• Title/Summary/Keyword: hydrological impacts assessment

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A Study of Computer Models Used in Environmental Impact Assessment II : Hydrologic and Hydraulic Models (환경영향평가에 사용되는 컴퓨터 모델에 관한 연구 II : 수리수문 모델)

  • Park, Seok-Soon;Na, Eun-Hye
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.25-37
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    • 2000
  • This paper presents a study of hydrological and hydraulic model applications in environmental impact statements which were submitted during recent years in Korea. In many cases (almost 70 %), the hydrological and hydraulic changes were neglected from the impact identification processes, even if the proposed actions would cause significant impacts on those environmental items. In most cases where the hydrological and hydraulic impacts were predicted, simple equations were used as an impact prediction tool. Computer models were used in very few cases(5%). Even in these few cases, models were improperly applied and thus the predicted impacts would not be reliable. The improper applications and the impact neglections are attributed to the fact that there are no available model application guidelines as well as no requirements by the review agency. The effects of mitigation measures were not analyzed in most cases. Again, these can be attributed to no formal guidelines available for impact predictions until now. A brief guideline is presented in this paper. This study suggested that the model application should be required and guided in detail by the review agency. It is also suggested that the hydrological and hydraulic items shoud be integrated with the water quality predictions in future, since the non-point source pollution runoff is based on the hydrologic phenomena and the water quality reactions on the hydraulic nature.

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THE WATERSHED MANAGEMENT AND ASSESSMENT USING GIS BASED ON HYDROLOGICAL AND LANDSCAPE ECOLOGICAL ANALYSIS

  • Lee, Ju-Young;Hopkins, James
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.9-20
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    • 2006
  • The watersheds are functional geographical areas that integrate a variety of environmental and ecological processes and human impacts on landscapes. Geographical assessments using GIS recognize the relationship between interdependence of resources and ecological/environmental components in watersheds. They are useful methodology for viable long term natural resource management. This paper performs through the using hydrological analyses, landscape ecological analyses, remote sensing, and GIS. Indicators are items or measures that represent key components of the small watersheds, and they are developed to be evaluated. Some indicators are described that they represent watershed condition and trend as well as focus on physical, biological and chemical properties of small watershed. Also, ecological functions such as stability, resilience, and sensitivity are inferred from them. The model implemented in GIS allows to reflect the ecological and hydrological functioning of watershed. Methodology from image analysis, landscape ecological analysis, spatial interpolation, and numerical process modeling are integrated within GIS to provide assessment for eco-logical/environmental condition. Results are described from the small watershed of Gwynns Falls in Baltimore County and Baltimore City, Maryland, an area of about 66.5 square miles. The small watershed within Gwynns Falls watershed are subject to a number of land-use. But it is predominantly urban, with significantly lesser amounts of forest and agriculture. The increasing urbanization is ass-coiated with ecological/environmental impacts and citizen conflicts.

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Development of Distributed Hydrological Analysis Tool for Future Climate Change Impacts Assessment of South Korea (전국 기후변화 영향평가를 위한 분포형 수문분석 툴 개발)

  • Kim, Seong Joon;Kim, Sang Ho;Joh, Hyung Kyung;Ahn, So Ra
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.57 no.2
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    • pp.15-26
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this paper is to develop a software tool, PGA-CC (Projection of hydrology via Grid-based Assessment for Climate Change) to evaluate the present hydrologic cycle and the future watershed hydrology by climate change. PGA-CC is composed of grid-based input data pre-processing module, hydrologic cycle calculation module, output analysis module, and output data post-processing module. The grid-based hydrological model was coded by Fortran and compiled using Compaq Fortran 6.6c, and the Graphic User Interface was developed by using Visual C#. Other most elements viz. Table and Graph, and GIS functions were implemented by MapWindow. The applicability of PGA-CC was tested by assessing the future hydrology of South Korea by HadCM3 SRES B1 and A2 climate change scenarios. For the whole country, the tool successfully assessed the future hydrological components including input data and evapotranspiration, soil moisture, surface runoff, lateral flow, base flow etc. From the spatial outputs, we could understand the hydrological changes both seasonally and regionally.

A Study on the Peak Discharge and Soil Loss Variation due to the New Town Development - In the Case of Namak New Town Development Area - (신도시 개발에 따른 첨두유출량과 토양유실량 변화에 관한 연구 -목포시 남악 신도시 개발지를 대상으로-)

  • Woo, Chang-Ho;Cho, Nam-Yul
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.271-280
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    • 2002
  • The purpose of this study is to explore the hydrological impacts and soil loss variation due to the land use change of Namak New Town development area. The analysis of hydrological effects and soil loss variation has been carried out using GIS in this study. In order to estimate the peak runoff volume, the Rational Method which is the most popular technique to predict runoff amounts is used. To estimate the soil loss in the study area, Universal Soil Loss Equation(USLE), which is one of the most comprehensive and useful technique to predict soil erosion is adopted. The result of this study has shown that the peak runoff volume and the total soil loss increase according to the land use change. The peak runoff volume and the total soil loss have been increased about 2 times and about 48 times more than that of pre development. The increasing of the peak runoff volume can be effective erosion, flooding and so on. A careful city planning is the first essential step to minimize the environmental impacts and to construct the ecological city.

