• Title/Summary/Keyword: inference model

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Bayesian Analysis of a Zero-inflated Poisson Regression Model: An Application to Korean Oral Hygienic Data (영과잉 포아송 회귀모형에 대한 베이지안 추론: 구강위생 자료에의 적용)

  • Lim, Ah-Kyoung;Oh, Man-Suk
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.505-519
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    • 2006
  • We consider zero-inflated count data, which is discrete count data but has too many zeroes compared to the Poisson distribution. Zero-inflated data can be found in various areas. Despite its increasing importance in practice, appropriate statistical inference on zero-inflated data is limited. Classical inference based on a large number theory does not fit unless the sample size is very large. And regular Poisson model shows lack of St due to many zeroes. To handle the difficulties, a mixture of distributions are considered for the zero-inflated data. Specifically, a mixture of a point mass at zero and a Poisson distribution is employed for the data. In addition, when there exist meaningful covariates selected to the response variable, loglinear link is used between the mean of the response and the covariates in the Poisson distribution part. We propose a Bayesian inference for the zero-inflated Poisson regression model by using a Markov Chain Monte Carlo method. We applied the proposed method to a Korean oral hygienic data and compared the inference results with other models. We found that the proposed method is superior in that it gives small parameter estimation error and more accurate predictions.

Heterogeneous Lifelog Mining Model in Health Big-data Platform (헬스 빅데이터 플랫폼에서 이기종 라이프로그 마이닝 모델)

  • Kang, JI-Soo;Chung, Kyungyong
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.9 no.10
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    • pp.75-80
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, we propose heterogeneous lifelog mining model in health big-data platform. It is an ontology-based mining model for collecting user's lifelog in real-time and providing healthcare services. The proposed method distributes heterogeneous lifelog data and processes it in real time in a cloud computing environment. The knowledge base is reconstructed by an upper ontology method suitable for the environment constructed based on the heterogeneous ontology. The restructured knowledge base generates inference rules using Jena 4.0 inference engines, and provides real-time healthcare services by rule-based inference methods. Lifelog mining constructs an analysis of hidden relationships and a predictive model for time-series bio-signal. This enables real-time healthcare services that realize preventive health services to detect changes in the users' bio-signal by exploring negative or positive correlations that are not included in the relationships or inference rules. The performance evaluation shows that the proposed heterogeneous lifelog mining model method is superior to other models with an accuracy of 0.734, a precision of 0.752.

A Hierarchical Mobile Context Model and User Context Inference Methods based on Smart Phones (스마트 폰 기반 계층적 모바일 컨텍스트 모델 및 사용자 상황 추론 기법)

  • Lee, Meeyeon;Lee, Jung-Won;Park, Seung Soo
    • Journal of Software Engineering Society
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.19-26
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    • 2011
  • Since smart phones have various embedded sensors and high portability/usability, they have emerged as suitable targets to collect information and to provide intelligent services. That is, with a smart phone, we can collect information about user's circumstances and phone usage from sensors and infer his/her current state which is the significant basis for context-aware services. However, a service system should be founded on a context model to ensure reasonable context-awareness, because context information the system needs depends on its target services. Therefore, in this paper, we propose a hierarchical mobile context model for context inference of smart phone users in their daily life. We classify high-level context which can be draw from sensing data into three levels, Context-Behavior-Situation, and define inference methods for each level. With our mobile context model, we can user's meaningful context in his/her daily life besides simple actions or states.

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Development of Expert System for Diagnosis of Weld Defects (용접 결함 진단 전문가시스템의 개발)

  • 박주용
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.13-23
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    • 1996
  • Weld defects degrade the strength and safety of astructure and are resulted from the various cases. The complexity of causal relation of weld defects requires an expert for the analysis of weld defects and the measures counter to them. An expert system has the intelligent functions such as the representation of knowledge and the inference. On this research, weld defect are systematically analysed and their causal model is developed. This information is saved to the knowledge base. The suitable inference algorithm for the diagnosis of weld defects is developed and realized with C++ programming.

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Design of improved Mulit-FNN for Nonlinear Process modeling

  • Park, Hosung;Sungkwun Oh
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2002.10a
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    • pp.102.2-102
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, the improved Multi-FNN (Fuzzy-Neural Networks) model is identified and optimized using HCM (Hard C-Means) clustering method and optimization algorithms. The proposed Multi-FNN is based on FNN and use simplified and linear inference as fuzzy inference method and error back propagation algorithm as learning rules. We use a HCM clustering and genetic algorithms (GAs) to identify both the structure and the parameters of a Multi-FNN model. Here, HCM clustering method, which is carried out for the process data preprocessing of system modeling, is utilized to determine the structure of Multi-FNN according to the divisions of input-output space using I/O process data. Also, the parame...

