• 제목/요약/키워드: inflation

검색결과 616건 처리시간 0.029초

Does acellular dermal matrix expand in response to tissue expander inflation?

  • Yang, Chae Eun;Park, Kwang Hyun;Lee, Dong Won;Lew, Dae Hyun;Song, Seung Yong
    • Archives of Plastic Surgery
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    • 제46권1호
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    • pp.34-38
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    • 2019
  • Background Acellular dermal matrices (ADMs) have recently become widely used in breast reconstruction, but the correlation between the final expander volume and the surface area of the ADM is not well understood. In this study, the expansion of the surface area of ADM and the expander volume was studied retrospectively in cases of acellular dermis-assisted tissue expander breast reconstruction. Methods Twenty cases of immediate breast reconstruction using an ADM-assisted tissue expander from January 2015 to December 2015 were evaluated. In all 20 cases, CGCryoDerm was used as the matrix, with a thickness of 1-3 mm. No slit incisions were made. Finally, the proportional increase in the area of the fully expanded ADM was compared to that of the tissue expander volume. Results The proportional increase in the ADM surface area was calculated to be from 1.1 to 2.46, with a mean value of 1.7. Additionally, under the assumption that the expander had a spherical shape, the increase in its radius (the cube root of its volume) was assessed. The range of the proportional increase in the expander radius was 1.1 to 2.24, with a mean value of 1.66. The proportional increase in the radius of the expanded ADM surface area ranged from 1.04 to 1.34, with a mean ratio of 1.28. Conclusions The results of this study confirmed that the ADM expanded when the tissue expander was inflated. However, the ADM expanded to a lesser extent than the tissue expander, indicating that the muscle and other tissues expanded more than the ADM when the tissue expander was inflated.

영과잉 회귀모형을 이용한 광고노출분포 추정 (Estimation of Advertising Exposure Distribution by Zero-inflation Regression Models)

  • 이동희
    • Journal of the Korean Data Analysis Society
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    • 제20권6호
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    • pp.2841-2852
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    • 2018
  • 이 논문에서는 광고분야 매체기획에서 필요한 노출분포 추정과 관련하여 영과잉 분포를 이용한 회귀모형 방법에 대해 살펴보고자 한다. 노출분포란 광고를 반복하여 게재할 때마다 노출되는 청중들의 비율을 나타낸 것이다. 이와 같은 노출분포는 광고효과를 수량적으로 측정하기 위한 각종 지표들을 산출하는데 필요한 기초 정보를 제공한다는 점에서 매우 중요한 역할을 한다. 특히 최근 다양한 매체의 확산으로 인한 광고 단가의 인하로 인하여 과거에 비해 특정 광고의 게재 혹은 방영빈도는 크게 늘어난 상태이나 노출빈도는 상대적으로 줄어들고 있는 상황이다. 이러한 상황에서 해당 매체를 접하지 않는, 즉 구조적으로 광고에 노출되지 않는 개인들이 늘어가고 있다. 이제까지 광고의 노출분포 추정을 위해 사용해 왔던 베타이항분포 등은 이러한 상황에 적합하지 않을 수 있는데, 본 연구에서는 영과잉 회귀모형을 이용한 광고노출분포모형을 제안하고, 실제 사례를 통한 비교연구를 수행하였다.

다중회귀에서 회귀계수 추정량의 특성 (Comments on the regression coefficients)

  • 강명욱
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제34권4호
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    • pp.589-597
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    • 2021
  • 단순회귀와 다중회귀에서 회귀계수의 의미는 차이가 있고 회귀계수의 추정값은 같지 않을 뿐 아니라 그 부호가 서로 다른 경우도 발생한다. 회귀모형에서 설명변수의 상대적 기여도의 파악은 회귀분석의 수행의 중요한 부분이다. 표준화 회귀모형에서 표준화 회귀계수는 해당 설명변수를 제외한 나머지 설명변수의 값이 고정되어있는 상황에서 설명변수가 표준편차만큼 증가하였을 때 반응변수가 표준편차를 기준으로 얼마나 변화했는가로 해석할 수 있지만 표준화 회귀계수의 크기가 각 설명변수의 상대적 중요도를 나타내는 척도라고 할 수 없음은 잘 알려져 있다. 본 논문에서는 다중회귀에서 회귀계수의 추정량을 상관계수와 결정계수의 함수로 나타내고 이를 추가적인 설명력과 추가적인 결정계수의 관점에서 생각해 본다. 또한 다양한 산점도에서의 상관계수와 회귀계수 추정값의 관계를 알아보고 설명변수가 두 개인 경우에 구체적으로 적용해 본다.