Hydrological Model Response to Climate Change Impact Assessments on Water Resources (유출모형이 기후변화 수자원 영향평가에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Jung, Il-Won;Lee, Byong-Ju;Jun, Tae-Hyun;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.41 no.9
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    • pp.907-917
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    • 2008
  • This study investigates differences in hydrological responses to the climatic scenarios resulting from the use of different three hydrological models, PRMS, SLURP, and SWAT. First, the capability of the three models in simulating the present climate water balance components is evaluated at Andong-dam watershed. And then, the results of the models in simulating the impact using hypothetical climate change scenarios are analyzed and compared. The results show that three models have similar capabilities in simulating observed data. However, greater differences in the model results occur when the models are used to simulate the hydrological impact under hypothetical climate change. According as temperature change grows, the differences between model results is increasing because of differences of the evapotranspiration estimation methods. The results suggest that technique that consider the uncertainty by using different hydrological models will be needed when climate change impact assessment on water resources.

Review of Uncertainties in Applying GIS Data and Hydrological Models to Evaluate the Effectiveness of Best Management Practices (수리모델과 GIS 데이터를 이용한 최적관리방안의 평가에 대한 불확실성의 재고)

  • Lee, Tae-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.245-258
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    • 2011
  • Best management practices (BMPs) are widely accepted and implemented as a mitigation method for soil erosion and non-point source problems. Estimating the amount of soil erosion and the effectiveness of BMPs using hydrological models help to understand the condition, identify the problems, and make plans for conservation practices in an area, typically a watershed. However, the accuracy and reliability of assessment of BMP impacts estimated by hydrological models can be often questionable due to the uncertainties from various sources including GIS(Geographic Information System) data, scale, and model. This study reviewed the development and the background of hydrological models, and the modeling issues such as the selection of models, scale, and uncertainties of data and models. This study also discussed the advantage of a small scale and spatially distributed model to estimate the impacts of BMPs.

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Assessing the impact of urbanization on runoff and non-point source pollution using the GIS L-THIA (GIS L-THIA를 이용한 도시화에 따른 유출과 비점원오염 영향 평가)

  • Yun, La-Young;Kim, Dong-Hui;Gwon, Hyeok-Hyeon;Sin, Seung-Cheol;Son, Kwang-Ik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.1802-1806
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    • 2006
  • It is important to consider the effects of land-use changes on surface runoff, stream flow, and groundwater recharge. Expansion of urban areas significantly impacts the environment in terms of ground water recharge, water pollution, and storm water drainage. Increase of impervious area due to urbanization leads to an increase in surface runoff volume, contributes to downstream flooding and a net loss in groundwater recharge. Assessment of the hydrologic impacts or urban land-use change traditionally includes models that evaluate how land use change alters peak runoff rates, and these results are then used in the design of drainage systems. Such methods however do not address the long-term hydrologic impacts of urban land use change and often do not consider how pollutants that wash off from different land uses affect water quality. L-THIA (Long-Term Hydrologic Impact Assessment) is an analysis tool that provides site-specific estimates of changes in runoff, recharge and non point source pollution resulting from past or proposed land-use changes. It gives long-term average annual runoff for a land use configuration, based on climate data for that area. In this study, the environmental and hydrological impact from the urbanized basin had been examined with GIS L-THIA in Korea.

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Assessment of Climate Change Impacts on Hydrology and Snowmelt by Applying RCP Scenarios using SWAT Model for Hanriver Watersheds (SWAT 모델링을 이용한 한강유역의 RCP 시나리오에 따른 미래수문 및 융설 영향평가)

