• 제목/요약/키워드: integrated risk

검색결과 797건 처리시간 0.027초

BIM 기반의 프로젝트 단계별 리스크관리 모델에 관한 연구 (A Study on BIM based Process Risk Management Model)

  • 전승호;최명석;이주호
    • 한국재난관리표준학회지
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.61-66
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    • 2010
  • 최근 대두되고 있는 BIM 기술은 다양한 강점을 가지고 있다. 하지만 BIM을 단순히 3차원 모델로 생각하는 오해와, BIM 적용에 대한 체계적인 분석 및 시스템화의 부족으로 인해 BIM의 건설산업 도입은 어려움을 가지고 있다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 BIM 기반의 건설프로젝트에서의 리스크 관리를 목적으로 하여 그 적용 범위에 대한 체계적인 분석을 통하여 최적화된 BIM 기반의 프로젝트 단계별 리스크관리 모델을 제시하고자 한다.

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사업위험 분석과 기능점수를 통한 사업원가 산정 및 정보시스템 감리점검모델 연구 (A Study of the Integrated Cost Audit Model for the efficiency of IT project risk management with risk analyzing and using the function point in the IT project risk)

  • 윤승정;한기준;김동수
    • 한국IT서비스학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국IT서비스학회 2009년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.176-180
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    • 2009
  • 현재 우리나라 SI(Service Integration)에서 사업발주자 및 수행자는 소프트웨어사업 대가산정에 많은 어려움을 겪고 있다. 사업발주자는 관례적인 사업비 산정으로 일관하고, 사업수행자는 근거없이 받아들이는 것이 현실이다. 또한 감리 수행 시 사업비산정근거를 점검할 체계를 갖추지 못하고 있다. 이로 인해, 비용관리 위험 및 파생위험들을 초래할 수 있다. 이에, 사업비 산정과 위험에 대한 구체적인 인식과 연구가 필요하다.

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확률적 방법을 이용한 전력계통의 상정사고 순위 결정 (Determining Contingency Ranking Using the Probabilistic Method of the Power System)

  • 김경영;이승혁;김진오;김태균
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2003년도 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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    • pp.113-115
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    • 2003
  • The electric power industry throughout the world is undergoing considerable changes from the vertically integrated utility structure to the deregulated market. However, the deregulated electricity market is operated with respect to theory of economical efficiency, and therefore, the system operator requires data with fast contingency ranking for security of the bulk power system. This paper presents fast calculation method for determining contingency ranking using the weather dependant probabilistic risk index(PRI). The probabilistic risk index can be classified into normal weather and adverse weather. This paper proposes calculation method using the probabilistic risk index in determining contingency ranking requiring for security under the deregulated electricity market.

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문화유산 보존을 위한 국제원칙의 경향과 특성 - 보존대상, 보존쟁점, 보존방식의 변화를 중심으로 - (Transition and characteristics of International Conservation Standards for Cultural Heritage - with focus on conservation targets, issues and approach -)

  • 이화연;박소현
    • 대한건축학회논문집:계획계
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    • 제34권3호
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    • pp.73-84
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the contents of the cultural heritage conservation standards those have been developed throughout the century to reveal the evolution of the conservation. The analysis targets are prepared principles in response to the risks posed by armed conflicts, improper modifications, risks caused by urban planning and development, and the risk posed by environmental impacts. The study analyzed how conservation targets, issues, and conservation methods have changed. The analysis showed that the results of changed trend of conservation, first, the segmentation and diversification of the conservation targets, second, the integrated approaches, third, risk perception changes due to indirect effects from direct risk factors, forth, changes of conservation from safeguard to sustainable development.

