• Title/Summary/Keyword: intensity estimation

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A study on the forecasting biomass according to the changes in fishing intensity in the Korean waters of the East Sea (한국 동해 생태계의 어획강도 변화에 따른 자원량 예측 연구)

  • LIM, Jung-Hyun;SEO, Young-Il;ZHANG, Chang-Ik
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.54 no.3
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    • pp.217-223
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    • 2018
  • Overfishing capacity has become a global issue due to over-exploitation of fisheries resources, which result from excessive fishing intensity since the 1980s. In the case of Korea, the fishing effort has been quantified and used as an quantified index of fishing intensity. Fisheries resources of coastal fisheries in the Korean waters of the East Sea tend to decrease productivity due to deterioration in the quality of ecosystem, which result from the excessive overfishing activities according to the development of fishing gear and engine performance of vessels. In order to manage sustainable and reasonable fisheries resources, it is important to understand the fluctuation of biomass and predict the future biomass. Therefore, in this study, we forecasted biomass in the Korean waters of the East Sea for the next two decades (2017~2036) according to the changes in fishing intensity using four fishing effort scenarios; $f_{current}$, $f_{PY}$, $0.5{\times}f_{current}$ and $1.5{\times}f_{current}$. For forecasting biomass in the Korean waters of the East Sea, parameters such as exploitable carrying capacity (ECC), intrinsic rate of natural increase (r) and catchability (q) estimated by maximum entropy (ME) model was utilized and logistic function was used. In addition, coefficient of variation (CV) by the Jackknife re-sampling method was used for estimation of coefficient of variation about exploitable carrying capacity ($CV_{ECC}$). As a result, future biomass can be fluctuated below the $B_{PY}$ level when the current level of fishing effort in 2016 maintains. The results of this study are expected to be utilized as useful data to suggest direction of establishment of fisheries resources management plan for sustainable use of fisheries resources in the future.

Estimation of nursing cost for selected special nursing services;operative nursing, emergency nursing, and ambulatory nursing (임상특수분야 간호원가 산정;응급실, 수술실, 외래를 중심으로)

  • Park, Jung-Ho;Sung, Young-Hee;Kim, Eul-Soon;Park, Kwang-Ok;Park, Jung-Sook;Sung, Il-Soon;Song, Mi-Sook;Cho, Moon-Soo
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing Administration
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.309-321
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    • 2002
  • Purpose: A cost analysis for nursing services in operative nursing unit, emergency nursing unit, and ambulatory nursing unit was performed using patient classification system by nursing intensity in order to determine an appropriate nursing fee schedule. Method: The data were collected from 4 secondary hospitals and 5 tertiary hospitals from November 14th 2000 to January 15th 2001. The study was conducted through four phases as follows: 1) Nursing hours of each nursing service in special nursing units were measured using three kinds of patient classification systems by nursing intensity. 2) The nursing cost of nursing services in operative nursing unit, emergency nursing unit, and ambulatory nursing units was estimated based on patient classification system by nursing intensity. Results: As a result, nursing hours by nursing intensity of each special nursing unit were measured, and every nursing cost by nursing intensity in operation room and emergency room was estimated, meanwhile, the cost of nursing services in ambulatory care units was estimated only per visit as shown in chapter 4. Conclusion: Future research on nursing cost should be extended to other special nursing units such as various intensive nursing care units, delivery room, and so on. In addition, the patient classification system should be refined for its appropriateness to apply all levels of medical institutions.

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Seismic Fragility Analysis of a RC Bridge Including Earthquake Intensity Range (지진강도 범위를 고려한 철근콘크리트 교량의 지진취약도 해석)

  • Lee, Do Hyung;Jeong, Hyeon Do;Kim, Byeong Hwa
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.38 no.5
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    • pp.635-643
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    • 2018
  • In the present study, influence of earthquake intensity range on seismic fragility analysis of a RC bridge has been evaluated. For this purpose, a RC bridge damaged by a past earthquake has been selected, and analytical model of the bridge has been developed for nonlinear dynamic time-history analysis. A total of 25 recorded earthquake motions have been employed for the nonlinear analysis from which maximum lateral drift ratio of piers are obtained. Then, seismic fragility analysis has been conducted for the bridge using the nonlinear analysis results. Probability of exceeding damage has been computed in terms of using the maximum likelihood estimation, and effect of earthquake intensity range of the motions on seismic fragility curves has been assessed analytically. Analytical predictions indicate that the earthquake intensity range is of utmost significance for rationale seismic fragility analysis reflecting a physical damage state of a bridge and seismic performance evaluation of such bridge.