  • Jung, Chung Gil;Moon, Jang Won;Jang, Cheol Hee;Lee, Dong Ryul
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.55 no.5
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    • pp.37-48
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    • 2013
  • The objective of this study is to assess the impact of potential climate change on the hydrological components, especially on the streamflow, evapotranspiration and snowmelt, by using the Soil Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) for 17 Hanriver middle watersheds of South Korea. For future assessment, the SWAT model was calibrated in multiple sites using 4 years (2006-2009) and validated by using 2 years (2010-2011) daily observed data. For the model validation, the Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency (NSE) for streamflow were 0.30-0.75. By applying the future scenarios predicted five future time periods Baseline (1992-2011), 2040s (2021-2040), 2060s (2041-2060), 2080s (2061-2080) and 2100s (2081-2100) to SWAT model, the 17 middle watersheds hydrological components of evapotranspiration, streamflow and snowmelt were evaluated. For the future precipitation and temperature of RCP 4.5 scenario increased 41.7 mm (2100s), $+3^{\circ}C$ conditions, the future streamflow showed +32.5 % (2040s), +24.8 % (2060s), +50.5 % (2080s) and +55.0 % (2100s). For the precipitation and temperature of RCP 8.5 scenario increased 63.9 mm (2100s), $+5.8^{\circ}C$ conditions, the future streamflow showed +35.5 % (2040s), +68.9 % (2060s), +58.0 % (2080s) and +63.6 % (2100s). To determine the impact on snowmelt for Hanriver middle watersheds, snowmelt parameters of SWAT model were determined through evaluating observed streamflow data during snowmelt periods (November-April). The results showed that average SMR (snowmelt / runoff) of 17 Hanriver middle watersheds was 62.0 % (Baseline). The annual average SMR were 42.0 % (2040s), 39.8 % (2060s), 29.4 % (2080s) and 27.9 % (2100s) by applying RCP 4.5 scenario. Also, the annual average SMR by applying RCP 8.5 scenario were 40.1 % (2040s), 29.4 % (2060s), 18.3 % (2080s) and 12.7 % (2100s).

Climate change impact assessment of agricultural reservoir using system dynamics model: focus on Seongju reservoir

  • Choi, Eunhyuk
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.48 no.2
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    • pp.311-331
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    • 2021
  • Climate change with extreme hydrological events has become a significant concern for agricultural water systems. Climate change affects not only irrigation availability but also agricultural water requirement. In response, adaptation strategies with soft and hard options have been considered to mitigate the impacts from climate change. However, their implementation has become progressively challenging and complex due to the interconnected impacts of climate change with socio-economic change in agricultural circumstances, and this can generate more uncertainty and complexity in the adaptive management of the agricultural water systems. This study was carried out for the agricultural water supply system in Seongju dam watershed in Seonju-gun, Gyeongbuk in South Korea. The first step is to identify system disturbances. Climate variation and socio-economic components with historical and forecast data were investigated Then, as the second step, problematic trends of the critical performance were identified for the historical and future climate scenarios. As the third step, a system structure was built with a dynamic hypothesis (causal loop diagram) to understand Seongju water system features and interactions with multiple feedbacks across system components in water, agriculture, and socio-economic sectors related to the case study water system. Then, as the fourth step, a mathematical SD (system dynamics) model was developed based on the dynamic hypothesis, including sub-models related to dam reservoir, irrigation channel, irrigation demand, farming income, and labor force, and the fidelity of the SD model to the Seongju water system was checked.

Sensitivity Analysis of Climate Factors on Runoff and Soil Losses in Daecheong Reservoir Watershed using SWAT (SWAT 모형을 이용한 대청댐 유역의 기후인자에 따른 유출 및 유사량 민감도 평가)

  • Ye, Lyeong;Chung, Se-Woong;Lee, Heung-Soo;Yoon, Sung-Wan;Jeong, Hee-Young
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.7-17
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    • 2009
  • Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) was used to assess the impact of potential future climate change on the water cycle and soil loss of the Daecheong reservoir watershed. A sensitivity analysis using influence coefficient method was conducted for two selected hydrological input parameters and three selected sediment input parameters to identify the most to the least sensitive parameters. A further detailed sensitivity analysis was performed for the parameters: Manning coefficient for channel (Cn), evaporation (ESCO), and sediment concentration in lateral (LAT_SED), support practice factor (USLA_P). Calibration and verification of SWAT were performed on monthly basis for 1993~2006 and 1977~1991, respectively. The model efficiency index (EI) and coefficient of determination ($R^2$) computed for the monthly comparisons of runoffs were 0.78 and 0.76 for the calibration period, and 0.58 and 0.65 for the verification period. The results showed that the hydrological cycle in the watershed is very sensitive to climate factors. A doubling of atmospheric $CO_2$ concentrations was predicted to result in an average annual flow increase of 27.9% and annual sediment yield increase of 23.3%. Essentially linear impacts were predicted between two precipitation change scenarios of -20, and 20%, which resulted in average annual flow and sediment yield changes at Okcheon of -53.8%, 63.0% and -55.3%, 65.8%, respectively. An average annual flow increase of 46.3% and annual sediment yield increase of 36.4% was estimated for a constant humidity increase 5%. An average annual flow decrease of 9.6% and annual sediment yield increase of 216.4% was estimated for a constant temperature increase $4^{\circ}C$.