데이터베이스를 이용한 산업시설의 위험성평가시스템 구축에 관한 연구 (A Study on Development of Risk Assessment System for Industry Facilities Using DataBase)

  • 엄성인;김성빈;김윤화;김기수;백종배;고재욱
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.98-104
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    • 1998
  • Recently, industrial accidents have occurred in various patterns due to the diversity of industries and the integration of facilities. Especially, the major accidents affect broad area and result in huge loss of lives and properties. Domestic researches on techniques for keeping away from such hazardous danger have been actively performed but their activities are limited in some institutes and universities. In advanced countries, integrated management systems like Seveso Directive of EU and OSHA(Occupational Safety and Health Act) of U.S.A. have been legislated along with the systematic research activities. In Korea, the integrated safety management systems called SMS(Safety Management System) and PSM(Process Safety Management) have been applied to major industries. These systems made chemical industries manage the process safety information by collecting and arranging safety data by themselves. In order to implement the system successfully, it is urgently required to prepare a tool for searching and accumulating process safety data systematically. In this study, a computerized prototype of Risk Assessment System which is essential to SMS and PSM was developed as a main system and data base as subsystem to handle safety information.

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인체의 위해성과 수생태계를 고려한 수질환경기준 설정에 관한 연구 (A Study on Water Quality Standard for the Protection of Human Health and Aquatic Life)

  • 이재현;김윤신
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제23권6호
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    • pp.985-992
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    • 2007
  • There are about 40,000 chemicals used in Korea and 300 new types of chemicals are added to the list every year, influencing quality of air, soil and water. Water quality standards that serve as the basis for water quality management have been proved inefficient and insufficient compared to those of advanced countries. This study aims to improve the existing water quality standards. Most importantly, the water quality standards need to take into account not only protection of human health but also aquatic resources. To that end, water quality criteria need to be set by monitoring each watershed every year and conducting risk assessment. Criteria for human health are set at $10^{-6}$ cancer risk level, and for aquatic life at conservative level, adopting the methodology of the U.S. and Australia, respectively. After carrying out technical and economic feasibility studies, more conservative criteria will be used to decide final water quality standards. The development of this system to establish integrated water quality standards for both human health and aquatic resources protection is urgently needed.

An integrated method of flammable cloud size prediction for offshore platforms

  • Zhang, Bin;Zhang, Jinnan;Yu, Jiahang;Wang, Boqiao;Li, Zhuoran;Xia, Yuanchen;Chen, Li
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.321-339
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    • 2021
  • Response Surface Method (RSM) has been widely used for flammable cloud size prediction as it can reduce computational intensity for further Explosion Risk Analysis (ERA) especially during the early design phase of offshore platforms. However, RSM encounters the overfitting problem under very limited simulations. In order to overcome the disadvantage of RSM, Bayesian Regularization Artificial Neural (BRANN)-based model has been recently developed and its robustness and efficiency have been widely verified. However, for ERA during the early design phase, there seems to be room to further reduce the computational intensity while ensuring the model's acceptable accuracy. This study aims to develop an integrated method, namely the combination of Center Composite Design (CCD) method with Bayesian Regularization Artificial Neural Network (BRANN), for flammable cloud size prediction. A case study with constant and transient leakages is conducted to illustrate the feasibility and advantage of this hybrid method. Additionally, the performance of CCD-BRANN is compared with that of RSM. It is concluded that the newly developed hybrid method is more robust and computational efficient for ERAs during early design phase.

Integrated Flood Risk Management through Modelling of Nature Based Solutions

  • Bastola, Shiksha;Kareem, Kola Yusuff;Park, Kiddo;Jung, Younghun
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2022년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.160-160
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    • 2022
  • Floods are the most common natural disasters and are annually causing severe destructions worldwide. Human activities, along with expected increased extreme precipitation patterns as a result of climate change enhance the future potential of floods. There are proven evidence that infrastructure based responses to flood disaster is no longer achieving optimum mitigation and have created a false sense of security. Nature-based solutions(NBS) is a widely accepted sustainable and efficient approach for disaster risk reduction and involves the protection, restoration, or management of natural and semi-natural ecosystems to tackle the climate and natural crisis. Adoption of NBS in decision-making, especially in developing nations is limited due to a lack of sufficient scenario-based studies, research, and technical knowledge. This study explores the knowledge gap and challenges on NBS adoption with case study of developing nation, specially for flood management, by the study of multiple scenario analysis in the context of climate, land-use change, and policies. Identification and quantification of the strength of natural ecosystems for flood resilience and water management can help to prioritize NBS in policymaking leading to sustainable measures for integrated flood management.

