• 제목/요약/키워드: imprecise reliability

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불확실 신뢰도 기법을 이용한 부식된 강구조물의 안전도평가 (Safety Assessment of Corrosion-damaged Steel Structure using Imprecise Reliability)

  • 최현호;조효남;서종원;선종완
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제26권2A호
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    • pp.293-300
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    • 2006
  • 일반적으로 부식된 부재의 두께를 측정하는 데는 많은 불확실성이 존재하며, 부식의 진행정도에 따라 부재의 부식 두께는 측정 위치마다 다르므로, 기존의 신뢰성 해석 방법을 사용하여 모든 불확실성을 고려한 정량적인 안전도를 평가하는 것은 실질적으로 불가능하다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 불확실 신뢰도 기법을 적용한 안전도 분석 절차를 제안하였으며, 효율성과 적용성을 검토하기 위하여 국내 공용중인 사장교에 적용하였다. 심하게 부식된 부재의 잔존 두께의 불확실성은 부식이 진행되는 정도에 따라 증가하므로 부재의 부식 두께를 불확실 정도로 표현되는 불확실 구간으로 표현하였으며, 기존의 신뢰성 기법과 불확실 신뢰도 기법의 비교를 수행하였다. 이러한 불확실 신뢰도 기법은 주관적이거나 조건부 독립에 대한 통계적 판단을 이용하여, 부식된 구조물의 안전도 평가나 위험도 평가를 하는 경우에 유용하여 적용할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

불확실 신뢰도 기법을 이용한 부식된 강구조물의 안전도분석 (A Safety Assessment using Imprecise Reliability for Corrosion-damaged Steel Structure)

  • 조효남;최현호;선종완
    • 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산구조공학회 2004년도 봄 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.267-274
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    • 2004
  • Since there is a large variation in measurements of the thickness of corroded elements, the thickness of corroded elements are considered as imprecise elements. There is also a considerable degree of uncertainty in a visual assessment of thickness loss. The remaining thickness of a severly corroded element may be represented by an imprecise which expresses the range over which there is uncertainty about the thickness. Therefore, the objective of this paper is to propose a new methodology to safety assessment using imprecise reliability into conventional safety assessment frameworks. For this purpose, this study presents a safety assessment model using Imprecise reliability for large civil structures and demonstrates the applicability of the approach to cable-stayed bridge projects.

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배전계통의 신뢰도 향상을 위한 분산형전원의 설치 및 운영 (Placement and Operation of DG System for Reliability Improvement in Distribution Systems)

  • 김규호;이상근;김진오;김태균;전동훈;차승태
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2004년도 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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    • pp.348-350
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    • 2004
  • This paper presents the scheme for reliability improvement by dispersed generation system (US) installation and operation in distribution systems. The objective functions such as power losses cost, operation cost of DGS, power buy cost and interruption cost are minimized for reliability improvement. The original objective functions and constraints are transformed into the equivalent multiple objective functions with fuzzy sets to evaluate their imprecise nature. The several indices for reliability evaluation are improved by dispersed generation system installation.

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퍼지 계층분석기법을 이용한 국내 미래 에너지기술개발 우선순위 도출 (The Fuzzy AHP Approach to Prioritize the Future Energy Technology Development)

  • 하영진;강승진
    • 한국수소및신에너지학회논문집
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    • 제19권5호
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    • pp.453-459
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    • 2008
  • In general, reliability of AHP depends on pairwise comparison of evaluators. In addition, human judgment on the importance of alternatives or criteria is always imprecise and vague. The Fuzzy AHP technique is suggested and used widely recently. In this paper, we prioritize future energy technology development for well focused R&D. We selected 3 criteria and 10 sub-criteria. According to the result in this study, the most important sub-criterion is the precedence over other competitive technology, the second is the possibility for fundamental technology acquisition, and the third is the improvement energy efficiency. The other side, the lowest important sub-criterion is the technology level compared with advanced countries.

