• Title/Summary/Keyword: intensity of rainfall

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LandScient_EWS: Real-Time Monitoring of Rainfall Thresholds for Landslide Early Warning - A Case Study in the Colombian Andes

  • Roberto J. Marin;Julian Camilo Marin-Sanchez
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.173-191
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    • 2024
  • Landslides pose significant threats to many countries globally, yet the development and implementation of effective landslide early warning systems (LEWS) remain challenging due to multifaceted complexities spanning scientific, technological, and political domains. Addressing these challenges demands a holistic approach. Technologically, integrating thresholds, such as rainfall thresholds, with real-time data within accessible, open-source software stands as a promising solution for LEWS. This article introduces LandScient_EWS, a PHP-based program tailored to address this need. The software facilitates the comparison of real-time measured data, such as rainfall, with predefined landslide thresholds, enabling precise calculations and graphical representation of real-time landslide advisory levels across diverse spatial scales, including regional, basin, and hillslope levels. To illustrate its efficacy, the program was applied to a case study in Medellin, Colombia, where a rainfall event on August 26, 2008, triggered a shallow landslide. Through pre-defined rainfall intensity and duration thresholds, the software simulated advisory levels during the recorded rainfall event, utilizing data from a rain gauge positioned within a small watershed and a single grid cell (representing a hillslope) within that watershed. By identifying critical conditions that may lead to landslides in real-time scenarios, LandScient_EWS offers a new paradigm for assessing and responding to landslide hazards, thereby improving the efficiency and effectiveness of LEWS. The findings underscore the software's potential to streamline the integration of rainfall thresholds into both existing and future landslide early warning systems.

Estimation of optimal runoff hydrograph using radar rainfall ensemble and blending technique of rainfall-runoff models (레이더 강우 앙상블과 유출 블랜딩 기법을 이용한 최적 유출 수문곡선 산정)

  • Lee, Myungjin;Kang, Narae;Kim, Jongsung;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.3
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    • pp.221-233
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    • 2018
  • Recently, the flood damage by the localized heavy rainfall and typhoon have been frequently occurred due to the climate change. Accurate rainfall forecasting and flood runoff estimates are needed to reduce such damages. However, the uncertainties are involved in guage rainfall, radar rainfall, and the estimated runoff hydrograph from rainfall-runoff models. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to identify the uncertainty of rainfall by generating a probabilistic radar rainfall ensemble and confirm the uncertainties of hydrological models through the analysis of the simulated runoffs from the models. The blending technique is used to estimate a single integrated or an optimal runoff hydrograph by the simulated runoffs from multi rainfall-runoff models. The radar ensemble is underestimated due to the influence of rainfall intensity and topography and the uncertainty of the rainfall ensemble is large. From the study, it will be helpful to estimate and predict the accurate runoff to prepare for the disaster caused by heavy rainfall.

A Study on Development of Computer model for Evaluating the Effective Rainfall on Upland Soil (밭 토양에서의 유효강우량 산정을 위한 전산모델 개발에 관한 연구)

  • 고덕구;정하우
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.63-72
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    • 1982
  • To maintain an optimum condition for the plant growth on upland soil, the irrigation planning after the natural rainfall should be given enormous considerations on the rainfall effectiveness. This study has been intended to develop the computer model for estimating the effec- tiveness of the rainfall. The computer model should also estimated the infiltration due to the rainfall and the soil moisture deficiency at the root zone of the plant. For this purpose, the experiments of infiltration using rainfall simulator and the observations of the change of soil moisture content before and after rainfall were carried out. Needed input data for the developed model include final infiltration capacity and field capacity of the soil, porosity of the top soil, root depth of the plant, rainfall intensity and duration, and the Horton's decay coefficient. Among the needed input data for the developed model, final infiltration capacity and Horton's decay coefficient were determined by the experiments of infiltration. And from the result of the experiments, it is found that there is a great correlation between initial infiltration capacity and initial moisture content. And it is also found that the infiltration due to rainfall can be estimated with the Horton's equation. The developed model was tested by the experimental data with two rainfall intensities. Tests were conducted on the different root depths at each rainfall. Observed and estimated effective rainfalls were found to have great correlation. The result of the experiments showed that the effectiveness of the rainfall were 100%, so the comparisons were conducted by the comsumption rates of infiltration at each depth. The developed model can be also used for estimating the deficiency of rainfall, if the rainfall is not sufficient to the needed soil moisture. But, test was not carried out.

