• Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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• 2003.05a
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• pp.75-78
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• 2003

Those who are interested in making inferences concerning linear combination of variance components in a simple linear regression model with unbalanced nested error structure can use the confidence intervals proposed in this paper. Two approximate confidence intervals for the sum of two variance components in the model are proposed. Simulation study is peformed to compare the methods.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.9 no.2
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• pp.459-471
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• 2002

In applications using a linear regression model with nested error structure, one might be interested in making inferences concerning variance components. This article proposes approximate confidence intervals on the variance component of the primary level in a simple linear regression model with an unbalanced nested error structure. The intervals are compared using computer simulation and recommendations are provided for selecting an appropriate interval.

• Journal of Applied Reliability
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• v.1 no.2
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• pp.183-192
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• 2001

Jelinski-Moranda model and modified Jelinski-Moranda model in software reliability are studied and we consider maximum likelihood estimator and Bayes estimates of the number of faults and the fault-detection rate per fault. A gibbs sampling approach is employed to compute the Bayes estimates, future survival function is examined. Model selection based on prequential likelihood of the conditional predictive ordinates. A numerical example with simulated data set is given.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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• 1993.06a
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• pp.861-864
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• 1993

This research provides the results of a trial to generate the chaos by using nonlinear function constructed by fuzzy inference rules. The chaos generation function or chaotic behavior can be obtained by using Takagi-Sugeno fuzzy model with some constraint of the relationship of its parameters. Two examples are shown in this research. The first is simple example that construct of logistic image by fuzzy model. The second is more complicated one that provide the chaotic time series by non-linear autoregression based on fuzzy model. Simulated results are shown in these examples.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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• v.32 no.5
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• pp.817-826
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• 2022

AI technology is being successfully introduced in many fields, and models deployed as a service are deployed with black box environment that does not expose the model's information to protect intellectual property rights and data. In a black box environment, attackers try to steal data or parameters used during training by using model output. This paper proposes a method of inferring the type of model to directly find out the composition of layer of the target model, based on the fact that there is no attack to infer the information about the type of model from the deep learning model. With ResNet, VGGNet, AlexNet, and simple convolutional neural network models trained with MNIST datasets, we show that the types of models can be inferred using the output values in the gray box and black box environments of the each model. In addition, we inferred the type of model with approximately 83% accuracy in the black box environment if we train the big and small relationship feature that proposed in this paper together, the results show that the model type can be infrerred even in situations where only partial information is given to attackers, not raw probability vectors.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.24 no.5
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• pp.951-961
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• 2011

In this paper, we propose a Bayesian inference using the Markov Chain Monte Carlo(MCMC) method for the zero inflated negative binomial(ZINB) regression model. The proposed model allows the regression model for zero inflation probability as well as the regression model for the mean of the dependent variable. This extends the work of Jang et al. (2010) to the fully defiend ZINB regression model. In addition, we apply the proposed method to a real data example, and compare the efficiency with the zero inflated Poisson model using the DIC. Since the DIC of the ZINB is smaller than that of the ZIP, the ZINB model shows superior performance over the ZIP model in zero inflated count data with overdispersion.

• Journal of The Korean Association For Science Education
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• v.27 no.9
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• pp.818-831
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• 2007

Recognizing the importance of abductive inquiry in Earth science, some theoretical approaches that deploy abduction have been researched. And, it is necessary that the abductive inquiry in a geological field excursion as a vivid locale of Earth science inquiry should be researched. We developed a geological field trip based on the abductive learning model, and investigated students' abductive inference, thinking strategies used in those inferences, and the impact of a teacher's pedagogical intervention on students' abductive inference. Results showed that students, during the field excursion, could accomplish abductive inference about rock identification, process of different rock generation, joints generation in metamorpa?ic rocks, and terrains at the field trip area. They also used various thinking strategies in finding appropriate rules to construe the facts observed at outcrops. This means that it is significant for the enhancement of abductive reasoning skills that students experience such inquiries as scientists do. In addition, a teacher's pedagogical interventions didn't ensure the content of students' inference while they helped students perform abductive reasoning and guided their use of specific thinking strategies. Students had found reasoning rules to explain the 01: served facts from their wrong prior knowledge. Therefore, during a geological field excursion, teachers need to provide students with proper background knowledge and information in order that students can reason rues for persuasive abductive inference, and construe the geological features of the field trip area by the establishment of appropriate hypotheses.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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• v.16 no.5
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• pp.104-111
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• 2002

This paper presents a fuzzy rule extraction method using EM(Expectation-Maximization) algorithm and a design method of adaptive neuro-fuzzy control. EM algorithm is used to estimate a maximum likelihood of a GMM(Gaussian Mixture Model) and cluster centers. The estimated clusters is used to automatically construct the fuzzy rules and membership functions for ANFIS(Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System). Finally, we applied the proposed method to the water temperature control system and obtained better results with respect to the number of rules and SAE(Sum of Absolute Error) than previous techniques such as conventional fuzzy controller.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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• v.10 no.4
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• pp.85-92
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• 2002

To investigate the safety of the in-use vehicles emission against the tail-pipe emission regulation, in-use vehicles emission trend according to vehicle mileage should be known. But it is impossible to collect all vehicles emission data In order to know that. Therefore, it is necessary to establish a statistically meaningful inference method that can be used generally to estimate in-use vehicles emissions distribution according to the vehicle mileage with relatively less in-use vehicles emission data. To do this, a linear regression model that solved the problems of data normality and common variance of error was studied. As a way that can secure the data normality, In(emission) instead of emission itself was used as a sampled data. And a reciprocal of mileage was suggested as a factor to secure common variance of error. As an example, 36 data of FTP-75 test were handled in this study. As a result, using average value and standard deviation at each mileage which were inferred from a linear regression model, probability density distribution and cumulative distribution of emissions according to the vehicle mileage were obtained and it was possible to predict the deterioration factor through full useful life mileage and also possible to decide whether those in-use vehicles will meet the tail-pipe emission regulations or not.

• Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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• v.59 no.3
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• pp.97-110
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• 2017

This study investigates the efficiencies of machine learning models, including artificial neural network (ANN), generalized regression neural network (GRNN), adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and random forest (RF), for reservoir water level forecasting in the Chungju Dam, South Korea. The models' efficiencies are assessed based on model efficiency indices and graphical comparison. The forecasting results of the models are dependent on lead times and the combination of input variables. For lead time t = 1 day, ANFIS1 and ANN6 models yield superior forecasting results to RF6 and GRNN6 models. For lead time t = 5 days, ANN1 and RF6 models produce better forecasting results than ANFIS1 and GRNN3 models. For lead time t = 10 days, ANN3 and RF1 models perform better than ANFIS3 and GRNN3 models. It is found that ANN model yields the best performance for all lead times, in terms of model efficiency and graphical comparison. These results indicate that the optimal combination of input variables and forecasting models depending on lead times should be applied in reservoir water level forecasting, instead of the single combination of input variables and forecasting models for all lead times.