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Universal learning network-based fuzzy control

  • Hirasawa, K.;Wu, R.;Ohbayashi, M.
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1995.10a
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    • pp.436-439
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    • 1995
  • In this paper we present a method to construct fuzzy model with multi-dimension input membership function, which can construct fuzzy inference system on one node of the network directly. This method comes from a common framework called Universal Learning Network (ULN). The fuzzy model under the framework of ULN is called Universal Learning Network-based Fuzzy Inference System (ULNFIS), which possesses certain advantages over other networks such as neural network. We also introduce how to imitate a real system with ULN and a control scheme using ULNFIS.

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Ana1ysis of Unobservable Queueing Model with Arrival and Departure Points: LCFS (도착 및 이탈시점에 근거한 관측 불가능한 후입선출 대기행렬 모형의 분석)

  • Kim, Yun-Bae;Park, Jin-Soo
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.75-81
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    • 2007
  • Previous queue inference has been studied with some limits. Larson's inference engine, which is the basis for this paper, also processed with basic assumption that arrival process is poisson process. Our inference method, which relaxes the poisson process assumption, must be a useful tool for looking into unobservable inside of queueing systems, as well as calculating accurate system performance. This paper employs these inference methods and proves the validity. Then we apply this method to system analysis for more complicated models. At first, we suggest methods to system with known number of servers, then expand to unknown number of servers. For validating our inference approach, we run some simulation models and compare true values with our results.

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Optimization of Fuzzy Set-based Fuzzy Inference Systems Based on Evolutionary Data Granulation (진화론적 데이터 입자에 기반한 퍼지 집합 기반 퍼지 추론 시스템의 최적화)

  • Park, Keon-Jun;Lee, Bong-Yoon;Oh, Sung-Kwun
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2004.11c
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    • pp.343-345
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    • 2004
  • We propose a new category of fuzzy set-based fuzzy inference systems based on data granulation related to fuzzy space division for each variables. Data granules are viewed as linked collections of objects(data, in particular) drawn together by the criteria of proximity, similarity, or functionality. Granulation of data with the aid of Hard C-Means(HCM) clustering algorithm help determine the initial parameters of fuzzy model such as the initial apexes of the membership functions and the initial values of polyminial functions being used in the premise and consequence part of the fuzzy rules. And the initial parameters are tuned effectively with the aid of the genetic algorithms(GAs) and the least square method. Numerical example is included to evaluate the performance of the proposed model.

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Detection of Dangerous Situations using Deep Learning Model with Relational Inference

  • Jang, Sein;Battulga, Lkhagvadorj;Nasridinov, Aziz
    • Journal of Multimedia Information System
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.205-214
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    • 2020
  • Crime has become one of the major problems in modern society. Even though visual surveillances through closed-circuit television (CCTV) is extensively used for solving crime, the number of crimes has not decreased. This is because there is insufficient workforce for performing 24-hour surveillance. In addition, CCTV surveillance by humans is not efficient for detecting dangerous situations owing to accuracy issues. In this paper, we propose the autonomous detection of dangerous situations in CCTV scenes using a deep learning model with relational inference. The main feature of the proposed method is that it can simultaneously perform object detection and relational inference to determine the danger of the situations captured by CCTV. This enables us to efficiently classify dangerous situations by inferring the relationship between detected objects (i.e., distance and position). Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method outperforms existing methods in terms of the accuracy of image classification and the false alarm rate even when object detection accuracy is low.

Adaptation of Clustering Method to FNN for Performance Improvement (FNN 성능개선을 위한 클러스터링기법의 적용)

  • 최재호;박춘성;오성권;안태천
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 1997.10a
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    • pp.135-138
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    • 1997
  • In this paper, we proposed effective modeling method to nonlinear complex system. Fuzzy Neural Network(FNN) was used as basic model. FNN was fused of Fuzzy Inference which has linguistic property and Neural Network which has learning ability and high tolerence level. This paper, we used FNN which was proposed by Yamakawa. The FNN used Simple Inference as fuzzy inference method and Error Back Propagation Algorithm as learning rule. This structure has better property than other structure at learning speed and convergence ability. But it has difficulty at definition of membership function. We used Hard c-Mean method to overcome this difficulty. To evaluate proposed method. We applied the proposed method to waste water treatment process. We obtained better performance than conventional model.

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