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Analyses of Debris Flow by Heavy Rainfall of Sangnamri of Injegun in 2009 (2009년 집중호우에 의한 인제군 상남리 토석류 현장 분석)

  • Choi, Joon-Sik;Kwak, Cheol-Soo;Yoo, Nam-Jae
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2010.03a
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    • pp.883-890
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    • 2010
  • This study is a research results about flow characteristics of debris flow mobilized from landslides such as initiation, transportation and deposition. As results of slope stability analyses at sites studied, the safety factors in rainy period are decreased drastically in comparisons with those in dry period so that the effect of rainfall on initiation of debris flow is known to be significant. From results of analyzing rainfall data, debris flow occurred as previous rainfall accumulated during 2 weeks was more than 526mm, the maximum rainfall intensity being more than 34mm/hr and the day rainfall being more than 171mm/day. As results of analyzing topology of channel debris flow running, the angle of slope where debris flow initiated was in the range of $36{\sim}39^{\circ}$. For area of channel debris flow being transporting the angle of channel was in the range of $11{\sim}36^{\circ}$. The angle of channel where debris flow started to be deposited was found to be in the range of $5{\sim}10^{\circ}$.

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Applicability of a Space-time Rainfall Downscaling Algorithm Based on Multifractal Framework in Modeling Heavy Rainfall Events in Korean Peninsula (강우의 시공간적 멀티프랙탈 특성에 기반을 둔 강우다운스케일링 기법의 한반도 호우사상에 대한 적용성 평가)

  • Lee, Dongryul;Lee, Jinsoo;Kim, Dongkyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.47 no.9
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    • pp.839-852
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    • 2014
  • This study analyzed the applicability of a rainfall downscaling algorithm in space-time multifractal framework (RDSTMF) in Korean Peninsula. To achieve this purpose, the 8 heavy rainfall events that occurred in Korea during the period between 2008 and 2012 were analyzed using the radar rainfall imagery. The result of the analysis indicated that there is a strong tendency of the multifractality for all 8 heavy rainfall events. Based on the multifractal exponents obtained from the analysis, the parameters of the RDSTMF were obtained and the relationship between the average intensity of the rainfall events and the parameters of the RDSTMF was developed. Based on this relationship, the synthetic space-time rainfall fields were generated using the RDSTMF. Then, the generated synthetic space-time rainfall fields were compared to the observation. The result of the comparison indicated that the RDSTMF can accurately reproduce the multifractal exponents of the observed rainfall field up to 3rd order and the cumulative density function of the observed space-time rainfall field with a reasoable accuracy.

Outlook for Temporal Variation of Trend Embedded in Extreme Rainfall Time Series (극치강우자료의 경향성에 대한 시간적 변동 전망)

  • Seo, Lynn;Choi, Min-Ha;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.13-23
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    • 2010
  • According to recent researches on climate change, the global warming is obvious to increase rainfall intensity. Damage caused by extreme hydrologic events due to global change is steadily getting bigger and bigger. Recently, frequently occurring heavy rainfalls surely affect the trend of rainfall observations. Probability precipitation estimation method used in designing and planning hydrological resources assumes that rainfall data is stationary. The stationary probability precipitation estimation method could be very weak to abnormal rainfalls occurred by climate change, because stationary probability precipitation estimation method cannot reflect increasing trend of rainfall intensity. This study analyzed temporal variation of trend in rainfall time series at 51 stations which are not significant for statistical trend tests. After modeling rainfall time series with maintaining observed statistical characteristics, this study also estimated whether rainfall data is significant for the statistical trend test in near future. It was found that 13 stations among sample stations will have trend within 10 years. The results indicate that non-stationary probability precipitation estimation method must be applied to sufficiently consider increase trend of rainfall.

Numerical Case Study of Heavy Rainfall Occurred in the Central Korean Peninsula on July 26-28, 1996

  • Kim, Young-Ah;Oh, Jai-Ho
    • International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics Korean Journal of Geophysical Research
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.15-29
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    • 1998
  • The numerical simulation of heavy precipitation event occurred in the central Korean Peninsula on July 26-28, 1996 was performed using the fine mesh model. ARPS (Advanced Regional Prediction System) developed by the CAPS (Center for Analysis and Prediction of Storms). Usually, the heavy rainfalls occurred at late July in the Korean Peninsula were difficult to predict, and showed very strong rainfall intensity. As results, they caused a great loss of life and property. As it usual, this case was unsuccessful to predict the location of rain band and the precipitation intensity with the coarse-mesh model. The same case was, however, simulated well with fine-mesh storm-scale model, ARPS. Moisture band at 850 hPa appeared along the Changma Front in the area of China through central Korea passed Yellow Sea. Also the low-level jet at 700 hPa existed in the Yellow Sea through central Korea and they together offered favorable condition to induce heavy rainfall in that area. The convective activities developed to a meso-scale convective system were observed at near the Yangtze River and moved to the central Korean Peninsula. Furthermore, the intrusion of warm and moist air, origninated from typhoon, into the Asia Continent might result in heavy rainfall formation through redistribution of moisture and heat. In the vertical circulation, the heavy rainfall was formed between the upper- and low-level jets, especially, the entrance region of the upper-level jet above the exit the region of the low-level jet. The low level convergence, the upper level divergence and the strong vertical wind were organized to the very north of the low level jet and concentrated on tens to hundreds km horizontal distance. These result represent the upper- and low-level jets are one of the most important reasons on the formation of heavy precipitation.

