• 한국신뢰성학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국신뢰성학회 2005년도 학술발표대회 논문집
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• pp.69-73
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• 2005

The failure of geogrids used for soil reinforcement application can be defined as an excessive creep strain which causes the collapse of slopes and embankments. Accordingly, the lifetime is evaluated as a time to reach the excessive creep strain using two accelerated creep testing methods, time-temperature superposition(TTS) and stepped isothermal methods(SIM). TTS is a well-accepted acceleration method to evaluate creep behavior of polymeric materials, while SIM was developed in the last ten years mainly to shorten testing time and minimize the uncertainty associated with inherent variability of multi-specimen tests. The SIM test is usually performed using single rib of geogrids for temperature steps of $14^{\circ}C$ and a dwell time of 10,000 seconds. However, for multi-ribs of geogrids, the applicability of the SIM has not been well established. In this study, the creep behaviors are evaluated using multi-ribs of polyester geogrids using SIM and TTS creep procedures and the newly designed test equipment. Then the lifetime of geogrids are predicted by analyzing the failure times to reach the excessive creep strains through reliability analysis.

• Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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• 제54권1호
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• pp.1-7
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• 2021

The Korean government's strategy to combat coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has focused on non-pharmaceutical interventions, such as social distancing and wearing masks, along with testing, tracing, and treatment; overall, its performance has been relatively good compared to that of many other countries heavily affected by COVID-19. However, little attention has been paid to health equity in measures to control the COVID-19 pandemic. The study aimed to examine the unequal impacts of COVID-19 across socioeconomic groups and to suggest potential solutions to tackle these inequalities. The pathways linking social determinants and health could be entry points to tackle the unequal consequences of this public health emergency. It is crucial for infectious disease policy to consider social determinants of health including poor housing, precarious working conditions, disrupted healthcare services, and suspension of social services. Moreover, the high levels of uncertainty and complexity inherent in this public health emergency, as well as the health and socioeconomic inequalities caused by the pandemic, underscore the need for good governance other than top-down measures by the government. We emphasize that a people-centered perspective is a key approach during the pandemic era. Mutual trust between the state and civil society, strong accountability of the government, and civic participation are essential components of cooperative disaster governance.

• Geomechanics and Engineering
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• 제24권2호
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• pp.167-178
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• 2021

Spatial variability is an inherent uncertainty of soil properties. Current reliability analyses generally incorporate random field theory and Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) when dealing with spatial variability, in which the computational efficiency is a significant challenge. This paper proposes a KL-FORM algorithm to improve the computational efficiency. In the proposed KL-FORM, Karhunen-Loeve (KL) expansion is used for discretizing random fields, and first-order reliability method (FORM) is employed for reliability analysis. The KL expansion and FORM can be used in conjunction, through adopting independent standard normal variables in the discretization of KL expansion as the basic variables in the FORM. To illustrate the effectiveness of this KL-FORM, it is applied to a case study of a strip footing in spatially variable unsaturated soil under rainfall, in which the bearing capacity of the footing is computed by numerical simulation. This case study shows that the KL-FORM is accurate and efficient. The parametric analyses suggest that ignoring the spatial variability of the soil may lead to an underestimation of the reliability index of the footing.

• 한국중재학회지:중재연구
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• 제31권1호
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• pp.3-22
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• 2021

This article examines the Challenge through Annulment of ICSID Arbitral Awards. Either party may request annulment of the award by applying in writing addressed to the ICSID Secretary-General on one or more of the grounds under Article 52 of the ICSID Convention. The annulment proceedings must focus on the award itself. Because committees have no inherent supremacy over the arbitral tribunal, they should not review the tribunal's findings on evidence, damage, interest, and cost findings. Otherwise, the parties would have, in effect, two opportunities, and that will almost certainly weaken the reliability of the entire ICSID system. In short, because of the limited scope of review under ICSID annulment and because annulment is not an opportunity for the parties to re-try the case, committees should not allow new arguments or new evidence. Since an annulment committee is not a court of appeals, it cannot create a new res judicata. Committees can only decide not to annul an award, thus confirming the existing res judicata or annul the award, in which case the affected decision ceases to be res judicata. An obvious annulment decision stipulating which particular findings of the award remain res judicata should prevent any uncertainty in resubmission proceedings.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2020년도 학술발표회
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• pp.114-114
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• 2020