우리나라 노동시장의 유휴생산능력 추정 및 통화정책에 대한 시사점 분석 (Empirical Analysis on Labor Market Slackness and Monetary Policy Implications in Korea)

  • 김태봉;이한규
    • 노동경제논집
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    • 제43권4호
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    • pp.1-34
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    • 2020
  • 글로벌 금융위기 이후 전통적인 실업률의 유용성에 대한 의문이 제기되었으며, 본 연구는 2015년부터 통계청이 공식적으로 발표하고 있는 고용보조지표의 활용 가능성에 대해 살펴보았다. 이를 위해 고용보조지표의 정의를 2003년부터 2014년까지 경제활동인구조사 원자료에 소급 적용하여 고용보조지표를 추산하고, 이를 활용한 노동시장 유휴생산능력 지표에 대한 실증분석을 시도하였다. 실증분석 결과, 보완적 고용지표를 활용한 고용률갭이 여타 노동시장 유휴생산능력 지표에 비해 총산출갭과의 상관성이 높을 뿐만 아니라, 인플레이션에 대한 예측력 개선효과도 비교적 뚜렷한 것으로 나타나, 보완적 고용지표를 활용한 고용률 기반 지표의 유용성이 상대적으로 높음을 시사한다고 할 수 있다.

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건축물 범죄예방 기준 확대적용에 따른 경제성 분석 (An Economic Analysis by Applying Extended Crime Prevention Standards for Buildings)

  • 현태환;조영진
    • 대한건축학회논문집:계획계
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    • 제35권11호
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    • pp.53-60
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    • 2019
  • Multi-unit house, multi-household house, row house and apartments with less than 500 households were included in the list of anti-crime for buildings following the revision of the "notice of crime prevention building standards" on July 31, 2019. Strengthening the performance of crime prevention buildings is inevitable to increase the cost of building construction, including installation of preventive facilities and use of facilities that have secured performance. Thus an economic analysis on the costs and expected benefits of implementing the standards is required for social consensus. Economic analysis is divided into cost analysis and benefit analysis. This study aims to perform an economic analysis on the installation of crime prevention facilities in the buildings subject to expanded crime prevention obligations. Cost analysis is calculated as the sum of the cost of installation and the price of the crime prevention facilities installed for each target residential building. Benefit analysis is calculated as the social cost of targeted crimes that are expected to decrease due to the installation of crime prevention facilities. Economic analysis shows that the total cost of installing crime prevention facilities in residential buildings is estimated at 107.31 billion won per year, while the total benefit from enhanced crime prevention performance is estimated at 9.38 billion won per year. Considering inflation, benefits are expected to outpace costs in the 28th year since the system was implemented.

미국연방준비제도의 양적완화 정책이 주가 변동에 미치는 영향 분석 (Analysis of the Ripple Effect of the US Federal Reserve System's Quantitative Easing Policy on Stock Price Fluctuations)

  • 홍성혁
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.161-166
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    • 2021
  • 거시경제는 한 나라의 경제 전반의 움직임을 나타내는 개념으로 경제주체인 기업, 정부, 가계경제 활동 전반에 영향을 미친다. 거시경제는 국민소득, 물가, 실업, 통화, 금리, 원자재 등의 변화를 살펴보면 경제 주체들의 행위와 상호작업이 제품과 서비스의 가격에 영향을 파악할 수 있다. 미국연방준비제도(FED)는 코로나 경제침체를 극복하기 위한 다양한 경기부양책을 내 놓으며, 세계경제를 이끌고 있다. 현재 코로나로 인한 주가가 2020년3월20일에 지속적으로 하락하였지만, FED의 강력한 경지부양책인 양적완화로 미국의 S&P500지수는 3월 23일이후 반등을 시작해 12월 15일 3,694.62까지 회복에 성공했다. 따라서 주가의 예측을 기업의 재무제표로 판단하는 것이 아니라 거시경제지표에 따른 FED의 경기부양책이 더 영향을 미치고 있는 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구는 FED의 경기부양책과 주가에 미치는 영향을 분석하여 주식투자에 손실을 줄이고 건전한 투자 정착을 위해 본 연구를 진행하였다.

The Dynamics of Monetarists Versus Keynesians Perspectives and Their Role in Economic Growth of Pakistan

  • MANSOOR, Abdul;HUSSAIN, Syed Tahir;RAIS, Syed Imran;BASHIR, Malik Fahim;TARIQ, Yasir Bin;KAUSAR, Maria
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.61-69
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    • 2022
  • The study intends to investigate a short-run and a long-run causality among money, income, and prices in the Keynesian and Monetarists framework. This study emphasizes the importance of unrecorded money, which exists alongside legal monetary assets and plays a dual function in determining economic prosperity. The underground economy, which is a hidden component of aggregate economic activity, is determined using Tanzi's monetary approach (Tanzi, 1980). This research uses a time series of annual data from 1990 to 2019 for this purpose. The data is extracted from the World Bank database for the monetary and development indicators. The study keeping in view the trending nature in data follows a unit root testing followed by the Autoregressive Distributive Lag Model (ARDL) to assess the long and short-run dynamics of causality among the variables. In both the pricing and income equations, the study finds a significant level link among the variables; however, there is no evidence of the presence of a level association in the money equation. The short-run causal relationship provides evidence of bi-directional causation between the supply of money and national income. The outcome of this study advise that though the view point of both the Monetarist and Keynesian school holds in both short and long run, however, in Pakistan only the Monetarists' role of money supply and income holds in Pakistan. This evidence would be of precise interest to the policy-makers.