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Reclaiming Multifaceted Financial Risk Information from Correlated Cash Flows under Uncertainty

  • Byung-Cheol Kim;Euysup Shim;Seong Jin Kim
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 5th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.602-607
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    • 2013
  • Financial risks associated with capital investments are often measured with different feasibility indicators such as the net present value (NPV), the internal rate of return (IRR), the payback period (PBP), and the benefit-cost ratio (BCR). This paper aims at demonstrating practical applications of probabilistic feasibility analysis techniques for an integrated feasibility evaluation of the IRR and PBP. The IRR and PBP are concurrently analyzed in order to measure the profitability and liquidity, respectively, of a cash flow. The cash flow data of a real wind turbine project is used in the study. The presented approach consists of two phases. First, two newly reported analysis techniques are used to carry out a series of what-if analyses for the IRR and PBP. Second, the relationship between the IRR and PBP is identified using Monte Carlo simulation. The results demonstrate that the integrated feasibility evaluation of stochastic cash flows becomes a more viable option with the aide of newly developed probabilistic analysis techniques. It is also shown that the relationship between the IRR and PBP for the wind turbine project can be used as a predictive model for the actual IRR at the end of the service life based on the actual PBP of the project early in the service life.

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산업단지 VOC 저감 최적가용기법(BAT) 선정을 위한 다매체 거동모델 기반 인체위해성·환경성·경제성 평가 (Human Health Risk, Environmental and Economic Assessment Based on Multimedia Fugacity Model for Determination of Best Available Technology (BAT) for VOC Reduction in Industrial Complex)

  • 김예린;이가희;허성구;남기전;리첸;유창규
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • 제58권3호
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    • pp.325-345
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    • 2020
  • 본 연구에서는 다매체 퓨가시티 모델을 기반으로 Volatile organic compounds (VOCs) 방지기술의 인체위해성·환경성·경제성 평가를 수행하여 석유화학 산업단지 내 VOCs 저감을 위한 최적가용기법(Best available technology, BAT)을 선정하였다. 다매체 퓨가시티 모델을 이용하여 U-city에 소재한 석유화학 산업단지에서 배출되는 VOCs 중 Benzene, Toluene, Ethylbenzene, Xylene (BTEX)의 다매체 거동 특성과 잔류농도 분포를 예측하였다. 매체 통합 인체위해성 평가 및 민감도 분석을 이용해 BTEX의 물질별 인체위해성을 예측하고 주요 영향 변수를 규명하였으며, 다매체 환경시스템 내 잔류농도 기준의 환경성 평가와 비용-편익 경제성 평가를 수행하여 우수환경관리기법군(BAT군)을 선정하였다. BTEX의 다매체 거동 분석 결과, 토양 매체에서 높은 잔류 분포 특성(60%, 61%, 64%, 63%)을 보였으며, Xylene은 모든 다매체 환경에서 가장 높은 잔류성을 보였다. BAT후보군 중에서 흡수법은 가장 높은 인체위해성을 보여 BAT 선정에서 제외하였으며, 민감도 분석 결과 대기 매체에서의 물질 반감기와 경로별 노출계수가 인체위해성과 높은 상관성이 있는 것으로 판단되었다. 환경성 평가와 비용-편익 경제성 평가를 고려하여, 재생 열산화법, 재생 촉매산화법, 바이오 필터법, UV 산화법, 활성탄 흡착법을 석유화학 산업단지 내 VOCs 저감을 위한 BAT군으로 선정하였으며, 본 연구에서 제시한 매체통합적 접근 방식의 BAT 선정 방법론은 사업장에서 오염물질 저감을 위한 최적의 배출시설 선정과 통합환경관리제도 운영에 기여할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.