퍼지 AHP 적용에 있어서 평가자 신뢰도와 위험인식 성향의 반영 (The Consideration of Evaluator's Confidence and Risk Attitude in Fuzzy-AHP)

  • 남지희;이영건;김관현;최기련;박찬국
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제30권1호
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    • pp.89-95
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    • 2007
  • In general, reliability of AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) depends on pairwise comparison of evaluators. In addition, human judgment on the importance of alternatives or criteria is always imprecise and vague. To cope with these shortcomings, Fuzzy AHP is suggested and used widely recently. But in Fuzzy AHP, it cannot deal with the evaluator's various attitudes towards risk and confidence owing to evaluator's different expertise and experience. This paper proposes a method for consideration of evaluator's confidence and risk attitude in Fuzzy AHP. And suggested methods are applied various scenarios to verify the meaningfulness. The result shows that the priority of alternatives can be change through the consideration of evaluator's confidence and risk attitude.

Fault-Tolerant Event Detection in Wireless Sensor Networks using Evidence Theory

  • Liu, Kezhong;Yang, Tian;Ma, Jie;Cheng, Zhiming
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제9권10호
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    • pp.3965-3982
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    • 2015
  • Event detection is one of the key issues in many wireless sensor network (WSN) applications. The uncertainties that are derived from the instability of sensor node, measurement noise and incomplete sampling would influence the performance of event detection to a large degree. Many of the present researches described the sensor readings with crisp values, which cannot adequately handle the uncertainties inhered in the imprecise sensor readings. In this paper, a fault-tolerant event detection algorithm is proposed based on Dempster-Shafer (D-S) theory (also called evidence theory). Instead of crisp values, all possible states of the event are represented by the Basic Probability Assignment (BPA) functions, with which the output of each sensor node are characterized as weighted evidences. The combination rule was subsequently applied on each sensor node to fuse the evidences gathered from the neighboring nodes to make the final decision on whether the event occurs. Simulation results show that even 20% nodes are faulty, the accuracy of the proposed algorithm is around 80% for event region detection. Moreover, 97% of the error readings have been corrected, and an improved detection capability at the boundary of the event region is gained by 75%. The proposed algorithm can enhance the detection accuracy of the event region even in high error-rate environment, which reflects good reliability and robustness. The proposed algorithm is also applicable to boundary detection as it performs well at the boundary of the event.

Hierarchical Clustering Approach of Multisensor Data Fusion: Application of SAR and SPOT-7 Data on Korean Peninsula

  • Lee, Sang-Hoon;Hong, Hyun-Gi
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2002년도 Proceedings of International Symposium on Remote Sensing
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    • pp.65-65
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    • 2002
  • In remote sensing, images are acquired over the same area by sensors of different spectral ranges (from the visible to the microwave) and/or with different number, position, and width of spectral bands. These images are generally partially redundant, as they represent the same scene, and partially complementary. For many applications of image classification, the information provided by a single sensor is often incomplete or imprecise resulting in misclassification. Fusion with redundant data can draw more consistent inferences for the interpretation of the scene, and can then improve classification accuracy. The common approach to the classification of multisensor data as a data fusion scheme at pixel level is to concatenate the data into one vector as if they were measurements from a single sensor. The multiband data acquired by a single multispectral sensor or by two or more different sensors are not completely independent, and a certain degree of informative overlap may exist between the observation spaces of the different bands. This dependence may make the data less informative and should be properly modeled in the analysis so that its effect can be eliminated. For modeling and eliminating the effect of such dependence, this study employs a strategy using self and conditional information variation measures. The self information variation reflects the self certainty of the individual bands, while the conditional information variation reflects the degree of dependence of the different bands. One data set might be very less reliable than others in the analysis and even exacerbate the classification results. The unreliable data set should be excluded in the analysis. To account for this, the self information variation is utilized to measure the degrees of reliability. The team of positively dependent bands can gather more information jointly than the team of independent ones. But, when bands are negatively dependent, the combined analysis of these bands may give worse information. Using the conditional information variation measure, the multiband data are split into two or more subsets according the dependence between the bands. Each subsets are classified separately, and a data fusion scheme at decision level is applied to integrate the individual classification results. In this study. a two-level algorithm using hierarchical clustering procedure is used for unsupervised image classification. Hierarchical clustering algorithm is based on similarity measures between all pairs of candidates being considered for merging. In the first level, the image is partitioned as any number of regions which are sets of spatially contiguous pixels so that no union of adjacent regions is statistically uniform. The regions resulted from the low level are clustered into a parsimonious number of groups according to their statistical characteristics. The algorithm has been applied to satellite multispectral data and airbone SAR data.

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