• Title/Summary/Keyword: inference model

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Study to the randomized response model (확률응답모형에 관한 연구)

  • 이영진
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.179-193
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    • 1991
  • In this paper, we introduce various methods of PR techniques initiated by S. Warner in 1960's and examine the maximum likelihood estimator for them. One of the main subjects of this paper is to represent Warner model, Unrelated Question Model, and Multi-Proportion Model in linear model. The other subject is to study the inference of PR model by using the Bayesian Approach.

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Bayesian Analysis for Multiple Capture-Recapture Models using Reference Priors

  • Younshik;Pongsu
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.165-178
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    • 2000
  • Bayesian methods are considered for the multiple caputure-recapture data. Reference priors are developed for such model and sampling-based approach through Gibbs sampler is used for inference from posterior distributions. Furthermore approximate Bayes factors are obtained for model selection between trap and nontrap response models. Finally one methodology is implemented for a capture-recapture model in generated data and real data.

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Semiparametric accelerated failure time model for the analysis of right censored data

  • Jin, Zhezhen
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.467-478
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    • 2016
  • The accelerated failure time model or accelerated life model relates the logarithm of the failure time linearly to the covariates. The parameters in the model provides a direct interpretation. In this paper, we review some newly developed practically useful estimation and inference methods for the model in the analysis of right censored data.

A Study on the Computational Model of Word Sense Disambiguation, based on Corpora and Experiments on Native Speaker's Intuition (직관 실험 및 코퍼스를 바탕으로 한 의미 중의성 해소 계산 모형 연구)

  • Kim, Dong-Sung;Choe, Jae-Woong
    • Korean Journal of Cognitive Science
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.303-321
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    • 2006
  • According to Harris'(1966) distributional hypothesis, understanding the meaning of a word is thought to be dependent on its context. Under this hypothesis about human language ability, this paper proposes a computational model for native speaker's language processing mechanism concerning word sense disambiguation, based on two sets of experiments. Among the three computational models discussed in this paper, namely, the logic model, the probabilistic model, and the probabilistic inference model, the experiment shows that the logic model is first applied fer semantic disambiguation of the key word. Nexr, if the logic model fails to apply, then the probabilistic model becomes most relevant. The three models were also compared with the test results in terms of Pearson correlation coefficient value. It turns out that the logic model best explains the human decision behaviour on the ambiguous words, and the probabilistic inference model tomes next. The experiment consists of two pans; one involves 30 sentences extracted from 1 million graphic-word corpus, and the result shows the agreement rate anong native speakers is at 98% in terms of word sense disambiguation. The other pm of the experiment, which was designed to exclude the logic model effect, is composed of 50 cleft sentences.

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Development of Maneuvering Simulator for PERESTROIKA Catamaran using Fuzzy Inference Technique

  • Lee, Joon-Tark;Ji, Seok--Jun;Choi, Woo--Jin
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.192-199
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    • 2004
  • Navigation simulators have been used in many marine schools and manne training centers since the early 1960's. But these simulators were very expens~ve and were almost limited only in one engine system. In this paper, a catamaran with twin engine system. controlled by two remote control levers and its economic simulator based on a personal computer shall be introduced. One of the main features of catamaran is to control variously its progressing direction. In the static state, a catamaran can move into all the directions and in the dynamic state, ship can change immediately the heading and speed. Although a good navigator can skillfully operate one engine system, it is difficult to control smoothly the catamaran of twin engine system without any threat for the safety of passengers. Thus. in order to bring up the expert navigators. the development of a simulator which makes the training effective is necessary, Therefore, in this paper, a Fuzzy Inference Technique based Maneuvering Simulator for catamaran with twin engine system was developed. In general. in order to develop a catamaran simulator for effective training, first of all. its mathematical model must be acquired. According to the acquired system modeling. the dynamics of simulator is determined, But the proposed technique can omit a complex and tedious mathematical modeling procedures by using the fuzzy inference, which dependent upon only experiences of an expert and can design an efficient training program for unskillful navigators. This developed simulator was consisted of two fuzzy inference routines and two remote control levers, and was focused on effective training of navigators for the safe maneuvering to avoid a collision in a harbor.