Intensity estimation with log-linear Poisson model on linear networks

  • Idris Demirsoy;Fred W. Hufferb
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.95-107
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: The statistical analysis of point processes on linear networks is a recent area of research that studies processes of events happening randomly in space (or space-time) but with locations limited to reside on a linear network. For example, traffic accidents happen at random places that are limited to lying on a network of streets. This paper applies techniques developed for point processes on linear networks and the tools available in the R-package spatstat to estimate the intensity of traffic accidents in Leon County, Florida. Methods: The intensity of accidents on the linear network of streets is estimated using log-linear Poisson models which incorporate cubic basis spline (B-spline) terms which are functions of the x and y coordinates. The splines used equally-spaced knots. Ten different models are fit to the data using a variety of covariates. The models are compared with each other using an analysis of deviance for nested models. Results: We found all covariates contributed significantly to the model. AIC and BIC were used to select 9 as the number of knots. Additionally, covariates have different effects such as increasing the speed limit would decrease traffic accident intensity by 0.9794 but increasing the number of lanes would result in an increase in the intensity of traffic accidents by 1.086. Conclusion: Our analysis shows that if other conditions are held fixed, the number of accidents actually decreases on roads with higher speed limits. The software we currently use allows our models to contain only spatial covariates and does not permit the use of temporal or space-time covariates. We would like to extend our models to include such covariates which would allow us to include weather conditions or the presence of special events (football games or concerts) as covariates.

Spectral Weighted-Sum-of-Gray-Gases Modeling of Narrow Band for Prediction of Radiative Heat Transfer Induced from Liquid Engine Plume (액체 엔진 플룸 복사 열전달 예측을 위한 파장별 회체가스 중합법의 좁은밴드 적용)

  • Ko, Ju-Yong;kim, In-Sun
    • Aerospace Engineering and Technology
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.17-25
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    • 2009
  • The precise calculation of gas absorption coefficient in the radiative transfer equation is very important to the prediction of radiative heat transfer induced from liquid engine plume in view of base insulation design. For this purpose, the WNB model for gas absorption coefficient is described with the selection of important parameters and then the calculated results are compared with those of SNB model for validation. Total emissivity, narrow band averaged intensity and total intensity are calculated and compared to the results of SNB model. As results, the total emissivity and the total intensity are well matched within 3.1% and roughly 5 % error, respectively. Moreover, the gas modeling database is constructed with estimation of the combustion gas composition of $CO_2$ and $H_2O$ for liquid engine plume.

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Estimation of Elastic Fracture Mechanics Parameters for Slanted Axial Through-Wall Cracks for Leak-Before-Break and Crack Growth Analysis (파단전누설 해석 및 균열거동 평가를 위한 축방향 경사관통균열의 탄성 응력확대계수 및 균열열림변위)

  • Huh, Nam-Su;Shim, Do-Jun;Choi, Suhn;Park, Keun-Bae
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.725-726
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    • 2008
  • This paper proposes elastic stress intensity factors and crack opening displacements (CODs) for a slanted axial through-wall cracked cylinder under an internal pressure based on detailed 3-dimensional (3-D) elastic finite element (FE) analyses. Based on the elastic FE results, the stress intensity factors along the crack front and CODs through the thickness at the center of the crack were provided. These values were also tabulated for three selected points, i.e., the inner and outer surfaces and at the mid-thickness. The present results can be used to evaluate the crack growth rate and leak rate of a slanted axial through-wall crack due to stress corrosion cracking and fatigue. Moreover, the present results can be used to perform a detailed Leak-Before-Break analysis considering more realistic crack shape development.

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Fracture mechanical evaluation of fatigue strength of a single spot welded lap joint under tension-shear load (인장-전단하중을 받는 일점 Spot용접재의 파괴역학적 피로강도 평가)

  • 배동호
    • Journal of the korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.42-50
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    • 1991
  • According as the members and inner and outer plates of the automobile body structure have been thinned their thickness and have become high strength, each part of the body structure has been put more severe stress condition. Therefore, it has been increasingly required to improve the fatigue strength of the spot welded structures. As one of the improving methods for such problem, the author had previously proposed the method of alleviating stress concentration at nugget edge of the spot weld part and improving its fatigue strength [1]. But, because fatigue strength of the spot welded lap joint is influenced by its geometrical and mechanical factors, welding condition and etc., there needs a quantitative and systematic estimation method of them. In this report, by considering nugget edge of the spot weld part of the spot welded lap joint subjected to tensile load to the ligament crack, fatigue strength of various spot welded lap joints was estimated with the stress intensity factor (S.I.F.) K which is fracture mechanical parameter. It is known that evaluation of fatigue strength of the spot welded lap joint by the stress intensity factor (S.I.F.) K is more effective than the maximum stress $(\sigma_{ymax}$) at edge of the spot weld part on the center line of width of the plate.