The Implications of Simultaneous Capital Stop and Retrenchment during Financial Crises

  • Suh, Jae-Hyun
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • 제24권7호
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    • pp.38-53
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    • 2020
  • Purpose - A financial crash triggers asset fire sales by foreign investors and, as a consequence, the price of domestic assets severely decreases. Domestic investors take advantage of these low prices by replacing foreign assets with domestic assets, which helps to alleviate the liquidity shock caused by foreigners. However, is the amount of capital retrenchment by domestic investors sufficient to protect the Korean economy from capital stop by foreign investors during financial crisis? This paper answers this question and suggests the implications of this phenomenon for the Korean economy. Design/methodology - We estimate the associations between capital stop and retrenchment and various financial crises such as banking, currency, debt, and inflation crises using the complementary log-log model. Specifically, we use data of gross capital flows to differentiate between the role of foreign and domestic investors in financial markets. Capital stop and retrenchment designate a sharp decrease in gross capital inflows and outflows, respectively. Findings - Capital stop is significantly associated with financial crises, especially currency and debt crises. This implies that increased risk aversion during times of financial turmoil encourages foreign investors to retrench their investments, worsening liquidity shocks. Conversely, capital retrenchment is not significantly associated with such crises. The results show that, although financial crises reduce gross capital outflows, the reduction is not as large as that with capital inflows. Originality/value - The contribution of this paper is threefold. First, this study investigates how domestic investors behave during times of financial distress by studying gross capital flows-not net capital flows. Second, we concentrate on sharp changes in capital flows during crises. Third, we examine the associations between capital stop and retrenchment and financial crises in general, not specific events.

해상운임에 영향을 미치는 주요 요인에 관한 연구 (Analysis of the Factors Influencing the Ocean Freight Rate)

  • 김명희
    • 한국항해항만학회지
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    • 제46권4호
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    • pp.385-391
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    • 2022
  • 본 연구에서는 수요 및 공급요인 외 해상운임에 영향을 주는 다양한 변수들을 발굴하고자 다변량 시계열분석을 수행해 보았다. 우선 종속변수에는 해상운임을 대용할 변수로 Shipping Intelligence에서 제공하고 있는 종합운임지수(ClarkSea Index), 벌크선운임(Clarksons Average Bulker Earnings), 탱커선운임(Clarksons Average Tanker Earnings) 등을 활용하였다. 선행연구를 통해 해상운임에 영향을 미칠 것으로 예상되는 세계 해상물동량(World Seaborne Trade), 세계 선복량(World Fleet), 유가(Brent Crude Oil Price), 세계 GDP성장률(GDP World), OECD 산업생산성장률(Industrial Production OECD), 금리(US$ LIBOR 6 Months), OECD 인플레이션(CPI OECD) 등을 독립변수로 설정하여 회귀분석을 수행해 보았다. 데이터는 시계열자료로 1992년부터 2020년까지의 연데이터로 구성하였다. 분석결과 종합운임지수에는 해상물동량과 유가가, 벌크선운임에는 해상물동량만이, 탱커선운임에는 해상물동량, 유가, 산업생산성장률, 인플레이션 등이 통계적으로 유의미한 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다.

Rising Burden of Psychiatric and Behavioral Disorders and Their Adverse Impact on Health Care Expenditure in Hospitalized Pediatric Patients with Inflammatory Bowel Disease

  • Aravind Thavamani;Jasmine Khatana;Krishna Kishore Umapathi;Senthilkumar Sankararaman
    • Pediatric Gastroenterology, Hepatology & Nutrition
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.23-33
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: The incidence and prevalence of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) are increasing along with an increasing number of patients with comorbid conditions like psychiatric and behavioral disorders, which are independent predictors of quality of life. Methods: Non-overlapping years (2003-2016) of National Inpatient Sample and Kids Inpatient Database were analyzed to include all IBD-related hospitalizations of patients less than 21 years of age. Patients were analyzed for a concomitant diagnosis of psychiatric/ behavioral disorders and were compared with IBD patients without psychiatric/behavioral disorder diagnoses for outcome variables: IBD severity, length of stay and inflation-adjusted hospitalization charges. Results: Total of 161,294 IBD-related hospitalizations were analyzed and the overall prevalence rate of any psychiatric and behavioral disorders was 15.7%. Prevalence rate increased from 11.3% (2003) to 20.6% (2016), p<0.001. Depression, substance use, and anxiety were the predominant psychiatric disorders. Regression analysis showed patients with severe IBD (odds ratio [OR], 1.57; confidence interval [CI], 1.47-1.67; p<0.001) and intermediate IBD (OR, 1.14; CI, 1.10-1.28, p<0.001) had increased risk of associated psychiatric and behavioral disorders than patients with a low severity IBD. Multivariate analysis showed that psychiatric and behavioral disorders had 1.17 (CI, 1.07-1.28; p<0.001) mean additional days of hospitalization and incurred additional $8473 (CI, 7,520-9,425; p<0.001) of mean hospitalization charges, independent of IBD severity. Conclusion: Prevalence of psychiatric and behavioral disorders in hospitalized pediatric IBD patients has been significantly increasing over the last two decades, and these disorders were independently associated with prolonged hospital stay, and higher total hospitalization charges.