A Fuzzy Continuous Petri Net Model for Helper T cell Differentiation

  • Park, In-Ho;Na, Do-Kyun;Lee, Kwang-H.;Lee, Do-Heon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Bioinformatics Conference
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    • 2005.09a
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    • pp.344-347
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    • 2005
  • Helper T(Th) cells regulate immune response by producing various kinds of cytokines in response to antigen stimulation. The regulatory functions of Th cells are promoted by their differentiation into two distinct subsets, Th1 and Th2 cells. Th1 cells are involved in inducing cellular immune response by activating cytotoxic T cells. Th2 cells trigger B cells to produce antibodies, protective proteins used by the immune system to identify and neutralize foreign substances. Because cellular and humoral immune responses have quite different roles in protecting the host from foreign substances, Th cell differentiation is a crucial event in the immune response. The destiny of a naive Th cell is mainly controlled by cytokines such as IL-4, IL-12, and IFN-${\gamma}$. To understand the mechanism of Th cell differentiation, many mathematical models have been proposed. One of the most difficult problems in mathematical modeling is to find appropriate kinetic parameters needed to complete a model. However, it is relatively easy to get qualitative or linguistic knowledge of a model dynamics. To incorporate such knowledge into a model, we propose a novel approach, fuzzy continuous Petri nets extending traditional continuous Petri net by adding new types of places and transitions called fuzzy places and fuzzy transitions. This extension makes it possible to perform fuzzy inference with fuzzy places and fuzzy transitions acting as kinetic parameters and fuzzy inference systems between input and output places, respectively.

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An Ontology-based Context Aware Model for the Implementation of Integrated Security Control System (통합보안관제 시스템 구축을 위한 온톨로지 기반의 상황인식 모델)

  • Han, Kwang-Rok;Kim, Jeong-Bin;Sohn, Surg-Won
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.2246-2255
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we describe an ontology-based context aware model that collects context information from USN sensor and CCTV image and reasons about context in order to development an integrated security control system in the industrial environments. The context model represents autonomous and heterogeneous data as ontologies and recognizes the context through DL(description logic) inference in the smart computing environment. We expect that the integrated security control system can automatically detects the risk in the industrial field and reduces the safety and security incidents by applying this context model to the system.

Design of FNN architecture based on HCM Clustering Method (HCM 클러스터링 기반 FNN 구조 설계)

  • Park, Ho-Sung;Oh, Sung-Kwun
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2002.07d
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    • pp.2821-2823
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    • 2002
  • In this paper we propose the Multi-FNN (Fuzzy-Neural Networks) for optimal identification modeling of complex system. The proposed Multi-FNNs is based on a concept of FNNs and exploit linear inference being treated as generic inference mechanisms. In the networks learning, backpropagation(BP) algorithm of neural networks is used to updata the parameters of the network in order to control of nonlinear process with complexity and uncertainty of data, proposed model use a HCM(Hard C-Means)clustering algorithm which carry out the input-output dat a preprocessing function and Genetic Algorithm which carry out optimization of model The HCM clustering method is utilized to determine the structure of Multi-FNNs. The parameters of Multi-FNN model such as apexes of membership function, learning rates, and momentum coefficients are adjusted using genetic algorithms. An aggregate performance index with a weighting factor is proposed in order to achieve a sound balance between approximation and generalization abilities of the model. NOx emission process data of gas turbine power plant is simulated in order to confirm the efficiency and feasibility of the proposed approach in this paper.

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Design of Model to Recognize Emotional States in a Speech

  • Kim Yi-Gon;Bae Young-Chul
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.27-32
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    • 2006
  • Verbal communication is the most commonly used mean of communication. A spoken word carries a lot of informations about speakers and their emotional states. In this paper we designed a model to recognize emotional states in a speech, a first phase of two phases in developing a toy machine that recognizes emotional states in a speech. We conducted an experiment to extract and analyse the emotional state of a speaker in relation with speech. To analyse the signal output we referred to three characteristics of sound as vector inputs and they are the followings: frequency, intensity, and period of tones. Also we made use of eight basic emotional parameters: surprise, anger, sadness, expectancy, acceptance, joy, hate, and fear which were portrayed by five selected students. In order to facilitate the differentiation of each spectrum features, we used the wavelet transform analysis. We applied ANFIS (Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System) in designing an emotion recognition model from a speech. In our findings, inference error was about 10%. The result of our experiment reveals that about 85% of the model applied is effective and reliable.

Bayesian analysis of directional conditionally autoregressive models (방향성 공간적 조건부 자기회귀 모형의 베이즈 분석 방법)

  • Kyung, Minjung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.1133-1146
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    • 2016
  • Counts or averages over arbitrary regions are often analyzed using conditionally autoregressive (CAR) models. The spatial neighborhoods within CAR model are generally formed using only the inter-distance or boundaries between the sub-regions. Kyung and Ghosh (2009) proposed a new class of models to accommodate spatial variations that may depend on directions, using different weights given to neighbors in different directions. The proposed model, directional conditionally autoregressive (DCAR) model, generalized the usual CAR model by accounting for spatial anisotropy. Bayesian inference method is discussed based on efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling of the posterior distributions of the parameters. The method is illustrated using a data set of median property prices across Greater Glasgow, Scotland, in 2008.