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Prediction of Spatial Heat Release Rate of Combustion Chamber by Radicals-PLIF (라디칼 PLIF계측을 이용한 연소실의 공간적 열발생율 예측)

  • Choi, G.M.
    • Journal of ILASS-Korea
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.9-16
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    • 2003
  • The Purpose of this study is to investigate the relationships between the local heat release rate and CH concentration have been investigated by numerical simulations of methane-air premixed flames. And simultaneous CH and OH PLIF(Planar Laser Induced Fluorescence) measurement has been also conducted for lean premixed flame as well as for laminar flames. Numerical simulations are conducted for laminar premixed flames and turbulent ones by using PREMIX in CHEMKIN and two dimensional DNS code with GRI mechanism version 2.11, respectively. In the case of laminar premixed flame, the distance between the peak of heat release rate and that of CH concentration is under $91{\mu}m$ for all equivalence ratio calculated in present work. Even for the premixed flame in high intensity turbulence, the distribution of the heat release rate coincides with that of CH mole fraction. For CH PLIF measurements in the laminar premixed flame burner, CH fluorescence intensity as a function of equivalence ratio shows a similar trend with CH mole fraction computed by GRI mechanism. Simultaneous CH and OH PLIF measurement gave us useful information of instantaneous reaction zone. In addition, CH fluorescence can be measured even for lean conditions where CH mole fraction significantly decreases compared with that of stoichiometric condition. It was found that CH PLIF measurements can be applicable to the estimation of the spatial fluctuations of heat release rate in the engine combustion.

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A progressive study of the sausage mode wave on the pore: the pore-selection technique

  • Cho, Il-Hyun;Kim, Yeon-Han;Cho, Kyung-Suk;Bong, Su-Chan;Park, Young-Deuk
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.66.2-66.2
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    • 2013
  • In this study, we present a pore-selection technique to estimate the size of pore. The estimation of the size of pore is important to examine the temporal evolution of size itself and corresponding intensity. The size of pore is typically estimated by applying the intensity threshold technique to the fixed box which contains the entire pore. The typical method has disadvantages in the following circumstances; there are small features near the pore or the image has low spatial resolution. In the former, it is difficult to define a box containing the pore only, excluding the small features near the pore. In the latter, the background and threshold intensity are insignificant due to the insufficient number of pixel in the box. To avoid these difficulties, we use a pore-selection technique which is simply based on the measurement of distances from the pore center. In addition, we will discuss the advantage of the technique for the imaging spectrograph data like the NST FISS.

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Fatigue Life Estimation of Cruciform Welded Joint Considering Interaction, Coalescence and Growth of Multi-crack (다균열 간섭, 합체, 성장이론을 고려한 십자형 필렛용접 이음부의 피로균열진전수명 평가)

  • Han, Jeong-Woo;Han, Seung-Ho;Shin, Byung-Cheon;Rim, Jeon;Jim, Jae-Hoon
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2004.04a
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    • pp.120-125
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    • 2004
  • Fatigue life of welded joints are governed by the propagation of multiple collinear surface cracks distributed randomly along weld bead. These cracks propagate in mutual interaction and coalescence of them. To estimate the fatigue life, the influences of above two mechanisms on the fatigue life should be taken into account. These two mechanisms appear through the stress intensity factors disturbed mutually. However, it is difficult to calculate the stress intensity factors of multiple surface cracks located in vicinity of weld toe. The stress intensity factors are calculated normally by using the Mk-factors, but such Mk-factors are very rare in literature. In this study, the Mk-factors were obtained from a parametric study on crack length and depth, in which a finite element method is used. A fatigue test for a cruciform welded joint was conducted. The fatigue life of the tested specimen was estimated through present method with the informations obtained from the test, e.g. the number, size and locations of the cracks. The estimated and measured fatigue life showed a good agreement.

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