• 제목/요약/키워드: interval estimate

검색결과 578건 처리시간 0.029초

부교감신경의 자극에서 나타나는 PR구간의 변동량에 대한 혼돈 분석 (CHAOTIC ANALYSIS OF PR INTERVAL VARIABILITY IN PARASYMPATHETIC STIMULATION)

  • 이종민;박광석;염명걸
    • 대한의용생체공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한의용생체공학회 1995년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.205-208
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    • 1995
  • Analysis of Heart Rate Variability has been studied to estimate autonomic nervous system. PR interval represents conduction time from atrium to ventricle. PR interval variability(PRV) is also can be used to estimate autonomic nervous system. We have acquired two-state ECGs of children who are before vagal stimulation and after vagal stimulation. We applied chaotic theory to each ECG in order to analyze PRV, and compared the results from frequency domain analysis. The correlation dimension of PRV of pre-stimulated children is higher than that of post-stimulated children.

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붓스트랩 기법을 이용한 환율의 장단기 신뢰구간 예측 (Confidence interval forecast of exchange rate based on bootstrap method)

  • 권오진;김태윤;송규문
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제21권3호
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    • pp.493-502
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    • 2010
  • 환율의 신뢰구간을 예측하기 위해 가장 중요한 요인은 분포의 추정이다. 그러나 시계열 자료의 분포를 추정하는 것은 많은 어려움이 따른다. 본 연구에서는 변동률 합의 분포를 비모수기법 중의 하나인 블록화 붓스트랩 방법을 사용하여 추정한다. 따라서 좀 더 쉽고 정확한 환율의 장단기 신뢰구간 예측 모형을 제시한다.

정량적 위험도 분석을 이용한 복선철도터널에서의 적정 대피통로 간격 산정을 위한 연구 (A Study of Proper Escape way interval by QRA on Single bored double track tunnel)

  • 노병국;이호석;송명규;추석연
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국철도학회 2007년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.371-376
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    • 2007
  • This paper describes a study to determine proper escape way interval for the design phase of single bored double track tunnel. Among many methods which determine escape way interval, we choose a QRA(Quantitative Risk Analysis) method. But a different method must be chosen differ from other country because of special design situation of Korea. So, it is necessary to develop a method which considers a special design condition of Korea. Because fire accidents of railway tunnel are a rare event, simulated situation can be produced by CFD simulation and evacuation analysis simulation. However, it is generally difficult to estimate of fatalities from these methods, so a concept of FED is introduced to estimate of fatalities. Quantification process provides effective results for practical design stage and the result were employed in design.

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부품의 고장자료를 이용하여 직병렬 시스템의 신뢰도를 추정하는 방법 (Reliability Estimation of Series-Parallel Systems Using Component Failure Data)

  • 김경미
    • 산업공학
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.214-222
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    • 2009
  • In the early design stage, system reliability must be estimated from life testing data at the component level. Previously, a point estimate of system reliability was obtained from the unbiased estimate of the component reliability after assuming that the number of failed components for a given time followed a binomial distribution. For deriving the confidence interval of system reliability, either the lognormal distribution or the normal approximation of the binomial distribution was assumed for the estimator of system reliability. In this paper, a new estimator is used for the component level reliability, which is biased but has a smaller mean square error than the previous one. We propose to use the beta distribution rather than the lognormal or approximated normal distribution for developing the confidence interval of the system reliability. A numerical example based on Monte Carlo simulation illustrates advantages of the proposed approach over the previous approach.

ESTIMATION OF RHYTHMIC VARIATIONS IN R-R INTERVAL DURING SLEEP

  • Han, J.M.;Lee, J.M.;Nam, Y.H.;Park, H.J.;Park, K.S.;Jeong, Do-Un
    • 대한의용생체공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한의용생체공학회 1998년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.195-196
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    • 1998
  • Nonlinear energy operator(NEO) is usually used to estimate energy content of linear oscillator. We applied the modified nonlinear energy operator (MNEO) to detect R-peak of ECG and analyzed variation of R-R interval during sleep with nonlinear methods, piecewise correlation dimension and approximate entropy (ApEn) which estimate complexity of time series. ApEn applied to R-R interval reveals trends as sleep state changes.

