance components in a simple regression model with unbalanced nested error structure, alternative confidence intervals using Graybill and Wang(1980) and generalized inference concept introduced by Tsui and Weerahandi(1989) are proposed. Computer simulation programmed by SAS/IML is performed to compare the simulated confidence coefficients and average interval lengths of the proposed confidence intervals. A numerical example is provided to demonstrate the confidence intervals and to show consistency between the example and simulation results.

Interval Estimation in Mixed Model by Use of PROC MIXED (PROC MIXED를 활용한 혼합모형의 신뢰구간추정)

  • Park Dong-Joon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.349-360
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    • 2006
  • PROC MIXED in SAS can be utilized to make inferences on parameters in a mixed model by use of Restricted Maximum Likelihood Estimation Method or Maximum Likelihood Estimation Method which has more merits than ANOVA method. A regression model with unbalanced nested error structure that belongs to a mixed model is used to construct confidence intervals on variances among groups, within groups, and regression coefficients in the model. PROC MIXED is applied to three different sample sizes for simulation. As a result of the simulation study, PROC MIXED generates confidence intervals on parameters that maintain the stated confidence coefficient in a large sample size. However, it does not generate confidence intervals that maintain the stated confidence coefficient for variance components among groups and intercept in a small sample size.

Misleading Confidence Interval for Sum of Variances Calculated by PROC MIXED of SAS (PROC MIXED가 제시하는 분산의 합의 신뢰구간의 문제점)

  • 박동준
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.145-151
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    • 2004
  • PROC MIXED fits a variety of mixed models to data and enables one to use these fitted models to make statistical inferences about the data. However, the simulation study in this article shows that PROC MIXED using REML estimators provides one with a confidence interval, that does not keep the stated confidence coefficients, on sums of two variance components in the simple regression model with unbalanced nested error structure which is a mixed model.

Bayesian Inference for Censored Panel Regression Model

  • Lee, Seung-Chun;Choi, Byongsu
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.193-200
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    • 2014
  • It was recognized by some researchers that the disturbance variance in a censored regression model is frequently underestimated by the maximum likelihood method. This underestimation has implications for the estimation of marginal effects and asymptotic standard errors. For instance, the actual coverage probability of the confidence interval based on a maximum likelihood estimate can be significantly smaller than the nominal confidence level; consequently, a Bayesian estimation is considered to overcome this difficulty. The behaviors of the maximum likelihood and Bayesian estimators of disturbance variance are examined in a fixed effects panel regression model with a limited dependent variable, which is known to have the incidental parameter problem. Behavior under random effect assumption is also investigated.

Spatio-temporal Load Forecasting Considering Aggregation Features of Electricity Cells and Uncertainties in Input Variables

  • Zhao, Teng;Zhang, Yan;Chen, Haibo
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.38-50
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    • 2018
  • Spatio-temporal load forecasting (STLF) is a foundation for building the prediction-based power map, which could be a useful tool for the visualization and tendency assessment of urban energy application. Constructing one point-forecasting model for each electricity cell in the geographic space is possible; however, it is unadvisable and insufficient, considering the aggregation features of electricity cells and uncertainties in input variables. This paper presents a new STLF method, with a data-driven framework consisting of 3 subroutines: multi-level clustering of cells considering their aggregation features, load regression for each category of cells based on SLS-SVRNs (sparse least squares support vector regression networks), and interval forecasting of spatio-temporal load with sampled blind number. Take some area in Pudong, Shanghai as the region of study. Results of multi-level clustering show that electricity cells in the same category are clustered in geographic space to some extent, which reveals the spatial aggregation feature of cells. For cellular load regression, a comparison has been made with 3 other forecasting methods, indicating the higher accuracy of the proposed method in point-forecasting of spatio-temporal load. Furthermore, results of interval load forecasting demonstrate that the proposed prediction-interval construction method can effectively convey the uncertainties in input variables.