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A Selection of the Point Rainfall Process Model Considered on Temporal Clustering Characteristics (시간적 군집특성을 고려한 강우모의모형의 선정)

  • Kim, Kee-Wook;Yoo, Chul-Sang
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.41 no.7
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    • pp.747-759
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    • 2008
  • This study, a point rainfall process model, which could represent appropriately observed rainfall data, was to select. The point process models-rectangular pulses Poisson process model(RPPM), Neyman-Scott rectangular pulses Poisson process model(NS-RPPM), and modified Neyman-Scott rectangular pulses Poisson process model(modified NS-RPPM)-all based on Poisson process were considered as possible rainfall models, whose statistical analyses were performed with their simulation rainfall data. As results, simulated rainfall data using the NS-RPPM and the modified NS-RPPM represent appropriately statistics of observed data for several aggregation levels. Also, simulated rainfall data using the modified NS-RPPM shows similar characteristics of rainfall occurrence to the observed rainfall data. Especially, the modified NS-RPPM reproduces high-intensity rainfall events that contribute largely to occurrence of natural harzard such as flood and landslides most similarly. Also, the modified NS-RPPM shows the best results with respect to the total rainfall amount, duration, and inter-event time. In conclusions, the modified NS-RPPM was found to be the most appropriate model for the long-term simulation of rainfall.

Development of Auto-Empting Type Weighing Precipitation Gauge and Performance Test on Rainfall Measurement (자동배수형 무게식 강수량계 개발 및 강우량 측정 성능검사)

  • Kim, Sang-Jo;Son, Top
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.279-285
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    • 2012
  • The weighing precipitation gauge with auto-empting capability was developed in the R&D project organized by the Research Agency for Climate Science (RACS) and supported by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). This project was initiated in line with the KMA's plan executed since 2010 to introduce the weighing precipitation gauges partly into of their Automatic Weather Station (AWS) network in order to upgrade the quality of precipitation data. The innovative feature of this research is that the auto-empting in weighing precipitation gauge is realized by abrupt rotation of receiving container. The prototype was tested in compliance with the relevant standards of KMA. The results of performance test on rainfall measurement in laboratory verified that the accuracies for 20 mm and 100 mm reference rainfall amount were 0.1 mm and 0.4 mm, respectively in both conditions of auto-empting and no-empting. During the rotation of container for auto-empting, the data was extrapolated smoothly by applying the same precipitation intensity of the previous 10 sec. Consequently, it was found that the auto-empting precipitation gauge developed in this research is quite enough to be used for the operational purpose of accurate measurement with 0.1 mm resolution, regardless of the precipitation intensity.

Analysis of Hydrological Factor for Permeable Pavement by using Soil Tank Experiment (토조실험에 의한 투수성 포장재의 수문학적 요소 분석)

  • Jun, Sang-Mi;Lee, Jung-Min;Park, Jae-Hyeoun;Lee, Sang-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.181-192
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    • 2009
  • In this study, the hydrological properties of permeable pavement were analyzed by the experiment and the numerical simulation. The numerical model used was a modified SWMM especially for considering the hydrological response of permeable pavement. The parameters of modified SWMM were revised by the experimental results, and then the practicability was evaluated through the comparison of the experimental and numerical simulation results. In the experiments, three different rainfall intensities such as 65 mm/hr, 90 mm/hr, 95 mm/hr were supplied for 4 hrs, and the hydraulic properties including surface outflow, subsurface outflow, ground water level, soil water contents were measured for 10 hrs. The results showed rainfall intensity effected directly on surface outflow volume and subsurface outflow volume was more effected by ground water level than rainfall intensity. The ground water level and the soil water contents were under estimated as compared with the experimental data except the portion of occurring direct runoff. The surface and subsurface outflow discharge were simulated very well in comparison with the experimental data. Consequently, the modified SWMM could be used very effectively to evaluate the hydrological property of permeable pavement.