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비모수적 커널교정과 구간추정 (Nonparametric kernel calibration and interval estimation)

  • 이재창;전명식;김대학
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.227-235
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    • 1993
  • 순서쌍으로 주어진 자료 $(x_i, y_i), i=1,2,\cdots,n$ 들에 대한 독립변수와 관련된 추정은 회귀분석과는 달리 교정(calibration)이라고 불리워진다. 본 논문에서는 정규상 등과 같은 가정을 하지않고 비모수적인 커널방법을 이용하여 교정함수를 추정하고 추정된 교정함수의 붓스트랩 신뢰대를 이용한 독립변수의 구간추정을 제안하고자 한다. 교정과 커널방법에 대해 설명하였으며 독립변수의 추정에 대한 문헌적 고찰과 함께 붓스트랩 신뢰대에 대하여 첨언하였고 실제 자료를 통하여 다른방법과 비교, 분석하였다.

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On the Interval Estimation of the Difference between Independent Proportions with Rare Events

  • im, Yongdai;Choi, Daewoo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.481-487
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    • 2000
  • When we construct an interval estimate of two independent proportions with rare events, the standard approach based on the normal approximation behaves badly in many cases. The problem becomes more severe when no success observations are observed on both groups. In this paper, we compare two alternative methods of constructing a confidence interval of the difference of two independent proportions by use of simulation. One is based on the profile likelihood and the other is the Bayesian probability interval. It is shown in this paper that the Bayesian interval estimator is easy to be implemented and performs almost identical to the best frequentist's method -the profile likelihood approach.

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자동차와 자전거 간 추월 최소요구 이격거리 추정 방법론 연구 (Methodology to estimate minimum required separation distance between vehicle and bicycle when overtaking)

  • 전우훈;이영인;양인철;이향미
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제19권6호
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    • pp.191-199
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    • 2017
  • PURPOSES : The objective of this study is to develop a methodology to estimate the minimum required separation distance (MRSD) between a vehicle and a bicycle when overtaking. METHODS : Three steps have been conducted to develop a methodology to estimate MSRD. First, a literature review has been conducted on the measurement of MSRD, and how it may be applied in Korea. Second, two assumptions have been made to develop a methodology to estimate the MSRD. The first assumption is that the maximum separation distance between a vehicle and a bicycle can be observed when they are at the same location longitudinally. In addition, it is assumed that the separation distance is invalid when the contra-flow exists. Finally, three cameras were installed at a height of 10 m to record the vehicle-bicycle interaction. Moreover, the vehicle trajectories as well as the separation distance were coded and analyzed. Through the hypothesis test and the interval estimation, the sample mean was tested and the confidence interval was estimated. RESULTS : 141 records of separation distance data were collected, and the hypothesis test demonstrated that the MSRD in Korea is significantly higher than other countries. In addition, the confidence interval of the population mean of MSRD is from 1.51 m to 1.65 m with 95% level of confidence. CONCLUSIONS : It is expected that the proposed methodology to estimate MSRD would be beneficial in studying road safety of vehicles and bicycles. Also, the proposed MSRD is expected to be designated in the act of road and transportation.

자동차 운전석의 온열환경 쾌적성 평가를 위한 지표개발 (Development of the Index to Estimate Thermal Comfort in the Driving Room of Motorcar)

  • 최성주;박근상
    • 대한인간공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한인간공학회 1998년도 춘계학술대회논문집
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    • pp.188-193
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    • 1998
  • The purpose of the study is to develop a numerical model based on experimental data to estimate the thermal comfort in the driving room of a motorcar. For the ecperiments, three air temperature level of 21, 23, 25 .deg. C are set to measure variable such as average skin temperature, R-R interval, the comfort sensation, and the performance level. By performing statistical analysis with the results obtainted, it is observed that two physiological factors-average skin temperature and R-R interval have significant relation with the thermal comfort in the driving room. Thus, those two factors are included as parameters in the proposed model to estimate the thermal comfort.

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Parameters Estimators for the Generalized Exponential Distribution

  • Abuammoh, A.;Sarhan, A.M.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.17-25
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    • 2007
  • Maximum likelihood method is utilized to estimate the two parameters of generalized exponential distribution based on grouped and censored data. This method does not give closed form for the estimates, thus numerical procedure is used. Reliability measures for the generalized exponential distribution are calculated. Testing the goodness of fit for the exponential distribution against the generalized exponential distribution is discussed. Relevant reliability measures of the generalized exponential distributions are also evaluated. A set of real data is employed to illustrate the results given in this paper.

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