ASYMPTOTIC NORMALITY OF WAVELET ESTIMATOR OF REGRESSION FUNCTION UNDER NA ASSUMPTIONS

  • Liang, Han-Ying;Qi, Yan-Yan
    • Bulletin of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.247-257
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    • 2007
  • Consider the heteroscedastic regression model $Y_i=g(x_i)+{\sigma}_i\;{\epsilon}_i=(1{\leq}i{\leq}n)$, where ${\sigma}^2_i=f(u_i)$, the design points $(x_i,\;u_i)$ are known and nonrandom, and g and f are unknown functions defined on closed interval [0, 1]. Under the random errors $\epsilon_i$ form a sequence of NA random variables, we study the asymptotic normality of wavelet estimators of g when f is a known or unknown function.

Estimating excess post-exercise oxygen consumption using multiple linear regression in healthy Korean adults: a pilot study

  • Jung, Won-Sang;Park, Hun-Young;Kim, Sung-Woo;Kim, Jisu;Hwang, Hyejung;Lim, Kiwon
    • Korean Journal of Exercise Nutrition
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.35-41
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    • 2021
  • [Purpose] This pilot study aimed to develop a regression model to estimate the excess post-exercise oxygen consumption (EPOC) of Korean adults using various easy-to-measure dependent variables. [Methods] The EPOC and dependent variables for its estimation (e.g., sex, age, height, weight, body mass index, fat-free mass [FFM], fat mass, % body fat, and heart rate_sum [HR_sum]) were measured in 75 healthy adults (31 males, 44 females). Statistical analysis was performed to develop an EPOC estimation regression model using the stepwise regression method. [Results] We confirmed that FFM and HR_sum were important variables in the EPOC regression models of various exercise types. The explanatory power and standard errors of estimates (SEE) for EPOC of each exercise type were as follows: the continuous exercise (CEx) regression model was 86.3% (R2) and 85.9% (adjusted R2), and the mean SEE was 11.73 kcal, interval exercise (IEx) regression model was 83.1% (R2) and 82.6% (adjusted R2), while the mean SEE was 13.68 kcal, and the accumulation of short-duration exercise (AEx) regression models was 91.3% (R2) and 91.0% (adjusted R2), while the mean SEE was 27.71 kcal. There was no significant difference between the measured EPOC using a metabolic gas analyzer and the predicted EPOC for each exercise type. [Conclusion] This pilot study developed a regression model to estimate EPOC in healthy Korean adults. The regression model was as follows: CEx = -37.128 + 1.003 × (FFM) + 0.016 × (HR_sum), IEx = -49.265 + 1.442 × (FFM) + 0.013 × (HR_sum), and AEx = -100.942 + 2.209 × (FFM) + 0.020 × (HR_sum).

Regionalized Regression Model for Monthly Streamflow in Korean Watersheds (韓國河川의 月 流出量 推定을 위한 地域化 回歸模型)

  • Kim, Tai-Cheol;Park, Sung-Woo
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.106-124
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    • 1984
  • Monthly streanflow of watersheds is one of the most important elements for the planning, design, and management of water resources development projects, e.g., determination of storage requirement of reservoirs and control of release-water in lowflow rivers. Modeling of longterm runoff is theoretically based on water-balance analysis for a certain time interval. The effect of the casual factors of rainfall, evaporation, and soil-moisture storage on streamflow might be explained by multiple regression analysis. Using the basic concepts of water-balance and regression analysis, it was possible to develop a generalized model called the Regionalized Regression Model for Monthly Streamflow in Korean Watersheds. Based on model verification, it is felt that the model can be reliably applied to any proposed station in Korean watersheds to estimate monthly streamflow for the planning, design, and management of water resources development projects, especially those involving irrigation. Modeling processes and properties are summarized as follows; 1. From a simplified equation of water-balance on a watershed a regression model for monthly streamflow using the variables of rainfall, pan evaporation, and previous-month streamflow was formulated. 2. The hydrologic response of a watershed was represented lumpedly, qualitatively, and deductively using the regression coefficients of the water-balance regression model. 3. Regionalization was carried out to classify 33 watersheds on the basis of similarity through cluster analysis and resulted in 4 regional groups. 4. Prediction equations for the regional coefficients were derived from the stepwise regression analysis of watershed characteristics. It was also possible to explain geographic influences on streamflow through those prediction equations. 5. A model requiring the simple input of the data for rainfall, pan evaporation, and geographic factors was developed to estimate monthly streamflow at ungaged stations. The results of evaluating the performance of the model generally satisfactory.

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