Water contamination in a water distribution network (WDN) is harmful since it directly induces the consumer's health problem and suspends water service in a wide area. Actions need to be taken rapidly to countermeasure a contamination event. A contaminant source ident ification (CSI) is an important initial step to mitigate the harmful event. Here, a CSI approach focused on determining the contaminant intrusion possible location and time (PLoT) is introduced. One of the methods to discover the PLoT is an inverse calculation to connect all the paths leading to the report specification of a sensor. A filtering procedure is then applied to narrow down the PLoT using the results from individual sensors. First, we spatially reduce the suspect intrusion points by locating the highly suspicious nodes that have similar intrusion time. Then, we narrow the possible intrusion time by matching the suspicious intrusion time to the reported information. Finally, a likelihood-score is estimated for each suspect. Another important aspect that needs to be considered in CSI is that there are inherent uncertainties, such as the variations in user demand and inaccuracy of sensor data. The uncertainties can lead to overlooking the real intrusion point and time. To reflect the uncertainties in the CSI process, the Monte-Carlo Simulation (MCS) is conducted to explore the ranges of PLoT. By analyzing all the accumulated scores through the random sets, a spread of contaminant intrusion PLoT can then be identified in the network.

• 한국정보통신학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국정보통신학회 2022년도 추계학술대회
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• pp.532-535
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• 2022

경로 추종 알고리즘은 행성 탐사, 무인 배송, 자율 주행 등의 다양한 모바일 플랫폼에 대하여 많은 연구가 수행되었다. 하지만, 환경에 존재하는 불확실성으로 인해 실제 응용 분야에서 높은 정확도를 보장하기 어렵다. 본 논문에서는 pure pursuit 알고리즘으로 제어되는 모바일 로봇의 경로 추종 성능을 분석함으로써 알고리즘 설계 및 구현에 대한 지침을 도출하는 것을 목표한다. 이를 위해, 전방 주시 거리(look ahead distance)를 설정하고 오류가 있는 액추에이터를 장착할 때, pure pursuit 알고리즘의 추종 정확도를 전산 실험을 통해 평가한다.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제46권4호
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• pp.281-293
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• 2023

This study addresses the optimal design methodology for switching between active electronically scanned array (AESA) radar operating modes to easily select the necessary information to reduce pilots' cognitive load and physical workload in situations where diverse and complex information is continuously provided. This study presents a procedure for defining a hidden Markov chain model (HMM) for modeling operating mode changes based on time series data on the operating modes of the AESA radar used by pilots while performing mission scenarios with inherent uncertainty. Furthermore, based on a transition probability matrix (TPM) of the HMM, this study presents a mathematical programming model for proposing the optimal structural design of AESA radar operating modes considering the manipulation method of a hands on throttle-and-stick (HOTAS). Fighter pilots select and activate the menu key for an AESA radar operation mode by manipulating the HOTAS's rotary and toggle controllers. Therefore, this study presents an optimization problem to propose the optimal structural design of the menu keys so that the pilot can easily change the menu keys to suit the operational environment.

• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 4th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management Organized by the University of New South Wales
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• pp.534-541
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• 2011

Risk evaluation approaches for bidding on international construction projects are typically partitioned into three stages: country selection, project classification, and bid-cost evaluation. However, previous studies are frequently under attack in that they have several crucial limitations: 1) a dearth of studies about country selection risk tailored for the overseas construction market at a corporate level; 2) no consideration of uncertainties for input variable per se; 3) less probabilistic approaches in estimating a range of cost variance; and 4) less inclusion of covariance impacts. This study thus suggests a three-staged risk evaluation model to resolve these inherent problems. In the first stage, a country portfolio model that maximizes the expected construction market growth rate and profit rate while decreasing market uncertainty is formulated using multi-objective genetic analysis. Following this, probabilistic approaches for screening bad projects are suggested through applying various data mining methods such as discriminant logistic regression, neural network, C5.0, and support vector machine. For the last stage, the cost overrun prediction model is simulated for determining a reasonable bid cost, while considering non-parametric distribution, effects of systematic risks, and the firm's specific capability accrued in a given country. Through the three consecutive models, this study verifies that international construction risk can be allocated, reduced, and projected to some degree, thereby contributing to sustaining stable profits and revenues in both the short-term and the long-term perspective.

• 방사선산업학회지
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• 제17권2호
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• pp.209-217
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• 2023

The biosphere has important function in the safety assessment of a radioactive waste disposal facility. A biosphere model in the safety assessment needs various input data that contain significantly inherent uncertainties. This paper reviews the effects of the input data on the radiological impact assessment from main radionuclides such as ¹⁴C and ⁹⁹Tc in the biosphere model. In addition, it is confirmed that the safety criteria is met, when the conservative input data for the intake rate, soil to plant concentration ratio, and distribution coefficients of the radionuclides are applied and probabilistic analysis are conducted in the biosphere model. Nevertheless, it is required to generate site-specific input data for the confidence building and reduce excessive conservatism in the biosphere model.

• 한국산학기술학회논문지
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• 제11권10호
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• pp.3873-3879
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• 2010

서비스 로봇은 사람이 생활하는 환경에서 동작한다. 이런 환경에서는 일반적인 휠베이스 모빌러티(Mobility) 방식의 이동로봇은 동적인 장애물과 정적인 장애물에 둘러싸여 있으므로 로봇의 움직임에 있어 자유로운 주행에 제약을 받게 된다. 이것은 소위 비홀로노믹(Non-Holonomic) 시스템 특성으로 주행 중인 이동로봇은 장애물을 만나면 별도의 조향장치를 사용하거나 차동 휠 구조 로봇의 회전 과정을 수행한 후 이동하고자 하는 방향으로 진행할 수 있다. 이런 장애물을 신속하게 회피하려면 홀로노믹(Holonomic) 시스템 특성이 필요하다. 홀로노믹 시스템은 별다른 회전과정 없이 단순히 좌우로 이동만 하면 된다. 이러한 특성으로 민첩하게 주행할 수 있고 좁은 공간에서 비홀로노믹 로봇보다 효율적이고 자유로운 주행이 가능하다. 그러므로 본 논문에서는 세 개의 옴니휠(Omni-wheels)을 사용한 홀로노믹 이동로봇 시스템을 개발한다. 세 개의 옴니휠을 사용한 이동로봇의 동역학과 모터 비선형 운동방정식을 고려한 정밀한 비선형 동역학 모델을 유도하여 제시한다. 유도된 식을 통해 각각의 모터 속도를 계산하고. 기본 속도제어기로는 PID방식을 사용한다. 그런데, 옴니휠을 이용한 홀로노믹 이동로봇의 추적제어는 정확한 방위각 센싱 데이터와 기준값(Reference Value)을 필요로 한다. 방위각 센싱은 부정확성과 불확실성(Uncertainty)을 갖는다. 부정확성은 센서 시스템의 노이즈와 얼라이어싱(Aliasing)으로 인하여 발생하고, 불확실성은 모바일 로봇의 왜란(Disturbance)과 미끄러짐(Slip)으로 발생한다. 본 논문에서는 퍼지 논리 추론에 의한 퍼지 방위각 추정기(Estimator)를 개발하여 방위각 제어의 새로운 개념을 제시한다. 끝으로, 퍼지 방위각 추정을 이용한 세 개의 전 방향 바퀴 구조의 이동로봇이 실시간으로 제어되는 실험을 통하여 이동로봇 시스템의 성능을 분석한다.